Detección de Estados

 

61. Gf mokustrmf kn gfs jldputfklrfs pnrslofgns fvfozf jlo rfpmknz y gf tnjolglcäf  prlplrjmlof uof dltmvfjmúo pfrf qun gls jgmnotns fjtufgmjno sus jldputfklrfs jfkf  pljls föls. Gf gnfgtfk f gf dfrjf ns duy mdplrtfotn y gfs jldpföäfs trftfo kn efjnr  jlsfs pfrf jlosnrvfr f sus jgmnotns jlotnotls. Zmo ndafrcl, fgcuols jgmnotns jfdamfo f ltrf jldpföäf. [rns dfrjfs no pfrtmjugfr, Kllrwfy, Angg y Iudpfq, tmnono gfs dfylrns  pfrtmjmpfjmlons kn dnrjfkl. Kn gfs pnrslofs qun tmnono jldputfklrfs Kllrwfy 50% jldprfræo ltrf Kllrwfy no gf smcumnotn fjtufgmzfjmúo, no tfotl qun ng rnstl jfdamfræo f uof kn gfs ltrfs jldpföäfs plr pfrtns mcufgns. Notrn gls kunöls kn uof jldputfklrf Angg, =0% jldprfræo Angg kn ounvl, dmnotrfs qun >% jldprfræo Kllrwfy y >% Iudpfq. Jnrjf kng 30% kn gls kunöls kn uof Iudpfq ngncmræo gf dmsdf dfrjf gf smcumn smc umnotn otn vnz, 10% jldprfræ jldprfræ Kllrwfy, Kllrwfy, y ng rnstl, rnstl, Angg. Angg. Zm jfkf jfkf dfrjf dfrjf ely tmnon 100,00 100 ,000 0 jgmnot jgmnotns, ns, qun pgfonf pgfonfo o jldprf jldprfrr uof ounvf ounvf jldput jldputfkl fklrf rf ng prúxmd prúxmdl l föl, föl, ¼juæotfs jldputfklrfs kn jfkf tmpl sn jldprfræo< Kntnjjmúo kn Nstfkls. 

Kllrwfy



Angg



Iudpfq

Dftrmz Lrmcmofg.

Nstfkls (Jldprfr) Kllrwfy Angg Iudpfq Kmfcrfdf kn trfosmjmúo.

Kllrwfy 0.5 0.0> 0.1

Angg 0.6 0.= 0.6

Iudpfq 0 .6 0.0> 0 .3

0.=

0.5 0.6

0.0>

Kllrwfy 0.6 160,000

0.1

Angg

110,000

Iudpfq 0.6 630,000 0.0>

0.3

 

Dftrmz kn Prlafamgmkfkns kn [rfosmjmúo. -

Jldprf kn jldputfklrns2 

Kllrwfy2 100,000 jgmnotns



Angg2 100,000 jgmnotns



Iudpfq2 100,000 jgmnotns

Kllrwfy

Angg

Iudpfq

100,000

100,000

100,000

Kllrwfy

Angg

Iudpfq

0 .5

0 .6

0.6

0.0>

0 .=

0.0>

0 .1

0 .6

0.3

Jægjugl2 

Kllrwfy2 (100,000*0.5) +(100,000*0.0>) +(100,000*0.1) 4 160,000



Angg2 (100,000*0.6) +(100,000*0.=) +(100,000*0.6) 4 110,000



Iudpfq2 

(1 (100 00,0 ,000 00*0 *0.6 .6))

+( +(10 100, 0,00 000* 0*0. 0.0> 0>))

+(100 +(100,0 ,000 00*0 *0.3 .3))

4

63 630, 0,00 000 0

Qnspunstf2

Zm jfkf dfrjf ely tmnon 100,000 jgmnotns, ng prúxmdl föl gls jgmnotns pgfonfo jldprfr  no2 

Kllrwfy2 160,000 jldputfklrfs



Angg2 110,000 jldputfklrfs



Iudpfq2 

630,000

jldputfklrfs

 

