Comparative Study of Black Scholes Option Pricing Model and Binomial Option Pricing Model

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

PROJECT COMPLETION CERTIFICATE This is to certify that project titled “Comparitive Study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model” is successfully done by Ms. Supriya Pramod Gunthey in partial fulfillment of her two years full time course „Post Graduation Diploma in Management’ recognized by AICTE through the Prin. L. N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Matunga, Mumbai. This project in general is done under my guidance and I have validated the project conceptually and theoretically but not on duplicity.

___________________________ (Signature of Faculty Guide)

Name: ______________________ Date: ______________________

Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS "Gratitude is not a thing of expression; it is more matter of feeling." There is always a sense of gratitude which one express towards others for their help and supervision in achieving the goals. This formal piece of acknowledgement is an attempt to express the feeling of gratitude towards people who were helpful to me in successfully completing this project. First and foremost, I would like to thank our Group Director Prof. Dr. Uday Salunkhe for giving the second year students the time and resources for completion of the final year specialization project. I would like to thank Prof. Kanu Doshi, Dean of Finance Department for his support and guidance. I would like to express my sincere gratitude to Prof. Dr. Suyash Bhatt, my mentor, for his help and support. He was always there with his competent guidance and valuable suggestions throughout the pursuance of this research project. I would also like to thank him for his cooperation and for providing me with the helpful inputs which enabled me to complete the project in a hassle free manner.

Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

CONTENTS 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7.

Executive Summary Introduction Literature Review Research Methodology Data Analysis Conclusion References & Bibliography Appendix

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

Executive Summary Options are derivative contracts that give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying instrument at a specified price on or before a specified future date. Although the holder (also called the buyer) of the option is not obligated to exercise the option, the option writer (known as the seller) has an obligation to buy or sell the underlying instrument if the option is exercised. The price, or cost, of an option is an amount of money known as the premium. The buyer pays this premium to the seller in exchange for the right granted by the option. An option premium is its cost – how much the particular option is worth to the buyer and seller. The option premium is the price the option buyer pays to the seller in order to have the right granted by the option, and it is the money the seller receives in exchange for writing the option. The theoretical value of an option, on the other hand, is the estimated value of an option – a price generated by means of a model. It is what an option should currently be worth using all the known inputs, such as the underlying price, strike and days until expiration. Option traders utilize various option price models to attempt to set a current theoretical value. Option pricing theory has made vast strides since 1972, when Black and Scholes published their path-breaking paper providing a model for valuing European options. Black and Scholes used a “replicating portfolio” – a portfolio composed of the underlying asset and the risk-free asset that had the same cash flows as the option being valued – to come up with their final formulation. While their derivation is mathematically complicated, there is a simpler binomial model for valuing options that draws on the same logic. This project report is based on an attempt to study the valuation of options by implementing Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model to 30 Stocks of NSE. Further, the theoretical value of an option is compared to the option premium for those 30 stocks in order to find the accuracy of these models.

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

1. Introduction An option provides the holder with the right to buy or sell a specified quantity of an underlying asset at a fixed price (called a strike price or an exercise price) at or before the expiration date of the option. Since it is a right and not an obligation, the holder can choose not to exercise the right and allow the option to expire. There are two types of options viz., call options and put options. A call option gives the buyer of the option the right to buy the underlying asset at a fixed price, called the strike or the exercise price, at any time prior to the expiration date of the option. The buyer pays a price for this right. If at expiration, the value of the asset is less than the strike price, the option is not exercised and expires worthless. If, on the other hand, the value of the asset is greater than the strike price, the option is exercised – the buyer of the option buys the asset [stock] at the exercise price. And the difference between the asset value and the exercise price comprises the gross profit on the option investment. The net profit on the investment is the difference between the gross profit and the price paid for the call initially. A payoff diagram illustrates the cash payoff on an option at expiration. For a call, the net payoff is negative (and equal to the price paid for the call) if the value of the underlying asset is less than the strike price. If the price of the underlying asset exceeds the strike price, the gross payoff is the difference between the value of the underlying asset and the strike price and the net payoff is the difference between the gross payoff and the price of the call. This is illustrated in Figure 1 below:

If asset valuestrike price, the amount paid for the put is lost Strike Price

Price of Underlying Asset Figure 2: Payoff on Put Option

An option pricing model is a mathematical formula or model into which the following parameters are inserted:       

underlying stock or index price exercise price of the option expiry date of the option expected dividends (in cents for a stock, or as a yield for an index) to be paid over the life of the option expected risk free interest rate over the life of the option expected volatility of the underlying stock or index over the life of the option When the formula is applied to these variables, the resulting figure is called the theoretical fair value of the option.

Option traders utilize various option price models to attempt to set a current theoretical value. Variables will fluctuate over the life of the option, and the option position's theoretical value will adapt to reflect these changes. Most professional traders and investors who trade significant option positions rely on theoretical value updates to monitor the changing risk and value of option positions and to assist with trading decisions. The value of an option is determined by a number of variables relating to the underlying asset and financial markets.

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model



Current Value of the Underlying Asset: Options are assets that derive value from an underlying asset. Consequently, changes in the value of the underlying asset affect the value of the options on that asset. Since calls provide the right to buy the underlying asset at a fixed price, an increase in the value of the asset will increase the value of the calls. Puts, on the other hand, become less valuable as the value of the asset increase.



Variance in Value of the Underlying Asset: The buyer of an option acquires the right to buy or sell the underlying asset at a fixed price. The higher the variance in the value of the underlying asset, the greater will the value of the option be1. This is true for both calls and puts. While it may seem counter-intuitive that an increase in a risk measure (variance) should increase value, options are different from other securities since buyers of options can never lose more than the price they pay for them; in fact, they have the potential to earn significant returns from large price movements.



