RJR Nabisco
Short Description
RJR Nabisco...
Description
Tax shields
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
Prebid Strategy Management Strategy KKR Strategy
145.79 738.74 728.69
153.99 357.99 619.41
175.16 340.27 528.39
183.36 313.01 499.55
182.57 274.38 349.53
PV Prebid Strategy Management Strategy KKR Strategy
145.79 738.74 728.69
134.78 313.33 542.14
134.18 260.66 404.78
122.94 209.87 334.95
107.14 161.02 205.12
Asset Sales
1989
Prebid Strategy Management Strategy KKR Strategy
1990
0 12680 3500
1991 0 0 2700
1992 0 0 0
1993 0 0 0
0 0 0
PV Prebid Strategy 0 Management Strategy 12680 KKR Strategy 5863.171731 Capex
1989 Prebid Strategy Management Strategy KKR Strategy Terminal Value PV Prebid Strategy Management Strategy KKR Strategy
Operating improvements
1990
1991
1992
1993
1,708 432 774
1,462 381 556
1,345 380 555
930 389 572
738 396 586
1708 432 774
1279.61 333.47 486.64
1030.35 291.10 425.16
623.56 260.82 383.52
433.09 232.39 343.89
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
Prebid Strategy Management Strategy KKR Strategy
2898 1917 2862
3336 2385 3228
3838 2814 3811
4216 3266 4140
4634 3589 4508
PV Prebid Strategy Management Strategy KKR Strategy
2898 1917 2862
2919.83 2087.47 2825.30
2940.14 2155.69 2919.46
2826.80 2189.83 2775.84
2719.46 2106.20 2645.51
Column1 Prebid Strategy
Tax Shield 910.62
Asset Sales 0.00
Capex 8100.84
Operating Inc 46902.38
Management Strategy KKR Strategy Average
1909.93 2512.03 1777.53
12680.00 5863.17 6181.06
3525.80 5541.58 5722.74
35760.13 44541.65 42401.39
% Value Prebid Strategy Management Strategy KKR Strategy
Tax Shield 51% 107% 141%
Asset Sales 0% 205% 95%
Capex 142% 62% 97%
Operating Inc 111% 84% 105%
250% 200% Sources of Value:
150% 100% 50% 0%
Prebid Strategy Management Strategy KKR Strategy
Management Strategy
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
174.10 224.90 287.88
157.17 165.11 213.26
121.18 92.87 128.86
108.48 0.00 5.56
68.53 0.00 0.00
Terminal Value 627.25 0.00 0.00
89.43 115.52 147.86
70.66 74.23 95.87
47.68 36.54 50.70
37.36 0.00 1.91
20.66 0.00 0.00
Sum of PV 910.62 1909.93 2512.03
1994
1995 0 0 0
1994
1996 0 0 0
1995
1997 0 0 0
1996
1998 0 0 0
1997
0 0 0
1998
735 402 598
735 412 618
735 422 638
735 432 658
735 442 678
377.52 206.48 307.16
330.43 185.22 277.83
289.21 166.05 251.04
253.13 148.78 226.61
1775.93 1269.48 2065.73
1994
1995
5093 3945 4906
2615.96 2026.30 2519.91
50000.00 45000.00 40000.00 35000.00 30000.00 25000.00 20000.00 15000.00 10000.00 5000.00 0.00
5596 4337 5341
2515.75 1949.75 2401.11
1996 6149 4768 5815
2419.50 1876.10 2288.08
1997 6756 5243 6335
2326.71 1805.64 2181.72
Growth Rate Terminal Value 0 5156.73 2% 3769.56 3% 6175.15
Sum of PV 8100.84 3525.80 5541.58
1998 7424 5766 6902
Terminal Value 67951.34 52775.79 63173.51
22720.24 17646.14 21122.73
Sum of PV 46902.38 35760.13 44541.65
Tax Shield Asset Sales
50000.00 45000.00 40000.00 35000.00 30000.00 25000.00 20000.00 15000.00 10000.00 5000.00 0.00
Tax Shield Asset Sales Capex Operating Inc
ources of Value: Pre-bid Operating Income fueled by Capital expenditure Management Strategy More distributed. They will sell assets, as well as earn on Tax Shields KKR Tax Shields, Assets as well as operating efficiecies
Terminal Value Growth Rate assumption
3%
Terminal Value Growth Rate assumption
3%
Interest Prebid Strategy Management Strategy KKR Strategy
1989 551 2,792 2,754
1990 582 1,353 2,341
1991 662 1,286 1,997
1992 693 1,183 1,888
1993 690 1,037 1,321
1994 658 850 1,088
Tax rate 0.264593 Tax Shield = Interest*Tax Rate 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Prebid Strategy 145.7908 153.9932 175.1606 183.363 182.5692 174.1022 Management Strategy 738.7439 357.9944 340.2667 313.0136 274.383 224.9041 KKR Strategy 728.6894 619.4124 528.3924 499.5517 349.5275 287.8773
1995 594 624 806
1996 458 351 487
1997 410 0 21
1998 259 0 0
1995 1996 1997 1998 157.1683 121.1836 108.4832 68.52961 165.1061 92.87217 0 0 213.262 128.8568 5.556455 0
Exhibit 2 Exhibit 2 Condensed Operating and Stockholder Information for RJR Nabisco, 1982-1987 (in millions of dollars, except per share data). 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 Operations: Revenues $7,323 $7,565 $8,200 $11,622 $15,102 Operating income 1,142 1,205 1,412 1,949 2,340 Interest and debt expense 180 177 166 337 565 Income before provision for income taxes 1,012 1,110 1,353 1,663 1,782 Income from continuing operations 548 626 747 917 1,025 Income from discontinued operationsa 322 255 463 84 39 Net income 870 881 1,210 1,001 1,064 Tax 142 229 143 662 718 Tax rate 14.0% 20.6% 10.6% 39.8% 40.3%
Source: Casewriter. a
Cash flow available for capital payments = net income + depreciation, amortization, and deferred tax - capital expenditures - change in working capital.
