Ratio Analysis Of HDFC FINAL

PROJECT ON RATIO ANALYSIS OF

HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CORPORATION LIMITED

Submitted to: Dr. Sampada Kapse

INTRODUCTION: Reforms have taken place in the banking sector since 1991 despite changes in the government. The Finance Ministry continuously formulated major policies in the financial sector such by giving licenses to private sector banks as part of the liberalization process, opening of the insurance sector, designing measures to increase financial soundness like introducing capital adequacy requirements and other prudential norms for banks, limiting the entry of foreign banks etc. The banking system has evolved from the traditional banking practices of lending and deposits to other avenues such as investment banking, insurance services etc. Going forward, banks that have ensured sufficient capital to sustain credit growth will increase focus on non funded income to sustain margins

CONTRIBUTION OF SERVICE SECTOR: The service sector has been in the driver’s seat registering CAGR of 8% in the last seventeen years, which has been mainly contributed by the growth in trade, hotels, and transport, storage and communication sectors. The growth of these segments has been the result of opening of trade, liberalization of policies, and increased disposable income in the hands of the people and changing consumer attitude and lifestyle. The table below highlights the contribution of the different sectors that have boosted economic growth directly or indirectly. While hotels and restaurants contribute least amongst the sectors discussed here, banking & insurance and real estate & business services contribute the most. % share in GDP at constant prices Hotels & restaurants Communication Banking & insurance Real estate & business services

FY07 1.5% 4.9% 6.7% 7.6%

BANKING SECTOR IN INDIA: Banking in India has attained fair amount of maturity in terms of supply, product range and reach-even though reach in rural India still remains a challenge for the private sector and foreign banks. In terms of quality of assets and capital adequacy, Indian banks are considered to have clean, strong and transparent balance sheets relative to other banks in comparable economies in its region. Since Indian economy is witnessing strong growth the demand for banking services, especially retail banking, mortgages and investment services are expected to be strong. One may also expect M&As, takeovers, and asset sales. According to a report by ICRA Limited, a rating agency, the public sector banks hold over 75 percent of total assets of the banking industry, with the private and foreign banks holding 18.2% and 6.5% respectively

HDFC’S INCEPTION: In 1994, the Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited (HDFC) received 'in principle' approval from the Reserve Bank of India to set up a bank in the private sector, as part of the RBI's liberalization of the Indian Banking

Sector. The bank was incorporated in August 1994 in the name of 'HDFC Bank Limited', with its registered office in Mumbai, India. HDFC Bank commenced operations as a Scheduled Commercial Bank in January 1995.

MEANING OF RATIOS: A relationship between various accounting figures, which are connected with each other, expressed in mathematical terms, is called accounting ratios. According to Kennedy and Macmillan, "The relationship of one item to another expressed in simple mathematical form is known as ratio." Robert Anthony defines a ratio as – "simply one number expressed in terms of another." Accounting ratios are very useful as they briefly summarise the result of detailed and complicated computations. Absolute figures are useful but they do not convey much meaning. In terms of accounting ratios, comparison of these related figures makes them meaningful. It is difficult to say which business concern is more efficient unless figures of capital investment or sales are also available. Analysis and interpretation of various accounting ratio gives a better understanding of the financial condition and performance of a business concern.

IMPORTANCE OF RATIO ANALYSIS: Ratio analysis does two things, immediately. The first thing is it allows the company to compare itself with other like companies. If management feels things aren't going well, they can help pinpoint the problem through comparing their ratios with other companies. They may have several ratios that are comparable, but a couple which are way off. That might be where the problem is. Also, ratio analysis may help by comparing your company with prior periods. If a particular ratio is declining when it would be better if it were staying the same or increasing, then again looking at the ratios are important to find out where the problem lies. Ratios are important to spot trends easily.

