EAM - Forecasting-1 - Copiar
February 18, 2023 | Author: Anonymous | Category: N/A
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Mrjokb Bhtbrprasb Jssbt Cjhjgbcbht
‟ Rsb Rsb mi Imrbojstahg ah BJC
Jh Mrjokb W`atb Tjpbr Cjy >4:2
Vjnkb mi Omhtbhts
:. MYB^YABW MI IM^BOJ_VAHG IM^BOJ_VAHG ............................................................................................................................................................................................. :
>. _BVRT_ ^BZRA^BF IM^ IM^BOJ_VAHG ............................................................................................................................................................................. ?
?. T^MOB__ IKMW R_AHG _MCB BPJCTKB_ .......................................................................................................................................................................... 1
6. CBVB^ ^RKB_ JHF FJVB ^RKB_ ......................................................................................................................................................................................:7
2. R_BIRK JFFAVAMHJK AHIM^CJVAMH ..............................................................................................................................................................................>>
:. MYB^YABW MI IM^BOJ_VAHG
V`brb jrb twm wjys ah w`ao` Wmre Mrfbrs jrb rjasbf ah bJC _br vaob Cjhujkky orbjtbf ah Imrcs mr _bki _brvaob Jutmcjtaojkky orbjtbf Trbvbhtavb Cjahtbhjhob (TC) Wmre Mrfbrs
TC Wmre Mrfbrs jrb orbjtbf ah twm wjys <
Gbhbrjtb Trbvbhtavb Cjahtbhjhob Wmre Mrfbrs Omhourrbht Trmgrjc.
V`as gbhbrjtbs t`b wmre mrfbrs ah uhrbkbjsbf stjtus. V`bh ymu ojh o`mmsb t`b acpkbcbht nuttmh irmc Cjahtbhjhob Wmrenbho` tm rbkbjsb t`b wmre mrfbrs. Imrbojst Wmre Mrfbrs ah Cjahtbhjhob Wmrenbho` 8 V`bh orbjtb t`bsb usahg t`b acpkbcbht nuttmh. Trbvbhtavb Cjahtbhjhob prmvafbs t`b ibjturbs nbkmw<
^bfuobs t`b prmnjnakaty mi ijakurb mr fbgrjfjtamh mi jssbts t acbky njsas Bhsurbs t`jt cjahtbhjhob wmre as fmhb mh j tacbky V`b wmre mrfbrs jrb jutmcjtaojkky rjasbf njsbf mh cbtbr rbjfahgs,
ruh tacb ahtbrvjks jhf ojkbhfjr fjys. V`b rbquarbcbhts imr sbttahg up Trbvbhtavb Cjhatbhjhob jrb <
Jotavatabs jrb orbjtbf imr t`b wmre rbquarbf mh jh jssbt. Qmu ojh
jssmoajtb j Nakk mi Cjtbrajks (NMC) jhf j rmutahg tm t`b jotavaty. Cbtbrs jrb orbjtbf tm jkkmw rukbs tm nb spboaiabf imr gbhbrjtahg wmre mrfbrs njsbf mh obrtjah rbjfahgs (b.g j sbrvaob bvbry :2444 cakbs).
Trbvbhtavb Cjahtbhjhob _o`bfukbs jrb orbjtbf imr jh jssbt tm `mkf
t`b rukbs jhf oratbraj imr gbhbrjtahg t`b wmre mrfbrs jhf spboaiy t`b t`b wmre rbquarbf (jotavatabs).
V`b nusahbss prmobss as js imkkmws< imkkmws<
Mhob t`b TC _o`bfukbs jrb orbjtbf, t`b Gbhbrjtb TC Cjahtbhjhob
Wmre Mrfbrs Omhourrbht Trmgrjc as so`bfukbf tm ruh mh j rbgukjr njsas tm orbjtb t`b wmre wm re mrfbrs ah j uhrbkbjsbf stjtus. Mhb ojh t`bh usb t`b Cjahtbhjhob Wmrenbho` tm vabw t`bsb wmre mrfbrs jhf rbkbjsb t`bc usahg t`b Acpkbcbht nuttmh mr usb Cjss ^bkbjsb (t`b TC _o`bfukbr as kjuho`bf kjuho`bf w`bh usahg acpkbcbht). acpkbcbht). Cjahtbhjhob Wmrenbho` jkkmws t`b imkkmwahg iuhotamhjkaty jksm < Qmu >
ojh gbhbrjtb imrbojsts jhf sbb w`jt wmre mrfbrs jrb suggbstbf. V`as as rbquarbf imr pkjhhahg purpmsbs. V`bsb WMs ojh t`bh nb acpkbcbhtbf. Wb wakk kmme jt imrbojstahg ah cmrb fbtjak ah t`as pjpbr.
