GoPro's Equity Story
Short Description
This short deck tells the equity story behind GoPro - the high growth HD camera manufacturer and retailer. We look at...
Description
GOPRO A GLOBAL MEDIA BRAND
Tell the Story Behind the Numbers
Table of Contents • Recent Capital Markets Activity • Online Camera Market Overview • Company Considerations – Share price performance – Recent Corporate Actions (eg. M&A, news announcements) – Operating Performance – Valuation
Executive Summary •
GoPro, the manufacturer of high definition personal capture devices, is rapidly gaining market share in the digital capture market.
•
Current and future revenues will come from “Virtuous Cycle” –
People film content with social currency which is shared -> more people view content and are then compelled to buy a GoPro which repeats
•
As a media platform it could have the ability to curate the best content and gain advertising/royalties etc.
•
The market seems very optimistic about GoPro’s media platform opportunity which is at least 2-3 years from materialising. Based on our valuation analysis, the company is not trading on fundamentals: – – –
•
Based on forecasts, a 5-year discounted cash flow model yields a per share valuation of $21.30 GoPro currently trades at $68.2 on NYSE – an implied 3x market premium to the fundamental DCF value Looking at a trading multiples valuation we see that GoPro has a 286% market premium on its P/ E multiple and an 88% premium on its EV/Sales
It is far too early for long-term investors to be able to tell whether GoPro will have staying power or will be out-competed by larger counterparts like Sony, Google, or Apple.
RECENT CAPITAL MARKETS ACTIVITY
Investor Sentiment Quotes • “We believe GoPro is an atypical consumer electronics company, because it has successfully differentiated through the content and engaging experiences it enables, not through the wearable capture device itself.”(Citi) • “One thing that surprised us is just how large and profitable the company already is for a “start-up.”” (Barclays) • “If their cameras continue to evolve, then narcissistic thrill seekers might not be GoPro's ultimate market at all.”
Investor Sentiment Quotes • “It is far too early for long-term investors to be able to tell whether GoPro will have staying power or will be outcompeted by larger counterparts like Sony, Google, or Apple.” • “The social media video sharing aspect to GoPro is an interesting one, but far too early to consider it a viable revenue stream.” • “The commoditization of action cams is inevitable, decreasing margins.”
CAMERA MARKET OVERVIEW
Camera Market Overview
• •
Camera & Camcorder Market Units shipped Comparison 5000 4000
100
2000
25.00%
5.00%
20.00%
4.00%
15.00%
3.00%
10.00%
2.00%
5.00%
1.00%
0.00%
0.00% 2011
2012
camcorder market
2013 camera Market
50
1000 0
0 2011
1,000.0
Camera market
Camcorder market
6.00%
150
3000
GoPro Share of Camera & Camcorder market 30.00%
200
2012 GoPro
2013 total
Revenue by Geography (1000’s)
500.0
0.0 2011 Americas
2012 EMEA APEC
2013 total
Total (1000’s)
•
GoPro is gaining market share in both the camera and camcorder markets, with 27% and 5% share respectively. The overall digital capture market has fallen by 44% - GoPro however has grown by 240%. Revenue growth in APAC has been slow. US and EMEA have been strong Camera market is trending towards the “selfie” culture
GoPro
•
GoPro Market Overview • • •
GoPro is among the most viewed brands on Top performing channels in Outdoor Youtube activities & adventure sports category (m) As a media platform it can curate the best content and gain advertising/royalties etc 875 Redbull is currently the leader in this genre 720 of branded marketing –
• •
534
Partnerships such as Stratos jump
340
Only 36% of US have seen GoPro videos Youtube channel is consistently gaining in views and subscribers
redbull discovery gopro
Gopro channel - # Subscribers and Uploaded video views. 2014
subscribers
Uploaded Video views
dcshoes xtreme vid
Uploaded video views (mil)
Have you seen GoPro branded content? (Citi) 560 540 520 500 480 460 440 420 400
Subsrcibers (mil)
2.3 2.2 2.1 2 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5
232
No, and I have never heard of GoPro before,
14% 50% 36%
Yes, I have seen GoPro content before, No, but I have heard of GoPro before,
Competitive Landscape • Cameras – Sony – Garmin – Polaroid – Ion – JVC – Panasonic – Drift
• Consumer – iRobot Corp – Lululemon athletica – Chipotle Mexican Grill – Michael Kors Holdings – Hain Celestial Group – Annies inc
• Online – RedBull – Discovery Channel
COMPANY CONSIDERATIONS
Key Company Considerations • •
Hardware will lead growth in near term Possible upside should media platform deliver (2016 expected) – – – –
•
Advertising opportunities Licensing (Getty images platform) Software and studio initiatives (investments in video editing) Secured deals with Virgin Atlantic, Microsoft Xbox and BMW iDrive
Current and future revenues will come from “Virtuous Cycle” – People film content with social currency which is shared -> more people view content and are then compelled to buy a GoPro which repeats – Citi research suggests only 36% of US consumers have seen GoPro videos suggesting the market still offers significant upside
•
Strong management team. – Nicholas Woodman – Highly regarded CEO, holds a majority stake – Tony Bates hired just prior before IPO. Ex-Microsoft/Skype and former board member of Youtube – Jack Lazar – Corporate development and general manager at QUALCOMM
Key Company Considerations •
Highly competitive market – Direct competitors are established and have the revenue and influence to gain back market share.