-1987 (in millions of 1987 $15,766 2,304 489 1,816 1,081 128 1,209 607 33.4%
26.5%
es - change in working capital.
Column1 1986 Beta Equity 1.24 Debt 5547 Equity 13991.1 Value 19538.1 Asset Beta 0.887955533 Average Beta 0.694803178 MRP Risk free rate
9% 8%
Pretax WACC 0.142532286
1987 0.67 4219 12571.875 16790.875 0.5016508222
Assumption Assumption
Exhibit 2 Exhibit 2 Condensed Operating and Stockholder Information for RJR Nabisco, 1982-1987 (in millions of dollars, except per share data). 1982 Operations: Revenues Operating income Interest and debt expense Income before provision for income taxes Income from continuing operations Income from discontinued operationsa Net income Stockholder Information: Earnings per share Dividends per share Closing stock price at year end Price/earnings at year end Numbers of shares at year end (millions)b Betac
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
$7,323 1,142 180 1,012 548 322 870
$7,565 1,205 177 1,110 626 255 881
$8,200 1,412 166 1,353 747 463 1,210
$11,622 1,949 337 1,663 917 84 1,001
$15,102 2,340 565 1,782 1,025 39 1,064
$15,766 2,304 489 1,816 1,081 128 1,209
$3.13 1.14 20.40 6.5x 281.5 0.80
$2.90 1.22 24.30 8.38x 283.2 0.70
$4.11 1.30 28.80 7.01x 258.4 0.74
$3.60 1.41 31.38 8.72x 250.6 1.21
$3.83 1.51 49.25 12.86x 250.4 1.24
$4.70 1.76 45.00 9.57x 247.4 0.67
Source: Company reports and Casewriter estimates. a
Divestitures and acquisitions for the years 1982 to 1987 are as follows:
1982—Heublein acquired for $1.36 billion. 1983—Energy Division sold for an after-tax gain of $275 million. 1984—Divestiture of transportation division completed by spinning off common stock to Sea-Land Corp. (transportation accounted for as a discontinued operation since 1983). 1985—Nabisco brands, Inc., acquired at a total cost of $4.9 billion. 1986—Kentucky Fried Chicken sold at an after-tax loss of $39 million. 1987—Heublein, Inc. sold at an after-tax gain of $215 million. b
Figures include a 2 1/2-for-1 stock split, effective May 17, 1985.
Calculated using daily stock price data for each year by ordinary least-squares regression.
c
Exhibit 3
Consolidated Balance Sheets for RJR Nabisco, 1986-1987 (in millions of dollars). 1986
Assets: Cash Net receivables Inventories Other current assets Property, plant and equipment, net Goodwill and other intangibles Net assets of discontinued operations Other assets Total assets Liabilities: Notes payable Accounts payable Current portion of long-term debt Income taxes payable Long-term debt Deferred income taxes Redeemable preferred stock Other noncurrent liabilities Total liabilities Stockholders’ equity Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
Source: Company reports.
