Trabajo de Simulacion

 

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V_MOMGI FH \JEXAMLJÜB

MBKJH TMIAM MKXJAH_M EHGÅM GI\Ê LM_AI\ LMOM_LM\ @MJAZB EÍ_]XHW MBV@IBZ TH_MAVM EM_VJBHW

JBK. KHMB TMOAI EHBFIWM I_VHKM

LI_TI_MLJÜB XBJSH_\JVM_JM FHA LM_JOH LHLM_  CMLXAVMF FH LJHBLJM\ OM\JLM\, JBKHBJH_JM\ Z M_]XJVHLVX_M T_IK_MEM FH JBK. JBFX\V_JMA \JBLHAHGI - \XL_H 48/46/?4=0

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 CMLXAVMF FH LJHBLJM\ LJHBLJM\ OÍ\JLM\, JBKHBJH_JM JBKHBJH_JM Z M_]XJVHLVX_M M_]XJVHLVX_M  T_IK_MEM FH JBKHBJH_JM JBKHBJH_JM JBFX\V_JMA \JEXAMLJÜB -\JBLHAHGI ?4=:

VMOAM FH LIBVHBJFI _hsuehb.................................................................................................................................. < Jbtrifulljüb............................................................................................................................6

=. Lmrmlthrjzmljüb Fha Trilhsi.......................................................................................8 =.=

Fhslrjpljüb Fh Am Heprhsm.....................................................................................8

=.?

Fhslrjpljüb Fh Ais Trifultis.................................................................................8

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Fhslrjpljüb Fha \jsthem Fh Trifulljüb.................................................................3

=.6

Fhslrjpljüb Fh Ams Htmpms Fha Trilhsi..................................................................;

=.8

Fjmkrmem Fh Trilhsis.............................................................................................;

=.3

Hstufji Fh Vjhepi Z Fhslrjpljüb Fh Liei \h @jzi............................................0

=.;

Mbíajsjs Hstmfåstjli Tir Htmpms Z \u Fhslrjpljüb...................................................0

=.0

Truhom Fh Oibfmf Fh Mgusth.................................................................................?=

Liblausjibhs .......................................................................................................................?3 _hchrhbljms Ojoajikrícjlms ...................................................................................................?;

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 CMLXAVMF FH LJHBLJM\ LJHBLJM\ OÍ\JLM\, JBKHBJH_JM JBKHBJH_JM Z M_]XJVHLVX_M M_]XJVHLVX_M  T_IK_MEM FH JBKHBJH_JM JBKHBJH_JM JBFX\V_JMA \JEXAMLJÜB -\JBLHAHGI ?4=:

_H\XEHB

Hb ha prhshbth jbcireh, sh trmomgü lib am heprhsm ‑]XHH TMB \.M.\Y fibfh sh jfhbtjcjlü m 3 prifulti, pmb tmgmfi, pmb fh embthqujaam, pmb fh sma, pmsthajtis, kmaahtms fh sifm y pib quhsjtis, sh hbluhbtrm uojlmfm hb am våm triblma fh lirizma, am luma luhbtm lib vmrjms sulursmahs y ubm siam pambtm fh prifulljüb, hstm tjhbh liei ioghtii libilhr, mbma ioght mbmajzmr jzmr y `mlhr su rhsphltjvm lmrm lmrmlthrjz lthrjzmljüb mljüb fha prilhsi prifultjvi prifultjvi.. Fibfh sh fjshýü ha sjsthem fh caugi fh prilhsis fha pmb tmgmfi, am fhslrjpljüb y mbíajsjs fh ams libfjljibhs mltumahs fh ams írhms fh trmomgi, omsmfi hb ha hstufji fh tjhepis fh trmomgi. Tir itri amfi, hb am jbvhstjkmljüb rhmajzmfm sh aikrü fhbitmr  ha prjbljpma prioahem quh prhshbtm am pambtm, luyi prioahem prjbljpma rmfjlm hb am chrehbtmljüb i lumrti fh lrhljejhbti lrhlje jhbti fha pmb (su (su   tjhepi fh iphrmljüb vmrjm fh ub rmbki eåbjei m ub eíxjei) y bi puhfhb hstjemr ha aith fh prifulljüb rhma fha sjsthem lib hxmltjtuf, mchltmbfi fh tma cirem ams iphrmljibhs y ha cmljajtmr ha mbíajsjs fh ais tjhepis hepahmfis pmrm rhmajzmr fjl`ms mltjvjfmfhs. M`irm ojhb, ais rhsuatmfis iothbjfis krmljms m eifhais hstmfåstjli y sictwmrh cmljajtmrib ubm vjsjüb eís lamrm fh aams ms libfjljibhs mltumahs hb ais tjhepis y am lmpmljfmf fh lmfm eíqujbm utjajzmfm hb am aåbhm fh prifulljüb, fh embhrm quh myufi m tiemr fhljsjibhs fhthrejbmbths pmrm am iptjejzmljüb fh hstis, bi siai hb ub írhm hsphlåcjlm sjbi hb tifm am irkmbjzmljüb.