The report contains the ratio analysis of : 1) Earning Per Share 2) Dividend Yield Ratio 3)Profitability Ratios 4) Liquidity Ratios 5) Leverage Ratios 6) Coverage Ratios 7) Asset Quality Ratios 8) Credit to Deposits Ratio 9) Component Ratios

1) Earning Per Share: Basic earnings per equity share is computed by dividing net income by the weighted average number of equity shares outstanding for the year. Years 04-05 05-06 06-07 EPS 22.92 27.92 36.29 Source: Annual report of HDFC Bank

07-08 46.22

INTERPRETATION-The EPS of Rs10/- nominal value share has shown a consistent and healthy growth over the years and as compared to 04-05 it has become about 102%. This shows strong foundation of the bank to achieve this growth rate by increasing the net income from Rs 665.6(lacs) to Rs.1590.2(lacs) and shares from 29,03,83,946 to34,40,20,927.This helped the bank to meet the financial needs mostly from its retained earnings and avoided the need to avail capital at a cost from the market. So the bank was in position to utilize funds efficiently to improve the financial position of bank. Quarterly comparison of EPS: Quarters Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 EPS 13.29 10.94 12.42 Source:Http://money.rediff.com/money/jsp/ratio.jsp? companyCode=14030055 There is volatility in the quarterly EPS. Gross profit reduced from Rs.1088.70(lacs) in Mar-08 to Rs.1027.51(lacs) in Jun-08 . This shows the bank also suffered from the global crisis that has badly hit the economies of the world and also during these periods the banks had increased the Fixed Deposit rates from 9.5% to 10.5% p.a. Also the noteworthy thing is that the employee expenses in Mar-08 were Rs.345.6(lacs) and Rs.611.63(lacs) in Sep-08

2) Dividend yield:- The owners of the bank are rewarded in form of dividend which is attributed from the profits. This keeps the owners motivated as they believe that their hard earned money offered to bank is being efficiently utilized and they are getting returns on their investments Year 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 Dividend(%) 45 55 70 85 Source:Http://money.rediff.com/money/jsp/ratio.jsp? companyCode=14030055 INTERPRETATION-Growth in dividend was due to the expansion in business activities. Not only the interest income has increased but a substantial increase in other income is also seen. The income other than interest grew from Rs,112398(lacs) in 05-06 to Rs 228315(lacs) in 07-08. This is attributed by the changing lifestyles of people which now

don’t view bank as a source to avail loans or deposit money but as an entity that takes care of many of their financial transactions and they are also availing the value-added services of banks like auto payment of bills on standing instructions, forex services, advisory services, etc.

3) Profitability ratio-The objective of profitability relates to a company’s ability to earn a satisfactory profit so that the investors and shareholders will continue to provide capital to it. A company’s profitability is linked to its liquidity because earnings ultimately produce cash flow. For these reasons ratios are important to both investors and shareholders. > Operating Margin- Operating margin is a measurement of what proportion of a company's revenue is left over after paying for operating expenses . A healthy operating margin is required for a company to be able to pay for its fixed costs, such as interest on debt. Year 05-06 06-07 07-08 Operating Margin 29.56 33.15 30.78 Source:Http://money.rediff.com/money/jsp/ratio.jsp? companyCode=14030055 INTERPRETATION-In 05-06 the operating margin ratio was 29.56% as the company had incurred Rs.169109(lacs) on operating expenses for infrastructure and staffing in relation to the expansion in the branch network and growth in the retail loan and credit card businesses. In the next year it has shown improvement when the bank spent Rs.242080(lacs) on the operating expenses as its operating income increased from Rs.173357 to Rs.256391(lacs). And the ratio diminished again in 07-08 as the operating expenses were Rs.374562(lacs) and operating profit was Rs 376541(lacs) which is a result of increase in operating expenses from 49.38% in 05-06 to 49.87% of the net revenues. > Net Profit Margin -Net profit divided by net revenues is called Net profit margin Years 05-06 06-07 07-08 Net Profit Margin 15.55 13.57 12.82 Source: Http://money.rediff.com/money/jsp/ratio.jsp? companyCode=14030055 INTERPRETATION -In 05-06 the NPM is 15.55% as the bank had efficiently converted its revenues into actual profits and showed an effective cost control. However in the subsequent year it reached 13.57 as the net profit as a percentage of net revenues came down from 25.43% to 22.90%. And further in 07-08 the NPM has diminished and net profit to net revenues came down to 21.17%. Lower net profit margins have lead to a reduction in the returns to the investors. But this reduction is not an outcome of

