Hamilton County Judges Case Study

Memorandum To:

The Cincinnati Enquirer

CC:

Kristen DelGuzzi

From:

Ashley N. Ear;

Date:

September 16, 2007

Re:

Data Analysis of Hamilton County Judges

Probabilities used to assist assist with w ith Ranking of Hamilton Hamilton County Count y Judges After the current statistics were gathered to produce data analysis regarding Hamilton County Judges, we can come to a conclusion and rank judges appropriately by their  probability to be appealed, appealed, reversed and a combination of the the both. With the provided data analysis, I have included statistics to all probabilities including: total cases disposed, appealed cases, reversed cases, probability of appeal, rank by probability of appeal, probability of reversal, rank by probability of reversal, conditional probability of reversal given appeal, rank by conditional probability of reversal given appeal and overall sum of ranks. The judges that rank the highest (i.e. 1 st, 2 nd , 3 rd ) have the lowest probability to have appealed cases, reversed cases and lowest conditional probability of reversed cases given appeal. In my opinion, opinion, by ranking the judges as such, such, we can see how often their ruling is upheld, which is ultimately desirable when concerning the credibility of a judge.

November 5, 2007

Judges with Lowest Probability of Reversal given that they have had an Appeal: Court Common Pleas Domestic Relations Municipal 

Judge Thomas Nurre Ronald Panioto Karla Grady & Deidra Hair

Probability of Reversal 0.04959 0.09375 0.00000

Taking into consideration the sum of all rankings of all three probabilities, we can come up with a general ranking of the top Judges from each court. This is a representation of ranking the overall  effectiveness of the judges. This is done by taking a sum of all of the three ranking variables and whoever has the lowest sum represents the judge with the best rankings. The following conclusion was made: As shown by my data analysis below, Judge Ralph Winkler has the best ranking in Common Pleas Court, Ronald Panioto has the best ranking in Domestic Relations Court and Karla Grady has the best ranking in Municipal Court.

The Data Analysis is included in the following pages to allow for room to include all the data.

Data Analysis Regarding Common Pleas Court: Common Pleas Court

Judge Fred Cartolano Thomas Crush Patrick Dinkelacker Timothy Hogan Robert Kraft William Mathews William Morrissey  Norbert Nadel Arthur Ney Jr. Richard Niehaus Thomas Nurre John O'Connor Robert Ruehlman J. Howard Sundermann Jr. Ann Marie Tracey Ralph Winkler Total

  s   e   s    d   a   e    C  s    l   o   a   p    t   s   o   i    T   D

3037 3372 1258 1954 3138 2264 3032 2959 3219 3353 3000 2969 3205 955 3141 3089 43945

  s   e   s   a    C    d   e    l   a   e   p   p    A

137 119 44 60 127 91 121 131 125 137 121 129 145 60 127 88 1762

  s   e   s   a    C    d   e   s   r   e   v   e    R

12 10 8 7 7 18 22 20 14 16 6 12 18 10 13 6 199

   f   o   y    t    i    l    i    l    b   a   a    b   e   p   o   r   p    P   A

0.04511 0.03529 0.03498 0.03071 0.04047 0.04019 0.03991 0.04427 0.03883 0.04086 0.04033 0.04345 0.04524 0.06283 0.04043 0.02849 0.65139

   k   n   a    R

14 4 3 2 10 7 6 13 5 11 8 12 15 16 9 1

   f   o   y    t    i    l    i    l   a    b   s   a   r    b   e   v   o   r   e    P   R

0.00395 0.00297 0.00636 0.00358 0.00223 0.00795 0.00726 0.00676 0.00435 0.00477 0.00200 0.00404 0.00562 0.01047 0.00414 0.00194 0.07839

   k   n   a    R

6 4 12 5 3 15 14 13 9 10 2 7 11 16 8 1

  n    f   e   v    l   o   i   a   t   y   G   n   i    l   o   l    i   a   l    i    t   s   a    i    b   a   r    d   b   e   e   n   o   v   p   o   r   e   p    C   P   R   A