• •
GoPro market share will fall as low end category growth increases. Action cameras will only be adopted by so many people. – Google glass style technology and better mobile phones will limit mainstream sales. • GoPro suggests mobile might actually be complementary so this is contentious.
•
“Cool” factor may not work on mainstream – Consumer may rather just look at price and ease of use.
•
To break APAC market a lower cost unit needed which will depress margins – Likely product model similar to Apple – Ipod touch/nano/shuffle
•
Media will be difficult to monetize as they do not own content
Share Price Performance vs Competitors (Last 12 Months) Price index (re-based September)
200 180 160
Garmin
Sony
Apple
Netgear
Nike
GPRO IPO – 26/6/2014
Current date – 12/09/2014
IPO Price - $24
High – $70.9
Peer group growth- 8.4%
GPRO growth – 184.5%
Tesla
UnderArmour
140 120 100 80 60 40 Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
GoPro Financial Forecasts Sales & Growth (‘14-’18)
• Lower cost units required to penetrate mass market eg. APAC
3.0
Sales
Growth (%)
36
35
2.5
• Sales growth should continue in near term due to strong market presence
EBIT (1000’s)
14%
250 11% 200 150
12%
13% 201
15% 275
16% 14%
235
12%
170
10%
134
8% 6%
100
4% 50
2%
0
0% 2014E
2015E
2016E
2017E
2018E
27
2.0
2.0 25
1.7 1.5
20
1.3
18 17
17 15
1.0 10 0.5 5
-
0 2014E
2015E
2016E
2017E
2018E
Growth in sales
Units sold (mil)
300
EBIT margin
EBIT Margin (%)
2.3 30
EBIT & Margin (‘14-’18) EBIT
40
2.8
Media Platform as Potential Catalyst • • • •
Media Platform could prove lucrative if online viewership continues its growth The two main revenue sources we forecast for this business model is advertising and licensing GoPro’s demographic is 18-34 YO which is the most sought after from advertisers Based on a forecast 4 billion video views at $10 and 40,000 videos sold at $500, incremental $60 million annual revenues can be achieved from the media opportunity.
Revenues from advertising.($millions)
Number of views Billions
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
$6.00 $6.00 $12.00 $18.00 $24.00 $30.00 $36.00 $42.00
Net revenue per 1000 views (CPM $ ) Avg $7.60 $8.00 $10.00 $12.00 $7.60 $8.00 $10.00 $12.00 $15.20 $16.00 $20.00 $24.00 $22.80 $24.00 $30.00 $36.00 $30.40 $32.00 $40.00 $48.00 $38.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $45.60 $48.00 $60.00 $72.00 $53.20 $56.00 $70.00 $84.00
Revenues from licencing based on Getty images ($ millions) Average price per video ($) 100 200 500 1000 10,000 $1.00 $2.00 $5.00 $10.00 20,000 $2.00 $4.00 $10.00 $20.00 30,000 $3.00 $6.00 $15.00 $30.00 Number of videos sold 40,000 $4.00 $8.00 $20.00 $40.00 50,000 $5.00 $10.00 $25.00 $50.00 60,000 $6.00 $12.00 $30.00 $60.00
$14.00 $14.00 $28.00 $42.00 $56.00 $70.00 $84.00 $98.00
2500 $25.00 $50.00 $75.00 $100.00 $125.00 $150.00
$16.00 $16.00 $32.00 $48.00 $64.00 $80.00 $96.00 $112.00
5000 $50.00 $100.00 $150.00 $200.00 $250.00 $300.00
Key Financial Metrics - Gearing Net Debt / EBITDA 2013A -0.03x
2014E
2015E
2016E
• GoPro’s down payment of long standing debt of $53,315 using the proceeds of the IPO means its financing will become cash and equity based.