1987
$827 1,675 2,620 273 5,343 4,603 716 644 $16,701
$1,088 1,745 2,678 329 5,847 4,525 -649 $16,861
$518 2,923 423 202 4,833 751 291 1,448 $11,389 5,312 $16,701
$442 3,187 162 332 3,884 846 173 1,797 $10,823 6,038 $16,861
4,219
Exhibit 4
Financial Summary of RJR Nabisco by Business Segment, 1982-1987 (in millions of dollars). 1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
Tobacco: Sales Operating profit Identifiable assets Depreciation Capital expenditures Operating profit/identifiable assets Restructuring expense
$4,822 1,187 3,219 81 238 36.9% --
$4,807 1,150 3,378 78 383 34.0% --
$5,178 1,305 3,812 107 527 34.2% --
$5,422 1,483 4,496 146 647 33.0% --
$5,866 1,659 4,882 205 613 34.0% --
$6,346 1,821 5,208 244 433 35.0% (261)
Food Products: Sales Operating profit Identifiable assets Depreciation Capital expenditures Operating profit/identifiable assets Restructuring expense
$2,501 21 1,710 51 84 1.2% --
$2,758 129 1,761 56 94 7.3% --
$3,022 181 2,211 68 86 8.2% --
$6,200 549 9,598 195 279 6.0% --
$9,236 820 9,822 376 344 8.0% --
$9,420 915 10,117 380 445 9.0%
Spirits and Wines: Sales Operating profit Identifiable assets Depreciation Capital expenditures Operating profit/identifiable assets Restructuring expense
$392 53 1,084 14 11 4.9% --
$746 $703 $766 $876 113 122 131 138 740 815 895 991 24 22 24 30 13 13 26 25 15.3% 15.0% 14.6% 14.0% -----
Other (including “corporate”):a Sales Operating profit Identifiable assets Depreciation Capital expenditures Operating profit/identifiable assets Restructuring expense
$-(66) 3,106 11 16 -2.1% --
$-(74) 3,197 16 15 -2.3% --
$-(74) 2,257 16 29 -3.3% --
$-(83) 1,684 13 20 -5.0% --
Source: Company reports. a
Includes earnings on cash and short-term investments and miscellaneous discontinued operations.
$-(139) 1,319 24 65 -10.5% --
1987
18
$--------
$-(182) 1,536 28 58 -11.9% (7)
Exhibit 5
Cash Flow Projections for RJR Nabisco Under Its Prebid Strategy, 1988-1998 (in millions of dollars).
Tobacco sales Food sales Total Operating income Tobacco Food Corporate Total Interest Net income Depreciation, amortization, & deferred tax Capital expenditures Change in working capital Cash flow available for capital paymentsa
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
7,061 9,889 16,950
7,650 10,438 18,088
8,293 11,383 19,676
8,983 12,092 21,075
9,731 12,847 22,578
10,540 13,651 24,191
11,418 14,507 25,925
12,368 15,420 27,788
13,397 16,393 29,790
14,514 17,428 31,942
15,723 18,533 34,256
1,924 1,079 -350 2,653 551 1,360 730 1,142
2,022 1,163 -287 2,898 582 1,498 807 1,708 80 517
2,360 1,255 -279 3,336 662 1,730 791 1,462 111 948
2,786 1,348 -296 3,838 693 2,023 819 1,345 98 1,399
3,071 1,459 -314 4,216 690 2,259 849 930 105 2,073
3,386 1,581 -333 4,634 658 2,536 866 738 113 2,551
3,733 1,713 -353 5,093 594 2,858 867 735 121 2,869
4,115 1,855 -374 5,596 458 3,251 867 735 130 3,253
4,534 2,011 -396 6,149 410 3,625 867 735 140 3,617
4,998 2,178 -420 6,756 259 4,094 867 735 151 4,075
5,508 2,361 -445 7,424 -21 4,625 861 735 162 4,589
Source: Casewriter. a
Cash flow available for capital payments = net income + depreciation, amortization, and deferred tax - capital expenditures - change in working capital.
Exhibit 6 dollars).
Cash Flow and Capital Structure Projections for RJR Nabisco Under the Management Group Strategy, 1989-1998 (in millions of
Panel A: Operating Information Sales Operating income Interest Amortizationa After-tax income Depreciation, amortization, & deferred tax Capital expenditures Change in working capital Net proceeds from asset sales Cash flow available for capital paymentsb Panel B: Capital Structure Principal payments to: Assumed debt Bank debt Subordinated debt Preferred stock Convertible preferred stock Total Year-end book values: Assumed debt Bank debt Subordinated debt Total Preferred stock Convertible preferred stock Common stock Total Source: Casewriter.