Dividends Paid on the Underlying Asset: The value of the underlying asset can be expected to decrease if dividend payments are made on the asset during the life of the option. Consequently, the value of a call on the asset is a decreasing function of the size of expected dividend payments, and the value of a put is an increasing function of expected dividend payments. There is a more intuitive way of thinking about dividend payments, for call options. It is a cost of delaying exercise on in-the-money options. To see why, consider an option on a traded stock. Once a call option is in the money, i.e., the holder of the option will make a gross payoff by exercising the option, exercising the call option will provide the holder with the stock and entitle him or her to the dividends on the stock in subsequent periods. Failing to exercise the option will mean that these dividends are foregone.



Strike Price of Option: A key characteristic used to describe an option is the strike price. In the case of calls, where the holder acquires the right to buy at a fixed price, the value of the call will decline as the strike price increases. In the case of puts, where the holder has the right to sell at a fixed price, the value will increase as the strike price increases.



Time to Expiration on Option: Both calls and puts become more valuable as the time to expiration increases. This is because the longer time to expiration provides more time for the value of the underlying asset to move, increasing the value of both types of options. Additionally, in the case of a call, where the buyer has to pay a fixed price at expiration, the present value of this fixed price decreases as the life of the option increases, increasing the value of the call.



Risk Free Interest Rate Corresponding To Life of Option: Since the buyer of an option pays the price of the option up front, an opportunity cost is involved. This cost will depend upon the level of interest rates and the time to expiration on the option. The riskless interest rate also enters into the valuation of options when the present value of the exercise price is calculated, since the exercise price does not have to be paid (received) until expiration on calls (puts). Increases in the interest rate will increase the value of calls and reduce the value of puts.

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

Effect on Factor Call Value Put Value Increase in underlying asset‟s value Increases Decreases Increase in strike price Decreases Increases Increase in variance of underlying asset Increases Increases Increase in time to expiration Increases Increases Increase in interest rates Increases Decreases Increase in dividends paid Decreases Increases Table 1: Summary of Variables Affecting Call and Put Prices There are two main models used in the market for pricing options: the Binomial Model and the Black Scholes model. For most traders these two models will give accurate enough results from which to work. The Binomial Option Pricing Model First proposed by Cox, Ross and Rubinstein in a paper published in 1979, this solution to pricing an option is probably the most common model used for equity calls and puts today. The model divides the time to an option‟s expiry into a large number of intervals, or steps. At each interval it calculates that the stock price will move either up or down with a given probability and also by an amount calculated with reference to the stock‟s volatility, the time to expiry and the risk free interest rate. A binomial distribution of prices for the underlying stock or index is thus produced. The model reduces possibilities of price changes, removes the possibility for arbitrage, assumes a perfectly efficient market, and shortens the duration of the option. Under these simplifications, it is able to provide a mathematical valuation of the option at each point in time specified. The binomial model takes a risk-neutral approach to valuation. It assumes that underlying security prices can only either increase or decrease with time until the option expires worthless. Due to its simple and iterative structure, the model presents certain unique advantages. For example, since it provides a stream of valuations for a derivative for each node in a span of time, it is useful for valuing derivatives such as American options which allow the owner to exercise the option at any point in time until expiration (unlike European options which are exercisable only at expiration). The model is also somewhat simple mathematically when compared to counterparts such as the Black-Scholes model, and is therefore relatively easy to build and implement with a computer spreadsheet. The Black Scholes Model First proposed by Black and Scholes in a paper published in 1973, this analytic solution to pricing a European option on a non dividend paying asset formed the foundation for much theory in derivatives finance. The Black Scholes formula is a continuous time analogue of the binomial model. The Black Scholes formula uses the pricing inputs to analytically produce a theoretical fair value Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

for an option. The model has many variations which attempt, with varying levels of accuracy, to incorporate dividends and American style exercise conditions. However with computing power these days the binomial solution is more widely used. The major limitation of Black-Scholes model is that it cannot be used to accurately price options with an American-style exercise as it only calculates the option price at one point in time – at expiration. It does not consider the steps along the way where there could be the possibility of early exercise of an American option. As all exchange traded equity options have American-style exercise (i.e. they can be exercised at any time as opposed to European options which can only be exercised at expiration) this is a significant limitation.

Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

2. Literature Review 2.1. Backus, David K. and Foresi, Silverio and Wu, Liuren, Accounting for Biases in BlackScholes (August 31, 2004). It is known that the prices of options commonly differ from the Black-Scholes formula with respect to two parameters i.e. implied volatilities vary by strike price and maturity. Both these parameters are accounted for using Gram-Charlier expansions to approximate the conditional distribution of the logarithm of the price of the underlying security. Here, volatility is approximately a quadratic function of moneyness, a result used to infer skewness and kurtosis from implied volatilities variations. Evidence suggests that both kurtosis in currency prices and biases in Black-Scholes option prices decline with maturity. 2.2. Buraschi, Andrea and Jackwerth, Jens Carsten, Is Volatility Risk Priced in the Option Market? (March 1999). Rubinstein (1994) shows evidence of a significant time pattern in the shape of the volatility smile after the crash of 1987 and proposes an implied binomial tree approach to overcome the empirical limitations of the Black and Scholes model. This approach, and more generally the class of generalized deterministic volatility models, is based on the assumption that the local volatility of the underlying asset is a known function of time and of the path and level of the underlying asset price. In these economies, options are redundant assets. This observation is used as a testable restriction and three questions are asked. First, is the observed dynamics of the smile consistent with deterministic volatility models? Second, if volatility is stochastic, so that two assets cannot dynamically complete the market, is volatility also priced and if so how important is to model explicitly the price of volatility in the design of risk management strategies? This question is addressed by testing if the returns on the underlying and on at-themoney options span the asset prices in the economy or if additional information is needed from returns on other options or the risk free rate. Third, are there any differences in the spanning properties of the option market before and after the 1987 market crash? For these three questions tests are conducted based on daily S&P500 index options data from April 1986--December 1995. All the tests suggest that in – and out – of – the – money options are needed for spanning purposes. This finding is even stronger in the post crash period and suggests that returns on away – from – the – money options are driven by at least one additional economic factor compared to returns on at – the – money options. This finding is inconsistent with the implications of deterministic volatility models based on generalized deterministic volatility. 2.3. Chance, Don M., A Synthesis of Binomial Option Pricing Models for Lognormally Distributed Assets (November 20, 2007). The finance literature has revealed no fewer than 11 alternative versions of the binomial option pricing model for pricing options on lognormally distributed assets. These models are derived under a variety of assumptions and in some cases require unnecessary information. This paper provides a review and synthesis of these models, showing their commonalities and differences and demonstrating how 11 diverse models all produce the same result in the limit. Some of the models admit arbitrage with a finite number of time steps and Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

