Redknapp Bet by Mike Marsland

BIG MIKE’S REDNAPP BET THE ULTIMATE EXPERIENCE IN FOOTBALL TRADING

By Mike Marsland

CONTENTS Foreword 1. Glossary of commonly used terms 2. Background to the System - a) Correct score betting - b) Harry Redknapp - c) Live advice/ Keeping in touch 3. The Redknapp Bet – The theory i) Part 1- before Kick Off - a) correct score, 0-0 - b) other correct scores - c) INSURANCE!!!! ii) Part 2 – in-running! (After Kick-Off) 4. The Redknapp Bet – The Real-time Example! 5.Example Number 2

6. Summary of further trades 7. Extra plays

i) Foreword The betting exchanges, betfair, and, to a lesser extent, betdaq, have taken gambling to a new level. We are now able to actually TRADE on these websites as city traders do, but not on markets such as oil and gold. We can trade horse racing, cricket and football for example. And with betfair introducing ‘in-running’ markets on many sports, we can trade in and out of these markets depending on how an event progresses, while watching them live. As Prime Minister Harold Macmillan once said, ‘we have never had it so good’ Absolutely true. We now have the opportunity to set up a trading position before, or even after, the Kick off in a football match (as that is what we will concentrate on in this book). With volatile markets, we can even trade in and out and make a profit before the start. In the past year, the ‘Football cash generator’ system has taken the football trading market by storm. With a combination of clever marketing and an affiliate scheme, the initial reaction of buyers is that they have found their ‘Holy Grail’ to betting, yet it still has its detractors. The two main criticisms I have of the system are: i. ii.

the outright liability, and the bet is not played COMPETITIVELY in running.

I have actively traded live football matches on betfair for a few years now, and advised many of my clients in the way I approach a game. The time is now right, with liquidity on betfair at an all time high, to reveal my secrets, in the ULTIMATE football trading system!

1.Glossary of commonly used terms Back – place a bet on an event to happen. i.e. if you think a team will win, back them to win. Betfair – website we use to trade these bets. Betdaq – alternative to betfair, but not as much liquidity Green Screen – same as a win/win situation, all outcomes will produce a profit. Lay – place a bet on an event not to happen. i.e. if you think a team will lose, lay them. MSN messenger/Windows Messenger – free download from Microsoft allowing users to ‘chat’ on line Trade – process of backing and laying with the aim of getting into a win/win situation Win/win – the aim of trading, to be in a position of profiting on an event whatever the outcome. Mine – An expression I use to place lays in running at lower odds. The idea is to use these levels for the lay to be matched instead of constantly watching the screen. Peg – The reverse of the `mine`. In effect bets which are placed at a higher level than existing at present in a market. Keep – A brilliant new innovation by betfair. Simply you can insert all your proposed mines and pegs before the match and walk away

without having to watch the game! Cery useful in Sports taking place on another Continent!

2.Background to the System a) Correct score betting I have played the correct score markets for many years and have tried to specialise in tight games where both sides seemed very evenly matched – both sides having decent defences, but also players who can turn a game at any time. 2 things then happened 1) Sky also appear to chose games using a similar criteria 2) Betfair now have ‘in-running’ markets on all live games So, my correct score bets have evolved into the Redknapp trading bet on live games. How many times have you missed placing a correct score bet on a game? Not any more, with the exchanges, we can bet on these markets in-running and trade them as well. b) Harry Redkapp The name of the bet came from the first game I advised my private clients on which was Latvia versus Wales in 2004. (Note: long before the ‘Football Cash Generator’ was released to the public!) The game was tight for an hour which was sufficient for us to pull out with an excellent

