Toma de Decisiones Caso 8

September 8, 2022 | Author: Anonymous | Category: N/A
Share Embed Donate


Short Description

Download Toma de Decisiones Caso 8...

Description

 

[JFSKR\F@I@ GIOFOKH “F@KILKF OFLKH G[IPKAIOI OFPIK “ Oflkjlfituri kj Pkljhohgái y I`afjfstrilfüj `k Kaprksis Phai `k `k @klfsfhjks “ Lishs Ka Kaprksirfioks prksirfioks Mhrirfh4 \ébi`h `k 74>> “ 64>> ia Puthr4 Ofl`i. Wkj`y Oüpkz

n

LI\H “ \KAIJI = KO SIOHR @K OH\ @IPH\ KJ OI HRGIJFTILFÜJ4 PKLJHOHGÁI\ PKLJHOHGÁI\ ^IRI OI I@AFJF\PRILFÜJ @K OH\ @IPH\

 

Brkj`i Oulkrh Girlái \hl  F@K >=9=2993 97 `k airzh `k 2,>9=

 

FJ\PR[LLFHJK\4

Oki luf`i`hsiakjtk ko lhjtkjf`h `ko lish, oukgh rkioflk oh quk sk ok pf`k kj li`i fjlfsh. C “ KA^IY[K\4

Oi kaprksi C “ kapiqu kapiquks ks ks pirtk `k uj gruph `k bkbf`is kj Aæxflh, quk tfkjk virfis `fvfsfhjks. Oi afsfüj `k oi lhapiùái prktkj`k lhakrlfiofzir prh`ulths y skrvflfhs quk hcrkzlij uji vkjtidi lhapktftfvi i sus lofkjtks. Milk iogujhs iùhs, oi aiyhrái `k ohs sfstkais lhaputilfhjioks `k oi kaprksi tribidij lhj ‟irlmfvhs poijhs h lhjvkjlfhjioks‑, ks `klfr, lhj oi iuskjlfi `k uji bisk `k `iths. \hoh iogu ioguji jiss ip ipofofli lilf lfhj hjks ks tkjá tkjáij ij bi bisk skss `k `i `ith ths, s, jh jhra raio ioak akjt jtk k kj sfst sfstka kais is prhp prhpfk fkti tirf rfhs hs.. Oh ij ijtk tkrf rfhr hr lius liusü ü fjkc fjkcfl flfk fkjl jlfi fiss kj ohs ohs pr prhl hlks kshs hs y bi birr rrkr kris is tklj tkljho hoüg ügfl flis is piri piri ph ph`k `krr hpkr hpkrir ir lhj lhj liri lirilt ltkr krás ástftfli liss sfaf sfafoi oirk rkss i ois ois `k su lhapktkjlfi. Ko lia liabf bfh h `k `f `frkl rklth thrr `ko ér érki ki `k tk tklj ljho hohg hgái áiss `k fj fjch chra rail ilfü füj j tu tuvh vh kc kckl klth thss civhriboks piri C-kapiquks. Oi vfsfüj `k fjchraétfli sk bisü kj tkjkr th`hs ohs sfst sf stka kais is fj fjtk tkgri gri`hs `hs kj uji bi bisk sk `k `i `ith thss lk lkjt jtri rioo y isá ph ph`kr `kr lh lhap apir irtftfrr oi fjchrailfüj lhj ois prfjlfpioks ipoflilfhjks `k oi hrgijfzilfüj. I lhjtfjuilfüj, prks prkskj kjti tiah ahss ko ksqu ksquka kai i bu busl sli` i`h h ph phrr CC-ka kapi piqu quks ks lhah lhah poit poitic ichr hrai ai `k fjchrailfüj. Ookgir io ksqukai fapoflü uji skrfk `k kscukrzhs k fjvkrsfhjks phr pirtk `k oi kapr ka prksi ksi.. Io ah ahst stri rirr kstk kstk li lish sh pr prkt ktkj kj`k `kah ahss quk quk ust ustk` k` rkc rkcok okxf xfhj hjk k shbrk shbrk oi sftuilfüj. ^RKG[JPI\4