some fail to capture the correct volatility. This paper also examines the convergence properties of each model and finds that none exhibit consistently superior performance over the others. Finally, it demonstrates how a general model that accepts any arbitrage-free risk neutral probability will reproduce the Black-Scholes-Merton model in the limit. 2.4. Feng, Yi and Kwan, Clarence C. Y. (2012) "Connecting Binomial and Black-Scholes Option Pricing Models: A Spreadsheet-Based Illustration," Spreadsheets in Education (eJSiE): Vol. 5: Iss. 3, Article 2. The Black-Scholes option pricing model is part of the modern financial curriculum, even at the introductory level. However, as the derivation of the model, which requires advanced mathematical tools, is well beyond the scope of standard finance textbooks, the model has remained a great, but mysterious, recipe for many students. This paper illustrates, from a pedagogic perspective, how a simple binomial model, which converges to the Black-Scholes formula, can capture the economic insight in the original derivation. Microsoft Excel plays an important pedagogic role in connecting the two models. The interactivity as provided by scroll bars, in conjunction with Excel's graphical features, will allow students to visualize the impacts of individual input parameters on option pricing. 2.5. Subrahmanyam, Marti G. and Peterson, Sandra and Stapleton, Richard C., An Arbitrage-Free Two-Factor Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Multivariate Binomial Approach (May 1998). NYU Working Paper No. FIN-98-070. A no-arbitrage model of the term structure is built using two stochastic factors on each date, the short – term interest rate and the forward premium. The model is essentially an extension to two factors of the lognormal interest rate model of Black – Karazinski. It allows for mean reversion in the short rate and in the forward premium. The method is computationally efficient for several reasons. First, interest rates are defined on a bankers' discount basis, as linear functions of zero – coupon bond prices, enabling us to use the no-arbitrage condition to compute bond prices without resorting to cumbersome iterative methods. Second, the multivariate – binomial methodology of Ho – Stapleton – Subrahmanyam is extended so that a multi – period tree of rates with the no – arbitrage property can be constructed using analytical methods. The method uses a recombining two-dimensional binomial lattice of interest rates that minimizes the number of states and term structures. Third, the problem of computing a large number of term structures is simplified by using a limited number of bucket rates in each term structure scenario. In addition to these computational advantages, a key feature of the model is that it is consistent with the observed term structure of volatilities implied by the prices of interest rate caps and floors. 2.6. Vorst, Ton and Menkveld, Albert J., A Pricing Model for American Options with Stochastic Interest Rates. In this paper a new methodology to price American put options under stochastic interest rates is introduced. The method is a combination of an analytic approach and a binomial tree approach. A binomial tree for the forward risk adjusted tree is constructed and calculates analytically the expected early exercise value in each point. For American puts with stochastic interest rates the correlation between the stock price process and the interest rate process has different influences on the European option values and the early exercise premiums. This result in a non monotonic Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

relation between this correlation and the American put option value. Furthermore, there is evidence that the early exercise premium due to stochastic interest rates is much larger than established before by other researchers.

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

3. Research Methodology An attempt to study the financial models – Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model – with reference to option pricing is done. Secondary Data is used for the research purpose. Secondary data is collected from NSE website as well as from various research papers, reports, books, Journals, Magazines, and News Papers etc. The above mentioned option pricing models are applied to 30 stocks listed in NSE. The theoretical fair value for both call and put of these 30 stocks is calculated and compared to the actual values. In order to calculate the theoretical values for both the option pricing models, Microsoft Excel plays an important pedagogic role.

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

3.1. The Binomial Option Pricing Model In order to carry out the analysis, the two step binomial tree is considered. The calculation of option price is done as follows: 

 

Consider the stock price at t0 to be S0. In the Binomial Method, the price can go either up or down. At t1 (after one time interval), the price can either be an “up” price or a “down” price. These prices can each go either up or down over the course of the next time interval. As we see that the possible prices quickly “branch” out over time, hence the term Binomial “Tree” is used for this technique. By making the number of time intervals between t0 and time of expiry T very large, we will get many possible stock prices at T and we will have a better approximation of the Brownian Random Walk, which is a time continuous model.