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
7,650 1,917 2,792 388 -965 777 432 41 12,680 12,018
8,293 2,385 1,353 388 293 725 381 45 0 593
8,983 2,814 1,286 388 621 726 380 48 0 919
9,731 3,266 1,183 388 987 735 389 52 0 1,282
10,540 3,589 1,037 388 1,297 749 396 57 0 1,594
11,418 3,945 850 388 1,655 754 402 61 0 1,946
12,368 4,337 624 388 2,063 758 412 67 0 2,344
13,397 4,768 351 388 2,527 763 422 72 0 2,797
14,514 5,243 0 388 3,073 769 432 78 0 3,332
15,723 5,766 0 388 3,418 774 442 85 0 3,666
310 11,708 0 0 0 12,018
375 218 0 0 0 593
721 198 0 0 0 919
816 466 0 0 0 1,282
400 1,194 0 0 0 1,594
728 1,217 0 0 0 1,946
1,854 0 490 0 0 2,344
0 0 2,510 287 0 2,797
0 0 0 3,332 0 3,332
0 0 0 3,327 339 3,666
4,894 3,292 3,000 11,186 1,632 1,035 1,535 4,202
4,519 3,075 3,000 10,594 1,938 1,229 1,828 4,995
3,798 2,877 3,000 9,675 2,303 1,460 2,449 6,212
2,982 2,411 3,000 8,393 2,736 1,735 3,436 7,907
2,582 1,217 3,000 6,799 3,250 2,061 4,733 10,044
1,854 0 3,000 4,854 3,861 2,448 6,388 12,697
0 0 2,510 2,510 4,587 2,909 8,451 15,947
0 0 0 0 5,162 3,455 10,978 19,595
0 0 0 0 2,801 4,105 14,051 20,957
0 0 0 0 0 4,538 17,469 22,007
The amortization of goodwill of $338 million per year is from the proposed acquisition of RJR Nabisco at $22.9 billion which had the book value of $7.4 billion at the end of 1988. The difference between the purchase price and book value is amortized over 40 years using the straight-line method. a
Cash flow available for capital payments = net income + depreciation, amortization, and deferred tax - capital expenditures - change in working capital + net proceeds from asset sales. b
Exhibit 7
Cash Flow and Capital Structure Projections for RJR Nabisco Under KKR's Strategy, 1989-1998 (in millions of dollars). 1989
Panel A: Operating Information Tobacco sales Food sales Total Operating income Tobacco Food Corporate Total Interest expense Amortizationa After-tax income Depreciation, amortization & deferred tax Capital expenditures Change in working capital Noncash interest expense Net proceeds from asset sales Cash flow available for capital paymentsb Panel B: Capital Structure Principal payments to: Assumed debt Bank debt Subordinated debt Preferred stock Total Year-end book values: Assumed debt Bank debt Subordinated debt Converting debtc Total Preferred stock Common stock
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
### ### ###
### ### ###
### ### ###
### ### ###
4,998 1,561 -224 6,335
5,508 1,630 -235 6,902
7,650 8,540 ###
8,293 6,930 ###
8,983 7,485 ###
9,731 8,084 ###
### 8,730 ###
### 9,428 ###
2,022 1,060 -219 2,862 2,754 388 -281 1,159 774 79 206 3,500 3,732
2,360 1,026 -158 3,228 2,341 388 233 991 556 84 237 2,700 3,521
2,786 1,191 -167 3,811 1,997 388 845 899 555 87 312 0 1,414
3,071 1,245 -176 4,140 1,888 388 1,134 907 572 94 366 0 1,740
3,386 1,307 -185 4,508 1,321 388 1,751 920 586 102 0 0 1,983
3,733 1,367 -194 4,906 1,088 388 2,168 924 598 110 0 0 2,383
310 3,422 0 0 3,732
375 3,146 0 0 3,521
721 816 400 400 2,182 0 0 0 693 924 1,583 1,983 629 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 3,330 149 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3,806 4,319 1,414 1,740 1,983 2,383 2,832 3,330 3,956 4,319
4,894 8,958 3,500 1,580 ### 2,896 1,219
4,519 5,812 3,500 1,817 ### 3,331 1,452
3,798 5,119 3,500 2,129 ### 3,958 2,297
2,982 4,195 3,500 2,495 ### 4,702 3,430
2,582 2,612 3,500
4,115 1,430 -203 5,341 806 388 2,641 928 618 119 0 0 2,832
4,534 1,494 -213 5,815 487 388 3,164 933 638 129 0 0 3,330
21 0 388 388 3,814 4,203 939 945 658 678 140 151 0 0 0 0 3,956 4,319
2,182 0 0 629 0 0 3,500 3,470 149 0 0 0 0 8,694 6,311 3,470 149 5,586 6,636 7,883 9,365 7,320 7,676 9,844 ### ### ###
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 4,377 ###
Total
4,115
4,783
6,255
8,132
###
###
###
###
###
###
Source: Casewriter. The amortization of goodwill of $338 million per year is from the proposed acquisition of RJR Nabisco at $22.9 billion which had the book value of $7.4 billion at the end of 1988. The difference between the purchase price and the book value is amortized over 40 years using the straight-line method. a
Cash flow available for capital payment = net income + noncash interest + depreciation, amortization, and deferred tax - capital expenditures - change in working capital + net proceeds from asset sales. b
Assumes converting to equity in 1993.
c
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