Modelo Econometrico de Importaciones

 

LKH@CK @JKEKLÆXTFJK H@ FL^KTXIJFKE@Z FEXTKHPJJFKE Cis flpkrtijfke`s, r`pr`s`etie cks df`e`s y s`rvfjfks qu` h`liehi uei `jkeklìi h`c r`stk h`c luehk, sf`ehk flpkrtiet`, flpkrtiet`, s`ùicir qu` sus efv`c`s h`p`eh`rée hfr`jtil`et` h` cks efv`c`s h` cfqufh`z `e tærlfeks h` hfvfsis, `s h`jfr, piri qu` uei `jkeklìi `e o`e`ric, y ue io`et` `jkeúlfjk `e pirtfjucir pu`hi h`liehir df`e`s h` `xtrieg`rks, h`d`ré t`e`r uei ih`juihi hfspkefdfcfhih h` hfvfsis, `stk feh`p`ehf`et`l`et` h` cks afe`s qu` jkecc`v`e yi s`ie `stks piri jkesulk k piri fev`rsfúe. Pei h` cis lis flpkrtiet`s au`et`s h` hfvfsis h` uei `jkeklìi ske cis `xpkrtijfke`s, yi qu` jke `ccis cks sichks lke`tirfks `e tærlfeks `xtrieg`rks, s` fejr`l`etie, `s pkr `ccks qu` iquì s` cis jkesfh`ri jklk uei virfidc` qu` o`e`ri hfspkefdfcfhih h` hfvfsis, ibkri df`e, jid` jkesfh`rir ih`lés qu` piri `stuhfir ih`juihil`et` cis r`cijfke`s qu` s` pr`s`etie `etr` cis virfidc`s `stuhfihis, `s e`j`sirfk ifscir `c `a`jtk h` cks pr`jfks tietk h` cis `xpkrtijfke`s jklk h` cis flpkrtijfke`s, ` fejcusk piri `c jisk h` cis prfl`ris, fh`etfafjir juietk h` jihi uefhih lke`tirfi h` `xpkrtijfke`s p`rlft` ihqufrfr uei h` cis flpkrtijfke`s.  Ih`lés, piri `c jisk `juitkrfiek cis flpkrtijfke`s flpkrtijfke`s tf`e`e 4 kdg`tfvks df`e hfa`r`ejfihks, `c jkesulk, y ci fev`rsfúe, piri `c jisk h`c jkesulk uei pirt` s` `xpcfji pkr `c jkstk h` kpkrtuefhih qu` `eju`etri `c io`et` `jkeúlfjk ic jklpirir jicfhih y pr`jfk h` df`e`s y s`rvfjfks eijfkeic`s jke `xtrieg`rks, isflfslk, `e `c jisk h`c s`ouehk kdg`tfvk, `e pirt` s` h`d` ic lktfvk yi iektihk, sfe `ldirok, s` h`d` jkesfh`rir tildfæe qu` piri `c jisk h` ci fev`rsfúe tildfæe s` flpkrtie df`e`s h` jipftic, qu` ek ske prkhujfhks `e `c piìs, `s pkr `stk qu` s` h`d`e tklir cks pr`jfks hklæstfjks ieuciehk `c `a`jtk h` cks pr`jfks h` cis flpkrtijfke`s. Ci bfpút`sfs pciet`ihi, ek `s ef pr`t`eh` `eockdir tkhks cks jiusic`s h` cis flpkrtijfke`s, sfe `ldirok, s` `sp`ri i prfkrf qu` ci r`cijfúe pr`jfks hklæstfjks flpkrtijfke`s, s`i hfr`jti.

Lkh`ck Lit`létfjk Ci r`cijfúe lit`létfji pkhrìi `xpr`sirs`7

        

 

Lkh`ck @jkeklætrfjk

Ci r`cijfúe `stuhfihi, h`d` s`r lkh`cfzihi `jkeklætrfjil`et`, puhf`ehk `etkej`s pciet`ir7

Hkeh`7

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L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj ^rkd(A-stitfstfj)

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HKJFLIJFKE H@ ^ITIL@XTKZ Zf`ehk `c vickr t`úrfjk h` t-stuh`et piri 4: orihks h` cfd`rtih y >.>0% efv`c h` jkeafiezi, fouic i 4,>1210?066, s` kds`rvi jciril`et` qu` tkhks cks pirél`trks ske sfoefafjitfvks.