Figure 3: Two Step Binomial Tree

  



In order to get from S0 to Su, we have to multiply S0 by what‟s called the up ratio, labeled u. Similarly, to get from S0 to Sd, we have to multiply S0 by the down ratio, labeled d. These factors are constant throughout the tree. Also, if the stock takes an up move followed by a down move, it‟ll arrive at the same price had the stock taken a down move followed by an up move. Hence, the order does not matter. u and d depend on two things: volatility of the stock and the length of a time interval. Cox, Ross, and Rubinstein chose the up and down ratios to be these:

Because d is the reciprocal of u, u*d = 1. Therefore, if S0 takes an up move followed by a down move or vice versa, the price will return to S0.

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

 

If the probability of S0 rising to Su is p, then the probability of S0 falling to Sd must be 1p, since one of those two outcomes must happen in this model. We can say that the expected price at t1 is the probability of the up move happening p times the up price plus the probability of the down move happening (1-p) times the down price.



In order to make the Binomial Method to be risk neutral, a riskless asset should grow by a



factor of after delta t, with r as the risk free interest rate. So the expected value of S0 is:

S0 = 

Also p is given as follows:

 

This is the risk-neutral transition probability of an up move. The u and d only depend on the volatility and the length of the time interval, so this probability only depends on volatility, the length of a time interval, and the riskless interest rate. All of these will remain constant throughout our binomial tree, so this probability will remain constant throughout the tree as well. In order to calculate the call values, the Strike Price is subtracted from the Stock Price. If the value obtained from subtracting the Strike Price from the Stock Price is less than zero, then the value is considered to be zero. In order to calculate the pull values, the Stock Price is subtracted from the Strike Price. If 333the value obtained from subtracting the Stock Price from the Strike Price is less than zero, then the value is considered to be zero. Thus, the theoretical values for call and put are calculated by using Binomial Option Pricing Model.

  

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

3.2. The Black Scholes Option Pricing Model The Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is used for the European options which can only be exercised at the expiration. The formula for Black Scholes Option Pricing Model:

Call  SN ( d1 )  Ke  RT N ( d 2 ) Put  Ke  RT N (  d 2 )  SN (  d1 ) w here

2  S   ln   R 2 K  d1   T and d 2  d1  

  T 

T

The variable definitions are as follows:        

S: current stock price K: option strike price E: base of natural logarithms R: risk free interest rate T: time until option expiration : Standard deviation (sigma) of returns on the underlying security ln: natural logarithm N(d1) and N(d2): Cumulative standard normal distribution functions

The cumulative distribution is shown in Figure 4:

Figure 4: Cumulative Distribution Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

In approximate terms, these probabilities yield the likelihood that an option will generate positive cash flows for its owner at exercise, i.e., when S>K in the case of a call option and when K>S in the case of a put option. The portfolio that replicates the call option is created by buying N(d1) units of the underlying asset, and borrowing Ke-rt N(d2). The portfolio will have the same cash flows as the call option and thus the same value as the option. The assumptions of the Black-Scholes Model are as follows: 

The stock pays no dividends during the option‟s life  If Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is applied to two securities, one with no dividends and the other with a dividend yield, the model will predict the same call premium



European exercise style  A European option can only be exercised on the expiration date



Markets are efficient  The Black Scholes Option Pricing Model assumes informational efficiency.  No one can predict the direction of the market or of an individual stock. Put/call parity implies that everyone agrees on the option premium, regardless of whether the market is bullish or bearish



No transaction costs  There are no commissions and bid-ask spreads



Interest rates remain constant  Often the 30-day T-bill rate is used



Prices are lognormally distributed  The logarithms of the underlying security prices are normally distributed  This is a reasonable assumption for most assets on which options are available

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

4. Data Analysis The option prices for the 30 stocks listed in NSE are calculated by the Binomial Option Pricing Model and the Black Scholes Option Pricing Model. These theoretical values for each stock are compared with their actual values to find out the accuracy of each model. 1.

Company: ACC Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

1100

1136.4

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

31.82%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 117.27 49.18 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 87.42 35.05 Actual Premium according to NSE 14 108.35 Table 2: Information about ACC Limited

ACC Limited 140 120 100

117.27 108.35 87.42

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

80 60

49.18 35.05

40 20

Binomial Option Pricing Model

Actual Premium according to NSE

14

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 5: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for ACC Limited For ACC Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

2.

Company: Adani Enterprises Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

250

268.6

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

51.56%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 44.98 19.18 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 34.48 12.25 Actual Premium according to NSE 20 32.55 Table 3: Information about Adani Enterprises Limited

Adani Enterprises Limited 50 45

44.98

Binomial Option Pricing Model

40 35

34.48

32.55

30

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

25 20 20 15

19.18 12.25

10

Actual Premium according to NSE

5 0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 6: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Adani Enterprises Limited For Adani Enterprises Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Black Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

3.

Company: Ambuja Cements Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

175

168.5

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

38.60%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 13.97 15.43 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 8.84 12.8 Actual Premium according to NSE 5.2 19.2 Table 4: Information about Ambuja Cements Limited

Ambuja Cements Limited 25

19.2

20

Binomial Option Pricing Model

15.43 15

13.97 12.8

10

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

8.84

Actual Premium according to NSE

5.2 5

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 7: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Ambuja Cements Limited For Ambuja Cements Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

4.

Company: Ashok Leyland Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

15

15.65

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

31.41%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 1.71 0.63 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 1.28 0.41 Actual Premium according to NSE 2.15 0.65 Table 5: Information about Ashok Leyland Limited

Ashok Leyland Limited 2.5 2.15

Binomial Option Pricing Model

2 1.71 1.5

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

1.28

1 0.65

0.63 0.41

0.5

Actual Premium according to NSE

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 8: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Ashok Leyland Limited For Ashok Leyland Limited, it is observed that the value of both call and put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 21

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

5.

