Garcia, H. (2021), Taller de Probabilidad Condicional y TH Bayes, Documento Word.

 

WCL_ÊE GC Y_LOEOABAGEG Cstegêsta`e Amfcrcm`aeb Yrlfcslr8 Ncrmåm Ker`êe 5.

Sme fåora`e tacmc trcs jåquames quc prlgu`cm paczes pere vcnê`ubls jer`nemgl e um 73%, 73%, 09% 09 ys ?3% ?3plr` %r`cm rcspc rcs pc`t `tave jcmtc mtc. . u``a Gcb Gc`aðm b ðm tl tlteb tebgc gc bes pacze paczes qu quc c 0%, prlgu prl `cm m ycstes cst;% es jå jåqu quam ame es% bl bls pl cmte tehc hcs savejc gc prlg prlgu` gcfc fc`t `tul ulse se css gc 0% , gu`c 3% rcspc`tavejcmtc8 e.- Pa scbc``almejls ume pacze eb ezer `eb`ubc be prloeoabageg gc quc sce gcfc`tulse. o.- Wljejls ume pacze y rcsubtl gcfc`tulse gcfc`tulse `eb`ubc be prloeoabageg prloeoabageg gc quc sce gc be jequame ?. `.- Uuc jequame tacmc be jeylr prloeoabageg gc neocr prlgu`agl be `atege pacze gcfc`tulse.

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Wrcs cx`ursalmastes cståm rcebazemgl ume rute cm um perquc flrcsteb `uemgl gc prlmtl cb `ejaml sc oafur`e cm trcs rejebcs y sc seoc quc be prloeoabageg gc quc tcrjamcm be rute sam pcrgcrsc cs gc8 E : 9,;, O : 9,> @ : 9,14 e. ¼Uuá prloeoabageg prloeoabageg tacmcm quc quc sc pacrgem< o. ¼Pa um cx`ursal cx`ursalmast maste e sc pacrgc, pacrgc, Ylr `uåb `ejaml tacmc tacmc be jeylr jeylr prloeoa prloeoabage bageg g gc neocr sckuagl<

0.

Sme `ljpeõêe gc sckurls `besafa`e e sus efabaegls cm trcs krupls8 oehl, jcgaeml y ebtl racskl. Pus cstegêsta`es amga`em quc be prloeoabageg gc quc neye ajpba`egls cm um e``agcmtc cm `ege uml gc bls krupls cs8 9.93 pere bls gc oehl, 9.53 pere bls gc jcgaeml y 9.09 pere bls gc ebtl racskl. Pa cb ?9% gc bls efabaegls cs gc oehl racskl, cb 39% gc jcgaeml y cb 09% rcstemtc gc ebtl, `lmtcstc8 Pa um esckuregl ml sufrað guremtc cb øbtajl eõl mamkøm e``agcmtc. ¼@uåb cs be prloeoabageg gc quc cstá cm be `besc gc oehl racskl<

7.

Sme cjprcse gc escslrêe ebquabe eutls gc 0 ekcm`aes8 ?9% gc be ekcm`ae G, ?9% gc be ekcm`ae C, y 69 gc be ekcm`ae F. Pa 59% gc bls eutls gc be ekcm`ae G, 5?% gc bls prlvcmacmtcs C, y 7% gc gccjprcse F, tacmcm mcujåta`ls cm jeb e. ¼@uåb ¼@uåb cs gc be prloeoabag prloe oabageg egbls gceutls quc be cjp rcse `lm `lmtret tretc c um eutl `lmcstegl, mcujåt mcujåta`ls a`ls cm jeb cstegl< o. ¼@uåb ¼@uåb cs be prloeoabag prloeoabageg eg gc quc um eutl eutl `lm mcu mcujåta jåta`ls `ls cm jeb cstegl cstegl rcmtegl rcmtegl plr be cjprcse prlvcmke gc be ekcm`ae F.<

3.

@lmsagcrc ume cm`ucste e ebkumls `lmsujaglrcs rcbe`almege `lm be `emtageg rcbetave gc vasates quc ne`cm e ume tacmge Pcers ( @lm frc`ucm`ae, cm l`esalmcs l mum`e) y `lm cb nc`nl gc quc be tacmge sc uoaquc cm um buker `lmvcmacmtc (Pa y Ml). @uemgl bes ve verae raeobc obcs s sl slm m gc cs`ebe cs`ebe mljame, mljame, teb `ljl `ljl cstls cstls ge getl tls, s, pl plrr bl kc kcmc mcreb reb bls rcsubtegls sc rcsujcm cm ume teobe gc `lmtamkcm`aes.

 

 

Vasates @lm Frc`ucm`ae Cm L`esalmcs

Wlteb

   

Mum`e

 

 

Buker @lmvcmacmtc sa m l 69 ?3 3

19

 

Wlteb

?

>

9

9

0

6

3

9

3

3

9

3

5

5

9

1

3

3

e. Cb møjcrl møjcrl gc vasate vasates s y be uoa`e`aðm uoa`e`aðm cm cm um buker buker `lmvcmac `lmvcmacmtc, mtc, ¼Plm ¼Plm veraeobcs amgcpcmgacmtcs.

Cb ?9 % gc bls cjpbcegls gc be S@@ slm Egjamastreglrcs y ltrl ?9% slm @lmteglrcs. Cb ;3% gc bls Egjamastreglrcs l`upem um pucstl garc`tavl y cb 39% gc bls `lmteglrcs tejoaám, jacmtres bls ltrls, slbejcmtc cb ?9 % l`upe um pucstl garc`tavl. ¼@uåb cs be prloeoabageg gc quc um cjpbcegl garc`tavl cbckagl eb ezer sce  Egjamastreglr<  Egjamastre glr< 1. Cm be S@@ cb 5>% gc bls cstugaemtcs tacmcm vcnê`ubl prlpal, cb ?9% tacmcm jltl y cb 5?% tacmcm vcnê`ubl y jltl. ¼@uåb cs be prloeoabageg gc tcmcr jltl sa sc tacmc vcnê`ubl< 59. Gls cjoerqucs gc E y O @lmtacmcm rcspc`tavejcmtc 599 y ?99 Wlmcbeges gc

@ljputeglrcs. Pc seoc quc E Wacmc 3% gc @ljputeglrcs gcfc`tulsls y O um 6%. Pc scbc``alme um @ljputeglrcs y sc pagc8

 

e.-

Yrloe Yrloeoab oabage ageg g gc quc quc sce sce gcfc` gcfc`tul tulse. se.

o.- Peoacmgl quc cs gcfc`tulsl nebber be prloeoabageg quc neye sagl cjoer`ege cm E

 

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