HKJFLIJFKE OCKDIC ^kr ktri pirt` `c A t`úrfjk, `s fouic i :.8449:44>2, jke ck qu` tildfæe `e su jkeguetk, `c lkh`ck `s sfoefafjitfvk. sfoefafjitfvk.

QICFHIJFÚE H@C LKH@CK ^iri is`ourireks h` ci vicfh`z y `afjf`ejfi h`c pciet`ilf`etk qu` s` pr`s`eti, s` c` skl`t`ré i cis hfa`r`et`s pru`dis ij`rji h` cks supu`stks isulfhks `e cis tæjefjis h` `stflijfúe h` cks r`suctihks

H@X@JJFÚE H@ LPCXFJKCFE@ICFHIH ICXIZ JKTT@CIJFKE@Z @EXT@ ^IT@GIZ H@ T@OT@ZKT@Z Litrfz h` Jkrr`cijfúe

R/^L H@A/^L

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H`t`rlfeiet` h` ci litrfz h` jkrr`cijfúe < >.2>>2>4>:  ^kh`lks, v`r qu` ci jkrr`cijfúe `etr` r`pr`skr`s, ek r`sucti s`r distiet` j`rjiei i 9, ck qu` flpcfji qu` ci jkcfe`icfhih `etr` cks r`or`skr`s ek `s ue prkdc`li `e `st` pciet`ilf`etk, ck qu` s` jkeafrli `e ue prfl`r puetk jke `c h`t`rlfeiet` h` ci litrfz h` jkrr`cijfke`s qu` `s luy j`rjiek i 9(>,2>>2>4>:), `s h`jfr, ek s` iprkxfli i uei litrfz sfeoucir.

D@CZC@V, MPJM, _@CZB (FEHFJ@ H@ JKEHFJFKE) @c pkcfeklfk jirijt`rìstfjk, vf`e` hihk pkr7

                  ∗     

 

 

 

 

 

@c ìehfj` h` Jkehfjfúe, s`ùici qu` ci jkcfe`cfhih pr`s`et` `e `c lkh`ck, ek r`pr`s`eti ue prkdc`li, hihk qu` su vickr ek s` `eju`etri `e cks rieoks qu` ck h`t`rlfeirìie.

Airrir-Ocud`r Krtkokeicfhih h Bk7  @xfst` Krtkokeicfhi Bi7

 @xfst` Luctfjkcfe`icfhih

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^TP@DIZ H@ FEACIJFÚE

 

R/^L

 

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^ru`di h` XB@FC ^hkl

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Ci pru`di h` Xb`fc, jke ue vickr h` l c`giek h`c jk`afjf`et` h` h`t`rlfeijfúe h`c lkh`ck, s`ùici qu` `c prkdc`li h` luctfjkcfe`icfhih `e `c lkh`ck, ek `s s`v`rk, pkr ck qu` i ci cuz h` cks r`suctihks, s` h`jfhfú kptir pkr ek jkrr`ofrck.

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T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh Hurdfe-_itske stit

>.>80:12 ->.>:?18: 9.80:928 82.0?>>6 -80.>9140 9.8196::

L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj ^rkd(A-stitfstfj)

9.>>>>>> 9.841029 :.16:002 :.2:2?4: >.0810:> >.02146>

kds

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962> 9629 9624 962: 9628 9620 9621 962? 9622 9626 966> 9669 9664 966:

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:6>049.4 844120.> :00490.> 811944.4 0861:>.> 01104>.> ?2:2>9.6 0>>421.2 0948:8.? 82:>>>.> 8::9:6.9 8?866?.? 00:9:8.6 191::>.>

9:1.?291 980.919: 908.?196 94>.2?69 990.>0:2 94?.:29> 9>2.8::? 26.8?:12 ?8.40?8: ?8.420?9 2:.912:4 21.8>??? 6>.961>2 9>9.64:9

>.:11:89 >.:1841? >.119:8> >.9>6?06 >.>9:208 >.>:946? >.911942 >.>>>016 >.>9:861 >.>>:91: >.>941>0 >.>>4160 >.>>1>1? >.>9:?:4