profit BUT, the twitchiness of the members also trading the match cemented the title for the bet! Anyone who has seen Harry Redknapp in the dug out or stands when watching the teams under his control will understand exactly what he goes through during the course of the 90 minutes! Members were going through the same traumatic situations with any attack by the teams in question! After this match I decided to bring in some more alterations and gradually over the next games and months, continued to make strategic changes to the bet so that it has become what it is today. It is now less volatile as when commenced, profits are now more consistent instead of swings from one extreme to the other. Last season there were 60 games traded, with 41 games producing profits, 6 breaking even and 13 losing trades. Total profit is well in excess of £1000, with £100 staked on each match, BUT, the NET LIABILITY on any match was only £30 due to the clever way we staked across different markets which encompassed the `First Goals Market` - which is the time of the first goal in any game. Some members played the trades with many more times the stake advised, thus making a much bigger profit, and often once members had understood the trade they would play in many more matches a week than the ones I advised. Remember always though that the key element is to find relatively even matches. SO important. c) Live advice / Keeping in touch Some of you may be wondering how I could advise a trading bet if it was played in running. Through the use of the MSN/Windows Messenger systems available free to download from the internet, I was able to advise an opening trading position via email then, after Kick off, advise clients which trades to make during the game. With practice however, many members were able to trade other matches in exactly the same way as I did so making consistently large profits all season. The best 2 Messenger systems found were the MSN & also Windows Messenger should you require to download. The interactivness has produced some excellent information passed between members, enabling me to fine tune the bet even further to what it is today. I would go so far as to say that this trading bet would stand the test of time in any continent where two teams of reasonably equal ability

contest the event. It will also give a lot of fun with little financial downside. As part of your purchase of this ebook, you are entitled to join in on 5 ‘live’ games via the Messenger. In addition you will also receive a full months subscription to my daily email service and also be able to join in discussions on my forum on www.bigmikebetting.co.uk/forum You will be able to interact with myself, other buyers of the book, some of my full members, and also 3maybe a couple of my senior members. These senior members have not only helped develop the bet to what it is today, but will also give you as much help and guidance in this bet as you need. Once the 5 games have elapsed, you will have an option to join my sports betting service which includes the interactive link on many live games, or, as many members do, ‘go it alone’! I can assure you that you will have more than enough knowledge to trade this bet after 5 games, however, many members like the community feel of the messenger and often join in for the ‘social’side! The choice is yours.

3.The Redknapp Bet Part 1- before Kick Off The best way to explain this bet is with an example. No need to complicate things too much! Here we go: Take the Chelsea/Arsenal game last season, a game where either side could win, either side could score goals, and, most importantly, BOTH sides could defend. In addition – and a point not to be missed – 2 top goalkeepers. Add the ingredients of a local derby, high intensity, huge media interest, pride and passion etc. so it is an ideal `Redknapp` target. Correct Score, 0-0 The gross outlay for the whole bet is £100, and the biggest initial bet is on the ‘next goals’ market for ‘no goals’, or the ‘0-0’ on the correct score

market. If you can play the `First Goalscorer` Market instead of the Correct Score Market you will gain an advantage of course should the only goal of the game be an `own` goal as bets will be settled as a 0-0 scoreline. However you will need a lot of capital here as simply you will be betting on a different market to the market you are laying – so take care in such circumstances. (hint : always look to the major bookmakers on big games like this, they often offer excellent ‘extras’ on correct score markets. For example, if a game ends 1-0 and a particular bookmaker (Paddy Power & VC bet often the two to watch here) offers money back if such and such a player scores then do take advantage. However for the purpose of this illustration we have placed a £40 bet on the game to be 0-0 via the Betfair Correct Score Market. The 2 markets, ‘next goal, bet no goal’ and ‘correct score, 0-0’ are essentially the same bet, and betting correct score 0-0 is certainly easier to follow when you see the next step, however, when you get more adept, the ‘next goal market’ moves faster and, more importantly, there is a bigger volume of money traded on it. So it’s a market to watch. Other Correct Scores We then cover a few more correct scores. This being a tight match (we hope!) we bet £6 on the scores 1-0, 0-1 and 1-1. Depending on the game we expect, we may go for a 2-0 scoreline, but, remember, this is a live trading bet, and by not betting the scores, 2-1 or 1-2 for example, we can still bet on these scores ‘live’ depending on how the game develops. So, we have £40 on the 0-0 scoreline, and £6 each on 3 other score lines, making a total of £58.so where is the other £42??? INSURANCE! It is not a well-known fact, but surprisingly, a high percentage of Premiership goals are scored in the first 10 minutes of a match. Accordingly, I have developed the bet to make sure we benefit from these early strikes. The remaining £42 is spread among the time of the first goal market on betfair or left as a small extra balance to play in running. It’s a fluid bet so you must have some liquidity. IMPORTANT:

