Estimacion Puntual

August 30, 2022 | Author: Anonymous | Category: N/A
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@stdchkdûl pultuhb y pmr dlt`rvhbms

@[WHGD[WDKH DLF@Y@LKDHB MYWD_ CMYHB@[ CHYNHYDWH

PLDV@Y[DGHG HPWMLMCH HPWMLMCH G@ KEDHQH[ | 80/81/9198

 

@[WDCHKDML QPLWPHB Plh `stdchkdûl pultuhb g` ul phrèc`trm pmibhkdmlhb `s kuhlgm kuhl gm s` utdbdzh ul ÿldkm vhbmr phrh `stdchr `s` phrèc`trm, `s g`kdr, s` ush ul pultm `l kmlkr`tm g` bh cu`strh phrh `stdchr `b vhbmr g`s`hgm. Kuhlgm `stdchcms ul phrèc`trm g` fmrch pultuhb, pmg`cms shi`r kml k`rt`zh, kuhb `s `s` vhbmr. @l `sthgãstdkh, `stdchkdûl `b usmmg` ghtms g` cu`strh phrh khbkubhr ul vhbmr ÿldkm qu` g`i`bhs`rvdr kmcmpultuhb "c`omr dcpbdkh `stdchkdûl" "c`omr `stdchkdûl" g` ul phrèc`trm g`  pmibhkdûl g`skmlmkdgm. Cès fmrchbc`lt`, `s bh hpbdkhkdûl g` ul `stdchgmr pultuhb h bms ghtms phrh mit`l`r ulh `stdchkdûl pultuhb. Khrhkt`rãstdkhs g` khgh ulm g` bms `stdchgmr`s

Qhrh mit`l`r ulh `stdchkdûl pultuhb s` ush ul `sthgãstdkm qu` r`kdi` `b lmcir` lmc ir` g` `stdchgmr m fulkdûl g` g`kdsdûl. Hbnulms `o`cpbms g` `sthgãstdkms sml?  

Bh c`gdh Bh c`gdh cu`strhb qu` sdrv` kmcm `stdchkdûl pultuhb g` bh c`gdh pmibhkdmlhb.

 

Bh g`svdhkdûl Bh g`svdhkdûl tãpdkh cu`strhb qu` sdrv` g` `stdchkdûl phrh bh g`svdhkdûl tãpdkh g` bh  pmibhkdûl.





@o`cpbms g` @stdchkdûl Qultuhb Bh fdlhbdghg g` bh `stdchkdûl g` c`gdghs `s khrhkt`rdzhr bhs pmibhkdml`s h phrtdr g` bh dlfmrchkdûl g` bhs cu`strhs, ul `sthgãstdkm `s ulh fulkdûl g` bh dlfmrchkdûl cu`strhb. Bh `stdchkdûl `s bh kmls`ku`lkdh g`b vhbmr g` bh c`gdh m bh khltdghg qu` r`pr`s`lth `b  prmc`gdm g` bh pmibhkdûl phrh frhkkdmlhr m gdvdgdr bms ghtms g` bh cu`strh. Bh `stdchkdûl pultuhb `s bh `vhbuhkdûl g`b `stdchgmr smir` bh cu`strh fdoh.

 

@[WDCHKDML QMY DLW@YVHBM[ @b dlt`rvhbm g` kmlfdhlzh r`pr`s`lth ulh täkldkh g` `stdchkdûl qu` s` utdbdzh `l `b khcpm g` bh dlf`r`lkdh `sthgãstdkh. @l äb s` p`rcdt` hkmthr ulm m gdv`rsms phr`s g` vhbmr`s, `ltr` bms kuhb`s `stè bh `stdchkdûl pultuhb dlghnhgh. @stm g`ltrm g` ulh g`t`rcdlhgh prmihidbdghg @l `sthgãstdkh, bh `stdchkdûl g` dlt`rvhbm `s `b usm g` ghtms g` cu`strh phrh `stdchr ul dlt`rvhbm g` vhbmr`s pbhusdib`s g` ul phrèc`trm g` dlt`räs. @stm kmltrhsth kml bh `stdchkdûl  pultuhb, qu` gh ul vhbmr ÿldkm.

@o`cpbm [` n`l`rhl 811111 cu`strhs hb`htmrdhs (l390) g` ulh pmibhkdûl qu` sdnu` bh gdstrdiukdûl  Lmrchb, y r`subth?

Bh gdstrdiukdûl g` bhs C`gdhs cu`strhb`s hprmxdch hb cmg`bm Lmrchb?

@l kmls`ku`lkdh, `b dlt`rvhbm g`ltrm g`b g `b kuhb s` ehbbh `b 40% g` bhs C`gdhs cu`strhb`s `s

(Lmth? Bms vhbmr`s +-8.46 qu` cubtdpbdkhl bh G`svdhkdûl Wãpdkh g` bh gdstrdiukdûl cu`strhb sml bms vhbmr`s kuyh fulkdûl g` gdstrdiukdûl `s dnuhb h 1.4>0 y 1.190 r`sp`ktdvhc`lt` y s`  pu`g`l mit`l`r `l bhs thibhs g` bh gdstrdiukdûl Lmrchb `sthlghrdzhgh m g` fulkdml`s `l hpbdkhkdml`s dlfmrcètdkhs kmcm @xk`b). [`nudghc`lt` n`l`rhcms ulh cu`strh g` bh  pmibhkdûl y mit`l`cms su C`gdh, qu` `s dnuhb h 7.0. [d `sthib`k`cms `b dlt`rvhbm hbr`g`gmr g` bh C`gdh cu`strhb, `b phrèc`trm pmibhkdmlhb (0.8) (0 .8) `stè dlkbudgm g`ltrm g` sus bãcdt`s?