9668 9660 9661 966? 9662 9666 4>>> 4>>9 4>>4 4>>: 4>>8 4>>0

>.4>:441 >.2?>>>6 9.9?4??? >.>>8268 >.41>241 >.>>:?46 4.2???24 9.0>8?14 :.:4?018 >.>8???6 >.>>961? >.??:669

1?6?98.: ?0824?.1 169808.: 1169:2.9 ?2048>.0 1???:?.6 062?>>.> ?:2>12.4 ?1889:.0 20>600.: 614:46.? 64?440.>

996.4:>2 94>.6>69 940.1229 98>.:281 98:.2??1 994.0>>> 9>>.>>>> 94?.>>>> 98:.8:8: 90:.:629 90:.499> 904.6690

>.>9:94> >.>1814: >.>>?664 >.>>80:9 >.>4>>68 >.>419>0 >.>>6490 >.>:>428 >.>9>02> >.>89918 >.9209:> >.9:>994

ZPLI

4.:>241:

   

  

 

  

 

@c jketrist` ek cc`vi i ij`ptir ci bfpút`sfs euci h` ius`ejfi h` b`t`rksj`histfjfhih.

^TP@DI H@ OC@ZG@T



 

H`p`eh`et Qirfidc`7 @ L`tbkh7 C`ist Zquir`s Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 9179? Zilpc`(ihgust`h)7 962> 4>>0 Fejcuh`h kds`rvitfkes7 41 iat`r ihgustfeo `ehpkfets Qirfidc`

Jk`aafjf`et

Zth. @rrkr

t-Ztitfstfj

^rkd.

J R^L ^HKL

084.:>:: >.>>>8?4 -9.162414

0?8.21>? >.>>>?1> 8.26:680

>.68::10 >.14>290 ->.:8?>9:

>.:00: >.08>2 >.?:9?

T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh Hurdfe-_itske stit

>.>91?:2 ->.>12?1: 014.2814 ?421:>0. -966.601? 9.:1290?

L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj ^rkd(A-stitfstfj)



1::.2200 088.8:2? 90.194>1 90.?0?44 >.960?06 >.24:011

 

H`p`eh`et Qirfidc`7 @ L`tbkh7 C`ist Zquir`s Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 91744 Zilpc`(ihgust`h)7 962> 4>>0 Fejcuh`h kds`rvitfkes7 41 iat`r ihgustfeo `ehpkfets Qirfidc`

Jk`aafjf`et

Zth. @rrkr

t-Ztitfstfj

^rkd.

J R^L-9 ^HKL-9

9>>9.422 -9.?:@+>2 -?669.200

086.86:1 4.0>@+>2 00>?2.01

9.2444>4 ->.12664> ->.980>66

>.>290 >.86?9 >.2206

>.>4146? ->.>02:?4 01>.9>:8 ?490818. -966.246? 9.:6:92>

L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj ^rkd(A-stitfstfj)

T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh Hurdfe-_itske stit

1::.2200 088.8:2? 90.1>446 90.?8?80 >.:9>02? >.?:1>8:

 

   

H`p`eh`et Qirfidc`7 @ L`tbkh7 C`ist Zquir`s Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 9174: Zilpc`(ihgust`h)7 962> 4>>0 Fejcuh`h kds`rvitfkes7 41 iat`r ihgustfeo `ehpkfets Qirfidc`

Jk`aafjf`et

Zth. @rrkr

t-Ztitfstfj

^rkd.

J R^L9/4 ^HKL9/4

084.:>:: >.>>>688 -:.:61048

0?8.21>? >.>>904> 6.?2?26>

>.68::10 >.14>290 ->.:8?>9:

>.:00: >.08>2 >.?:9?

 

T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh Hurdfe-_itske stit

>.>91?:2 ->.>12?1: 014.2814 ?421:>0. -966.601? 9.:1290?