The market used for Insurance is the `First Goals Market` & remember it does not go ‘live’ and in-running when the match commences so any bets have to be placed before Kick off. I will usually place a bet on the minutes: 0-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 and perhaps, if I expect a tight match 41-51 and 81-90 to catch any last minute goals. You can of course go `full cover` by betting all the segments – certainly sensible when trading as a `newbie`. The odds on this market are quite high, so usually I will perhaps spread £32 over the 6 different times, leaving me £10 in hand to bet and trade as is needed on the live markets later on. The emphasis will always be on the early goal. 0-10 and 11-20 minutes are therefore heavily bet as the whole bet revolves around the early goal. There is an awful lot of solace if the first goal is scored in those first 20 minutes when the Insurance is in place. Another point re goal minutes. 41-50 minutes and 81-90 minutes are also very useful for trading. Remember unlike Rugby League the clock doesn’t stop when there is an injury on the field of play. Therefore the time added on is a bonus when evaluating the whole of the bet. Often if 5 minutes is added on we are getting – in effect – a 50% bonus for trading. So let’s re-cap: Assuming a match which looks to be evenly contested I would suggest the following initial bets to be placed before Kick off :£40 on correct score 0-0 (or on the next goal market) £6 on correct score 1-0 £6 on correct score 0-1 £6 on correct score 1-1

A total of £58 The Insurance (First Goal Market) £13 0-10 mins £6 11-20 mins £4 21-30 mins £3 31-40 mins £4 41-50 mins £2 81-90 mins A total of £32 In Hand I still have £10 for further `plays`.

After Kick off! Part 2 – In Running (After Kick Off) The first thing to remember is that we are involved in a `time erosion` market where the price on the current score will only fall as the minutes tick away. As soon as the games commences, I place a set amount of ‘lays’ on the correct score market, and specifically on the 0-0 scoreline. (remember, we placed a £40 on the 0-0 score. I place the lays in this order : Lets assume we backed the scores at these prices :0-0 1-0 0-1 1-1

@ 12.0 @8 @8 @8

For the first 9 ½ minutes I tend to do nothing. Knowing in effect that I am covered by the Insurance of the first 10 minutes. So lets assume the price on the 0-0 line after this time is 10.0 to lay. I will then put in my first lay of £4 @ 10.0 and then systematically £4 @ 9.4, 8.8, 8.2, & 7.6. – then I alter the lay stake to £5 @ 7.0, 6.4, 5.8 & 5.2. At THIS point we have bet £40 and Laid £40 on the 0-0- line and the only negative would be the 3 x £6 bets on other scores. Hopefully we should soon be showing a net green on the 0-0. This is the time to look at the other lines we have backed at the start. All will be showing decent gree levels but as there

can only be one score in any match it is prudent to now lay back on the other lines. Lets assume prices for the 3 levels we have backed are now 6.0. So its wise to take some profit there. For this example we shall just lay back £6 on each line @ 6.0. The resultant picture will look like this :0-0

line

The Bet was for £40 @ 12.0 so + £440 The Lays for £40 cost £258 The original bets on the other scores were - £18 The adjusted lays on these lines netted + £18 So we should have a net green screen on this scoreline of £182. On each of 1-0, 0-1 & 1-1 the starter position was - £10 (£42 less £52 staked elsewhere. After all the Lays for £6 @ 6.0 the position on each of these lines would be +£12 as we will have laid £52 back on the 0-0 scoreline and the other two scores). So at this point our overall position is quite good :-

0-0would be +£182 1-0would be +£12 0-1would be + £12 1-1would be +£12 others scores would be £0 YET The match has a long way to go AND we have the Insurance to pay for and also 3 segments where we have NO insurance. I would continue to lay the 0-0 line – certainly until the Half Time whistle blows when I would then look at the overall position. Hopefully we would be in a decent position with heavy green on all scores giving me the opportunity to load up on other scores to ensure we come away with a decent profit. Remember also that as the match progresses the 0-0 scoreline price falls so giving you greater chances to lay with the object of `averaging` on all scores at about the £70 mark. When you take the

`insurance into account we are therefore looking for a return of about £40 NO MATTER the scoreline. We have good cover until the 50th minute then we are in uncovered territory. As I said at the start – until you are fully into the bet I would suggest covering for say a token £2 on each of the 3 uninsured segments. The flexibility of the uninvested £10 is always useful in matches where goals are scored early. You can use to cover 2-0, 2-1 and 1-2 etc etc to give yourself a great chance of coming away all green. This all may sound very complicated, it isn’t! By the time you have participated in 5 ‘live’ sessions on the MSN/Windows Messenger, you will have all the skill required to make this one of your most profitable weapons in making betting pay! To further illustrate this great bet, I will now take you through, step-bystep, an example from this season. It was the first live English game shown. I make no apologies for repeating the steps taken – you have the theory above, this is what actually happened, What I advised to my clients, and how we came out of the game a lot wealthier than when we started!!! Sit back, pour a nice glass of wine, try to get the gist of the bet, then, when there is the next live game on television, have a crack at the Redknapp.