Company: Bharti Airtel Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

330

287.4

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

29.55%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 9.8 42.89 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 2.92 40.73 Actual Premium according to NSE 12.45 26.9 Table 6: Information about Bharti Airtel Limited

Bharti Airtel Limited 50 42.89

45

Binomial Option Pricing Model

40.73

40 35 30

26.9

25

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

20 15 10 5

Actual Premium according to NSE

12.45 9.8 2.92

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 9: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Bharti Airtel Limited For Bharti Airtel Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 22

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

6.

Company: Cipla Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

400

378.65

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

35.78%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 27.46 37.28 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 15.57 31.11 Actual Premium according to NSE 31.05 9.2 Table 7: Information about Cipla Limited

Cipla Limited 40

37.28

35 31.05 30

Binomial Option Pricing Model

31.11

27.46

25

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

20 15.57 15 9.2

10

Actual Premium according to NSE

5 0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 10: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Cipla Limited For Cipla Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 23

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

7.

Company: DLF Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

150

140.7

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

38.28%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 10.6 15.58 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 5.86 12.99 Actual Premium according to NSE 4.65 22.8 Table 8: Information about DLF Limited

DLF Limited 25 22.8

Binomial Option Pricing Model

20 15.58 15

12.99 10.6

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

10

Actual Premium according to NSE

5.86 5

4.65

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 11: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for DLF Limited For DLF Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 24

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

Company: Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Limited

8. Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

2900

2802.6

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

29.43%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 181.87 195.72 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 109.7 165.02 Actual Premium according to NSE 19.5 238.95 Table 9: Information about Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Limited

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited 300

238.95

250

200

Binomial Option Pricing Model

195.72 181.87 165.02

150

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

109.7 100

Actual Premium according to NSE

50 19.5 0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 12: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Limited For Dr. Reddy‟s Laboratories Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 25

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

9.

Company: Exide Industries Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

120

113

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

25.68%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 5.56 9.1 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 2.65 7.91 Actual Premium according to NSE 2.1 18.95 Table 10: Information about Exide Industries Limited

Exide Industries Limited 20

18.95

18

Binomial Option Pricing Model

16 14 12 10

9.1 7.91

8 6 4

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model Actual Premium according to NSE

5.56 2.65

2.1

2 0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 13: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Exide Industries Limited For Exide Industries Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 26

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

10.

Company: The Federal Bank Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

850

79.65

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

37.21%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 5.8 8.7 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 3.15 7.27 Actual Premium according to NSE 3.9 9.95 Table 11: Information about The Federal Bank Limited

The Federal Bank Limited 12 9.95

10 8.7 8

6

4

Binomial Option Pricing Model

7.27

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

5.8

3.9

Actual Premium according to NSE

3.15

2

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 14: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for The Federal Bank Limited For The Federal Bank Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 27

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

11.

Company: Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

900

821.1

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

26.11%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 33.19 86.16 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 12.47 78.31 Actual Premium according to NSE 20 72 Table 12: Information about Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited

Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited

100

86.16

90

78.31

80

72

Binomial Option Pricing Model

70 60

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

50 40

33.19

Actual Premium according to NSE

30 20 20

12.47

10 0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 15: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited For Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited, it is observed that the value of both call and put by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 28

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

12.

Company: ICICI Bank Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

1100

1068

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

32.26%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 76.95 77.26 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 48.83 64.87 Actual Premium according to NSE 39.55 56.15 Table 13: Information about ICICI Bank Limited

ICICI Bank Limited 90 80

77.26

76.95

70

64.87

60 50 40

Binomial Option Pricing Model 56.15

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

48.83 39.55

30

Actual Premium according to NSE

20 10 0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 16: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for ICICI Bank Limited For ICICI Bank Limited, it is observed that the value of both call and put by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 29

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

13.

Company: IDFC Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

100

99.8

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

34.55%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 8.38 5.7 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 6.22 4.97 Actual Premium according to NSE 4.5 11.2 Table 14: Information about IDFC Limited

IDFC Limited 12

11.2

Binomial Option Pricing Model

10 8.38 8

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

6.22 5.7

6 4.5

4.97

4

Actual Premium according to NSE

2

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 17: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for IDFC Limited For IDFC Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 30

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

14.

Company: Infosys Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

3800

3799

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

19.05%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 205.06 96.58 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 146.05 91.91 Actual Premium according to NSE 172.25 111.9 Table 15: Information about Infosys Limited

Infosys Limited 250 205.06

Binomial Option Pricing Model

200 172.25 150

146.05 111.9

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

96.58 91.91

100

Actual Premium according to NSE

50

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 18: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Infosys Limited For Infosys Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 31

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

15.

Company: Jindal Steel & Power Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

280

248.7

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

38.36%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 15.06 38.29 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 6.22 33.45 Actual Premium according to NSE 7.3 31.55 Table 16: Information about Jindal Steel & Power Limited

Jindal Steel & Power Limited 45 38.29

40

33.45

35

31.55

Binomial Option Pricing Model

30

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

25 20 15.06 15 10 6.22

Actual Premium according to NSE

7.3

5 0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 19: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Jindal Steel & Power Limited For Jindal Steel & Power Limited, it is observed that the value of both call and put by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 32

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

16.

Company: Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

740

676.3

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

30.91

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 35.14 77.52 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 14.99 67.95 Actual Premium according to NSE 16.1 90.55 Table 17: Information about Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited

Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited 100 90.55 90

Binomial Option Pricing Model

77.52

80

67.95

70 60

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

50 40

35.14

Actual Premium according to NSE

30 20

14.99 16.1

10 0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 20: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited For Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 33

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

17.