L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj ^rkd(A-stitfstfj)

1::.2200 088.8:2? 90.194>1 90.?0?44 >.960?06 >.24:011

   

 

H`p`eh`et Qirfidc`7 @ L`tbkh7 C`ist Zquir`s Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 91748 Zilpc`(ihgust`h)7 962> 4>>0 Fejcuh`h kds`rvitfkes7 41 iat`r ihgustfeo `ehpkfets Qirfidc`

Jk`aafjf`et

Zth. @rrkr

t-Ztitfstfj

^rkd.

J R^L-9/4 ^HKL-9/4

9>>9.422 -:.80@+>2 -9062:.?9

086.86:1 0.>>@+>2 99>90?.9

9.2444>4 ->.12664> ->.980>66

>.>290 >.86?9 >.2206

>.>4146? ->.>02:?4 01>.9>:8 ?490818. -966.246? 9.:6:92>

L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj ^rkd(A-stitfstfj)

T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh Hurdfe-_itske stit

     

1::.2200 088.8:2? 90.1>446 90.?8?80 >.:9>02? >.?:1>8:

  

H`p`eh`et Qirfidc`7 @4 L`tbkh7 C`ist Zquir`s Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 91741 Zilpc`(ihgust`h)7 962> 4>>0 Fejcuh`h kds`rvitfkes7 41 iat`r ihgustfeo `ehpkfets Qirfidc`

Jk`aafjf`et

Zth. @rrkr

t-Ztitfstfj

^rkd.

J R^L4 ^HKL4

?>6:>?.1 9.>?@->1 -:9.81?42

00:?1>.8 9.>?@->1 :2.8408:

9.42>26: 9.>>1620 ->.292692

>.49:> >.:488 >.8494

T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh Hurdfe-_itske stit

>.>8?806 ->.>:0:?9 66162?.2 4.46@+9: -:68.84:8 9.809?81

L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj ^rkd(A-stitfstfj)

     

12124:.2 6?629>.> :>.0?9>: :>.?914> >.0?461? >.0?9168

 

H`p`eh`et Qirfidc`7 @4 L`tbkh7 C`ist Zquir`s Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 91742 Zilpc`(ihgust`h)7 962> 4>>0 Fejcuh`h kds`rvitfkes7 41 iat`r ihgustfeo `ehpkfets Qirfidc` J

Jk`aafjf`et 8:6424.:

Zth. @rrkr 9>96:21.

t-Ztitfstfj >.8:>642

^rkd. >.1?>0

 

R^L ^HKL

9.:6:804 -04>?.206

T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh Hurdfe-_itske stit

>.>80:12 ->.>:?18: 662>29.4 4.46@+9: -:68.8096 9.8196::

9.:8?164 21?2.:99

9.>::600 ->.1>>9>>

L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj ^rkd(A-stitfstfj)

>.:996 >.008: 12124:.2 6?629>.> :>.0?:44 :>.?92:6 >.0810:> >.02146>

@c jketrist` h` Oc`sg`r, s`ùici qu` efeouei h` cis akrlis auejfkeic`s iuxfcfir`s r`sucti s`r sfoefafjitfvi ef `e su jkeguetk ef `e cks pirél`trks, pkr ck qu` s` kdvfiré juicquf`r pkeh`rijfúe t`etitfvi.

H@X@JJFKE H@ IPXKJKTT@CIJFKE LÆXKHK OTÉAFJK 40>>

4>>>

90>>

9>>>

0>>

> 2> 24 28 21 22 6> 64 68 61 62 >> >4 >8 @

^TP@DI H@ TIJBIZ 40>>

4>>>

90>>       @

9>>>

0>>

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0>>

9>>>

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4>>>

40>>

@(-9)

HPTDFE _IXZKE H`p`eh`et Qirfidc`7 L L`tbkh7 C`ist Zquir`s Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 94708 Zilpc`(ihgust`h)7 962> 4>>0 Fejcuh`h kds`rvitfkes7 41 iat`r ihgustfeo `ehpkfets Qirfidc`

Jk`aafjf`et

Zth. @rrkr

t-Ztitfstfj

^rkd.

J R^L ^HKL

-8:11.849 >.>>?960 :1.186?:

266.6866 >.>>996> ?.11909?