 

Hemrh id`l, bh gdsthlkdh g` ul pultm H h ul pultm I `s bh cdsch qu` g` I h H. Qmr `sh rhzûl, bh gdsthlkdh g`sg` c h bh C`gdh cu`strhb `s bh cdsch qu` vh g` bh C`gdh cu`strhb h c. @l kmls`ku`lkdh, sd ehk`cms ul cu`str`m kml ul lÿc`rm nrhlg` g` cu`strhs mis`rvhcms qu` `b 40% g` bhs v`k`s (hprmxdchghc`lt`) `b vhbmr g` bh C`gdh g` bh pmibhkdûl (c) s` `lku`ltrh g`ltrm g`b dlt`rvhbm g`fdldgm hbr`g`gmr g` khgh ulm g` bms vhbmr`s g` bh C`gdh cu`strhb. @b  pmrk`ltho` g` v`k`s qu` `b vhbmr g` c s` ehbbh g`ltrm g` hbnulm g` bms dlt`rvhbms g` kmlfdhlzh `s g`b 40%, y `s g`lmcdlhgm ldv`b g` kmlfdhlzh. [d qu`r`cms `sthib`k`r ul dlt`rvhbm g` kmlfdhlzh `l qu` `b % g` v`k`s qu` c s` ehbb` g`ltrm g`b dlt`rvhbm s`h dnuhb hb 44%, bh `xpr`sdûl hlt`rdmr `s?

(Mit`l`cms `b vhbmr +-9.05 qu` cubtdpbdkh bh G`svdhkdûl Wãpdkh g` bh gdstrdiukdûl cu`strhb `l bhs thibhs g` bh gdstrdiukdûl Lmrchb `sthlghrdzhgh m g` fulkdml`s `l hpbdkhkdml`s dlfmrcètdkhs kmcm @xk`b), y sml bms vhbmr`s kuyh fulkdûl g` prmihidbdghg `s dnuhb h 1.440 y 1.110 r`sp`ktdvhc`lt`).

@o`cpbm Bh sdnud`lt` dchn`l cu`strh bh gdstrdiukdûl g` bhs C`gdhs cu`strhb`s mit`ldghs g` 811111 cu`strhs hb`htmrdhs y bms dlt`rvhbms hbr`g`gmr g` khgh ulh g` bhs C`gdhs mit`ldghs g` gd`z g` bhs cu`strhs?

gmlg` bs y b` sdcimbdzhl bms bãcdt`s sup`rdmr ` dlf`rdmr g`b dlt`rvhbm g` kmlfdhlzh hb 40%.

 Lu`v` g` bms gd`z dlt`rvhbms (shbvm `b g`fdldgm hbr`g`gmr g` bh C`gdh cu`strhb dnuhb h ;.>) dlkbuy`l `b vhbmr g`b phrèc`trm g`ltrm sus bãcdt`s.

 

Kmlkbusdml`s Bh prdc`rh fhs` g` bh `sthgãstdkh s` trhth g` kmb`kkdmlhr, kmb` kkdmlhr, mrg`lhr y pr`s`lthr bms ghtms m e`kems lucärdkms. Bh s`nulgh phrt` g` bh `sthgãstdkh s` `lkhrnh g` hlhbdzhr, sdlt`tdzhr (ehk`r dlf`r`lkdhs y r`hbdzhr dlt`rpr`thkdûl) y fdlhbc`lt` puibdkhr bms ghtms qu` ehl sdgm pr`s`lthgms `l fmrch g` nrèfdkh y/m g` chl`rh thiubhr. @s pr`kdshc`lt` `l bh s`kkdûl g`b hlèbdsds `sthgãstdkm `l gmlg` `b dlv`stdnhgmr g`i` cmgdfdkhr bms ghtms, `s g`kdr ehk`r `stdchkdml`s g` bms ghtms irutms. Qhrh ehk`r `stdchkdml`s, ulm g`i` `sthr  id`l fhcdbdhrdzhgm kml bms krdt`rdms `sthgãstdkms `sthgãstdkms qu` s` g`i` r`uldr y kmlsdg`rhr `l `b  prmk`sm g` bh `stdchkdûl, yh qu` bhs `stdchkdml`s s`snhghs lms kmlguk`l h bhs dlf`r`lkdhs y g`kdsdml`s `rrûl`hs.

Idibdmnrhfãh Qhke`km, O. (9198, 0 mktuir`). @stdchkdûl Qultuhb? G`fdldkdûl, Xuä `s y @o`cpbms | 9198 . @kmlmcãh;61.  ettps?//www.`kmlmcdh;61.mrn/`stdchkdml-pultuhb/  @kmlmcãh;61. ettps?//www.`kmlmcdh;61.mrn/`stdchkdml-pultuhb/  [hlouèl, F. O. C. (9198, 98 `l`rm). @stdchkdûl pultuhb. Y`kup`rhgm g` ettps?//`kmlmcdp`gdh.kmc/g`fdldkdml`s/`stdchkdml-pultuhb.etcb  ettps?//`kmlmcdp`gdh.kmc/g`fdldkdml`s/`stdchkdml-pultuhb.etcb  Tucpu.kmc. (s. f.). @stdchkdûl pmr dlt`rvhbms. Y`kup`rhgm g` ettps?//www.yucpu.kmc/`s/gmkuc`lt/vd`w/;5945145/`stdchkdml-pmr-dlt`rvhbms

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