9. Fjv Fjvkst kstfgu fguk k ohs prfjlfpio prfjlfpioks ks lrftkrf lrftkrfhs hs i utfofz utfofzir ir piri oi skokl skokllfü lfüj j `k oi bisk `k `iths. Ks faphrtijtk quk th`hs kj oi hrgijfzilfüj kjtkj`iahs oi faphrtijlfi `k ohs `iths y tkjgiahs ougir `üj`k lhohlirohs chraiysfstkaétfli skjlfooi, pkrh shbrkuj th`h lhjlhaôj aulmikj lhjslfkjlfi. Ph`h ko`k tfkaph, th`hs kj oisy hrgijfzilfhjks, jutrfahs y lhjstrufahs ois `fstfjtis B@. Luij`h itkj`kahs ko tkoæchjh, luij`h vkj`kahs uj skrvflfh h prh`ulth, luij`h fjslrfbfahs gkjtk i uj kvkjth, kj jukstrhs chrauoirfhs wkb, kj jukstris ofbrktis `k lhjtilths, ktl. Miboiahs shbrk iogujhs pujths faphrtijtks i tkjkr kj lukjti luij`h pkjsiahs kj jukstri B@4   

 

@ktkrafjir su cfjiof`i` @kcfjfr ois mkrriafkjtis `k rklhokllfüj `k `iths @fvf`fr oi fjchrailfüj skgôj ko tfph `k hbdkth4 Shoujtirfhs, bkjkcflfirfhs, ^rhgriais, @hjilfhjks, ktl. ^kjsir kj ohs illkshs `k ohs usuirfhs y oi skgurf`i` `k oi B@ Lipilftir i ohs rklhoklthrks `k `iths

 

 

Ahjfthrfzir y iltuiofzir oi B@ Pkjkr uj bukj sfstkai `k bileup

Bisks Cráis vs Bisks Liofkjtks 4 `kbkahs tkjkr prkskjtk quk miy pkrshjis

(lhjtilths) quk jhs lhjhlkj aés y htris quk jhs lhjhlkj akjhs. Iqukoohs lhjtilths quk lhjhlkj jukstrh tribidh kstiréj aés fjvhoulri`hs lhj jukstri hrgijfzilfüj y tkj`réj uji aiyhr tkj`kjlfi i iyu`irjhs. @kbkahs tkjkr kj lukjti kstk pujth, piri pkjsir lüah utfofziahs `flmhs `iths. Lrftkrf Lrf tkrfhs hs y @iths @iths i pk`fr pk`fr h rkgfstri rkgfstrirr `k jukstrh jukstrhs s Lhjtilt Lhjtilths hs4 miy iogujhs

kokakjths cuj`iakjtioks quk jh ph`kahs `kdir `k rkgfstrir. Ko hrfgkj (`hj`k hbtuvfahs hbtuvf ahs oi fjchra fjchrailfüj) ilfüj),, oi cklmi `k jilfafkjth (jhs pkraftk rkiofzir ijéofsfs y cf`kof cf` kofzir zir lhjt lhjtilt ilths), hs), `iths `iths `ka `kahgr hgrécf écflhs lhs (pir (piri i lha lhaprkj prkj`kr `kr lüa lüah h ks juk jukstr strh h pôboflh), ko @JF (piri kvftir `upofli`hs kj oi B@), ktl. Sfsuiofzilfüj `k oi Fjchrailfüj 4 ks faphrtijtk quk gkjkrkahs grécflhs, pijkoks

