System

Unders & Overs Betting System

Unders & Overs

How I make a Consistent Profit from Football

http://www.oversandundersbetting.com Overs and Unders Betting System Copyright 2008

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Foreword

If there is one thing I know, it’s making good money as a punter. I’ve been in this tax free business for some years now and I’ve only ever restricted myself to betting on two different sports, namely Horse Racing and Football. The reason I’ve done this is simple. If you restrict yourself to small area of an entire genre, in this case being sport, it is far easier to learn the games more in depth. Horse Racing and Football are possibly two of the broadest sports you’ll find, but what I have done is taken it a step further in the football sense. I haven’t studied a specific team. I haven’t studied any specific leagues, but what I have done is do my best to work out how many goals are going to be scored in any particular game depending on which teams are playing! This system has served me for quite a few years now and I continue to implement it. I have never really shown it to anyone before except the odd family member and friend but none of them ever took the time to test it carefully and reap the potential awards that it could bring to anyone.

We have included a stake calculator based on my exact principals of what amount to bet. I have always calculated it manually but because of technology these days I am told that it will be far easier using the calculator rather than manual calculations!

Best Regards Terry and the Unders & Overs Team

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Notes about Overs and Unders

Over 2.5 and Under 2.5 goals betting is not an exact applied science. By this I mean if you go and do the proper research and it seems like a 100% sure bet, there is no saying it will win! What I intend to do is show you how to select the most exact possible winning bets to bet on and give you my advantage of making a consistent profit virtually close to all year round using this system that I devised quite some time ago. One of the greatest things about betting on Under or Over 2.5 goals, is the fact that we almost always get decent odds. The odds are generally between 1.60 and 2.20 and what I intend to do, is help you find far more winning bets than losers. If you make use of the calculator, it will cause your profits to definitely increase quicker as opposed to flat staking, but if you do have your own staking plan, feel free to use it because if you know it works, then you are going to make more money because we very rarely have a string of losing bets with this system. One thing I will make clear. This is not a long drawn out manual. I am not a writer and I don’t intend to fill it up with excess garbage to ‘pad’ this book. I will give it to you straight and you can use it! My system teaches you how to pick both under 2.5 and over 2.5 goals in any given game. To be honest I prefer to play on over 2.5 goals because you can always hope for a goal rather than have your bet lose 30 minutes in after 3 are scored!

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Selecting Over 2.5 Goals

I can’t put any more emphasis other than to say, one of the most crucial things when it comes to betting in general, as well as betting on under or over 2.5 goals, is the staking. You will have noticed that there is a staking calculator on the download page. Please use this! As I mentioned, I used to do these calculations manually, but it is based on specific odds. The calculator will give you a completely different stake depending on what brackets the odds of your bet fall in. There are 3 different categories of odds. The other good thing about this system, is that it can be used at virtually any bookmaker around. You can also place your bets on the betting exchanges if need be, but any bookmaker will suffice. There are many crucial factors that go into selecting under or over 2.5 goals. Take a team like Chelsea as an example. At home, they are generally defensively sound. Over the past 3 or 4 years, they have won most of their home games, and if you look at the score lines, more often than not they end 1-0 or 2-0. We basically need to match teams that score and concede quite a few goals... or teams with awful defensive records and more obviously, teams who score 3 or 4 a game. I am going to show you how I make uses of various statistics and results to select these. I use http://www.soccerway.com as the site and I’ve only come across this recently. It makes life far easier because the results are right at your fingertips. For those who are unaware, OVER 2.5 GOAL betting involves betting on games to have 3 or more goals in total.

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Unders & Overs Betting System

The System and the Odds The first rule of this system is that we are betting on odds from 1.60 to 2.20. You may not bet on anything below 1.60 and you may not exceed 2.20. The calculator will not function if you go out of this range. It is built for this range. The system will work 100% with virtually all of the major leagues. The English Premiership and Championship, Italian Serie A, Spanish Primera, German Bundesliga, French Ligue 1, Dutch Eredivisie, Scottish Premiership. It will work on other leagues, but I recommend sticking to the above ones. They are the most widely covered and they are generally more consistent. I don’t play outside of those leagues, but I have tried the system on a few others such as the Japanese J-League, MLS, the Brazilian league and the system still functions properly.