Company: LIC Housing Finance Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

210

208.15

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

30.57%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 15.45 11.25 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 10.93 9.73 Actual Premium according to NSE 8.45 21.35 Table 18: Information about LIC Housing Finance Limited

LIC Housing Finance Limited 25 21.35 20

Binomial Option Pricing Model

15.45 15 11.25

10.93 10

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 9.73

8.45

Actual Premium according to NSE

5

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 21: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for LIC Housing Finance Limited For LIC Housing Finance Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 34

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

18.

Company: Mahindra & Mahindra

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

1000

954

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

29.50%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 58.53 75.72 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 32.49 63.98 Actual Premium according to NSE 12.8 123.95 Table 19: Information about Mahindra & Mahindra

Mahindra & Mahindra 140 123.95

Binomial Option Pricing Model

120 100 75.72

80 60 40 20

63.98

58.53

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model Actual Premium according to NSE

32.49 12.8

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 22: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Mahindra & Mahindra For Mahindra & Mahindra, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 35

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

19.

Company: Maruti Suzuki India Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

1700

1600.05

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

39.51 %

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 126.22 177.19 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 71.86 147.14 Actual Premium according to NSE 161.15 189.65 Table 20: Information about Maruti Suzuki India Limited

Maruti Suzuki India Limited 200

189.65 177.19

180 161.15 160 140

147.14 126.22

120

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

100 80

Binomial Option Pricing Model

71.86

Actual Premium according to NSE

60 40 20 0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 23: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Maruti Suzuki India Limited For Maruti Suzuki India Limited, it is observed that the value of both call and put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 36

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

20.

Company: Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

300

296.4

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

28.79%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 20.68 15.64 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 14.25 13.49 Actual Premium according to NSE 7.7 29.2 Table 21: Information about Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited

Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited 35 29.2

30

Binomial Option Pricing Model

25 20.68

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

20 15 10

15.64

14.25

13.49

Actual Premium according to NSE

7.7

5 0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 24: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited For Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 37

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

21.

Company: Punjab National Bank

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

600

564.8

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

39.04%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 44.01 61.92 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 24.97 51.46 Actual Premium according to NSE 25.1 94.9 Table 22: Information about Punjab National Bank

Punjab National Bank 100

94.9

90

Binomial Option Pricing Model

80 70

61.92

60 50

51.46 44.01

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

40 30

Actual Premium according to NSE

24.97 25.1

20 10 0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 25: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Punjab National Bank For Punjab National Bank, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 38

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

22.

Company: Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

400

362.3

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

61.95%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 42.33 68.51 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 24.2 56.09 Actual Premium according to NSE 41.35 109.85 Table 23: Information about Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited

Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited 120 109.85

Binomial Option Pricing Model

100

80 68.51 56.09

60 42.33

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

41.35

40

Actual Premium according to NSE

24.2 20

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 26: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited For Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited, it is observed that the value of both call and put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 39

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

23.

Company: Reliance Communications Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

130

111.7

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

47.55%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 8.06 22.62 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 3.27 19.68 Actual Premium according to NSE 8.25 14 Table 24: Information about Reliance Communications Limited

Reliance Communications Limited 25 22.62

14

15

10

5

Binomial Option Pricing Model

19.68

20

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

8.25

8.06

Actual Premium according to NSE 3.27

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 27: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Reliance Communications Limited For Reliance Communications Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 40

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

24.

Company: Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

670

620.15

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

29.06%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 31.97 62.52 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 14.34 54.47 Actual Premium according to NSE 10.6 72.95 Table 25: Information about Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries Limited

Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries Limited 80 72.95 70

Binomial Option Pricing Model

62.52 60

54.47

50

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

40 31.97 30 20

Actual Premium according to NSE

14.34 10.6

10 0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 28: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries Limited For Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 41

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

25.

Company: Tata Motors Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

400

413

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

37.75%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 47.11 22.59 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 35.31 16.5 Actual Premium according to NSE 20 47.9 Table 26: Information about Tata Motors Limited

Tata Motors Limited 60

50

40

47.9

47.11

35.31

Binomial Option Pricing Model Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

30 22.59 20 20

16.5

Actual Premium according to NSE

10

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 29: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Tata Motors Limited For Tata Motors Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 42

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

26.

Company: Tata Consultancy Services Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

2200

2240.2

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

33.43%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 214.46 110.87 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 159.4 87.27 Actual Premium according to NSE 143 55 Table 27: Information about Tata Consultancy Services Limited

Tata Consultancy Services Limited 250 214.46

Binomial Option Pricing Model

200 159.4 150

143

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

110.87 100

87.27 55

50

Actual Premium according to NSE

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 30: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Tata Consultancy Services Limited For Tata Consultancy Services Limited, it is observed that the value of both call and put by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

27.

Company: Unitech Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

10

11.45

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

45.86%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 2.27 0.53 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 1.83 0.23 Actual Premium according to NSE 1.9 0.35 Table 28: Information about Unitech Limited

Unitech Limited 2.5 2.27

2

1.83

Binomial Option Pricing Model

1.9

1.5

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

1

Actual Premium according to NSE

0.53 0.5

0.35 0.23

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 31: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Unitech Limited For Unitech Limited, it is observed that the value of both call and put by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

28.

Company: Voltas Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

130

140.35

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

52.24%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 24.13 10.03 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 18.53 6.3 Actual Premium according to NSE 5.95 26.85 Table 29: Information about Voltas Limited

Voltas Limited 30 26.85 25

20

Binomial Option Pricing Model

24.13

18.53

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

15 10.03 10 5.95

6.3

Actual Premium according to NSE

5

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 32: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Voltas Limited For Voltas Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

29.