h tibois quk jhs iyu`kj i ijiofzir y vfsuiofzir oi fjchrailfüj `k jukstri B@ piri ph`kr thair `klfsfhjks y iprhvklmir io aéxfah th`h ko lhjtkjf`h. 2. ^iri ohg ohgrir rir ko ksq ksqukai ukai prh prhpukst puksth, h, ¸Yuæ ttfph fph `k rk` rkqufkr rkqufkrk k oi kaprksi8 kaprksi8 [j kokakjth quk `kbk tkjkrsk kj lukjti luij`h qukrkahs fjstioir uji rk` fjchraétfli kj jukstrh jkghlfh ks ko iolijlk iolijlk h érki `k lhbkrturi. ¸^uk`h phjkr  uji rk` `k érki pkrshjio, u hbofgithrfiakjtk ak lhjvfkjk aés uji OIJ h rk` ohlio8 ¸Yuæ tfphs `k rk`ks fjchraétflis kxfstkj skgôj ko iolijlk8 Kj prfjlfpfh, oh oügflh ks quk oi aiyhrái `k ohs pkqukùhs jkghlfhs puk`ij cujlfhjir pkrckltiakjtk lhj uji rk` ohlio. Jh hbstijtk, kj ko lish `k kaprksis lhj grij`ks fjstioilfhjks, puk`k milkr cioti aiyhr kxtkjsfüj sf miboiahs `k uj érki `k lhbkrturi `k grij supkrcflfk. Kj kstk irtáluoh viahs i kxpoflirtk quæ tfphs `k rk`ks sk puk`kj fjstioir. 9. RK@ @K ÉRKI ^KR\HJIO (^IJ) Miboiahs `kkouji rk` fjchraétfli `k phlhs aktrhs, `iths. iogh pirklf`h i oi bésflis `fstijlfi quk jklksfti Boukthhtm `ko aüvfo piri fjtkrliabfir \hj ois aés y sfrvkj piri kspilfhs rk`ulf`hs, phr kdkapoh sf tribidis kj uj ohlio `k uji shoi poijti lhj uj pir `k hr`kji`hrks. Ois rk`ks ^IJ puk`kj skrtk ôtfoks sf vis i lhjkltir phlhs `fsphsftfvhs quk jh kstæj auy okdhs kjtrk sá. Oi hplfüj aés mibftuio, sfj kabirgh, piri iuakjtir ko ri`fh `k lhbkrturi y piri kvftir oi fjstioilfüj `k liboki kstrulturi`h, sukok skr oi lhapri `k uj rhutkr y oi fjstioilfüj `k uji rk` `k érki ohlio fjioéabrfli. 2. RK@ @K ÉRKI OHLIO (OIJ). Ks oi quk th`hs lhjhlkahs y oi quk sukok fjstioirsk kj oi aiyhrái `k ois kaprksis, tijth sf sk triti `k uj k`fcflfh lhapokth lhah `k uj ohlio. ^kraftk lhjkltir hr`kji`hrks, faprkshris, ksléjkrks, chthlhpfi`hris y htrhs aulmhs pkrfcærflhs kjtrk sá piri quk puk`is fjtkrliabfir `iths y ür`kjks `ks`k ohs `fckrkjtks jh`hs `k oi hcflfji.

 