2017E
-0.63x -1.11x -1.46x -1.81x
Net Debt / (Cash) (1000’s $) 12
69
56 -34 -194 -395
2013A
2014E
2015E
2016E
2017E
2018E
Key Financial Metrics - Liquidity Payables Days •
The company overall has demonstrated positive liquidity management metrics since 2012 which is forecast to continue
138 134
134 130
129
•
Payables days has been falling but is forecast to rise
•
Receivables are expected to increase slightly
141
124
2012A 2013A 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E
Inventory Days
Receivables Days
74 66
62
59
56
98 53
51
2012A 2013A 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E
72
78
82
81
2012A 2013A 2014E 2015E 2016E
86
88
2017E 2018E
Headline Operational Metrics • Profit margins are forecast to rise and meet the 40-42% margin target • R&D is growing as competition increases
Sales Growth Americas
EMEA
APEC
Total
3000000
R&D Spend $000s
• GoPro is showing robust growth, and has potential for this to continue, especially in the US
80000 60000 40000 20000 0
2010
Net income
Profit Margin (%) 50%
35%
38%
40%
100000
1000000
42%
43% 192785
164652
150000
1500000
2013
300000
200000
2000000
2012
Net Profit ($m) and Margins (%)
250000
2500000
2011
118893
30%
140761
20%
91517
10%
50000
500000
0
0% 2014E
0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
40%
2015E
2016E
2017E
2018E
Acquisition History Announced Date March 30th 2011 October 2013
Target
Description
CineForm
Codec Software
$9.9 million
GeneralThings
Web development
$2.9 million
(content management)
Cost
Potential M&A Target Fullscreen • •
Buying out a network such as Fullscreen could accelerate the push towards a full-scale content platform Headquarters –
•
Founded Date –
•
International
Sales Channels –
•
>150
Geographic Mix –
•
Jan 2011
No. Employees –
•
Culver City, California
Youtube
Product Overview – –
A network of content creators and brands on Youtube. Over 3 billion monthly views.
COMPANY VALUATION
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis Years Financial Year (Dec. Year end) Total Turnover growth (%) EBIT margin (%) Depreciation & Amortisation Tax @ 30.0% Capital Expenditure Capex/Sales (%) Working Capital Working Capital / Sales (%) Free Cash Flow Discount Factor Terminal Value Present Value Enterprise Value (m) Net Debt as at Market Capitalisation (m) No. Shares (m) Share Price ($)
0 2013 985,737
1 2014 1,335,981 35.5%
2 2015 1,696,251 27.0%
3 2016 2,008,230 18.4%
4 2017 2,349,086 17.0%
5 2018 2,750,466 17.1%
98,703 10.0%
101,450 7.6%
201,151 11.9%
295,247 14.7%
412,150 17.5%
521,674 19.0%
10,900.0
12,844.4
23,738.4
54,953.1
89,202.3
128,692.1
(29610.9) 18325.6 -1.9%
(30435.0) 40079.4 -3.0%
(60345.4) 101775.1 -6.0%
(88574.1) 140576.1 -7.0%
(123645.0) 187926.9 -8.0%
(156502.2) 247541.9 -9.0%