Company: Yes Bank Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

400

321

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

35.13%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 7.12 74.6 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 1.73 74.93 Actual Premium according to NSE 7.9 93.2 Table 30: Information about Yes Bank Limited

Yes Bank Limited 100

93.2

90 80

74.6 74.93

Binomial Option Pricing Model

70 60

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

50 40

Actual Premium according to NSE

30 20 10

7.9

7.12 1.73

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 33: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Yes Bank Limited For Yes Bank Limited, it is observed that the value of call by Binomial Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE and the value of put by black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 46

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

30.

Company: Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

260

270.1

Risk Free Rate of Interest (R) 8.77%

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months

33.47%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Time in years (T) 0.167

Value of Call Value of Put Binomial Option Pricing Model 29.8 12.21 Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 22.32 8.45 Actual Premium according to NSE 18 6 Table 31: Information about Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited

Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited 35

30

25

20

29.8

Binomial Option Pricing Model 22.32

Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

18

15

12.21

10

8.45 6

Actual Premium according to NSE

5

0

Value of Call

Value of Put

Figure 34: Comparison of theoretical values and actual premium for call and put option for Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited For Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited, it is observed that the value of both call and put by Black Scholes Option Pricing Model is closer to the actual premium according to NSE. Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

Sr. No .

Company Name

1.

ACC Limited

2.

6.

Adani Enterprises Limited Ambuja Cements Limited Ashok Leyland Limited Bharti Airtel Limited Cipla Limited

7.

DLF Limited

8.

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited Exide Industries Limited

3. 4. 5.

9.

Call Value Model closer to Actual the actual Premium premium according according to NSE to NSE Black Scholes 14 87.42 Black Scholes 20 34.48 Black Scholes 5.2 8.84 Binomial 2.15 1.71 Binomial 12.45 9.8 Binomial 31.05 27.46 Black Scholes 4.65 5.86 Black Scholes 19.5 109.7

Put Value Model closer to Actual the actual Premium premium according according to NSE to NSE Binomial 108.35 49.18 Binomial 32.55 19.18 Binomial 19.2 15.43 Binomial 0.65 0.63 Black Scholes 26.9 40.73 Black Scholes 9.2 31.11 Binomial 22.8 15.58 Binomial 238.95 195.72

Black Scholes 2.65

2.1

Binomial 9.1

18.95

10.

The Federal Bank Limited

Black Scholes 3.15

3.9

Binomial 8.7

9.95

11.

Black Scholes 12.47

20

Black Scholes 78.31

72

Infosys Limited

15.

Jindal Steel & Power Limited Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited LIC Housing Finance Limited Mahindra &

Black Scholes 64.87 Binomial 5.7 Binomial 96.58 Black Scholes 33.45 Binomial 77.52 Binomial 11.25 Binomial

56.15

14.

Black Scholes 48.83 Black Scholes 6.22 Black Scholes 146.05 Black Scholes 6.22 Black Scholes 14.99 Black Scholes 10.93 Black Scholes

39.55

13.

Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited ICICI Bank Limited IDFC Limited

12.

16. 17. 18.

4.5 172.25 7.3 16.1 8.45 12.8

Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

11.2 111.9 31.55 90.55 21.35 123.95 Page 48

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

27.

Mahindra Maruti Suzuki India Limited Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited Punjab National Bank Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited Reliance Communications Limited Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries Limited Tata Motors Limited Tata Consultancy Services Limited Unitech Limited

28.

Voltas Limited

29

Yes Bank Limited

19. 20.

21. 22.

23.

24.

25. 26.

30.

32.49 Binomial 126.22 Black Scholes 14.25 Black Scholes 24.97 Binomial 42.33

161.15 7.7

25.1 41.35

75.72 Binomial 177.19 Binomial 15.64 Binomial 61.92 Binomial 68.51

189.65 29.2

94.9 109.85

Binomial 8.06

8.25

Black Scholes 19.68

14

Black Scholes 14.34

10.6

Binomial 62.52

72.95

Black Scholes 35.31 Black Scholes 159.4 Black Scholes 1.83 Black Scholes 18.53 Binomial 7.12 Black Scholes 22.32

20

Binomial 22.59 Black Scholes 87.27 Black Scholes 0.23 Binomial 10.03 Black Scholes 74.93 Black Scholes 8.45

47.9

143 1.9 5.95 7.9

55 0.35 26.85 93.2

Zee Entertainment 18 6 Enterprises Limited Table 32: Comparison of values obtained from Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model with actual premium according to NSE from 04-Mar-2014 to 24-Apr-2014

Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model Company Name

Strike Price (K)

Stock Price (S)

Risk free rate of interest (R)

Annualized Volatility (σ)

Starting Date

Expiry Date

Time in Months (T)

1. 2.

ACC Limited Adani Enterprises Limited

1100

1136.4

8.77%

31.82%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

250

268.6

8.77%

51.56%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

3.

Ambuja Cements Limited 175

168.5

8.77%

38.60%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

15 330

15.65 287.4

8.77%

31.41%

04-Mar-14 04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

29.55% 35.78% 38.28%

04-Mar-14 04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14 24-Apr-14 24-Apr-14

2 2 2

Sr. No.

4. 5. 6. 7. 8.

9.

10. 11.

12. 13. 14. 15. 16.

Ashok Leyland Limited Bharti Airtel Limited Cipla Limited DLF Limited Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited Exide Industries Limited The Federal Bank Limited Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited ICICI Bank Limited IDFC Limited Infosys Limited Jindal Steel & Power Limited Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited

17.

LIC Housing Finance Limited

18.

Mahindra & Mahindra Maruti Suzuki India Limited Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Limited

19. 20.