>> aktrhs lui`ri`hs8 V jh oh `fgh süoh phr ois ujfvkrsf`i`ks5 ois fjstioilfhjks `k ohs pirquks pirq uks tkl tkljho jhoügf ügflhs, lhs, rkl rklfjt fjths hs ckr ckrfio fioks ks y jiv jivks ks lha lhakrlf krlfiok iokss puk puk`kj `kj supkrir  supkrir  pkrckltiakjtk ksi supkrcflfk. Kj tio lish, tkjkahs ois rk`ks LIJ. Mibrá Mibrái i virfis rk`ks `k érki ohlio fjsti fjstioi`is oi`is kj érkis kspklácflis, pkrh i su vkz th`is koois kstiráij fjtkrlhjklti`is, piri quk sk puk`ij fjtkrliabfir `iths kjtrk sá `k aijkri répf`i, h puk`i mibkr lhjkxfüj i Fjtkrjkt kj th`h ko liapus. 0. RK@ @K ÉRKI AKPRH^HOFPIJI (AIJ) Aulmh aés iapofis quk ois ijtkrfhrks, ibirlij kspilfhs aktrhphoftijhs aulmh aés grij`ks. \hj ois quk sukokj utfofzi utfofzirsk rsk luij`h ois i`afjfstr i`afjfstrilfhjks ilfhjks pôbofli pôbofliss `klf`kj lrkir zhjis Wfcf kj grij`ks kspilfhs. Piabfæj ks th`i oi fjcrikstrulturi `k liboks `k uj hpkri`hr `k tkoklhaujflilfhjks piri ko `kspofkguk `k rk`ks `k cfbri üptfli. [ji rk` AIJ sukok lhjkltir ois `fvkrsis OIJ quk miy kj uj kspilfh `k ujhs ;> efoüaktrhs. ;. RK@ @K ÉRKI IA^OFI (WIJ) \hj ois quk sukokj `kspokgir ois kaprksis prhvkk`hris `k Fjtkrjkt piri lubrfr  ois jklksf`i`ks `k lhjkxfüj `k rk`ks `k uji zhji auy iapofi, lhah uji lfu`i` h piás. 3. RK@ @K ÉRKI @K IOAILKJIAFKJPH (\IJ) Ks uji rk` prhpfi piri ois kaprksis quk tribidij lhj skrvf`hrks y jh qufkrkj pkr`kr rkj`fafkjth kj ko trécflh `k usuirfh, yi quk aijkdij uji kjhrak lijtf`i` `k `iths. \ukokj utfofziroh aulmh ois kaprksis tkljhoügflis. Kj Lfslh tk lukjtij ois vkjtidis `k uji rk` \IJ \IJ.. 7. RK@ @K ÉRKI OHLIO SFRP[IO (SOIJ) Oiss rk` Oi rk`ks ks `k oi oiss qu quk k mi miboi boiah ahss jh jhra raio ioak akjt jtk k sk lh lhjk jklt ltij ij `k ch chra rai i cá cásf sfli. li. Ois rk`ks SOIJ sk kjli`kjij `k chrai oügfli (ak`fijtk prhthlhohs, pukrths, ktl.), rk`ulfkj`h ko trécflh `k rk` y akdhrij`h oi skgurf`i`. \f uji kaprksi tfkjk virfhs `kpirtiakjths y qufkrks quk cujlfhjkj lhj uji rk` skpiri`i, oi rk` SOIJ. Kspkrh quk lhj ksth tkjgis uji faigkj uj phlh aés loiri `k ois `fckrkjtks rk`ks fjchraétflis skgôj su iolijlk. qufkrks sibkr aés,oügflh puk`ks ko ^VAK irtáluohks ‟Pfphs `k rk`ks fjchraétflis skgôj su\fthphohgái‑. thphohgái‑ . Oh aés kjvkr uji quk jklksftk sfapokakjtk uji OIJ, pkrh piri lishs `k aiyhr kjvkrgi`uri h sf sk qufkrk quk ois rk`ks cujlfhjkj `k chrai skpiri`i, ks bukjh lhjhlkr quk miy htris phsfbfof`i`ks. (9> usuirfhs)   \fstkai hpkritfvh (lhaputi`hr)   Aflrhshct A\-@H\ v3.> \ubthtio ^rhgriais

#

^rklfh

Phtio

%

2

7,2

2% 93%

Kqufph   Kqufph kspklfiofzi`h

#

^rklfh

Phtio

%

  \krvf`hr `k faprkshris   @fsphsftfvh `k fjtkrlhjkxfüj "Brf`gk"   [^\ piri ohs skrvf`hrks   Htrhs `fsphsftfvhs `k fjtkrlhjkxfüj   Pirdktis `k fjtkrlhjkxfüj   Pirdktis piri skrvf`hr `k rk`   Pi rdktis piri lofkjtks `k rk` Pirdktis   Oájkis `k lhaujflilfüj   Aktrhs `k libok 9>BiskP   Lhjklthrks i`flfhjioks   Lhaputi`hrks   \krvf`hrks =>0=3 @OL (`fslh `k 0=3 @]2 (`fslh `k ;>> Ab)   \krvf`hrks =>0=3 @]2 (`fslh `k 0=3 @OL (sfj `fslh `urh)   Lofkjtks =>0=3 @]2 (sfj `fslh `urh)   ^krfcærflhs   Faprkshris `k lirrh ijlmh   Faprkshris `k lirrh ijghsth   Faprkshris oéskr   ^ohttkr   Aksi `fgftiofzi`hri   \lijjkr \ubthtio Kqufph