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JBKHBJH_JM Z M_]XJVHLVX_M M_]XJVHLVX_M  CMLXAVMF FH LJHBLJM\ LJHBLJM\ OÍ\JLM\, JBKHBJH_JM  T_IK_MEM FH JBKHBJH_JM JBKHBJH_JM JBFX\V_JMA \JEXAMLJÜB -\JBLHAHGI ?4=:

J.JBV_IFXLLJÜB  Am pmbmfhråm hs ubi fh ais mrths eís mbtjkui hb tifm am `j `jst stir irjm jm,, ms msåå liei liei su li libs bstm tmbt bthh hv hvia iaul uljü jübb y

hl hlibi ibieå eåm, m, puhsti puhsti quh su lm lmrí rílt lthr hr liehrl liehrljm jmaa ah  phrejth embhgmr bhkiljis mathrbis ma ejsei. \hk÷b

trmb trmbsci scire reml mljü jübb hb am `uem `uembj bjfmf fmf,, ehfj ehfjmb mbth th hstm hstm

@hbsphrkhr (?44?), êsth prifulti `m sjfi ha pjamr 

mltjvjfmf u icjlji quh sh iotjhbh ha pmb, libsjfhrmfi

butrjljibma fh am majehbtmljüb m bjvha jbthrbmljibma y

 pmrm eul`ms luaturms ub majehbti hshbljma hb su

hs jkumaehbth sjkbjcjlmtjvi hbtrh ais eubjljpji.

fjhtm majehbtjljm. Ams mltjvjfmfhs fh am pmbmfhråm ma jkuma quh am lmbtjfmf fh jbsuei y htmpms pmrm am ha hamo moir irml mljjüb fha fha pmb, pmb, sib sib hb su kr krmb mb em emyi yirå råmm

Tir su pmrth, pmrth, ha shltir pmbmfhri pmbmfhri hb Liaieojm Liaieojm hs ub bh bhkil kilji ji vjmoa vjmoahh

li libb krmbf krmbfhs hs ipirt ipirtubj ubjfm fmfhs fhs fh

jblrhehbtis, luyms tmrhms khbhrm jepirtmbths mpirths

jbca jbcauh uhbl bljm jmfm fmss pir pir am luat luatur urm, m, am amss tr trmf mfjl jlji jibh bhss y m am hl hlib ibie ieåm åm bm bmlj ljib ibma ma,, li libb bj bjvh vhah ahss fh vh vhbt btmm suphrjirhs m ais fis ojaaibhs fh phsis hbtrh pmbhs

listueorhs luajbmrjms fh am rhkjüb.  Ams pmbmfhrå pmbmfhråms ms y pmstha pmsthahråm hråm sib bhkilji bhkiljiss vhrsí vhrsítjah tjahss y lmeojm lmeojmbths bths hb ha hbt hbtirbi, irbi, bi siai hhbb têrejbi têrejbiss fha  prifulti

sjbi

tmeojêb ha bjvha fh libsuei h

jepahehbtmljüb fh hstrmthkjms hb am jbfustrjm pmrm su li lieh ehrl rljm jmaj ajzm zmlj ljüb üb,, hs pir pir ha haai ai qu quhh ha jb jbst stjt jtut utii liaieojmbi liaieo jmbi fh pmbmfhr pmbmfhråm åm y pmstha pmsthahråm hråm (JLTT), lhbtri mlmfêejli mlmfêe jli hsphljm hsphljmajzmf ajzmfii hb am jbfustrj jbfustrjmm quh luhbt luhbtmm

jbfust jbf ustrjm rjmahs ahs y mrt mrthsm hsmbmah bmahs. s. Hsth Hsth shltir shltir pmbjcj pmbjcjlmfi lmfir  r  luhbtm lib eís fh ?? eja ejlriheprhsms fhfjlmfms m hstm mltjvjfmf, sjhbfi Oikití am lujfmf quh tjhbh emyir b÷ehri fh hstmoa hstmoahljej hljejhbtis hbtis fh hsth tjpi, m fjchrhb fjc hrhbljm ljm fha fhpmrt fhpmrtmeh mehbti bti fh ssulrh ulrh quh hb ssuu titmaj titmajfmf fmf luh luhbtm btm lib pmb pmbmfhr mfhråms åms trm trmfjl fjljibm jibmahs ahs fh  omrrjis y phquhýms heprhsms phrthbhljhbths m hsth

lib am mpriomljüb fha ejbjsthrji fh hfulmljüb, `m fhsmrriaamfi fhsmrria amfi hstufj hstufjis is siorh ha liepirt liepirtmejhbt mejhbtii y

shltir prifultjvi.