>. _BVRT_ ^BZRA^BF ^BZRA^BF IM^ IM^BOJ_VAHG
V`b eby sbtups jrb <
Orbjtb jh jssbt Orbjtb jotavatabs imr t`b cjahtbhjhob wmre tm nb fmhb imr t`b jssbt
jhf mptamhjkky spboaiy jhy NMCs jhf rmutahgs imr t`b jotavatabs. Orbjtb t`b rbquarbf cbtbrs imr t`b cbtbr rukbs. Orbjtb t`b TC _o`bfukbs imr t`b rbquarbs jssbt/jotavaty omcnahjtamhs.
Kbt‑s kmme jt bjo` mi t`bsb stbps ah cmrb fbtjak <
>j. V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws s`mws t`b sbtup mi jh jssbt.
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>n. V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws jh jotavaty sbtup. Jh jotavaty `js nbbh fbiahbf imr jh mak o`jhgb. o `jhgb.
>o. V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b Nakks Mi Cjtbrajk fbiahatamh imr t`b jotavaty - a.b t`b cjtbrajks rbquarbf rbquarbf imr t`b mak o`jhgb.
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>f. V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b kjnmr rmutahg imr t`b mak o`jhgb jotavaty.
>b. V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b rbkjtbf jotavatabs (ahokufahg t`b mak o`jhgb jotavaty wb `jvb `jvb orbjtbf) nbahg kahebf tm t`b jssbt usahg usahg t`b Jotavaty Jssmoajtamh imrc.
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>i. V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mts s`mw cbtbr nbahg orbjtbf. Cbtbrs wakk nb rbquarbf uhkbssVWM MHKQ fjtb rukbs wakk nbjusbf.
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>g. Hbxt j TC _o`bfukb as orbjtbf spboaiyahg t`b jotavatabs jhf t`b cbtbr rukb.
>` < t`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b kjst sbrvaob ahimrcjtamh w`ao` wakk fbijukt w`bh t`b TC so`bfukb as orbjtbf. orbjt bf.
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>a. Iahjkky, Iahjkky, t`b jn jnmvb mvb sorbbhs`mts s`mws t`b su supprbssbf pprbssbf jotavatabs (ai rbquarbf). Ah t`as, t`b ?4444 cakb sbrvaob jotavaty supprbssbs t`b mak o`jhgb jotavaty nbojusb jh mak o`jhgb as fmhb js stjhfjrf js pjrt mi j ?4444 cakb omcprb`bhsavb sbrvaob. Hmtbs jnmut t`b sobhjram jnmvb<
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Ahtbrvjks Tbr Oyokb iabkf. V`as iabkf rbprbsbhts t`b hucnbr mi njsb ahtbrvjks t`jt omcprasb t`b omcpkbtb oyokb. Imr bxjcpkb, :> cmht`ky ahtbrvjks wmukf omcprasb j :-ybjr oyokb, jhf sax 2444 cakbs njsb ahtbrvjks wmukf omcprasb j ?4,444-cakb oyokb. V`b grmup mi cjahtbhjhob jotavatabs mh mhb TC so`bfukb rbprbsbhts j oyokb mi jotavatabs. Jitbr t`b oyokb mi jotavatabs omcpkbtbs, t`b oyokb rbstjrts. Imr bxjcpkb, A ojh fbiahb j TC so`bfukb imr twm jotavatabs t`jt `jvb j omccmh Njsb Ahtbrvjk mi 2444 cakbs. V`b iarst jotavaty as jh mak o`jhgb, jhf as so`bfukbf bvbry 2444 cakbs. V`b sbomhf jotavaty, j cjlmr sbrvaob , as so`bfukbf imr bvbry sa saxt` xt` ahtbrvjk mr ?4,444 cakbs. V`b wmre mrfbr imr t`b mak o`jhgb gbhbrjtbs mh bjo` moourrbhob mi t`b 2444 cakb ahtbrvjk jhf t`b wmre mrfbr imr t`b cjlmr sbrvaob gbhbrjtbs mh t`b saxt` ahtbrvjk moourrbhob jhf supprbssbs t`b mak o`jhgb nbojusb t`as as fmhb js pjrt mi t`b cjlmr sbrvaob.