4.The Redknapp Bet – The Real-time Example! To illustrate the I have provided a worked Redknapp bet in the match between Southampton v Wolves on the opening day of the 2006/7 season. I chose the match because I felt it would be tight and because of the intense feeling in the game especially with regard to former Southampton Manager Glenn Hoddle. In addition we were blessed with Harry Redknapp himself and of course quite a large media interest. Part 1 – Pre Kick Off Bets made :1) Correct Score 0-0 The gross outlay for the whole Redknapp bet is based on a bet of £100. The initial bet was for £40 on the 0-0 Correct Score. The similar market on betfair is the Next Goal Market so I will illustrate using that market. On this page of the `Next Goal` Market you will see 3 possibilities. In this case we have Southampton at the top (home team), Wolves in the middle (away team) and No Goal at the bottom (Big Mikes Team!) . As we are betting that there will be no goals in the match I have placed a bet of £40 on the No Goals line and taken the available 12.0 though there are times when the price drifts before the start so a late decision is often advised. At this stage the Site would read as follows: Southampton –40 (in Red on Betfair) Wolves -40 (ditto)

No Goals + 440 (in Green on Betfair) Our opening position is established. There are several markets to place the 0-0 or No Goalscorer on Betfair. I have chosen the Next Goal No Goals market as generally prices move faster than the others markets and generally there is much more volume in this particular market. Volume of money available is VERY important 2) Other Correct Scores The next step is to cover more scores. Remember we budget £100 on each game so a broad spread of scores in expected tight games is always prudent. This match is expected to be particularly tight so the extra bets are as follows: £2 on 0-1 @ 12.0 £5 on 1-0 @ 9.0 £6 on 1-1 @ 7.2 £2 on 2-1 @ 10.5 At this stage we have invested £55 of the £100 pot. 3) `Insurance` - The First Goal Odds Market on Betfair In this match I have decided to play the Insurance as follows: £11 @ 0-10 minutes @ 5.5 £10 @ 11-20 mins @ 5.8 £5 @ 21-30 mins @ 7 £4 @ 31-40 mins @ 8 £3 @ 41-50 mins @ 9.4 £2 @ 81-90 mins @ 25 N.B.As mentioned, beware as this market does not turn in running and all bets have to be `on` before the match starts. Big Mikes Hint :- Put up the prices rather than take whats offered `willy nilly` . The Insurance in this match has totalled £35 so we now have £90 of the initial £100 invested.

4) I always try & retain a small Cash Reserve for moves during the game just in case we need to `fix` problem areas or indeed sometimes increase profitable positions. In this game our Cash in hand Reserve to use during the game is £10. That’s how the initial £100 is staked.

After Kick Off This particular match, with it being the first of the season, was played live via the `Messenger` system and 7 members were present playing on the same lines as myself. The game was pretty uninspired with a lot of side to side football but the biggest problem was a paucity of liquidity on the exchange sites. Maybe because so many events were being played – such as evening horse racing, cricket and other sports but even so the lack of liquidity remained a problem throughout the match & I suppose we were fortunate that the game was dire. My first move was to place lays on the no goals site as follows :£4 at 11.0 (remember, first lay 1 point less than we backed 0-0 at) £4 at 10.0 £4 at 8.6 £5 at 7.6 £5 at 6.6 £8 at 5.5 £7 at 4.2 £8 at 3.85 All these bets were matched by the end of the first half with the exception of the last bet. At the same time I have access to the true price of the 0-0 score at any time. This true price is calculated using arithmetical formula and takes away the emotional element of the calculation which is very important. Sometimes – as in this particular match – the true price bore no resemblance to the market price and therefore I was able to manoeuvre into a better trading position for members.