After the rule regarding the odds being between 1.60 and 2.20, there is another crucial one that you need to stick to. You may NOT use a specific team more than two times in a row. Let us say that we are betting on Manchester City to be over 2.5 goals in a game on October 5th... and it ends over 2.5. We then bet on them to be over 2.5 goals for the following game on October 12th... if that too is successful, you may not bet on them for the 3rd in a row. It is just to play against the laws of averages and in my experience I have had success applying this. Eventually, even if it goes against statistics, it WILL end under 2.5 at some stage, even if stats say there should be goals.

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Selection Process:

I will describe my selection process in a brief summary and then I will elaborate on every aspect.

Let us say we are using ‘Manchester City vs. Tottenham’ 1) We need to look at the previous 3 home game scores of the home side – Goal totals need to be calculated specifically. 2) We need to look at the previous 3 away game scores of the away side – Goal totals need to be calculated specifically. 3) The betting odds need to be between 1.60 and 2.20 for the over 2.5 goals market.

There are one or two ‘finer’ rules that I will explain at the end. Let us put this example into action. See below:

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Go to http://www.soccerway.com You will be presented with the following screen on the main site.

On the left hand side, you will see most of the main countries and when you click on there, the leagues will be listed. Otherwise at the top you can click on the ‘National Leagues’ tab and you will see a drop down box of virtually every nation in the world. This site houses statistics for everything and it really is excellent. Click on PREMIERSHIP on the left hand side.

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Now, I am going to use an example of one of the selections that we had for last weekend, which was Manchester City vs. Tottenham Hotspurs. The game was an over 2.5 Goal selection and the game ended 1-2. It could have been an even higher scoring game if it wasn’t for the red card in the first half which tightened up the game a bit. Now, we are dealing with Man City and Spurs. Click on both these teams check boxes on the right hand side and click ‘Compare Teams’. (See below)

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Unders & Overs Betting System

You can access this in various other ways. If the game has yet to happen, you can click on any of the teams on the table and it will show their next few fixtures to come. You can then analyze like that as well but this will show you how to analyze everything. See the screenshot below. Please note that I have had to stick two parts of the screen together and I’ve removed some of the in between info, just to give you a better graphical description of what you should be looking at.

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Unders & Overs Betting System

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Unders & Overs Betting System

As you can see, you are given a few overall records as well as Head 2 Head (The original will have all the results) and the finally the previous 7 or 8 games. Look at the bottom two tabs (The summary of the two teams last few results from their respective games).

What you need to do, is click the ‘Home’ and ‘Away’ for the respective teams. Seeing Manchester City are the home side, click ‘Home’ for them and seeing Tottenham Hotspurs are the ‘Away’ side, just click away. You will then be shown the previous home/away results:

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Unders & Overs Betting System

You will now see home and away records for both. Seeing that we are now focusing on a PREMIER LEAGUE match, we are only looking at LEAGUE games for the previous league records.

What we need to do, is look at the last 3 City Results at home and the last 3 Spurs Results away from home. They must be league games:

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Manchester City: Man City 3-0 Stoke (3 goals in total) Man City 2-3 Liverpool (5 goals in total) Man City 6-0 Portsmouth (6 goals in total) Tottenham: Arsenal 4-4 Spurs (8 goals in total) Stoke 2-1 Spurs (3 goals in total) Portsmouth 2-0 Spurs (2 goals in total)

For the HOME TEAM what we need is the following:  The home team MUST have had 7 goals or MORE in their last 3 home games.  2 or all 3 of the 3 previous games must have ended over 2.5

For the AWAY TEAM what we need is the following:  The away team MUST have had 7 goals or MORE in their last 3 away games.  The PREVIOUS game... must have had 2 or more goals in total for the entire game.  The away team MUST have scored in 2 or 3 of the last 3 games.  2 or 3 of the 3 previous games must have ended over 2.5.

The above rules are key to the system and you need be followed to the letter. Now let us see how these apply:

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Unders & Overs Betting System

For the HOME TEAM what we need is the following:  

The home team MUST have had 7 goals or MORE in their last 3 home games. 2 or all 3 of the 3 previous games must have ended over 2.5

Manchester City: Man City 3-0 Stoke (3 goals in total) Man City 2-3 Liverpool (5 goals in total) Man City 6-0 Portsmouth (6 goals in total)

Rule 1 Was... there must be 7 or more goals in the previous 3 home games. As you can see, the results have been 3-0, 2-3, 6-0, meaning that there is a total of 14... which is quite a lot by any teams standards. Rule 2 Was 2 or all 3 of the 3 games must have ended over 2.5 goals. As you can see, all of them have 3 or more, so all of them apply even though we only needed 2 of them to have been over 2.5.