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?. T^MOB__ IKMW R_AHG BPJCTKB_
V`b imkkmwahg nusahbss prmobss fbsoranbs t`b Imrbojstahg prmobss ikmw <
V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b Cjahtbhjhob Wmrenbho`. _bkbot t`b oratbraj imr t`b jssbts t`jt ymu was` was` tm wmre wat` jhf t`bh okaoe t`b Kjuho` nuttmh.
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V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b imkkmwahg jotamhs `jvb nbbh tjebh <
_bkbot Imrbojstahg Wahfmw.
Bhtbr `mrazmh , sbkbot sbt hjcb jhf sbkbot pjrjcbtbrs.
Omcnahb wat` fbijukts as uho`boebf mt`brwasb jkk fbijukt TC so`bfukbs
imr t`b jssbt wakk nb omhsafbrbf rbgjrfkbss mi t`b sbt hjcb.
V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b imrbojstbf wmre mrfbrs w`bh ymu okaoe _acukjtb tm vabw suggbstavb mrfbrs wat`mut acpkbcbht mptamh mptamh < (hmtb t`b wmre mrfbrs jrb rjasbf bvbry 24 fjys < 2444/:44 3 24 jhf hmtb t`b supprbssbf jotavaty - a.b t`brb as hm mak o`jhgb jotavaty ah Ljhujry Ljhujry nbojusb t`b ?4444 cakb sbrvaob as nbahg fmhb) V`b sacukjtb mptamh as usbf ny Tkjhhbrs tm imrbojst pmtbhtajk mrfbrs jhf `jvb j kmme jt w`jt as suggbstbf ‟ a.b, t`brb as hm aacpkbcbht cpkbcbht mptamh js t`as as as mhky usbf tm kmme jt ‐w`jt -ai‑ sobhjrams.
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V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b usb mi t`b ^RH nuttmh imr t`b sjcb pjrjcbtbrs js mppmsbf tm t`b sacukjtb nuttmh. Hmw ymu ojh sbb t`jt t`b acpkbcbht nuttmh as jvjakjnkb w`ao` wakk bhjnkb t`b imrbojstbf wmre mrfbrs m rfbrs tm nb jotujkky orbjtbf. AV ojh nb sbbh t`jt t`b suggbstamhs jrb t`b sjcb js w`bh usahg sacukjtb ‟ a.b wmre mrfbrs jrb rjasbf bvbry 24 fjys < 2444/:44 3 24 jhf hmtb t`b supprbssbf jotavaty ah Ljh >4:9 - a.b t`brb t `brb as hm mak o`jhgb jotavaty ah Ljhujry nbo nbojusb jusb t`b ?4444 cakb sbrvaob as nbahg fmhb.
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V`b jnmvb twm sorbbhs`mts s`mw t`b mutomcb m utomcb mi j kmhgbr `mrazmh pbramf nbahg sbkbotbf. Qmu ojh sbb hmw t`jt t`b suggbstbf wmre mrfbrs jrb uptm Ibn >4:7.
V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt hmw s`mws t`b mragahjk mr agahjk imrbojst jgjah ‟ uptm Ljh >4:9. Wb wakk hmw s`mw `mw tm acpkbcbht j wmre mrfbr.
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V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws j spboaiao wmre mrfbr `js nbbh sbkbotbf imr acpkbcbhtjtamh (t`b iarst mhb ‟ wb sacpky okaoe t`b o`boenmx hbxt tm t`b wmre mrfbr). Qmu ojh sbkbot mhb mr cjhy c jhy wmre mrfbrs.
Jktbrhjtavbky, ymu ojh o`boe t`b ‐_bkbot Jkk‑ o`boenmx jhf t`as wakk acpkbcbht JKK t`b wmre mrfbrs.
V`bh okaoe t`b Acpkbcbht nuttmh jhf j hmtb wakk omhiarc t`jt ymur wmre mrfbr(s) `js nbbh acpkbcbhtbf.
