Clase 2 - Probabilidad 2

 

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Jxicfjs iotnrprntjgicons iotnrprntjgicons y prcpinkjkns kn dj prcejeidikjk Qr Qrcp cpin inkj kjkn knss kn dj prcejeidikjk<

Qrcpcsigicons< Qjrj Qjrj gujdquinr nvnotc J. :. 5.

‵    :, notcogns<    :  (‵)    +     () ≫ :

Qrcpcsigi÷o< Qjrj kcs nvnotcs gujdquinrj J y E

  ∬     +    ( ∩ )

(knfcstrjr mrê`igjfnotn gco kijmrjfjs kn Pnoo pjrj kcs y trns nvnotcs)  

Jxicfjs iotnrprntjgicons iotnrprntjgicons y prcpinkjkns kn dj prcejeidikjk Nl Nlnf nfpd pdc c ><

No uoj uoj no nosj sjfe fedj djkc kcrj rj ju jutc tcfc fctr triz iz,, nd >% kn dcs dcs vn vnhæ hægu gudc dcss pr prns nsno nottjo prcednfjs gco dj ecfej hikrêudigj, nd :>% prnsnotjo prcednfjs gco dj gjdikjk kn djWi pioturj y ndvnhægudc 5% knd jd tctjd kn dcs vnhægudcs prnsnotjo jfecs prcednfjs. sn ndiln uo jzjr. j. ³Gu ³Guêd êd ns dj prcejei prcejeidik dikjk jk kn qun nd vnhæg vnhægudc udc prnsno prnsnotn tn uoc kn dcs kcs prcednfjs3 e. ³Guêd ³Guêd ns dj pr prce ceje jeididik ikjk jk qun qun tno nommj nxjg jgttjfno jfnottn uoc uoc kn dc dcss kc kcss prcednfjs3

 

Qrcejeidikjk sistnfê sistnfêtigj tigj i 6 :,5,7 :,5,7…,o. χ     gco :, notcogns

Wjenfcs qun< Qcr dc tjotc,

     ෆ   ( ) Nlnfpd Nlnf pdc c 0<

No djs hcrjs oc pigc nd trno kn kntnrfiojkj giukjk utidizj > vjmcons. No ginrtj nstjgi÷o sn supcon qun nxistn nd kcedn kn prcejeidikjk kn qun uo usujric sndnggicon nd vjm÷o iotnrfnkic (#7) qun gujdquinr vjm÷o jkyjgnotn (#5 c #;) y nd kcedn kn prcejeidikjk kn qun sndnggicon gujdquinr vjm÷o vjm÷o jkyjgnotn qun qun gujdquinr vjm÷o nnxtrnfc xtrnfc (#: c #>). Gjdgudn dj prcejeidikjk prcejeidikjk kn qun uo usujric sndnggicon nd vjm÷o : c >.

 

[égoigjs kn gcotnc Wirvno pjrj dcs nxpnrifnotcs guycs rnsudtjkcs gcotnoikcs no uo nvnotc sco fuy mrjokns. ³Zun sjenfcs hjstj jhcrj3, Gujokc tnomc uo nvnotc J, pjrj nstifjr dj prcejeidikjk kn qun J cgurrj utidizjfcs dj simuinotn nxprnsi÷o.

 ()    Djs tégoigjs kn gcotnc ocs jyukjo j nstifjr o(J) y o kn uoj fjonrj `êgid y rêpikj no situjgicons kcokn tnomjfcs nspjgics fuéstrjdns fuéstrjdns fuy mrjokn.

 

[égoigjs kn gcotnc [ég égoi oigj gj kn gcot gcotnc nc oüfn oüfnrc rc :