So at half time we had very little insurance left but our position on the next goals market wasn’t looking too bad. It was as follows: Southampton -£3 Wolves -£3 No Goals + £221 I made no alterations to the correct score bets other than 0-0 during the first half. The cash reserve was still in place too. The true price at half time of the 0-0 scoreline was 3.85 yet the trading price on the exchanges was 4.1 so in effect it was nearly 10% too high. I was still concerned that with only a few minutes left of the 41-50 minutes `Insurance` we may not get into the `all green` position on the trading line. Indeed after 50 minutes the £8 at 3.85 was still not matched so I had a couple of minutes of nervous anxiety (you wonder why its called the Redknapp bet?) before the `all green` position was achieved. The green light galvanised me into a very positive outlook on the bet as I then instructed the members to lay at 3.2 for £10 and simultaneously also make further bets on the correct scores to – in effect – produce a secondary insurance element in the match period between the 51st Minute and 80th Minute when we had no insurance cover. The extra bets were made as follows :£3 on 0-1 @ 6.0 £2 on 1-0 @ 5.8 £3 on 2-0 @ 14.0 This little bet is an excellent `reassurance` and gives us even more trading possibilities should goals be scored. After placing these trades the No Goals price in the Next Goals Market had fallen substantially as other punters also had the opinion that there were unlikely to be many goals in the match. The market was responding to this gloom and prices were falling fast. Our members continued to take advantage of this fall and lays were made for £10 at 2.6, 2.5 and other points down to 1.85 all by the all-important 80th minute. The 80th minute is a VERY important milestone. Basically if we reach that target time we KNOW we have made a substantial profit. Indeed as

the season progresses and net profits are made it is my intention to try & bring the 80th minute `Sanctuary` forward to hopefully the 70th Minute or – even the 60th minute. `Newbies` should invest £2 on these lines from the start in my view. The game continued to be dull and only interrupted by bouts of fisticuffs especially when Mr Denis Wise entered the fray to add his subtle touches. On the 80th minute members were in an excellent position generalised as follows: Southampton +90 Wolves + 90 No Goals + 114 The net loss on the Correct Scores totalled £23 (£15 initially & £8 later) & the Insurance Costs totalled £35 of which only £2 was still `live`. So at this stage should we decide to cease play the net profit before exchange commission was £56. This figure was worked out as follows: -

No Goals Profit Less Correct Score bets Less Insurance Costs

+ 114 - 23 - 35

Net profit thus far

+ 56

BUT I hear you say we still have another 10 minutes - plus 4 minutes as it happened – of injury time still to play. HOWEVER You may remember we took extra Insurance out at the start to cover the 81-90 minute `First Goal`. Because we have this little Treasure Chest still available we KNOW that the profit is secure and on top of that we can also increase our profit a little bit too. On the 80th Minute I instructed the members to LAY BOTH Southampton and Wolves on the next goal market site for £5 each @ 4.5 & 4.8 prevailing respectively. By doing so we increased our NET profit as in effect we were covered for this little move by the extra Insurance of the First Goal being Scored between 81 & 90 minutes. A little extra never did anybody any harm.

So the final Net Profit worked out as follows :No Goals Profit Less Correct Score bets Less Insurance Costs

+ 124 - 23 - 35

Net profit for the match

+ 66

Conclusion Although this particular match ended goalless and therefore should have provided a decent profit anyway the very fact I put in so many little extras to nullify any big losses surely is attractive to punters. When betting you must always consider the DOWNSIDE & members know that I cherish net profits and abhor big losses so maybe it pays to be conservative for once in a punting career. I do have extra plays of course if goals are scored and these will only profitably be understood should you join the Messenger Experience of the Redknapp Bet. It’s a sound bet and one which WILL produce profits over the season. Last season we did not win on every match – of course things go wrong occasionally and freak results occur but in each game our DOWNSIDE liability is limited.