inefficiency but the bank has to spend more on operating expenses to counter the competition from other banks and the margins of profit have squeezed. > Reported Return On Net Worth: This ratio indicates how profitable a company is by comparing its net income to its average shareholders' equity. The ratio measures how much the shareholders earned from their investment in the company. The higher the ratio percentage, the more efficient management is in utilizing its equity base and the better return is to investors. Year 05-06 06-07 07-08 Return on net worth 16.43 17.74 13.83 Source: Http://money.rediff.com/money/jsp/ratio.jsp? companyCode=14030055 INTERPRETATION In the year 05-06 RONW is 16.43% and shareholders have been benefitted from their stake in the company in the form of fair returns. In that year the share capital was Rs. 31314(lacs) whereas the net income was Rs. 342466(lacs). In the next year the ratio improved as there was only Rs. 625(lacs) increase in share capital when the net income increased by Rs.156005(lacs). But again in 07-08 there is a substantial reduction in the ratio with the infusion of Rs. 3504(lacs) of share capital and the net income increased by Rs 252632(lacs). Increase in net income (%) (yoy) Rs (lacs) Year 06-07 07-08 Net income 45.55 50.68 Source: Annual Report of HDFC Bank Increase in share capital (%) (yoy) Rs (lacs) Year 06-07 07-08 Share Capital 2 10.97 Source: Annual Report of HDFC Bank

4) Liquidity Ratio- It is used to determine a company's ability to pay off its short-terms debts and obligations. Generally, the higher the value of the ratio, the larger the margin of safety that the company possesses to cover short-term debts. > Quick Ratio(Acid Test Ratio)-It is an indicator of a company's short-term liquidity. It measures a company's ability to meet its short-term obligations with its most liquid assets. The higher the quick ratio, the better the position of the company. The quick ratio is more conservative than the current ratio. When short-term obligations need to be paid

off immediately, there are situations in which the current ratio would overestimate a company's short-term financial strength Year Quick ratio

05-06 06-07 07-08 5.18 4.07 4.89 Source:Http://money.rediff.com/money/jsp/ratio.jsp?

companyCode=14030055 INTERPRETATION -The quick ratio has been 5.18 in the year 05-06 which indicates the bank’s robustness and financial soundness in paying off its short term obligations. It has reduced in the next year but in the year 08 it has increased. Rs (lacs) Year 05-06 06-07 07-08 Quick assets 1477834 904665 691900 Current liabilities 483196 538195 290599 Source: Annual Report of HDFC Bank The figures indicate that there is excess liquidity in the bank except in 06-07.But the banks are under the guidance of RBI and they have to follow the liquidity norms laid down by RBI. > Current Ratio- The ratio is mainly used to give an idea of the company's ability to pay back its short-term liabilities with its short-term assets. The higher the current ratio, the more capable the company is of paying its obligations. A ratio under 1 suggests that the company would be unable to pay off its obligations if they came due at that point Year 05-06 Current ratio 0.29

06-07 07-08 0.26 0.26

Source:Http://money.rediff.com/money/jsp/ratio.jsp? companyCode=14030055. INTERPRETATION -The ratio shows a decline due to the credit expansion, increasing demand deposits and other liabilities. Rs (lacs) Year 05-06 06-07 07-08 Demand deposits 1618579 1958482 2875970 Other liabilities 784949 1368913 1643191 Source: Annual Report of HDFC Bank

5) Leverage Ratio- A company's leverage relates to how much debt it has on its balance sheet, and it is another measure of financial health. Generally, the more debt a company has, the riskier its stock is, since debt holders have first claim to a company's assets. This is important because, in extreme cases, if a company becomes bankrupt, there

may be nothing left over for its stockholders after the company has satisfied its debt holders. > Total debt/equity - It indicates what proportion of equity and debt the company is using to finance its assets. A high debt/equity ratio generally means that a company has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt. This can result in volatile earnings as a result of the additional interest expense. Year Total debt/equity

