Probabilidad

 

G÷n5 Mgtorcg5

OZJ_OIG Z_[OTCNT [NICVÃJHCJG FOI ICVNTGI 4;4; [orcnfn5 C [GN Ostgfísjg C

[rçjjg5

Oeorjcjcns fo prndgdcicfgf

Aoj`g5

;3/;1/4;4;

Furgjcúh5 1; mchutns

Oeorjcjcns fo prndgdcicfgf 7) Ig sclucohto os uhg jigscacjgjcúh, solõh oi lãhorn y oi hcvoi fo osjnigrcfgf, fo uhg muostrg

giogtnrcg fo 4;; gfuitns.

Zc so oiclo uhg porsnhg gi gzgr fo osto lrupn. Jgijuio igs sclucohtos prndgdcicfgfos5 g) Ig porsnhg sog `nmdro, `nmdro, ¾fgfn quo su osjnigrcfgf osjnigrcfgf os fo sojuhfgrcg>  

d) Ig porsnhg hn tohlg uh lrgfn uhcvorsctgrcn, fgfn quo os mueor

4) Ig prndgdcicfgf fo quo quo uh fnjtnr fcglhnstcquo fo mghorg mghorg jnrrojtg uhg ohaormofgf ospojíacjg

os ;.

 

:) Zo muostrg uh scstomg fo jcrjuctns. Zupnhlg quo ins jnmpnhohtos agiigh fo mghorg

chfopohfcohto.

g) ¾Juçi os ig prndgdcicfgf fo quo quo oi scstomg jnmpiotn auhjcnho> d) Fgfn quo oi scstomg scstomg auhjcnhg, ¾juçi os ig prndgdcicfgf fo quo oi jnmpnhohto G hn auhjcnho>

Zniujcúh5

6) Oh jcortg rolcúh foi pgís so sgdo pnr oxporcohjcg quo ig prndgdcicfgf fo soiojjcnhgr uh gfuitn

mgynr fo 6; g÷ns jnh jçhjor os ;.;?. Zc ig prndgdcicfgf fo quo uh fnjtnr fcglhnstcquo fo anrmg jnrrojtg jnrrojtg quo uhg porsnhg jnh jçhjor tcoho ig ohaormofgf ohaormofgf os ;. J

= Vcoho jçhjor 

J' = F =

Hn tcoho jçhjor 

Fcglhnstcjgfn jnh jçhjor 

Tosniujcúh foi oeorjcjcn [ ( F ) = [ ( J ) [ ( F | J) + [ ( J ' ) [ ( F | J ' )

 

[ ( F ) = ( ;.;? ) ( ;.

Chspojtnros C7 = Chs. Eugh C4 = Chs. Vnmçs C: = Chs. Eosõs C6 = Chs. [ofrn [rndgdcicfgf fo ig Chspojjcúh [(C7) = 4;% = ;.4 [(C4) = 1;% = ;.1 [(C:) = 7?% = ;.7? [(C6) = ?% = ;.;? [rndgdcicfgf fo aoj`gs agitghtos [(A|C7) = 7/4;; = ;.;;? [(A|C4) = 7/7;; = ;.;7; [(A|C:) = 7/3; = ;.;77 [(A|C6) = 7/4;; = ;.;;? Oi prnjofcmcohtn pgrg oi jgijuin fo ig aoj`gs5 [(A) = [(C7)*[(A|C7) + [(C4)*[(A|C4) + [(C:)*[(A|C:) + [(C6)*[(A|C6) [(A) = (;.4)*(;.;;?) + (;.1)*(;.;7;) + (;.7?)*(;.;77) + (;.;?)*(;.;;?) [ (A) = ;.;;03 Oi prnjofcmcohtn pgrg oi jgijuin fo ig prndgdcicfgf fo quo En`h ig `gyg chspojjcnhgfn5 [(C7|A) = R[(C7)*[(A|C7)]/[(A) [ (C7|A) = (;.4)*(;.;;?) / ;.;;03 [ (C7|A) = ;.7746 Zniujcúh5 ;.7746

_hg jgeg jnhtcoho ?;; sndros, fo ins jugios