5.Second Example As stated previously, I wanted to choose matches which we believe will be tightly contested. Manchester United travelled to take on Villareal, who themselves are hard to beat in La Liga. I expected a tight game, but still covered the position with the insurance. The opening positions were as follows :

Villareal v Man Utd £40 on 0-0 @ 10.5 £ 3 on 1-0 @ 9.2 £ 4 on 0-1 @ 9 £ 3 on 1-1 @ 7.4 £2 on 1-2 @ 12.5 Insurance (First Goals market) £12 on 0-10 mins @ 5.8 £10 on 11-20 mins @ 5.8 £7 on 21-30 mins @ 7.0 £6 on 31-40 mins @ 8.6 £3 on 41-50 mins @ 9.6 £2 on 71-80 mins @ 22 £2 on 81-Full Time @ 25 In hand £6 The scores chosen reflected what I believed would be a tight match. After Kick-off In total, 7 experienced ‘Redknapping’ members joined me on MSN Messenger and another 4 new members, in total, 12 of us to trade the match. Once the game was under way, we then began to place lays on the 0-0 correct score market, as follows :

£4 at 9.4 £4 at 8.8 £4 at 8.2 £4 at 7.6 £4 at 7 £3 at 6.4 £3 at 6 £4 at 5.6 £4 at 5.2 £5 at 4.8 At this stage the 0-0 price was falling fast, with Green appearing on other scores that had been backed, so, to even up some of the positions that we started with, the next move was to lay ; £2 at 5.0 on the 0-1 scoreline £2 at 7.0 on the 1-1 scoreline £2 at 6.0 on the 1-1 scoreline 35 minutes had gone and our positions were looking good, a tight game with very few chances. We then laid some more on the 0-0 as follows : £4 at 4.3 £4 at 4.0 By Half-time all members had every score on the correct score page green – a green/green screen!!! During the half time period the 0-0 scoreline continued to fall, and as we had insurance up until the 50th minute, the next lays were as follows : £5 at 3.3 on 0-0 scoreline £5 at 2.9 on 0-0 scoreline £5 at 2.5 on 0-0 scoreline £2 at 7.2 on 1-1 scoreline The positions now on the correct score screen were as follows : Score 0-0 1-0 0-1 1-1

+/-£ +75 +30 +40 +25

1-2 others

+37 +12

With the game looking very poor and very few chances we were in a good position. We did have the insurance in place but not for between the 50th minute until the 70th minute, so still a bit of tinkering to do in between these minutes. The following lays were advised: £4 at 2.2 on the 0-0 scoreline £2 at 5.0 on the 1-1 scoreline £2 at 4.5 on the 0-1 scoreline The game was heading our way, and as we closed in on the next insurance slot of 71 minutes, Rooney managed to get sent off, making it even better for us. Once the 71 minute had been reached we were in a win/win situation all round – Positions were now : Score 0-0 1-0 0-1 1-1 1-2 others

+/-£ +66 +30 +42 +21 +52 +27

If the game had stayed at 0-0 then the profit would have been +66 on the correct score, but a loss of –36 on the insurance. Profit £30 If there was a goal we had the profit from the insurance and the profit from the correct score screen, whatever the result. Even a goal-fest would mean profit. Obviously, the best result would be the 2-1 to Manchester score, as we didn’t lay any of that score back. This was because the odds were just too high from our original position when we backed the score. At this point, with 15 minutes to go, many members logged off after another fine redknapp. The game petered out to a 0-0, a good result for us!

Profits ranged from £20 up to £45 depending on how members had played the last few minutes. Some chose to leave it, others chose to ‘equalise’ profits across all scores. As you become more adept with the Redknapp, you will chose either to hit a profit point and sit back, or tinker away to try to gain extra profit. By joining in on the MSN Messenger you will soon get to see exactly how a live game works, not just trying to visualise it by reading this!

6.Summary of further trades By now you will be getting a good feel of how the Redknapp operates, and hopefully you will have had a dabble as well. The key to its success is choosing the right match. Tight games with 2 evenly matched sides. Sky is our biggest friend in helping us chose, they want games that fit this description. These are some more games, and the results, from the past few weeks : 1.Liverpool v Manchester United, 18th September. Opening position : £40 on No Goalscorer £5 on 0-1 £5 on 1-0 £5 on 1-1 In hand £10 First Goals Odds Line (Insurance) £11 on 0-10 mins @ 5.9 £8 on 11-20 mins @ 6 £5 on 21-30 mins @ 7.2 £4 on 31-40 mins @ 8.4 £3 on 41-50 mins @ 9.6 £2 on 71-80 mins @ 21 £2 on 81-FT @ 25

A big game, and perfect for us! Another 0-0 scoreline ensures a good profit for all, this time over £50.