V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`jt ai t`b imrbojst im rbojst as hmw rb-ruh, t`b systbc rbomghazbs t`jt mhb mi t`b wmre mrfbrs bxasts jhf fmbs hmt rbquarb tm nb orbjtbf js at `js jkrbjfy nbbh acpkbcbhtbf. acpkbcbhtbf. Qmu jrb sacpky prbsbhtbf wat` jh mptamh tm rbso`bfukb t`b wmre mrfbr. :?
V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b wmre mrfbrs wahfmw mh t`b Cjahtbhjhob Wmrenbho` jhf irmc `brb, ymu ojh o jh sbb t`b wmre mrfbr(s) t`jt ymu `jvb acpkbcbhtbf. Ai ymu okaoe mh t`b mpbh nuttmh ah tb` jnmvb sorbbh, t`as wakk mpbh t`b wmre mrfbr js sbbh mh t`b hbxt sorbbhs`mt nbkmw.
V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b wmre mrfbr fbtjaks w`bh mpbhbf irmc t`b succjry pjgb.
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V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b cjtbrajks rbquarbf imr t`b wmre mrfbr jhf t`as as sbbh w`bh sbkbotahg t`b cjtbrajks cjt brajks nuttmh irmc t`b cjah wmre mrfbr pjgb.
V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b rmutahg imr t`b wmre mrfbr jhf t`as as sbbh w`bh sbkbotahg t`b Mpbrjtamhs nuttmh irmc t`b cjah wmre mrfbr pjgb.
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V`b wmre mrfbr succjry pjgb `js j CJ__ ^BKBJ_B nuttmh. Okaoeahg t`as s`mws t`b sorbbh jnmvb. Qmu ojh rbkbjsb mhb , cjhy mr jkk wmre mr mrfbrs fbrs usahg t`as cjss rbkbjsb mptamh.
V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`jt t`b wmre mrfbr m rfbr as hmw rbkbjsbf.
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Mhob t`b wmre mrfbr `js nbbh rbkbjsbf, t`b imkkmwahg tjebs pkjob <
Assub cjtbrajks tm t`b wmre mrfbr
Ojrry mut t`b wmre ‟ bhtbr rbsmurob trjhsjotamhs.
Omcpkbtb Wmre Mrfbr ‟ bhtbr cbtbr rbjfahg ‟ mhob t`as as fmhb, t`b TC
kjst sbrvaob fjtb as upfjtbf . V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b wmre mrfbr
omcpkbtamh pjgb.
6. CBVB^ ^RKB_ JHF FJVB ^RKB_ 6j. CBVB^ ^RKB_<
ahokufb vjramus fjtb mptamhs mptamhs (jotujk V`b so`bfukahg mptamhs mh TC ahokufb
jhfso`bfukbf stjrt jhf bhf fjtbs, njsb fjtb). Jhmt`br mptamh as tm usb Njsb Cbtbr.
Ai j fjtb mptamh as usbf, `brb as t`b ojkoukjtamh usbf tm ojkoukjtb t`b hbxt
wmre mrfbr (ah mur ojsb, ojsb, wb jrb usahg usahg jotujk stjrt fjtb nut t`b ojkoukjtamh as sjcb imr t`b mt`br fjtbs). ^bcbcnbr t`jt w`bh j wmre mrfbr as omcpkbtbf, t`b kjst sbrvaob fjtb wakk nb upfjtbf ‟ t`b fjtb iabkf hbxt tm t`b so`bfukahg mptamh wakk `mkf kjst sbrvaob sbrvaob fjtb) <
Jotujk _tjrt Fjtb + Njsb Ahtbrvjk*Ahtbrvjk Ahtb rvjk*Ahtbrvjk Cuktapkb/Rsjgb ^jtb 1 Cjro` >4:2 + 2444 * : / :44 (imr mak o`jhgb ) 3 24 fjys (>0/6/:2) 1 Cjro` >4:2 + 2444 * 9/ :44 (?4444 ck sbrv) 3 ?44 ?44 fjys (?/:/:9) :7
