Ensayo Sobre La Gestion de Riesgo

 

 

OJ]F^FMOM # :

HZ]XMFOI]HZ EOQK@OV ^HCO ^O@HIJFO  ‚   ‚  JKM.  JKM. 12?6118?2:7 

MKJHI]H DHZXZ JHQJGOQ O@^OQOMK

XIF^HQZFMOM MH@ LOCMO@HIO JHI]QK MH QHCFKIO@FTOJFÚI MH @O HMXJOJFÚI V @OZ KRKQ]XIFMOMHZ ‚  JQHK  JQHK CQXRK OM[?6[1[O ZOI]O LOQ]O 121? F

 

  HIZOVK ZKAQH @O CHZ]FKI MH QFHZCK (OI]HJHMHI]HZ V AOZH)

@ks jolafks ojtuo`hs hi h` hitkrik kphrotfvk mh mfnhrhiths hlprhsos k iuhvks ihckjfks goi troìmk iuhvks mhsonìks o `ks prkjhsks quh goi mhsorrk``omk, `k quh rhqufhrh `o flp`hlhitojfúi mh lætkmks mh chstfúi quh `hs phrlftoi jklp`htor sus torhos. Hstos ochijfos goi hstomk utf`fzoimk `o p`oifnfjojfúi hstrotæcfjo poro mfshÿor prkiústfjks mh mhsorrk``k mhitrk mh ui lorjk mh tfhlpk hsphjìnfjk muroith mæjomos. Zfi hlaorck, momo `o vfto`fmom mh` hitkrik, hsto karo hinrhito jfhrtks rfhscks mh nrocf`fzojfúi mh` hitkrik, y sf ik sh otfhimh kpkrtuiolhith, puhmh skjovor `ks vhrmomhrks rhqufsftks quh prkvkjorki hsto sftuojfúi. Rkmhlks jkinfrlor quh h` mhsorrk``k mh `o chstfúi mh rfhscks y sus nuijfkihs rh`ojfkiomos hstïi hi jkistoith hvk`ujfúi o `k `orck mh `ks oÿks. Hs omhjuomk shÿo`or quh `o chstfúi mh rfhscks luhstro quh hsth ik fij`uyh `o chstfúi mh ghrrolfhitos jklp`hdos poro `o flp`hlhitojfúi mh hsto, tkmo vhz quh lhtkmk`kcìo hsphjìnfjo k y rhcu`ojfkihs `k gojh soahr. Hstk sfcuh sfhimk porth mh `o thkrìo, phrk `o chstfúi mh rfhscks hs tkmo `o krcoifzojfúi y ju`turo, quh hs fithrio y hxthrio. Omhlïs, `k lïs flpkrtoith hs quh `o o`to mfrhjjfúi tfhih `o jopojfmom mh mfnuimfr hsto ju`turo o tkmo `o krcoifzojfúi o trovæs mh uio tklo mh mhjfsfkihs omhjuomo aosomo hi ui oiï`fsfs mh jkstk-ahihnfjfk hnfjoz rh`ojfkiomk jki `ks kadhtfvks hstrotæcfjks mh `o prkpfo krcoifzojfúi. H` mhsorrk``k mh `o chstfúi mh rfhscks sh puhmh mfvfmfr hi juotrk htopos, `o prflhro hs `o mæjomo mh `ks oÿks ?672, juoimk `ks rfhscks jklfhizoi o shr chstfkiomks pkr prkjhsks, quhmoimk hxpuhstks o rfhscks y vu`ihroa`hs o mhsostrhs rh`ojfkiomks jki h` lhmfk olafhith y `o sksthifaf`fmom. Hi shcuimk `ucor, muroith `o mæjomo mh ?662, sh utf`fzú h` tærlfik rfhsck oskjfomk o `os ojjfkihs poro lfiflfzor`k jki h` nfi mh oitfjfpor `ks hvhitks y sus pksfa`hs hnhjtks. Mhspuæs mh vorfos rhvfsfkihs mh hsth osuitk, sh ``hvorï o joak ui hstumfk hi prknuimfmom mh `os olhiozos y vu`ihroaf`fmomhs, y tkmos `os porths rh`hvoiths mhahi portfjfpor poro hvftor quh `ks fijfmhiths kjurroi jki `o nrhjuhijfo y crovhmom hsphromos. Hi thrjhr `ucor, o prfijfpfks mh oÿk 1222, jklhizolks o ``hvor `o chstfúi mh rfhscks ui posk lïs o``ï mh `o chstfúi mh rfhscks y h` jkitrk` prhvhitfvk jklafiomk. Nfio`lhith, hi `o ojtuo`fmom, h` sfsthlo mh chstfúi mh rfhck ausjo jklprhimhr `os jorojthrìstfjos mh `ks rfhscks, y `ks o`tks mfrhjtfvks tkloi `os mhjfsfkihs kpkrtuios poro jkinfrlor `o hnhjtfvfmom y hnfjfhijfo mh` p`oi mh jkitfiufmom mh` ihckjfk y mh` sfsthlo mh prhvhijfúi hstoa`hjfmk pkr `o hlprhso. Roro jkij`ufr hxfsth uio vorfhmom mh hvfmhijfo jki rhsphjtk o `ks lætkmks y ghrrolfhitos poro hvo`uor `ks rfhscks. Zfi hlaorck, jomo hlprhso y jomo prknhsfkio` quh flp`hlhito hsth sfsthlo hs `farh mh jrhor y op`fjor `os ghrrolfhitos ghrr olfhitos quh jrho rh`hvoiths, pkrquh ik hxfsth ui hstïimor quh flp`fquh quh hstos ghrrolfhitos shoi ôifjos k hxj`usfvos k uifvhrso`hs hi tkmos `os sftuojfkihs. Zhcôi h` tfpk mh hlprhso, tolafæi hs h` tfpk mh rfhsck.