2.Doncaster v Man City Scores to cover £40 on 0-0 @ 14 £2 on 1-0 @ 24 £7 on 0-1 @ 8 £6 on 1-1 @ 9.4 £3 on 0-2 @ 9 In hand £7 Insurance ( First Goals Market) £11 on 0-10 mins @ 5.2 £8 on 11-20 mins @ 5.2 £5 on 21-30 mins @ 6 £4 on 31-40 mins @ 7.8 £3 on 41-50 mins @ 9.6 £2 on 71-80 mins @ 23 £2 on 81-FT @ 26 An interesting game with City being the hot favourites, but not according to us. The game plodded along and ended 0-0 at fulltime. Profits were once again big, one new member clearing £75!

3.Manchester United vs Lille Scores to cover : £40 0-0 @ 12.5 £5 1-0 @ 6.6 £4 1-1 @ 9.4 £2 0-1 @21 £3 2-0 @ 6.4 £3 any unquoted

£12 on 0-10 mins @ 5.4 £8 on 11-20 mins @ 5.1 £5 on 21-30 mins @ 6 £4 on 31-40 mins @ 8.4 £3 on 41-50 mins @ 9.6 £2 on 61-70 mins @ 20 £2 on 71-80 mins @ 25 £2 on 81-FT @ 28 With shot-shy Man u desperate for a win, some might have thought this wasn’t the best game to get involved with. However, a 0-0 FT result ensured once again we all finished well in profit.

7) EXTRA PLAYS a) In the back of your mind remember that in professional soccer the average number of goals in each game hovers around 2.7. Its an important statistic. The Redknapp features when it’s a low scoring game and also does extremely well when an early goal is scored as the First Goals `Insurance` provides the bonus. In such games you really must remember the 2.7 goals statistic. Simply a goal should be scored every 33 minutes. An early goal therefore gives you extra time to play a quick `in and out` trade which in fairness to Mr Redknapp we have termed the `Harry Kari` or the HK when we have a Conference on the Messenger. Let`s assume a goal in the first 10 minutes and it’s a game where defences seem handy. This play is not for the fainthearted by the way. Bet £20 on the 1-0 or 0-1 score whichever is appropriate (in other words the current score). Lets assume the price appertaining is 10.0 Put in 3 Lays of £7 each at 9.6, 9.2 and 8.8. Stay alert. The next bet is £20 as soon as the 9.2 is matched. So for just a few moments you will be `bull` of £26 on the correct score (the £20 HK and the balance from the first HK). Put in 3 Lays of £7 each at 8.4, 8 & 7.6 Stay alert. The next bet is £20 as soon as the 8.0 is matched. Again you will be a major `bull` at this stage for £25 on the correct score (the £20 HK and the balance from the second HK).

Put in 5 lays of £5 this time at 7.2, 6.8, 6.4 6.0 & 5.6 Sit back and await all levels to be laid. The theory behind this move is to be to reduce liability or increase profit. By staging just 3 Harry Karis you are maintaining a goal every 33 minutes statistic in the back of your mind. You are in effect betting £60 and laying £67 at lower levels. By all means repeat the HK if and when you like BUT always have the third leg as your repayment leg. b) Extra scores. If the game is going our way and there are few threats on goal it is a sensible ploy to use some of the profit coming from laying the 0-0 score to use on other scores. Certainly 0-1 and 1-0 as those scores of course will come first if there is to be a goal. I also like to bet – using the excellent Gruss software – just a few pennies on the `daft` scores of 2-2, 2-3, etc as you can always use them to hedge if there is to be a goal glut. Remember try and get into `green` on all scores as soon as possible. c) Lay the team scoring first A nice little ploy in initially equally contested games. Its often a sound way to recover losses and an excellent trading tool. Punters always over react and you will find a team say initially 4.0 could fall to 1.7 ish should an early goal be scored – sometimes fortuitously as well.

Conclusion Ensure you download MSN Messenger log in email me on [email protected] - and I will invite you down to the next match. As has been said, compared to other, more expensive systems, which start off with massive liabilities, this trade sees very low risk involved due to the way the £100 is spread over various markets. Combining this with the selective nature of games chosen, it is clear to see why so many of my members now increase stakes many times over. Start off small and build up, and by the time you have joined in with a few ‘live’ games and the messenger chats you will see how to play each game. I look forward to welcoming you aboard!!!! Always email me with individual queries. Happy Trading,

Big Mike.