Pronostico de Ventas - Tarea 5 - Douglas Valladares - 61851145

 

_rfkôsthdf ai viktes. TIDDHÔK 57?9   TYTQIKQEAF _FW> Aful`es Re``eaeris 25395519

DEQIAWÅQHDF> @hd. Lueae`upi E`tejhrekf

 

BIDCE>  55 / ?2 / 7?7?  @YLEW> Dejpus DIYQID Diktre`, Tek _iarf Tu`e

 

Hktrfauddhôk I` jermithkl jhx is uk dfkdiptf qui si uth`hze pere hkd`uhr `es cirrejhiktes y verheg`is e `e ahspfshdhôk ai` ikderleaf ai jermithkl. Ik i` jirdeaf jukahe`, `e istretilhe ai jermithkl jhx dfkshsti ik `e eaeptedhôk ai` prfaudtf, pridhf, p`eze y prfjfdhôk. I` jermithkl jhx thiki dfjf fgnithvf, treter ai dfjprikair i` dfjpfrtejhiktf ai `fs jirdeafs y ai `fs dfksujhafris, pere likirer eddhfkis e ddhfkis qui gusquik ritikir y bhai`hzer e `fs d`hiktis jiahekti `e sethsbeddhôk ai sus kidishaeais. I` jermithkl jhx istå dfjpuistf ik su tfte`haea ai istretilhes ai jermithkl qui epuktek e tregener dfk `fs duetrf i`ijiktfs dfkfdhafs dfjf `es duetrf _> _rfaudtf, _ridhf, _`eze y _rfjfdhôk (_ug`hdhaea). Thk ijgerlf, cfy ik aêe, i` jermithkl jhx hkd`uyi deae viz jås ftres _‘s dfjf _edmelhkl, _fshthfkhkl, _ifp`i i hkd`usf _f`hthds dfjf i`ijiktfs bukaejikte`is ai `e jizd`e. _fr su perti, `e jizd`e ai jermithkl istå priafjhkektijikti esfdheae dfk `es 1_‘s ai jermithkl, `es e` ekukdhf y e` dfktikhaf. Ai jfaf qui is uke bôrju`e errhisleae pere ejges pertis y kf shijpri dfkshlui `fs risu`teafs pirsiluhafs.

Qi`ijermithkl

I` ti`ijermithkl is uke dfjukhdedhôk pirsfke` dfk i`  pþg`hdf f `fs pfshg`is dfksujhafris y dfjf fgnithvf, e

 

trevès ai` jiahf ti`ibôkhdf qui fbridi jþ`thp`is viktenes pere hkdrijikter `es viktes ai tu kilfdhf. Qejghèk aikfjhkeaf jermithkl ti`ibôkhdf, i` ti`ijermithkl is uk dfjpfkikti ai `e istretilhe ai jermithkl ahridtf, nuktf dfk i` ristf qui dfkbfrjek i` jermithkl jhx. Tu aiserrf``f si vhf bevfridhaf dfk `e eperhdhôk ai `êkies ai dfgrf rivirthaf, qui bedh`htek e `fs d`hiktis `e rie`hzedhôk ai ``ejeaes lretuhtes e diktrfs ai etikdhôk ti`ibôkhde.

_ug`hdhaea ik Wiais Tfdhe`is @es riais sfdhe`is pirjhtik e `es ijprises `e driedhôk ai ekukdhfs. Tilþk hkvisthledhfkis rie`hzeaes juistrek qui `es prfjfdhfkis jås gikibhdhfses y rikteg`is sfk `es ai Bedigffm y Qwhttir. Uuhzå sie pfrqui thikik uke viktene dfk `e qui kf duiktek ftrfs deke`is> pirjht pirjhtik ik cedir uke pug`hdhaea juy siljikteae y ahrhlhae e uk pþg`hdf dfkdritf. Ftres riais dfjf @hkmiaHk, XfuQugi f _hktirist tejghèk fbridik e `es jerdes `e fpdhôk ai ekukdhersi, eukqui pfr  ecfre i` ritfrkf ai `e hkvirshôk kf is tek ivhaikti.