> > 0 >

> > ;>> >

> > 2,>>> >

>% >% 0% >%

0 20

22; ;9

6>> 9,2

2% = >

> >

9

>% >%

2 2 > 20 >

9,920 9,696 9,3>> =>; 9,27>

2,20=

;% =% >% 09% >%

> > 9 > > >

;>> ;>> 2,>>> 9,;>> 9,;>> ;>>

> > 2,>>> > > >

>% >% 0% >% >% >% 3=%

#

^rklfh

Phtio

^krshjio   Lipilftilfüj   [suirfhs, lhjkxfüj y ipoflilfhjks `k rk`   Pæljflhs, \fstkai Jhvkoo 0.>   I`afjfstrilfüj   Luirth tfkaph kj i`afjfstrilfüj

%

2> 0>

9; 2>

> =>>

9% 2%

0>

9>

0>>

9%

  Fjstioilfüj   Liabfhs kj libokh ijtkrfhr

=>

2;

2,>>>

0%

 

\ubthtio ^krshjio \ub Phtio Gkjkrio GRIJ PHPIO ID[\PI@H

>

9>%

=%

02,0>> 69% 03,30> 9>>%

;. ¸Yu ¸Yuæ æ bkjkc bkjkcflf flfhs hs puk` puk`k k `ksirr `ksirrhoo hooir ir oi kaprk kaprksi si lhj ko ush y oi lrkilfü lrkilfüj j `k oi `iti wirkmhusk8 @iti Wirkm @iti Wirkmhu husk sk (@ (@W) W) iyu iyu`i `i i oh ohss `fr `frklt kltfv fvhs hs y th thai ai`h `hrks rks `k `k `klf lfsf sfhj hjks ks i lhjvkrtfr `iths lru`hs kj fjchrailfüj viofhsi. I trivæs `k kstk tfph `k fjchrailfüj sk puk`k ohgrir uji @iti Wirkmhusk4 Sfsfüj aés lhapokti k fjtkgrio `k oi hrgijfzilfüj, kjtkj`kr ohs kvkjths kj chrai sfstkaétfli pkraftfkj`h isá uji rk`kcfjflfüj `k kstritkgfis. Kj sájtksfs, lhjhlkr. @ksichrtuji`iakjtk jh th`is ois ujfvkrsf`i`ks ujfvkrs f`i`ks u hrgijf hrgijfzilfhj zilfhjks ks puk`kj lhjtir lhj kqufph kqufphss tæljf tæljflhs lhs quk tribi tribidkj dkj kj ksths tkais, yi quk phr oh gkjkrio ksths kqufphs kstéj ibhli`hs i ohs sfstkais `k gkstfüj y i ois aksis `k iyu`i i usuirfhs. Bkjkcflfhs `k tribidir lhj @W. \fapofcfli ohs prhlkshs `k thai `k `klfsfhjks phrq ph rquk uk hcrk hcrklk lk fa faég égkj kjks ks fjtk fjtkgr gri` i`is is `k ohs ohs `i `ith ths. s. Ci Cilf lfofofti ti ko pr prhl hlks ksh h `k lhap lhapir iril ilfü füj, j, pr prhy hykl kllf lfüj üj i cutu cuturh rh,, rk rkoi oilf lfüj üj lhj lhj htrh htrhss `i `ith ths, s, au auks kstr tri i `k fj`fli`hrks, fj`fl i`hrks, fjchrai fjchrailfüj lfüj lhjshof`i lhjshof`i`i, `i, ktl. Ko illksh i ohs `iths ks célfo y répf`h répf`h,, pkraftfkj`h i ohs`kusuirfhs milkrhpkrilfhjioks sus prhpfis lhjsuotis. Iyu`i i `kaij`is akdhrir ko bukj cujlfhjiafkjth ohs sfstkais rktrhiofakjtij`h piri ohs sfstkais trijsillfhjioks. 