0.08759 0.08403 0.18182 0.11667 0.05512 0.19780 0.18182 0.15267 0.11200 0.11679 0.04959 0.09302 0.12414 0.16667 0.10236 0.06818 1.80268

   k   n   a    R

  s    k   n   a    R    f   o   m   u    S

5 4 14 9 2 16 15 12 8 10 1 6 11 13 7 3

25 12 29 16 15 38 35 38 22 31 11 25 37 45 24 5

Data Analysis Regarding Municipal Court: Municipal Court

Judge Mike Allen  Nadine Allen Timothy Black David Davis Leslie Isaiah Gaines Karla Grady Deidra Hair Dennis Helmick Timothy Hogan James Patrick Kenney Joseph Luebbers William Mallory Melba Marsh Beth Mattingly Albert Mestemaker Mark Painter Jack Rosen Mark Schweikert David Stockdale John A. West Total

  s   e   s    d   a   e    C  s    l   o   a   p    t   s   o   i    T   D

6149 7812 7954 7736 5282 5253 2532 7900 2308 2798 4698 8277 8219 2971 4975 2239 7790 5403 5371 2797 108464

  s   e   s   a    C    d   e    l   a   e   p   p    A

43 34 41 43 35 6 5 29 13 6 25 38 34 13 28 7 41 33 22 4 500

  s   e   s   a    C    d   e   s   r   e   v   e    R

4 6 6 5 13 0 0 5 2 1 8 9 7 1 9 3 13 6 4 2 104

   f   o   y    t    i    l    i    l    b   a   a    b   e   p   o   r   p    P   A

0.00699 0.00435 0.00515 0.00556 0.00663 0.00114 0.00197 0.00367 0.00563 0.00214 0.00532 0.00459 0.00414 0.00438 0.00563 0.00313 0.00526 0.00611 0.00410 0.00143 0.08733

   k   n   a    R

20 9 12 15 19 1 3 6 17 4 14 11 8 10 16 5 13 18 7 2

   f   o   y    t    i    l    l    i   a    b   s   a   r    b   e   v   o   r   e    P   R

0.00065 0.00077 0.00075 0.00065 0.00246 0.00000 0.00000 0.00063 0.00087 0.00036 0.00170 0.00109 0.00085 0.00034 0.00181 0.00134 0.00167 0.00111 0.00074 0.00072 0.01850

  n    f   e   v   o    i    l   a   t   y   G   n   i   o   l    i    l   a    i    l    t   s    i    b   r   a   a    d    k   e   e    b   n   n   o   v   p   a   o   r   e   p    R    C   P   R   A

   k   n   a    R

  s    k   n   a    R    f   o   m   u    S

6 10 9 5 19 1 1 4 12 3 17 13 11 2 18 15 16 14 8 7

3 9 5 4 17 1 1 8 6 7 15 13 12 2 10 18 14 10 11 19

29 28 26 24 55 3 5 18 35 14 46 37 31 14 44 38 43 42 26 28

0.09302 0.17647 0.14634 0.11628 0.37143 0.00000 0.00000 0.17241 0.15385 0.16667 0.32000 0.23684 0.20588 0.07692 0.32143 0.42857 0.31707 0.18182 0.18182 0.50000 4.16683

Data Analysis Regarding Domestic Relations Court: Domestic Relations Court

Judge Penelope Cunningham Patrick Dinkelacker Deborah Gaines Ronald Panioto Total

  s   e   s    d   a   e    C  s    l   o   a   p    t   s   o   i    T   D

2729 6001 8799 12970 30499

  s   e   s   a    C    d   e    l   a   e   p   p    A

7 19 48 32 106

  s   e   s   a    C    d   e   s   r   e   v   e    R

1 4 9 3 17

   f   o   y    t    i    l    i    l    b   a   a    b   e   p   o   r   p    P   A

0.00257 0.00317 0.00546 0.00247 0.01365

   k   n   a    R

2 3 4 1

   f   o   y    t    i    l    l    i   a    b   s   a   r    b   e   v   o   r   e    P   R

0.00037 0.00067 0.00102 0.00023 0.00229

   k   n   a    R

2 3 4 1

  n    f   e   v    l   o   i   a   t   y   G   n   i    l   o   l    i   a   l    i    t   s   a    i    b   a   r    d   b   e   e   n   o   v   p   o   r   e   p    C   P   R   A

0.14286 0.21053 0.18750 0.09375 0.63463

   k   n   a    R

  s    k   n   a    R    f   o   m   u    S

2 4 3 1

6 10 11 3