32582.0 -3.3%
(87461.2) 6.5%
(40974.7) 2.4%
(23648.9) 1.2%
(24254.0) 1.0%
(40508.1) 1.5%
94248.5
-43681.3
21794.5
97400.9
165526.3
205814.0
0.8939
0.7990
0.7142
0.6384
0.5707
-39045.96
17414.39
69567.25
105679.21
117456.78
2,851 172.5 2,678 126 21.30
5 Terminal Period 205814.0 0.5707 4,520,624 2,579,892
Relative Valuation - Trading Competitor
Market Cap
Enterprise Value ($m)
EV/Sales
P/E
2014
2015
2016
2014
2015
2016
880.44
1.6x
1.4x
1.2x
33.0x
25.8x
21.5x
iRobot Corp
1076
Garmin Ltd
11026
8154
2.9x
2.8x
2.8x
19.1x
17.6x
16.5
Lululemon athletica
5644
4946
3.1x
2.8x
2.4x
19.9x
22.2x
18.6
Chipotle Mexican Grill
18414
18090
4.7x
4.1x
3.7x
47.9x
37.3x
31.9
Michael Kors Holdings
16589
15643
4.7x
3.7x
3.0x
25.2x
20.5x
17.3
Hain Celestial Group
4303
4927
2.3x
2.0x
1.9x
27.2x
23.2x
21.5
Annies inc
537
520
2.2x
1.9x
1.6x
35.0x
27.9x
27.8
Mean
3.1x
2.7x
2.4x
29.6x
24.9x
22.2x
Median
3.0x
2.8x
2.4x
27.2x
23.2x
21.5x
Mean
3,931
4,359
4,590
1,916
3,462
4,564
Median
3,835
4,577
4,647
1,760
3,222
4,429
Current Market Cap
7400
Gopro Implied Market Cap
Min
1,760
Max
4,647
Market Premium (%)
88%
70%
61%
286%
114%
62%
93%
62%
59%
321%
130%
67%
$34.66
$36.50
$15.24
$27.53
$36.30
# of shares
126
Share price
$31.26
Valuation Commentary •
Based on above forecasts, a 5-year discounted cash flow model yields a per share valuation of $21.30
•
GoPro currently trades at $68.2 on NYSE – an implied 3.2x market premium to fundamental DCF value
•
Looking at a trading multiples valuation we see that GoPro has a 286% market premium on its P/E multiple and an 88% premium on its EV/Sales
•
Only 14% of total shares were floated, creating an implicit valuation premium – an effect which may be eliminated if insiders such as CEO Woodman sell their shares
•
The market seems very optimistic about GoPro and is not trading on fundamentals
APPENDIX
Income Statement GoPro Income Statement Net Sales
Hist.
Hist.
Hist
Proj.
Proj.
Proj.
Proj.
Proj.
31-Dec-11
31-Dec-12
31-Dec-13
31-Dec-14
31-Dec-15
31-Dec-16
31-Dec-17
31-Dec-18
234,238.0
526,016.0
985,737.0
1,335,981.1
1,696,251.4
2,008,230.2
2,349,086.0
2,750,465.8
COGS
111,683
298,530
623,953
868,387.7
1,051,675.9
1,204,938.1
1,362,469.9
1,567,765.5
SG&A
83,776
173,869
263,081
366,143.5
443,424.3
508,045.2
574,466.3
661,026.3
EBIT
38,779.0
53,617.0
98,703.0
101,449.9
201,151.2
295,246.9
412,149.9
521,674.0
600.0
2,800.0
10,900.0
12,844.4
23,738.4
54,953.1
89,202.3
128,692.1
56,417.0
109,603.0
114,294.3
224,889.6
350,200.0
501,352.2
650,366.2
0.0 0.0 2,781.2
0.0 172.2 1,127.3
0.0 1,143.7 0.0
0.0 2,944.1 0.0
198,370.0
294,291.8
413,293.5
524,618.2
Depreciation Amortization EBITDA
-32
-392
-6020
0.0 507.1 7,398.7
38,855.0
54,055.0
97,351.0
94,558.3
Non-recurring items
0.0
0.0
7,374.0
Interest Income
44
46
2