05-06 10.53

06-07 10.62

07-08 8.76

Source:Http://money.rediff.com/money/jsp/ratio.jsp? companyCode=14030055 INTERPRETATION -There is growth of the bank and it is able to manage its funds from the internal sources. The equity capital has increased its share in the liabilities in balance sheet over 90% in comparison to the outside debts. This helps the bank to maintain high credit reputation in market. Rs(lacs) Total liabilities 6820686 8480246 12167937 Shareholders equity 529953 643315 1149723 Source: Annual Report of HDFC Bank

6) Coverage Ratio- A coverage ratio encompasses many different types of financial ratios. Typically, these kinds of ratios involve a comparison of assets and liabilities. The better the assets "cover" the liabilities, the better off the company is. > Interest Coverage Ratio- This ratio is used to determine how easily a company can pay interest on outstanding debt. The interest coverage ratio is calculated by dividing a bank's earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) of one period by the bank's interest expenses of the same period. The lower the ratio, the more the company is burdened by debt expense. When a company's interest coverage ratio is 1.5 or lower, its ability to meet interest expenses may be questionable. An interest coverage ratio below 1 indicates the company is not generating sufficient revenues to satisfy interest expenses. Year 05-06 06-07 07-08 Interest coverage ratio 1.87 1.9 1.79 Source: Http://money.rediff.com/money/jsp/ratio.jsp?companyCode=14030055 Also , Rs (lacs) Year 05-06 Interest expenses: 192950

06-07 07-08 317945 488712

EBIT : 434581 652541 1011752 Source: Annual Report of HDFC Bank INTERPRETATION -The ratio for the year 06 is 1.87 which is reasonable and not below 1.5.This indicates that the bank is in a sound financial health and is able to pay the interest on its outstanding debts. The ratio was best in 06-07 among the three financial years. But has reduced in the year 08 to 1.79. Still the bank has maintained a healthy ratio over the years.

7) Asset Quality Ratio: The most important ratio for the stakeholders of bank is the Non-Performing Assets ratio which is covered under the asset quality ratio. This ratio shows the true picture of the qualitative value of assets rather than the quantitative value of assets Year Net NPA to Net Advances(%): Source: Annual Report of HDFC Bank

06-07 0.43

07-08 0.47

INTERPRETATION -The ratio shows a decline. But comparing the components of the ratio the 0.04% decline has occurred when in the background the increase in loans given shows a 35% increase which means the bank has adhered to strict policies in allocation of funds and it has not been aggressive in allocating loans. Rs (lacs) Year 06-07 07-08 Net NPA 20289 29852 Net Advances 4699478 6342690 Source: Annual Report of HDFC Bank

8) Credit to Deposit Ratio (CD Ratio): The ratio is indicative of the percentage of funds lent by the bank out of the total amount raised through deposits. Higher ratio reflects ability of the bank to make optimal use of the available resources. The point to note here is that loans given by bank would also include its investments in debentures, bonds and commercial papers of the companies. Year 06-07 07-08 CD 68.7 62.9 Source: Annual Report of HDFC Bank Also, Rs (lacs) Year 06-07 07-08 Advances 4694478 6342690 Deposits 6829794 10076860 Source: Annual Report of HDFC Bank

INTERPRETATION -This ratio forms an integral part of analysis as it indicates the amount of reliability the bank has earned in the minds of its customers and evidence of its robustness .The ratio for 06-07 is 68.7. It has decreased in the subsequent year as a result of global economic depression that has panicked the customers from making any new investments and so lesser credit is being asked for.

9) Component Ratio: This ratio shows the components and their composition in the business of the bank. One such ratio is Long term assets to total assets. The high ratio indicates more investment in fixed assets that bank has purchased to continue its operations smoothly. Year 05-06 06-07 07-08 Long term assets/total assets 0.92 0.89 0.91 Source:Http://money.rediff.com/money/jsp/ratio.jsp? companyCode=14030055 Also, Rs (lacs) Year 05-06 06-07 07-08 Long term assets 85508 96667 117513 Total assets 7350639 9123561 13317660 Source: Annual Report of HDFC Bank INTERPRETATION -In the year 06-07 there was a decline in the ratio which shows that the bank had more of investments and current assets. And as the company had expansion plans in the other two years the ratios are higher.