njsbf cjahtbhjhob - Ahtbrvjks pbr oyokb, Ourrbht Ai ymu jrb usahg oyokb njsbf
Ahtbrvjk Omuht jhf Ahtbrvjk Cuktapkb ojh jiibot t`b jnmvb ojkoukjtamh. Acjgahb t`brb jrb :>44 ahtbrvjks pbr oyokb, jhf t`b ourrbht ahtbrvjk omuht as 12 jhf t`b ahtbrvjk cuktapkb as 64 jhf usjgb rjtb 3 >444 . @bhob, t`b hbxt WM as imr :>4 (nbojusb kjst omcpkbtbf o mcpkbtbf oyokb wjs 12 jhf ahtbrvjk cuktapkb as 64). o urrbht ahtbrvjk Ojkoukjtamh as js imkkmws (mhky nbojusb imr smcb rbjsmh t`b ourrbht
omuht fmbs hmt rbikbot t`b ahtbrvjk cuktapkb) < 1 Cjro` >4:2 + Njsb Ahtbrvjk * (Hbxt Ahtbrvjk Yjkub ‟ Ourrbht Ahtbrvjk Omuht)/Rsjgb ^jtb 1 Cjro` >4:2 + 2444 * (:>4 ‟ 12) / >444 3 9>.2 3 Cjy :> >4:2
6n. R_AHG NJ_B CBVB^ J_ _O@BFRKAHG MTVAMH <
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TC Bhgahb wakk hmt kmme jt t`b wmre mrfbr m rfbr fjtbs jhf wakk hmt kmme jt t`b kjst sbrvaob rbjfahgs.
TC Bhgahb wakk kmme jt t`b njsb cbtbr jhf njsb cbtbr rbjfahg.
Kbt‑s kmme jt jh bxjcpkb 4:, ?4:, 64:, 24:,94:, 74:, 04:,14:,:44: bto) Rsjgb ^jtb 3 2 Kjtbst Cbtbr ^bjfahg 3 :444 (`bhob t`b wmre mrfbr imr 14: aass fub) . Kjtbst Cbtbr ^bjfahg Fjtb 3 :4 Mot >4:6
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Ojkoukjtamh <
Fjys Kbit 3 Kjtbst Cbtbr ^bjfahg ^bjfahg ‟ Fub ^bjfahg /Rsjgb ^jtb 3 :444 ‟ 14:/ 2 3 :1.0 WM _uggbstamh Fjtb 3 Kjtbst Cbtbr ^bjfahg Fjtb + Fjys Kbit 3 :4 Mot >4:6 + :1.0 3 >1 Motmnbr >4:6
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6o. @MW VM GBHB^JVB _RGGB_VAMH_ NJ_BF MH CBVB^ ^BJFAHG_ MHKQ JHF HMV MH R_JGB ^JVB=
:. _bt 'hm mi pjst rbjfahgs' r bjfahgs' 8111111 jhf 'rjtb pbr fjy' 3 : ah cbtbrs Imrc. >.Rho`boe 'Acpkbcbht irmc @mrazmh _tjrt Fjtb' pjrjcbtbr ah bJC Tjrjcbtbr wahfmw. ?.Hmw w`bh ymu ruh t`b imrbojst, t`bh suggbstamhs ijkkahg nbtwbbh kjst sbrvaob fjtb jhf kjtbst cbtbr rbjfahg fjtb jrb imrbojstbf wat` suggbstamh fjtb 3 sysfjtb. Hucnbr mi pjst rbjfahgs as j pjrjcbtbr t`jt sjys `mw cjhy rbjfahgs jrb rbquarbf ah mrfbr tm rbojkoukjtb t`b usjgb rjtb (`mw cjhy rbjfahgs irmc t`b pjst jrb usbf ah t`b imrcukj). imrcukj). Ai t`jt hucnbr mi rbjfahgs rbjfahgs as hbvbr rbjo`bf t`bh t`b usjgb rjtb as hmt rbojkoukjtbf. V`b jnmvb sbtup bhsurbs t`jt usjgb rjtb jkwjys rbcjahs jt : jhf `bhob t`b cbtbr rbjfahgs wakk nb usbf tm gbhbrjtb t`b suggbstamhs.
6f. FJVB ^RKB_
Qmu ojh usb j cbtbr rukb r ukb mr j fjtb mr ymu ojh usb NMV@.
Ai ymu usb NMV@ j fjtb rukb jhf j cbtbr rukb, t`bh t`b systbc wakk sacpky
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kmme jt w`ao`bvbr rukb omcbs iarst.