 

Ijeh` Jermithkl Dfkshsti ik uth`hzer i` dfrrif i`idtrôkhdf pere prisikter prfaudtfs, sirvhdhfs f aisduiktfs ispidhe`is e `fs dfksujhafris. Th iste vêe ai dfjukhdedhôk si uth`hze je` y `fs jeh`s si ikvêek e gesis ai aetfs jeshves qui kf  pirtikidik e `e jerde, puiai risu`ter hkveshve pere i` usuerhf y iktrerêe aiktrf ai` Jermithkl ai Hktirrupdhôk. _irf ghik useaf, i` Ijeh` Jermithkl shlui shikaf uke ai `es cirrejhiktes jås þth`is y ibidthves ai dfkixhôk dfk df k i` pþg`hdf. _ere i``f, is bukaejikte` qui `es ijprises dfkshlek `fs aetfs ai sus d`hiktis y pfklek ik prådthde uke guike istretilhe.

 

_fp-ups, gekkirs y ekukdhfs ik pålhkes wig

Deae viz is jås briduikti duekaf kevilejfs ik Hktirkit ikdfktrerkfs dfk ekukdhfs. E`lukfs eperidik ai bfrje jås ahsdrite ik uk `etire` ai `e wig, pfr inijp`f. _irf tejghèk cey jfae`haeais jås hkveshves qui hjphaik `iir i` dfktikhaf ai `e pålhke f vir `es hjålikis ai uk vêaif. _ere ivhter qui `fs usuerhfs pirdhgek kuistre pug`hdhaea dfjf T_EJ aigijfs pikser, aibhkhr y dfkbhlurer ghik kuistres dejpeões. Th quhiris hkbfrjerti jinfr, ti sulhirf qui `ies iste luêe sfgri `fs thpfs ai ekukdhfs ik jermithkl fk`hki.

Rhaifjermithkl  Kf is ftre dfse qui uth`hzer i` vêaif pere fbridir dfktikhaf ai ve`fr qui risu`ti hktirisekti, etredthvf y qui depti `e etikdhôk ai `fs usuerhfs. E ahbirikdhe ai `fs ekukdhfs dfkvikdhfke`is qui vijfs ik ti`ivhshôk, i` Rhaifjermithkl sui`i uth`hzersi ik i` iktfrkf fk`hki, kf iiss tek ahridtf kh hktirrujpi `e edthvhaea ai` ispidteafr. Judces vidis uk vêaif qui si dfkvhirti ik vhre` ik `es riais sfdhe`is puiai sir `e jinfr pug`hdhaea pere uke jerde f ijprise.

 

Jermithkl e trevès ai Hkb`uikdirs Yke bôrju`e uth`hzeae pfr `es jerdes pere leker pug`hdhaea is aersi e dfkfdir e `es  pirsfkes hkb`uyiktis (Xe siek aipfrthstes, dektektis, edtfris ai dhki, itd). Isti thpf ai jermithkl si uth`hze y bukdhfke juy ghik ik i` jiahf sfdhe`, pfrqui `e jeyfrêe ai pirsfkes vek e ridfkdir e `es pirsfkes si`iddhfkeaes  pere user `fs prfaudtfs. Duekaf `es jerdes usek e `fs hkb`uikdirs y `fs dfkvhirtik ik sus ijgeneafris `e depedhaea ai ``iler e judce jås likti eujikte ai bfrje ixpfkikdhe`.

_ug`hdhaea Hjprise Is `e qui si rie`hze ik jiahfs hjprisfs dfjf rivhstes, pirhôahdfs, pekb`itfs, bf``itfs y ik aibhkhthve sfgri pepi`. Ai tfaes bfrjes, pfarêejfs p farêejfs ejp`her iste aibhkhdhôk ye qui i` tèrjhkf ‐hjprise‚ puahire sir tejghèk iktikahaf dfjf pug`hdhaea hjprise ik dejhsites, lfrres, utiksh`hfs ai p`åsthdfs, iktri ftrfs.