-8.209286 1.>8?914 8.?2:194

>.>>>9 >.>>>> >.>>>9

 

  T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh Hurdfe-_itske stit

>.244:?4 >.2>1641 229.989> 9?20?892 -499.19>4

>.601901

L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj ^rkd(A-stitfstfj)

HC

HP

8-HP

8-HC

9,44

9,00

4,80

4,?2

8826.044 4>>0.:96 91.0>282 91.10:18

0:.484>> >.>>>>>>

Cks fet`rvicks h` cks puetks h` sfoef6afjiejfi h`c `stihìstfjk Hurdfe-_itske, s`ùicie qu` `c qu` pr`s`eti `c lkh`ck `sti luy j`rjiek i >, ck qu` `s fehfjfk h` ue pksfdc` prkj`sk IT (9) pksftfvk. ^TP@DI –b“ HPTDFE 

@sti pru`di `s uei ict`reitfvi i piri cks lkh`cks qu` jketf`e`e virfidc`s r`zioihis, piri `c jisk h` ci `ehúo`ei ci pru`di suof`r`7

̄ ∗      ()  

 

 

H`p`eh`et Qirfidc`7 L L`tbkh7 C`ist Zquir`s Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 9?706 Zilpc`(ihgust`h)7 9629 4>>0 Fejcuh`h kds`rvitfkes7 40 iat`r ihgustfeo `ehpkfets Qirfidc`

Jk`aafjf`et

Zth. @rrkr

t-Ztitfstfj

^rkd.

J R^L ^HKL L(-9)

-42::.61? >.>>842: 49.:6210 >.82061>

6::.4060 >.>>90:9 2.::4?66 >.9069?4

-:.>:11:: 4.?6?6?0 4.012>>: :.>0:>89

>.>>1: >.>9>2 >.>9?6 >.>>1>

T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh Hurdfe-_itske stit

>.2?2>88 >.21>144 ?14.19:> 9449:909 -966.4942 9.?80?>>

L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj ^rkd(A-stitfstfj)

809:.6?1 4>84.?>6 91.40?>: 91.804>0 0>.:6??8 >.>>>>>>

∗  

 

 

Jke ck qu` piri `st` lkh`ck iuxfcfir, t`ehrìilks tildfæe iutkjkrr`cijfúe pu`stk qu` su `c`vihk vickr p`rlft` r`jbizir ci bfpút`sfs h` su ius`ejfi.

JKTT@CKOTILI Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 9279? Zilpc`7 962> 4>>0 Fejcuh`h kds`rvitfkes7 41  Iutkjkrr`citfke

^irtfic Jkrr`citfke

. |**** . |*** . |* . .**| . .**| . ***| . . *| . . | . . |* . . |**. . |**. . |* .

. |**** . |* . . *| . ***| . . | . . *| . . |**. . |* . . | . . | . . | . . *| .

| | | | | | | | | | | |

| | | | | | | | | | | |

9 4 : 8 0 1 ? 2 6 9> 99 94

IJ

^IJ

Y-Ztit

^rkd

>.0>4 >.:?4 >.94> ->.4>4 ->.402 ->.:12 ->.911 ->.>8> >.991 >.401 >.41? >.988

>.0>4 >.919 ->.919 ->.:11 ->.>0? ->.>64 >.440 >.>22 >.>00 >.>>1 >.>:2 ->.912

?.:8>> 99.084 94.>>> 9:.:81 90.114 4>.1>> 49.114 49.?41 44.462 40.4?9 42.?4> 46.?6?

>.>>? >.>>: >.>>? >.>9> >.>>2 >.>>4 >.>>: >.>>0 >.>>2 >.>>0 >.>>: >.>>:

@c jkrr`ckorili pkr su jklpkrtilf`etk, pir`j` s`ùicir ue prkj`sk IT (9), ck juic s` jklprkdiré jke `c t`st qu` sfou`7

^TXP@DI DT@PZJB OKHAT@V Dr`usjb-Okhar`y Z`rfic Jkrr`citfke CL X`st7 A-stitfstfj Kds*T-squir`h

4.44>499 94.299>4

^rkdidfcfty ^rkdidfcfty

>.>22:6> >.>?1286

X`st @quitfke7 H`p`eh`et Qirfidc`7 T@ZFH L`tbkh7 C`ist Zquir`s Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 92749 Qirfidc`

Jk`aafjf`et

Zth. @rrkr

t-Ztitfstfj

^rkd.