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@mwbvbr, ymu ojh o`mmsb Kjst Fub Fjtb ah t`b _o`bfukahg Njsbf Mh rbgamh. Ah t`as ojsb, bvbh ai rukb : rbjo`bs ats fub rbjfahg, t`b sbrvaob as hmt so`bfukbf uhtak rukb > `js jksm rbjo`bf ats ats fub rbjfahg.
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V`b imkkmwahg pjgb s`mws jh bxjcpkb fjtb rukb w`ao` orbjtbs o rbjtbs j wmre mrfbr imr t`b jotavaty jotavaty bvbry 14 fjys. fjys.
V`b ojkoukjtamh as js imkkmws - kjst fjtb wjs >7-Hmv->4:6 js s`mwh mh TC.
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Hbxt Fjtb 3 Jotujk _tjrt Fjtb + Njsb Ahtbrvjk*Ahtbrvjk Cuktapkb Hbxt Fjtb 3 >7/::/>4:6 >7/::/>4:6 + (: x 14) 3 >2 Ibn >4:2
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V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws jh bxjcpkb fjtb rukb.
6b. V@^BB JOVAYAVQ BPJCTKB<
_uppmsb t`brb jrb t`rbb jotavatabs jhf wb wakk usb t`b so`bfukahg mptamh mi Njsb Cbtbr<
Ahspbotamh bvbry :44 `murs mi mpbrjtamh
Cahmr TC imr bvbry >44 `murs mi mpbrjtamh m pbrjtamh
Cjlmr TC imr bvbry 644 `murs mi mpbrjtamh
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V`b imkkmwahg sorbbhs`mt mh t`b hbxt pjgb s`mws t`b TC so`bfukb imr imr t`as bxjcpkb <
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V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b TC so`bfukb imr t`b t `b ? jotavatabs bxjcpkb.
V`b jnmvb sorbbhs`mt s`mws t`b imrbojst imr t`b t`rbb jotavaty bxjcpkb. V`b imkkmwahg pmahts s`mukf nb hmtbf imr t`as bxjcpkb<
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V`b prmgrjc wakk upfjtb Ourrbht Oyokb jhf Ourrbht O urrbht Ahtbrvjk Omuht w`bh TC wmre mrfbrs jrb omcpkbtbf.
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Imr bxjcpkb jt >:4 `murs mi mpbrjtamh, twm Ahspbotamh wmre mrfbrs jhf mhb Cahmr TC wmre mrfbr mrfbr `jvb nbbh gbhbrjtbf jhf omcpkbtbf. omcpkbtbf. V`b Ourrbht Ahtbrvjk Omuht `js nbbh up upfjtbf fjtbf tm (>). V`b Ourrbht Ahtbrvjk Omuht prmvafbs j omuht wat`ah t`b Ourrbht Oyokb, Oyo kb, t`b Ourrbht Ahtbrvjk Omuht as upfjtbf tm (:) wat` t`b stjrt mi bjo` hbw oyokb.
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V`b Ourrbht Oyokb prmvafbs j omuht mi t`b hucnbr mi tacbs j TC _bt (Ahspbotamh, Cahmr TC jhf Cjlmr TC) `js nbbh omcpkbtbf. Ah t`as bxjcpkb, t`b Ourrbht Oyokb rbcjahs (:), t`b Ourrbht Oyokb wakk nb upfjt upfjtbf bf tm (>) wat` t`b omcpkbtamh mi t`b TC _bt jhf t`b stjrt mi j hbw hbw oyokb.
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W`bh imrbojstahg wmre mrfbrs imr t`b hbxt ?4 fjys, hmtb t`jt t`b t `b jotavaty "Cahmr TC" as hmt ahokufbf ah t`b imrbojst nut t`b Jotavaty "Ahspbotamh" as ahokufbf, t`b "^bpbjt ah Oyokb" omhtrmks ai jh jotavaty wakk moour wat`ah j Oyokb.
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Imr t`b jotavaty "Ahspbotamh" "Ahspbotamh" t`b ^bpbjt ah Oyokb as as "Qbs", imr t`b jotavaty "Cahmr TC" t`b ^bpbjt ah Oyokb as "Hm", t`b ‛ Cahmr TC" wakk nb gbhbrjtbf
mhob pbr oyokb.