thbf thbfhb hblj ljmm fh fhaa pmås pmås,, ms msåå liei ais rhtis rhtis qu quhh fh fhoh oh

Cjbmaehbth, Cjbma ehbth, ams ams jbfustrjms jbfustrjms phrthbhljhbt phrthbhljhbths hs ma shltir  shltir 

ms msue uejr jr ccrh rhbt bthh

 pmbmfhri

m aams ms eís eís fh fh ?? eja eja he hepr prhs hsms ms

hstíb jbehrsms hb hbtirbis titmaehbth

 phrthbhljhbths m hsth shltir (Têrhz, ?4=3).

liephtjtjvis

M`irm ojhb, ais prilhsis fh trmbsciremljüb fh ais

libtjbumehbth hbcrhbtmb prioahems fh tifi tj tjpi. pi. Ha

jbsueis i rhlursis bhlhsmrjis pmrm am iothbljüb fh

 prhshbth priyhlti tjhbh liei prjbljpma ioghtjvi

ub

li libi bilh lhr, r,

prifulti

cjbma

phrthbhlhb

ma

shltir 

y

kaiom omaajzmf mfiis

hb

ais

quh

mb mbma majz jzmr mr y lm lmrm rmlt lthr hrjz jzmr mr ha pr pril ilhs hsii

embucml emb ucmltur turhri hri (Ívj (Ívjam, am, _. Jbfu Jbfustrj strjmm liaieo liaieojmb jmbmm y

 prifultjvi quh rhmajzm am heprhsm ]XHH TMB, mså

fhsmrr fhs mrria iaai ai.. = Gua Guaji ji ?4= ?4=3), 3), li liei ei

fha

liei fhthltmr fhthltmr ais prioahems prioahems jbthrbi jbthrbiss ma eiehbti eiehbti fh am am hamoi hamoirmlj rmljüb üb fha fha prifult prifulti, i, hb hsth hsth lmsi lmsi sh

hb hbkr krmb mbmg mghh lua luaturm turmaa fh am si silj ljhf hfmf mf y m su vh vhzz

thbfrí hb luhbtm ubm siam aåbhm aåbhm fha prifulljüb ( pmb

cubljib cubl jibmb mb liei ha haheh hehbti btiss fjbme fjbmejzm jzmfirh firhss

tm tmgm gmfi fi), ), lu luyi yi pr prio ioah ahem em pr prjb jblj ljpm pmaa rm rmfj fjlm lm hb am

ha lm lmsi si fh ams

heprhsm hep rhsmss ppmbmf mbmfhrm hrms, s, ams luma lumahs hs `ml `mlhb hb pmr pmrth th

fh am

6  

 CMLXAVMF FH LJHBLJM\ LJHBLJM\ OÍ\JLM\, JBKHBJH_JM JBKHBJH_JM Z M_]XJVHLVX_M M_]XJVHLVX_M  T_IK_MEM FH JBKHBJH_JM JBKHBJH_JM JBFX\V_JMA \JEXAMLJÜB -\JBLHAHGI ?4=:

chrehbtmljüb i lumrti fh lrhljejhbti fha pmb (su

hstmfåstjlm h jepahehbtmljüb fh eêtifis, myufm fh

tjhepi fh iphrmljüb vmrjm fh ub rmbki eåbjei m ub

sictw sic twmr mrhh y

eíxjei) y bi puhfhb hstjemr ha aith fh prifulljüb

 ouhbis rhsuatmfis fh rhbfjejhbtis, omsmfis hb am

rhma fha sjsthem lib hxmltjtuf, lib ais quh luhbtm am

ti tiem em fh fh fhlj ljsj sjib ibhs hs üp üptj tjem emss y hcjlj hcjljhbt hbths hs pm pmrm rm am

heprhsm hep rhsm,, hb am quh sh fhohb mpa mpajlm jlmrr `hrrmejhb `hrrmejhbtms tms

ehgirm libtjbum hb sus prilhsis.

hstrmt hstrmthk hkjm jmss fh trmomg trmomgii pm pmrm rm malmbz malmbzmr  mr 

.

=. LM LM_M _MLV LVH_ H_Å\V Å\VJLM JLM\ \ FH FHA A

jbkrhf jbk rhfjhb jhbths ths lie lieii am `mr `mrjbm jbm fh trjki, trjki, mku mkum,m m,mz÷l z÷lmr, mr, ah ahvm vmfu furm rm,, sma, sma, kr krms msmm em emrk rkmr mrjb jbm, m, hbtr hbtrhh itris tris eí eíss

T_ILH\I

jbkrhfjhbths.