400 150

378.65 140.7

8.77% 8.77% 8.77%

2900

2802.6

8.77%

29.43%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

120

113

8.77%

25.68%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

850

79.65

8.77%

37.21%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

900

821.1

8.77%

26.11%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

1100 100 3800

1068 99.8 3799

8.77% 8.77% 8.77%

32.26% 34.55% 19.05%

04-Mar-14 04-Mar-14 04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14 24-Apr-14 24-Apr-14

2 2 2

280

248.7

8.77%

38.36%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

740

676.3

8.77%

30.91

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

210

208.15

8.77%

30.57%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

1000

8.77%

29.50%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

1700

954 1600.0 5

8.77%

39.51 %

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

300

296.4

8.77%

28.79%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 50

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model 21. 22.

23.

24.

25. 26.

Punjab National Bank Ranbaxy Laboratories Limited Reliance Communications Limited Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries Limited Tata Motors Limited Tata Consultancy Services Limited

27.

Unitech Limited

28. 29

Voltas Limited Yes Bank Limited Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited

30.

600

564.8

400

362.3

8.77%

39.04%

8.77%

61.95%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

04-Mar-14

2 2

24-Apr-14

130

111.7

8.77%

47.55%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

670

620.15

8.77%

29.06%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

400

413

8.77%

37.75%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

2200

2240.2

8.77%

33.43%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

10 130

11.45 140.35

8.77% 8.77%

45.86% 52.24%

04-Mar-14 04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14 24-Apr-14

2 2

400

321

8.77%

35.13%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

260

270.1

8.77%

33.47%

04-Mar-14

24-Apr-14

2

Table 33: Details of all the 30 stocks

Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 51

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

5. Conclusion From the data analysis, it can be seen that for most of the stocks the premium for call is closer to the theoretical value obtained from the Black Scholes Option Pricing Model and the premium for put is closer to the theoretical value obtained from Binomial Option Pricing Model. It should be noted that while quantifiable factors can explain much of the observable price behavior, supply and demand still play an important part and can override predictive option values created by using pricing models. A sustained imbalance of competing bids and offers can drive prices away from theoretically expected values. Imbalances can be caused by factors such as a sudden political event or unexpected news regarding a particular stock. These factors cannot be quantified and can have an effect on both option prices and the accuracy of price modeling. That being said, theoretical options pricing is a valuable tool that helps investors and traders anticipate price movements for option positions.

Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 52

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

6. References and Bibliography 1. Backus, David K. and Foresi, Silverio and Wu, Liuren, Accounting for Biases in BlackScholes (August 31, 2004). 2. Buraschi, Andrea and Jackwerth, Jens Carsten, Is Volatility Risk Priced in the Option Market? (March 1999). 3. Chance, Don M., A Synthesis of Binomial Option Pricing Models for Lognormally Distributed Assets (November 20, 2007). 4. Feng, Yi and Kwan, Clarence C. Y. (2012) "Connecting Binomial and Black-Scholes Option Pricing Models: A Spreadsheet-Based Illustration," Spreadsheets in Education (eJSiE): Vol. 5: Iss. 3, Article 2. 5. Subrahmanyam, Marti G. and Peterson, Sandra and Stapleton, Richard C., An ArbitrageFree Two-Factor Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Multivariate Binomial Approach (May 1998). NYU Working Paper No. FIN-98-070. 6. Vorst, Ton and Menkveld, Albert J., A Pricing Model for American Options with Stochastic Interest Rates. 7. Options, Futures and Derivatives, 7th Edition by John. C. Hull, Sankarshan Basu 8. http://www.investopedia.com 9. http://en.wikipedia.org 10. http://www.asx.com.au 11. http://www.nseindia.com 12. http://www.ssrn.com

Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

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Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

7. Appendix 7.1. Black Scholes Option Pricing Model Calculations: The calculation for finding the theoretical value for call and put option for a stock was done in Microsoft Excel. Given below is the screenshot of the excel sheet which shows the calculation for Adani Enterprises Limited.

Figure 35: Calculation for Black Scholes Option Pricing Model Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 54

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

The cell formulas used in the excel sheet are as follows: B8 =B7/12 E3 =EXP(B6*B8) E4 =EXP(-B6*B8) E7 =((LN(B4/B3))+((B6+((B10*B10)/2))*B8))/(B10*(SQRT(B8))) E8 =E7-(B10*SQRT(B8)) E10 =NORMSDIST(E7) E11 =NORMSDIST(E8) For Call Value: B16 =(B4*E10)-(B3*E4*E11) For Put Value: B21 =(B4*(E10-1))-(B3*E4*(E11-1)) Table 34: Cell Formulas for Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 55

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

7.2. Binomial Option Pricing Model Calculations: The calculation for finding the theoretical value for call and put option for a stock was done in Microsoft Excel. Given below is the screenshot of the excel sheet which shows the calculation for Adani Enterprises Limited.

Figure 36: Calculation for Binomial Option Pricing Model Prin. L.N. Welingkar Institute of Management Development & Research, Mumbai

Page 56

Comparative study of Binomial Option Pricing Model and Black Scholes Option Pricing Model

The cell formulas used in the excel sheet are as follows: B5 =B4+(B4*E12) B6 =B4-(B4*E13) B7 =B5+(E12*B5) B8 =B5-(B5*E13) B9 =B6-(B6*E13) B13 =B12/12

E3 =EXP(B11*B13) E4 =EXP(-B11*B13) E6 =(E3-E10)/(E9-E10) E7 =1-E6 E9 =EXP(B15*SQRT(B13)) E10 =1/E9 E12 =((E9*100)-100)/100 E13 =(100-(E10*100))/100

For Call Value:

For Put Value:

B21 =B7-B3 B22 =B8-B3 B23 =B9-B3 B25 =B5-B3 B26 =B6-B3 B28 =B4-B3 C21 =IF(B21