2. R_BIRK JFFAVAMHJK AHIM^CJVAMH 2j. OJKBHFJ^_ <
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Imrbojstahg AGHM^B_ t`b ojkbhfjr sbtups! @bhob, wmre mrfbrs wakk nb suggbstbf mh hmh-wmreahg fjys nbojusb imrbojstahg as njsbf mh j ?92 fjy ojkbhfjr.
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@mwbvbr, w`bh ymu ACTKBCBHV j imrbojstbf wmre mrfbr t`jt ijkks mh j wbbebhf, t`b systbc wakk hmt omhsafbr t`b ojkbhfjr jhf wakk so`bfukb t`b wmre mrfbr tm j wmreahg fjy.
2n. ACTKBCBHV I^MC @M^A\MH _VJ^V FJVB<
Tjr jcbtbr imrc. V`as as j pjrjcbtbr mh t`b BJC Tjrjcbtbr
Ai t`as as uho`boebf, t`bh t`b systbc usbs t`b biibotavb stjrt jhf bhf fjtbs
irmc t`b TC _o`bfukb atsbki imr t`b `mrazmh pbramf.
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Ai t`as as o`boebf, t`b systbc wakk aghmrb jkk pjst fub wmre mrfbrs jhf mhky
suggbst wmre mrfbrs imr t`b `mrazmh fjtbs bhtbrbf mh t`b Cjahtbhjhob Wmrenbho` Imrbojstahg imrc.
2o. HBPV WM MHKQ IABKF MH TC _O@BFRKB<
Ai sbt tm ybs < TC Bhgahb wakk mhky orbjtb hbxt WM ai prbvamus WM `js nbbh
omcpkbtbf. Ai t`as WM as mpbh, hm WM W M wakk nb suggbstbf. Ai at as omcpkbtbf, MHB WM mhky wakk nb suggbstbf.
Ai sbt tm Hm < TC Bhgahb wakk suggbst JKK rbquarbf WM imr t`b spboaiabf pbramf.
b htarb `mrazmh Bhsurb t`jt ymu `jvb fbiahbf joomuhtahg pbramfs imr t`b bhtarb
mt`brwasb t`brb wakk nb brrmrs ah t`b kmg iakb jhf omrrbot WMs wakk hmt nb suggbstbf.
2f. VJNKB_ IM^ CBVB^_ JHF TC _O@BFRKB_<
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_bkbot omuhtbr]af irmc irmc O_A]OMRHVB^_]Y w`brb omuhtbr]hjcb kaeb'&cbtbr]hjcb'5---prmvafb BJC cbtbr hjcb stmrbf js omuhtbrs ah O_A tjnkb
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_bkbot * irmc osa]omuhtbr]rbjfahgs w`brb OMRHVB^]AF 3 'bhtbr omuhtbr af `brb'5
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sbkbot * irmc BJC]TC]_O@BFRKAHG_ w`brb hjcb kaeb 'bhtbr prmnkbcjtao TC so`bfukb hjcb'
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_BKBOV * I^MC BJC]TC]_O@BFRKAHG]^RKB_ W@B^B TC]_O@BFRKB]AF 3 '_unstatutb so`bfukb af `brb'
>?
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Imrbojstahg ah BJC BJC Cjy >4:2-42-:6 Jut`mr< \jr J`cbf Mrjokb Omrpmrjtamh Wmrkf @bjfqujrtbrs 244 Mrjokb Tjrewjy ^bfwmmf R._.J. _`mrbs, OJ 16492
Wmrkfwafb Ahquarabs< T`mhb< +:.924.249.7444 Ijx< +:.924.249.7>44 www.mrjokb.omc Mrjokb as j rbgastbrbf trjfbcjre mi Mrjokb Omrpmrjtamh. Yjramus prmfuot jhf sbrvaob hjcbs rbibr bhobf `brbah cjy nb trjfbcjres mi Mrjokb Omrpmrjtamh. Jkk mt`br prmfuot jhf sbrvaob hjcbs cbhtamhbf cjy nb trjfbcjres mi t`bar rbspbotavb mwhbrs. Ompyrag`t © >44? Mrjokb Omrpmrjtamh Jkk rag`ts rbsbrvbf.
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