J R/(^R/^L)*9>> (H@A/^L)*9>> T@ZFH(-9) T@ZFH(-4) T@ZFH(-:) T@ZFH(-8) T@ZFH(-0) T@ZFH(-1) T@ZFH(-?)

-9201.8?: >.>>>222 6.64?046 >.9089>1 >.41:0>9 >.99446> ->.0>960? ->.4?460: ->.844800 >.989?1:

9?86.>89 >.>>996> 99.:0?28 >.46>412 >.4?:?80 >.4601>? >.46:0>4 >.:9?1>8 >.::06:4 >.:19>94

-9.>19848 >.?819>9 >.2?8>12 >.0:>6>6 >.6140?1 >.:?621: -9.?9>4:0 ->.20689: -9.40?014 >.:64128

>.:>8: >.8118 >.:60> >.1>42 >.:0>9 >.?>6> >.9>10 >.8>42 >.4411 >.166?

T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh Hurdfe-_itske stit

>.864?:9 >.4>?:6: ?04.8::2 6>020>1. -4>4.?216 9.6081:4

L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj ^rkd(A-stitfstfj)

2.2:@-9: 2.2:@- 9: 280.91>2 91.:124: 91.20499 9.?412:9 >.91:996

 

 

Dr`usjb-Okhar`y Z`rfic Jkrr`citfke CL X`st7 A-stitfstfj Kds*T-squir`h

4.44>499 94.299>4

^rkdidfcfty ^rkdidfcfty

>.>22:6> >.>?1286

X`st @quitfke7 H`p`eh`et Qirfidc`7 T@ZFH L`tbkh7 C`ist Zquir`s Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 92744 Qirfidc`

Jk`aafjf`et

Zth. @rrkr

t-Ztitfstfj

^rkd.

J R/(^R/^L)*9>> (H@A/^L)*9>> T@ZFH(-9) T@ZFH(-4) T@ZFH(-:) T@ZFH(-8) T@ZFH(-0) T@ZFH(-1) T@ZFH(-?)

-9201.8?: >.>>>222 6.64?046 >.9089>1 >.41:0>9 >.99446> ->.0>960? ->.4?460: ->.844800 >.989?1:

9?86.>89 >.>>996> 99.:0?28 >.46>412 >.4?:?80 >.4601>? >.46:0>4 >.:9?1>8 >.::06:4 >.:19>94

-9.>19848 >.?819>9 >.2?8>12 >.0:>6>6 >.6140?1 >.:?621: -9.?9>4:0 ->.20689: -9.40?014 >.:64128

>.:>8: >.8118 >.:60> >.1>42 >.:0>9 >.?>6> >.9>10 >.8>42 >.4411 >.166?

T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh Hurdfe-_itske stit

>.864?:9 >.4>?:6: ?04.8::2 6>020>1. -4>4.?216 9.6081:4

L`ie h`p`eh`etvir vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj ^rkd(A-stitfstfj)

2.2:@-9: 2.2:@- 9: 280.91>2 91.:124: 91.20499 9.?412:9 >.91:996

Dr`usjb-Okhar`y Z`rfic Jkrr`citfke CL X`st7 A-stitfstfj Kds*T-squir`h

4.?14280 99.4261>

^rkdidfcfty ^rkdidfcfty

>.>0>06> >.>806:9

X`st @quitfke7 H`p`eh`et Qirfidc`7 T@ZFH L`tbkh7 C`ist Zquir`s Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 92744 Qirfidc` Jk`aafjf`et J R/(^R/^L)*9>> (H@A/^L)*9>> T@ZFH(-9) T@ZFH(-4) T@ZFH(-:) T@ZFH(-8) T@ZFH(-0)

-942:.800 >.>>>118 1.?198>0 >.4:6689 >.:108?8 >.>0>?>6 ->.00>?10 ->.4:8491

T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh

>.8:8490 >.498922 ?86.4>90 9>9>:80: -4>8.4>14

Hurdfe-_itske stit

9.66:809

Zth. @rrkr

t-Ztitfstfj

^rkd.