Interest Expense Profit before taxes Taxes Profit after tax Discountinued Operations (Profit) Net income
14,179
20,948
30,751
29,868.8
59,511.0
88,287.5
123,988.1
157,385.5
24,676.0
33,107.0
66,600.0
64,689.4
138,859.0
206,004.3
289,305.5
367,232.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
24,676.0
33,107.0
66,600.0
64,689.4
138,859.0
206,004.3
289,305.5
367,232.7
125,745.0
125,745.0
125,745.0
125,745.0
125,745.0
125,745.0
$0.73
$0.51
$1.10
$1.64
$2.30
$2.92
$0.00
Shareholder information Diluted weighted average shares outstanding Diluted earnings per share
0.0
0.0
0.0
$0.00 0.0
$0.00 0.0
$0.00 0.0
$0.00 0.0
$0.00 0.0
52.3%
43.2% 38.3%
36.7% 84.1%
35.0% 2.8%
38.0% 98.3%
40.0% 46.8%
42.0% 39.6%
43.0% 26.6%
Dividends per share Dividends
Gross Margin EBIT Growth
Balance sheet Balance Sheet Cash and cash equivalents Accounts receivable Inventories Prepaids Total current assets
Net PP&E Goodwill & Intangibles Other intangibles
Hist. 31-Dec-11
Hist. 31-Dec-12 36,485 80,197 60,412 21,724 198,818.0
Hist. 31-Dec-13 101,410 122,669 111,994 21,967 358,040.0
Proj. 31-Dec-14 0.0 173,677.5 156,309.8 33,399.5 363,386.9
Proj. 31-Dec-15 0.0 220,512.7 199,818.4 50,887.5 471,218.6
Proj. 31-Dec-16 34,439.8 261,069.9 240,987.6 64,263.4 600,760.7
Proj. 31-Dec-17 194,290.4 305,381.2 286,118.7 79,868.9 865,659.2
Proj. 31-Dec-18 394,539.0 357,560.6 344,908.4 99,016.8 1,196,024.8
22,440 8,449 0.0
32,111 17,365 0.0
59,346.0 17,365.0 0.0
137,382.7 17,365.0 0.0
223,005.7 17,365.0 0.0
321,730.3 17,365.0 0.0
440,580.1 17,365.0 0.0
Other assets
16,958
32,155
44,087.4
55,976.3
66,271.6
77,519.8
90,765.4
Total assets
246,665.0
439,671.0
484,185.3
681,942.6
907,403.1
1,282,274.3
1,744,735.3
Short term debt Accounts payable and accruals Accrued income taxes Total current liabilities
15,782 109,840.0 3,578 129,200.0
60,297 220,595.0 19,702 300,594.0
16,052.4 240,476.6 19,116.1 275,645.1
56,364.9 288,362.7 38,087.0 382,814.7
0.0 341,399.1 56,504.0 397,903.2
0.0 399,344.6 79,352.4 478,697.0
0.0 467,579.2 100,726.7 568,305.9
Total long-term debt Other long-term liabilities Total liabilities
113,613 6,455 249,268.0
53,315 13,930 367,839.0
53,315.0 18,703.7 347,663.8
0.0 23,747.5 406,562.2
0.0 28,115.2 426,018.4
0.0 32,887.2 511,584.2
0.0 38,506.5 606,812.4
Common stock Retained earnings Treasury stock
77,617.0 (80,220.0) 0.0
91,716.0 (19,884.0) 0.0
91,716.0 44,805.4 0.0
91,716.0 183,664.4 0.0
91,716.0 389,668.7 0.0
91,716.0 678,974.1 0.0
91,716.0 1,046,206.9 0.0
Total equity
(2,603.0)
71,832.0
136,521.4
275,380.4
481,384.7
770,690.1
1,137,922.9
Total Liab.& Equity
246,665.0
439,671.0
484,185.3
681,942.6
907,403.1
1,282,274.3
1,744,735.3
OK
OK
OK
OK
OK
OK
OK
Balance?
Cash Flow Statement GoPro
Hist.
Hist.
Hist.
Proj.
Proj.
Proj.
Proj.
Proj.