3. ¸Lüah iyu`i ttkjkr kjkr uj K KR^ R^ y oi tkljhohgái tkljhohgái ` `ko ko `iti wirkmhu wirkmhusk8 sk8 Ko @W ks uj prhyklth `fjéaflh, quk fré kvhoulfhjij`h lhj ko tfkaph, jutrfæj`hsk `koo us `k ush. h. @k @kbk bk sk skrr cocokx kxfb fbok ok y ks ksli lioi oibo bok, k, yi quk quk `k `kbk bk br brfj fj`i `irr fjcrik fjcrikst strul rultu turi ri lha lh apu puti tilf lfhj hjio io qu quk k pu puk` k`i i shp hphr hrti tirr ohs ohs li lia abfhs bfhs qu quk k sk pr prh` h`ul ulkj kj kj oi hrgijfzilfüj. \k jklksftij mkrriafkjtis `k `ksirrhooh quk mibftuioakjtk kstéj lhapukstis phr  trks lhaphjkjtks4 oi bisk `k `iths, ois mkrriafkjtis quk pkraftkj oi kxtrillfüj, trijschrailfüj y lirgi `k ohs `iths quk iofakjtiréj ko @W, y ois mkrriafkjtis `k vfsuprhlksh iofzilfüj`k lhjstrullfüj `k piuj ri @W lhjsuak tfkaph ko usuirfh. Ko y `fjkrh. Ko prhyklth jklksfti uj sphjshr kj oi ioti `frkllfüj `k oi hrgijfzilfüj (kj kstk lish oi ujfvkrsf`i`), lish lhjtrirfh puk`k jh pisir `k skr uj bukj prhyklth `ko érki tæljfli. Kj ko \fstkai `k Fjchrailfüj [jfvkrsftirfh (\F[) `kbk tribidir lhj ko lhjlkpth `k @W, aés prklfsiakjtk @itiairts (sublhjdujth `k `iths rkoilfhji`hs phr lfkrths lrftkrfhs). Ko kscukrzh (tæljflh, ush `k rklurshs muaijhs, tfkaph) piri ookvir  i`koijtk kstk tfph `k prhyklth tfkjk lhah lhjtripirtf`i ko iprhvklmiafkjth `k virfis ujfvkrsf`i`ks sfauotéjkiakjtk, ksth pkraftk fjtrh`ulfr ksths lhjlkpths y mkrriafkjtis i lhsths rizhjiboks. Oi pirtflfpilfüj `k usuirfhs gkrkjlfioks h `frkltfvhs `k ois ujfvkrsf`i`ks kj ko ush `k kstis mkrriafkjtis, pkraftk i ohs tæljflhs `ko \F[, lhjhlkr lhj aiyhr 

 

prklfsfüj luéoks shj ois lhjsuotis quk sk jklksftij rkshovkr y lüah `kbkj skgufr  kvhoulfhjij`h kstk tfph `k mkrriafkjtis. ^hr th`is ois rizhjks ijtk akjlfhji`is, ois ujfvkrsf`i`ks jilfhjioks `kbkj iprhv ip rhvklm klmir ir oi juk jukvi vi fj fjcr crik ikst strul rultu turi ri fj fjch chra raét étfl fli i qu quk k ko prh prhyk yklt lth h PF PFL L ok mi prhphrlfhji`h. Lhj ksi fjcrikstrulturi ph`ráij milkr uj @iti Wirkmhusk.

LRA

\LA

KR^

@B

@W

@A

@A @A

View more...

Comments

Copyright ©2017 KUPDF Inc.
SUPPORT KUPDF