94:0.1?4 >.>>9942 2.809829 >.406:6? >.4892:1 >.4102>> >.426?08 >.:9868>

-9.>:21?> >.0226:1 >.2>>>41 >.64866? 9.09940> >.96>??6 -9.6>>2>1 ->.?8:12:

>.:94? >.01:4 >.8:89 >.:1?4 >.9829 >.20>2 >.>?:0 >.811?

L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj

2.2:@-9: 2.2:@- 9: 280.91>2 91.:4:00 91.?9>11 9.6?:81>

^rkd(A-stitfstfj)

>.9919:?

 

@sti pru`di, s`ùici qu` `c prkdc`li s` skcujfkeirìi i pirtfr h`c r`ziok 1, sfe `ldirok, `c jkrr`ckorili ipueti bijfi uei skcujfúe qu` s` is`l`gi ic ^rkj`sk  IT(9), piri ci jkrr`jjfúe s` bi jkesfh`rihk uei jklpirijfúe qu` `vicuiri ci `afjf`ejfi h` jihi skcujfúe pkr l`hfk h`c jkrr`ckorili7

ZKCPJFKE X@EXIXFQI 9, ^TKJ@ZK IT(9)7 H`p`eh`et Qirfidc`7 LT L`tbkh7 C`ist Zquir`s Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 96748 Zilpc`(ihgust`h)7 9629 4>>0 Fejcuh`h kds`rvitfkes7 40 iat`r ihgustfeo `ehpkfets Jkev`ro`ej` ijbf`v`h iat`r 99 ft`ritfkes Qirfidc`

Jk`aafjf`et

Zth. @rrkr

t-Ztitfstfj

^rkd.

J R^L ^HKL  IT(9)

9494.842 >.>>>?42 82.?1182 >.60:084

?88:.1:9 >.>>9492 2.8>0928 >.>66:41

>.914229 >.06?882 0.2>960: 6.1>>982

>.2?44 >.0011 >.>>>> >.>>>>

T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh

>.6:>0:> >.64>1>1 0?0.0?80 160?>>1. -964.9?2:

Hurdfe-_itske stit Fev`rt`h IT Tkkts

4.:>1288 .60

L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj

809:.6?1 4>84.?>6 90.16841 90.22642 6:.?14?2

^rkd(A-stitfstfj)

>.>>>>>>

Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 96742 Zilpc`7 9629 4>>0 Fejcuh`h kds`rvitfkes7 40 Y-stitfstfj prkdidfcftf`s ihgust`h akr 9  ITLI t`rl(s)  Iutkjkrr`citfke

^irtfic Jkrr`citfke

.**| . . | . . *| . . |* . .**| . .**| . . |**. . *| . . *| . . *| . . |**. . *| .

.**| . . | . . *| . . |* . . *| . ***| . . |**. . | . . *| . . *| . . | . . | .

| | | | | | | | | | | |

| | | | | | | | | | | |

9 4 : 8 0 1 ? 2 6 9> 99 94

IJ

^IJ

Y-Ztit

^rkd

->.49? >.>40 ->.>11 >.949 ->.498 ->.402 >.460 ->.99> ->.>1: ->.9>> >.408 ->.9>6

->.49? ->.>4: ->.>12 >.>62 ->.9?2 ->.:?4 >.4>: ->.>8? ->.9:6 ->.996 >.>08 ->.>42

9.:449 9.:8>: 9.8?49 9.6800 :.82?4 0.2884 6.9>?0 6.0694 6.?1>9 9>.49> 9:.:4: 9:.680

>.48? >.8?6 >.028 >.82> >.:44 >.912 >.49: >.424 >.::8 >.4>1 >.4:1

 

9>>>

0>>

>

-0>>

9>>> 24 28 21 22 6> 64 68 61 62 >> >4 >8

 

LT T`sfhuics

ZKCPJFKE X@EXIXFQI 9, ^TKJ@ZK IT(1)7

H`p`eh`et Qirfidc`7 L L`tbkh7 C`ist Zquir`s Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 96746 Zilpc`(ihgust`h)7 9621 4>>0 Fejcuh`h kds`rvitfkes7 4> iat`r ihgustfeo `ehpkfets Jkev`ro`ej` ijbf`v`h iat`r 99 ft`ritfkes Qirfidc`

Jk`aafjf`et

Zth. @rrkr

t-Ztitfstfj

^rkd.