Cash Flow Statement
31-Dec-11
31-Dec-12
31-Dec-13
31-Dec-14
31-Dec-15
31-Dec-16
31-Dec-17
31-Dec-18
24676
Net Income
33107
66600
64689
138859
206004
289305
367233
Depreciation
2800
10900
12844
23738
54953
89202
128692
Amortisation
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Change in OWC
-48915
32582
-87461
-40975
-23649
-24254
-40508
Change in other assets
-16958
-15197
-11932
-11889
-10295
-11248
-13246
Change in other liabilities
6455
7475
4774
5044
4368
4772
5619
Cash from Operating Activities
-23511
102360
-17086
114778
231381
347777
447791
Capex
0
18326
40079
101775
140576
187927
247542
Cash from Investing Activities
0
-18326
-40079
-101775
-140576
-187927
-247542
Change in Common Stock
77617
14099
0
0
0
0
0
Change in Treasury Stock
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Dividends
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Long Term Debt Repayment
113613
-60298
0
-53315
0
0
0
Cash from Financing Activities
191230
-46199
0
-53315
0
0
0
Net Cash Flow
167719
37835
-57165
-40312
90805
159851
200249
41113
-16052
-56365
34440
194290
-16052
-56365
34440
194290
394539
Beginning Cash Ending Cash
41,113
Financial Assumptions
Hist.
Hist.
Hist.
Proj.
Proj.
Proj.
Proj.
Proj.
31-Dec-11
31-Dec-12
31-Dec-13
31-Dec-14
31-Dec-15
31-Dec-16
31-Dec-17
31-Dec-18
Sales growth
124.6%
87.4%
35.5%
27.0%
18.4%
17.0%
17.1%
47.7%
56.8%
63.3%
65.0%
62.0%
60.0%
58.0%
57.0%
0.0%
0.0%
40.0%
40.0%
40.0%
40.0%
40.0%
35.8%
33.1%
26.7%
27.0%
27.0%
27.0%
27.0%
27.0%
Amortization of other intangibles amount
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Non-recurring items amount
0.0
0.0
7,374.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
36.5%
38.8%
31.6%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
30.0%
0.0
0.0
125,745.0
125,745.0
125,745.0
125,745.0
125,745.0
125,745.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
COGS as % of sales Annual depr. as % of previous PPE SG&A as % of sales
Effective tax rate Diluted weighted average shares outstanding Dividend per share growth rate Accounts receivable as % of sales
0.0%
15.2%
12.4%
13.0%
13.0%
13.0%
13.0%
13.0%
Inventories % of COGS
0.0%
20.2%
17.9%
18.0%
19.0%
20.0%
21.0%
22.0%
Prepaids % of sales
0.0%
4.1%
2.2%
2.5%
3.0%
3.2%
3.4%
3.6%
Capital expenditures % of sales
0.0%
0.0%
1.9%
3.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
Other assets % of sales
0.0%
3.2%
3.3%
3.3%
3.3%
3.3%
3.3%
3.3%
Accounts payable and accruals % of COGS
0.0%
20.9%
22.4%
18.0%
17.0%
17.0%
17.0%
17.0%
Accrued income taxes % of tax expense
0.0%
17.1%
64.1%
64.0%
64.0%
64.0%
64.0%
64.0%
Other long-term liabilities % of sales
0.0%
1.2%
1.4%
1.4%
1.4%
1.4%
1.4%
1.4%
0.0
77,617.0
91,716.0
91,716.0
91,716.0
91,716.0
91,716.0
91,716.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Common stock amount Share repurchases $ amount (show as positive) Loans due for repayment
0.0
0.0
0.0
53,315.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Short term debt
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
Loans due for repayment
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
5.00%
Other long-term debt repayment
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
4.00%
Cash
1.00%
1.00%
1.00%
1.00%
1.00%
1.00%
1.00%
1.00%
Other long-term debt repayment
Revenue forecasts Revenue Growth
2011
2012a
2013a
Americas
86.5%
77.4%
EMEA
207.0%
97.8%
APEC
275.5%
115.1%
Total
124.6%
87.4%
2011
2012a
168,450
EMEA
2014e
2015e
2016e
2017e
2018e
30%
25%
20%
20%
20%
40%
25%
15%
15%
15%
50%
40%
20%
10%
10%
36%
27%
18%
17%
17%
2013a
2014e
2015e
2016e
2017e
2018e
314,135
557,285
724,471
905,588
1,086,706
1,304,047
1,564,856
51,328
157,587
311,674
436,344
545,430
627,244
721,331
829,530
APEC
14,460
54,294
116,778
175,167
245,234
294,281
323,709
356,079
Total
234,238
526,016
985,737
1,335,981
1,696,251
2,008,230
2,349,086
2,750,466
Revenue Forecasts Americas
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