So far, this is a qualifying bet. NOW... we need to look at the AWAY side.

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Unders & Overs Betting System

For the AWAY TEAM what we need is the following:    

The away team MUST have had 7 goals or MORE in their last 3 away games. The PREVIOUS game... must have had 2 or more goals in total for the entire game. The away team MUST have scored in 2 or 3 of the last 3 games. 2 or 3 of the 3 previous games must have ended over 2.5.

Tottenham: Arsenal 4-4 Spurs (8 goals in total) Stoke 2-1 Spurs (3 goals in total) Portsmouth 2-0 Spurs (2 goals in total)

Rule 1 Was... the away side must have had 3 or more goals in their last 3 away games. As you can see, there were 13 in total, which again is quite large. So this is a qualifier so far. Rule 2 Was... The previous game must have 2 or more goals in total. As you can see, their previous away game had 8 goals in it so that qualifies. Rule 3 Was... The away team must have scored in at least 2 of the last 3 games. As you can see, they did manage that. The last game they scored 4 and before that 1, so they have scored in or more of the last 3. Rule 4 Was.. 2 or 3 of the last 3 must have ended over 2.5. As you can see, 2 of them DID end over 2.5 meaning that this is a qualifying bet.

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Final Rule

If you bet on a team to be over 2.5 goals and it succeeds twice (meaning that you bet on them in two consecutive games), you MUST skip that team for a game. After that you continue betting on them. I have always done this and it has worked far better than expected. You will always get what they call the ‘law of averages’ and adding in this rule does seem to help our causes against it. Let us say that you bet on a Manchester City game to be over 2.5 goals and their following game, we make the same bet. IF both bets are winning bets, we must then skip Manchester City for one game even if they qualify a third time round.

Example: Bet- Man City match Over 2.5 goals – Bet WON Bet – Man City match Over 2.5 goals – Bet WON - We must now leave them alone for the next game.

Many will question this rule, but if you have a look at previous form and work out how often this would have turned a possible winner into a loser, the results are astounding.

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Final Word on OVER 2.5

I am a big believer on betting on over 2.5 goals in a game. I am actually against under 2.5, however I will give you my method that I occasionally use. If you do take my recommendation, I would say stick to over 2.5 goal betting. The amount of times that I have bet on under 2.5 and one or two late or injury time goals ruin that bet completely put me off it. The more you bet on games with Overs, the more easily you will be able to identify games like that almost as a 6th sense. It is exactly like I said earlier in the book...

It is better to be praying for a 3rd goal in a game, rather than to have your bet lose after 30 odd minutes!

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Under 2.5 Goals Betting Method

As I mentioned, I do not like betting on under 2.5 goals, but I will share the method anyway. I also find that this method works 100% better on ITALIAN and FRENCH league football. Avoid Dutch and German league football. These are generally higher scoring. Under 2.5 Goal betting is simple. Basically what we want is are score lines of : 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 0-2

Any of those and we would win our bet. So, onto the method itself. It is not as complex as the Over 2.5, but still generally effective. What we need to do, is have a look at the home side as well as the away sides’ last two games.

Have a look below:

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Selection Method:

HOME team rules  Previous three home games must have ended under 2.5 goals in at least 2 of the 3.  One or more of the score lines must contain 0 goals for the home or away side. (In any of the 3 games).

AWAY TEAM  Last three away games must be UNDER 2.5 goals in at least 2 or 3 of the 3.  The AWAY side must not have scored in at least 1 of the last 3 away games.

PREVIOUS MEETINGS: The previous meeting of this game in the previous season (this exact fixture we are focusing on), must be under 2.5. In other words it must have ended 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 or 0-2.

As you can see, the method is definitely easier to implement and it is effective.

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Our Example: French Ligue 1: PSG v Lille Have a look at home and away records currently (remember league only):

PSG at home in the last 3 games in the league: Rule 1: 0-1 3-2 0-1 We require 2 or 3 of the games to have ended under 2.5. As you can see, 2 of the 3 did end under 2.5 goals. Rule 2: Requires that 1 or more of the scores must have a 0 somewhere. As you can see, in their last game they failed to score (0-1) and in the 3rd last game, they failed to score again in another (0-1).