6:.  Ng prlhnsl prlhnslrr Crnno Crnno kf jursls jursls kn prlcrf prlcrfdfj dfjmúo múo kn jldput jldputfkl fklrfs rfs kn kl klss dnsns dnsns kurfotn ng vnrfol. Gls nstukmfotns prnsnotfo vfrmls nxædnons pfrf fprlafr ng jursl y jfkf nstukmfotn tmnon trns lplrtuomkfkns kn tldfr gls nxædnons. Gls smcumnotns nstfkls knsjrmano gfs smtufjmlons plsmagns qun punkno ljurrmr2 6. Nstfkl 62 pfsfr tlkls gls nxædnons y fprlafr ng jursl 1. Nstfkl 12 ol pfsfr tlkls gls nxædnons no ng tnrjnr  motnotl y rnprlafr ng jursl. :. Nstfkl :2 rnprlafr uo nxfdno no ng prmdnr motnotl ;. Nstfkl ;2 rnprlafr uo nxfdno no ng sncuokl motnotl Knspuís kn lasnrvfr vfrmls crupls, ng prlhnslr Crnno latuvl gf smcumnotn dftrmz kn prlafamgmkfkns kn trfosmjmúo2

Fjtufgdnotn efy >0 nstukmfotns qun

ol fprlafrlo tlkls

gls nxædnons no ng prmdnr motnotl y :0 nstukmfotns qun ol fprlafrlo tlkls gls nxædnons no ng sncuokl motnotl. ¼Juæotls nstukmfotns kn nstls kls crupls pfsfræo ng jursl y juæotls gl rnprlafræo< Nstfkl 6 Nstfkl 1 Nstfkl : Nstfkl ;

P4

Nstfkl 6

6

0

0

0

Nstfkl 1

0

6

0

0

Nstfkl :

0 .8

0

0.6

0.:

Nstfkl ;

0 .:

0.:

0.1

0.1

6. Ng prmdnr prmdnr pfsl pfrf kntnrd kntnrdmof mofrr juæotls juæotls nstukmfo nstukmfotns tns pfsfræ pfsfræ ng jursl y jufotls jufotls rnprlafræo ns efjnr uof pfrtmjmúo kn gf dftrmz kn trfosmjmúo no juftrl dftrmjns2 M, 0, F y A

 

1. Ng smcumnot smcumnotnn pfsl ns jfgjugfr jfgjugfr gf dftrmz dftrmz huokfdn huokfdnotfg, otfg, qun qun sn rnprnsnotf rnprnsnotf plr plr gf gntrf gntrf H. Nstf dftrmz sn kntnrdmof rnstfokl gf dftrmz A kn gf dftrmz M y tldfokl gf movnrsf kng rnsugtfkl

Jfgjugfdls. r 4fk ∑aj

( 0.= ) ( 0.5 ) ( Ó

∑ ∑

0.1

Dftrmz Movnrsf.

) ( Ó

∑

0.:

)

4

0.31∑0.08 40.88

 

Felrf sn dugtmpgmjf gf dftrmz H plr gf dftrmz F. Nstn pfsl sn onjnsmtf pfrf kntnrdmofr  juæotls nstukmfotns pfsfræo ng jursl y jufotls rnprlafræo

Ng ògtmdl pfsl ns dugtmpgmjfr gls rnsugtfkls kn gf dftrmz HF plr gf dftrmz D2 DF[QMR DF[ QMR D2  Fj Fjtu tufg fgdn dnot otnn efy efy >0 nstuk nstukmf mfot otns ns qun qun ol fprla fprlafrl frlo o tlkls tlkls gl glss nxædn nxæ dnon onss no ng prmd prmdnr nr motn motnot otl l y :0 nstuk nstukmfo mfotns tns qun qun ol fprla fprlafrl frlo o tlkls tlkls gl glss nxædnons no ng sncuokl motnotl.

Qnspunstf2 Ng oòdnrl kn nstukmfotns qun pfsfræo ng jursl ns kn 86, dmnotrfs qun gf jfotmkfk qun rnprlafræo slo 6= nstukmfotns.