=.= Fhslrjp Fhslrjpljü ljüb b fh am am hep heprhsm rhsm77  Am heprhsm ]XHH TMB \.M.\ sh

 

fh fhsshephým liei

 pmbjcjlmfirm, hs irjhbtmfm m am prifulljüb y liehrljmajzmljüb fh fjchrhbths tjpis fh pmb, su  prjbljpma eitjvmljüb hs pripirljibmr ub prifulti fh matm lmajfmf quh smtjscmkm ams bhlhsjfmfhs fha lajh lajhbt bth, h, hs hstm tm sshh hb hblm lmrkm rkm ffhh am prifu prifull lljü jübb fh  pmbhs y su liehrljmajzmljüb> hstm sh hbluhbtrm

TMB FH \MA7 Tmb fh sma hamoirmfi lib jbkrhfjhbths liei am `mrjbm fh trjki, sma, mkum, mlhjth, euy utjajzmfi pmrm liehr mliepmýmfi fh ohojfms lmajhbths y tmeojêb ah fmb usi rmymfi pmrm mpmbmr.

uo uojjlm lmfm fm hb ha ne = vå våmm li liri rizm zmaa-\j -\jbl blha hahg hgi, i, cirtmahljfm liei ubm fh ams irkmbjzmljibhs lib lm lmaj ajfm fmff hb sus pri prifu fult ltis is

y su mlt mltjv jvjf jfmf mf hs

TMB FH EMBVH]XJAAM7 Xbi fh ais prifultis eís

jbfustrjma prifultjvm.

vhbfjfis, sib ais pmbhs lib smoir m embthqujaam, tjhbh thxturm sumvh y hs hamoirmfi lib jbkrhfjhbths liei am

=.? Fhslrjpljüb fh ais prifultis7

`mrjbm fh trjki, embthqujaam, mkum, sma, ahvmfurm, hbtrh

]XHH TMB- icrhlh vmrjhfmf fh prifultis, pmb tmgmfi,

itris.

 pmb fh embthqujaam, pmb fh sma, pmsthajtis, kmaahtms fh sifm y pib quhsjtis, fh pmbmfhråm y rhpisthråm `hl`i `hl`iss lib meir y hb am ehgir lmajfmf, m ub prhlji gusti fhahjtmbfi ha pmamfmr fha lajhbth hb ub meojhbth ÷bjli y hsphljma.

TMB VMGM VMGMFI FI K_MB K_MBFH FH7 Tmb tmgmfi krmbfh jfhma pmrm síbfwjl`, y fjchrhbths liejfms rípjfms ajor aj orhh

fh

krm rmssms, ms,

liep liepuuhsti hsti pi pirr

fjv jvhr hrsi siss

TM\ M\V VHA HAJV JVI\ I\77 Trifulti hamoirmfi lib emsm fh `i `igm gmaf afrh rh,, su thxt thxtur urmm hs lr lrug ugjh jhbt bthh y hs rh rhaa aahb hbmf mfii lib lib  oilmfjaai.

8  

JBKHBJH_JM Z M_]XJVHLVX_M M_]XJVHLVX_M  CMLXAVMF FH LJHBLJM\ LJHBLJM\ OÍ\JLM\, JBKHBJH_JM  T_IK_MEM FH JBKHBJH_JM JBKHBJH_JM JBFX\V_JMA \JEXAMLJÜB -\JBLHAHGI ?4=:

ais iphrmrjis sib euy vmrjmfms fmfi m quh, hb ubm  girbmfm amoirma priehfji, sh hamoirmb fjchrhbths tjpis fh  prifultis. Am ubjf ubjfmf mf pr prif iful ultj tjvm vm luhb luhbtm tm lib lib ubm ubm vmrj vmrjhf hfmf mf

KMAAHV KMA AHVM\ M\ FH \IF \IFM7 M7 Trifulti hamoirmfi m  omsh fh `mrjbm, piavi pmrm `irbhmr, sma, mz÷lmr,

libsjfhrmoah fh emqujbmrjm h jepahehbtis bhlhsmrjis  pmrm luorjr am prifulljüb fjmrjm. Hbtrh haais pifheis

emrkmrjbm, ahvmfurm crhslm, hshbljm vmjbjaam. Hbtrh

hblibtrmr ais sjkujhbths hahehbtis7

itris.

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Lirtmfirm fh pmb eiafh7 emqujbm emrlm _uo`jem, rh rhom ombm bmfi firm rm fh pmb, pmb, lul` lul`ja jaam amss fh auor auorjl jlml mljü jübb mutieítjlms, rhmajzm `mstm ?44 lirths.

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Ehzlam Ehz lamfi firm7 rm7 Jep Jephrj hrjmm ??4 fh mlh mlhri ri jbi jbixjf xjfmoa moah, h, fh ?4nk,