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Lille (away from home)

As you can see:

Rule 1: 0-0 2-2 0-2 Again, 2 of the 3 have ended under 2.5 goals.

Rule 2: The away side must not have scored in at least 1 of the last 3 games. As you can see, that this applies to us yet again and in their previous game, they did not score in another scoreless draw.

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Unders & Overs Betting System

THE FINAL RULE: Is to check previous results between these sides. We need to check the last fixture only. If you have a look at their previous meetings, which you can find by comparing the two sides on the SoccerWay web site exactly the same way you were shown earlier:

The last result between these two (When PSG were at home), ended 1-1, which is an under 2.5 goal game. Remember, the fixture must be the corresponding on to the previous season. If they didn’t face each other for some reason such as relegation, then completely ignore this rule! This is just an extra added check which does help.

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Staking

This system works decently with flat stakes, but it works 10x better with the staking calculator which is included on the download page. For a guide on how to use this calculator correctly, just see the next page. It will explain everything to you. If you wish to use flat stakes only, do the following:

It is recommend you start with a minimum bank of £50. If this is the case, I recommend £4 stakes only. If you have a bank of £100, then your stakes should be £8 which is 8% of the bank at all time. The aim is to always stake 8% no matter what the bank is. If you want to be safe, stick to 5%. It is far safer but obviously, profits will be lower. If you need to calculate 8% each time, the calculation is simple:

Just substitute the number 8 for a lower % which you want to risk (5% or 6% is the safer option). This will calculate your stake. For the staking calculator, see the following page.

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Unders & Overs Betting System

The Staking Calculator How to Use It

The system includes a staking calculator. There are two staking methods that you can use with this system and this calculator is one of them. It has built in formulae which take the odds into consideration and gives us a stake based on the odds we are betting on. Take a look at the screenshot below.

As you will see, initially there are two user boxes – bank and odds. What you will do here is enter in your betting bank, and the odds of your first bet. Let’s put it to the test. I am going to put in 100 pounds as the bank. Remember to leave currency signs out. I’ll put in 1.70 for the odds.

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Once those two bits of information are added, click ‘Calculate’. You will notice that our stake appears in match one. Depending on whether our bet wins or loses, click ‘Win’ or ‘Lose’. Let us say for interest’s sake, the bet loses. Click ‘Lose’. If this does happen, you will then need to input the odds for Bet 2. Now, let us say that the odds here are 1.92. We then enter these odds into the stake box and click calculate.

Notice, how a stake now appears under Match 2. The system is designed to go up to a maximum of 4 bets and if all 4 lose, it is counted as a losing cycle. Very rarely does that happen.

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Unders & Overs Betting System

If we click ‘Win’, our bank on the Calculator will then be compounded with our win and the calculator will then reset itself.

Remember the following: A) Only input the BANK and ODDS at the start. The bank and odds must be put in as decimal format at all time. Example: Bank : 100 or 100.10 or Odds: 1.72 1.84 2.20

99.23

Please remember that we use a MINIMUM of 1.60 and a MAXIMUM of 2.20 regarding the odds. Do not enter higher or lower odds than these. It must be the above, or in between. The calculator has been specifically designed to run with these odds and all the stake calculations are based on these odds. Just stick to them, and you won’t have a problem making a profit!

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Unders & Overs Betting System

Final Word

I’ll say it again – stick to betting on OVER 2.5 goals in a game. Under 2.5 goals is far trickier to select and the result are just never as good. The method outlined in this manual are the ones that I have been putting to use for years. I have been using my own calculations and staking plan and this has now been put into the calculator software which is included in the package. To be honest, I have not even used the calculator, I generally prefer to calculate it all on paper for myself, but to be fair this calculator does it all for you and it will speed up the time you take to select your bets. The over 2.5 goal method, to be fair, has quite a few rules and at the beginning it may take you longer than usual to select your bets, but after a week or two of practice, you will be able to select these games instinctively just by looking at the previous results. The methods are tried and tested. They make money. Good money... and it won’t fail you. Just stick to the guide and you won’t fail to make a good second income. Remember, you can use this on the Exchanges or any standard bookmaker which offers betting on over/under 2.5 goals. All the big ones offer it. Bet 365, Bet24, Ladbrokes, VCBet, Betfair, Betdaq, WBX, BlueSquare, Totesport etc etc. Just choose what you want and place your bets! PLEASE refer to the ‘BETTING BASICS’ manual for any problems if you are new to betting.

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