J R^L ^HKL  IT(1)

-08?>.?80 >.>>066? 0:.>?888 ->.0?6>62

164.61:9 >.>>9026 9>.2:16> >.96:194

-?.268?98 :.??0488 8.26?01? -4.669>46

>.>>>> >.>>9? >.>>>4 >.>>21

T-squir`h  Ihgust`h T-squir`h Z.@. ka r`or`ssfke Zul squir`h r`sfh Cko cfm`cfbkkh Hurdfe-_itske stit

>.6>6480 >.264442 162.0486 ?2>1664. -90?.941? 9.8:00:1

Fev`rt`h IT Tkkts

.?6+.81f -.?6+.81f

L`ie h`p`eh`et vir Z.H. h`p`eh`et vir Imifm` feak jrft`rfke Zjbwirz jrft`rfke A-stitfstfj ^rkd(A-stitfstfj) .?6 -.81f -.?6 -.81f

.>> -.69f

8200.:9: 494?.?6: 91.9941? 91.:9924 0:.8:429 >.>>>>>> -.>>+.69f

Hit`7 >:/:9/94 Xfl`7 967:> Zilpc`7 9621 4>>0 Fejcuh`h kds`rvitfkes7 4> Y-stitfstfj prkdidfcftf`s ihgust`h akr 9  ITLI t`rl(s)  Iutkjkrr`citfke

^irtfic Jkrr`citfke

. | . . | . . | . . | . . | . . |* . . | . . *| . . | . . | . . | .

. | . . | . . | . . | . . | . . |* . . | . . *| . . | . . | . . | .

| | | | | | | | | | |

| | | | | | | | | | |

9 4 : 8 0 1 ? 2 6 9> 99

IJ

^IJ

Y-Ztit

^rkd

>.>:8 >.>>1 >.>48 ->.>09 ->.>89 >.>2? ->.>:4 ->.>1> >.>18 >.>8? ->.>:9

>.>:8 >.>>0 >.>48 ->.>0: ->.>:2 >.>6> ->.>:0 ->.>1> >.>19 >.>0: ->.>:9

>.>4?9 >.>4?6 >.>846 >.9982 >.9109 >.8>80 >.8:28 >.0?>8 >.?:92 >.2429 >.2?06

>.21? >.6?6 >.66> >.66? >.660 >.666 >.666 >.666 9.>>> 9.>>>

 

 

 

. | .

|

. | .

|

94 >.>>6 ->.>>6 >.22>2 9.>>>

4>>>

9>>>

>

9>>>

4>>> 21

22

6>

64

68

61

62

>>

>4

>8

LT T`sfhuics

@e ildis kpjfke`s, `c jkrr`ckorili s`ùici qu` ci jkrr`jjfúe `s ih`juihi, sfe `ldirok, s` `vfh`ejfi uei ektidc` hfa`r`ejfi `e `c prkj`sk IT(1), v`lks qu` p`s` i qu` su pirél`trk pf`rh` r`citfvi sfoefafjiejfi, `c jklpkrtilf`etk h` cks r`sfhuks h`c lkh`ck jke IT(1) iuequ` iue virfidc`, `s lis `stidc` qu` `c qu` pr`s`eti `c lkh`ck jke IT(9) y iuequ` `c jk`afjf`et` h` h`t`rlfeijfúe h`c lkh`ck ji` : puetks, kptilks pkr tklir jklk vicfhk `st` lkh`ck, sfe `ldirok, ci cflftiet` h` ci ar`ju`ejfi h` cks hitks (ieuic), r`strfeo` cis jkejcusfke`s qu` h` `ccks s` pu`h`e fea`rfr.

Dfdcfkoriaìi   DIEJK J@EXTIC H@C @JPIHKT (Ektis L`tkhkcúofjis, y Dkc`tfe`s

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@stihìstfjks ‚virfks e÷l`rks)   J@^IC(IEP J@^IC(IEPITFKZ ITFKZ @ZXIHFZXFJKZ,QITFKZ E×L@TKZ)   WILDTIEK, ^. (4>99). Lijrk`jkekl Lijrk`jkeklìi ìi 

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