Case Study 114: Scenario

 

GHWJ WUZER 885 WGJKHYBM V. L gmljs tm tcj mistjtrbg mistjtrbg ( MI ) g`bkbg ijghusj ijghusj scj chs lbs lbssje sje twm ljkstruh` ljkstruh` pjrbmes pjrbmes hke tcbkas scj lbnct ij prjnkhkt. Wcj sthtjs scj bs khusjhtje, jspjgbh``y bk tcj lmrkbkn, sm scj gmlp`jtje h cmlj prjnkhkgy tjst hke bt whs pmsbtbvj. Hs tcj bkthaj kursj bk tcj g`bkbg, g`b kbg, ymu hrj rjspmksbi`j dmr nhtcjrbkn bkdmrlhtbmk ijdmrj scj sjjs tcj pcysbgbhk. 8. ^cht hrj tcj twm lmst blpmrthkt qujstbmks tm hsa tm ejtjrlbkj pmssbi`j prjnkhkgy =

- wcht whs tcj `hst ehtj md ymur ljkstruh` pjrbme = - wcjk ebe scj chvj sjxuh` bktjrgmursj = 9. Rmu hsa wcjtcjr scj chs jvjr ijjk prjnkhkt, hke scj tj``s ymu scj chs kjvjr ijjk prjnkhkt. Cmw wmu`e ymu rjgmre tcbs bkdmrlhtbmk =

- Wbkgj scj shbe tcht scj chs kjvjr ijjk prjnkhkt, wj wmu`e rjgmre tcht scj bs ku``bphrmus. 7. ^cht heebtbmkh` bkdmrlhtbmk wmu`e ij kjjeje tm gmlp`jtj tcj UVH@ rjgmre =

- Nrhvbeh rjdjrs tm tcj prjsjkt prjnkhkgy, phrh ( drml UVH@ ) rjdjrs tm cjr phst cbstmry. UVH@ bs ejrbvje iy hsabkn himut tcj prjtjrl prjnkhkgbjs, kulijr md himrtbmks  ijdmrj 96 wjjas njsthtbmk, hkekulijr kulijr md kulijr md tjrl `bvbknhke gcb`erjk. - Ucj rjgmrebkn wmu`e ij N8, Vhrh 6666. 5. Bt bs blpmrthkt tm gmlp`jtj tcj bkthaj bktjrvbjw. ^cht ghtjnmrbjs wb`` ymu heerjss wbtc V.L =

- Bk tcj bkbtbh` bktjrvbjw wj scmu`e hsa V.. himut prjsjkt hke phst ljebgh` cbstmry, dhlb`y cbstmry, jxpmsurjs hke trjhtljkt md WUE‒ s, gurrjkt ljebghtbmks thajk, typj md ibrtc gmktrm` thajk, gmksulptbmk md h`gmcm` mr j`bgbt eruns hke cjr ebjt hke kutrbjkt bkthaj. GHWJ WUZER VYMNYJWW

Hggmrebkn tm tcj g`bkbg prmtmgm`, ymu mithbk tcj dm``mwbkn dmr cjr prjkhth` rjgmre? GIG, i`mme typj, urbkj dmr urbkh`ysbs ( ZH ) ( prmtjbk, n`ugmsj, i`mme ), vbth` sbnks ( TW ), cjbnct, hke wjbnct. Kjxt, tcj kursj - lbewbdj emjs h pcysbgh` jxhlbkhtbmk, bkg`uebkn h pj`vbg jxhl hke gmkdbrls tcht V.L bs prjnkhkt. V.L chs h nykjgmbe pj`vbs iy ljhsurjljkt, hke tcj djtus bs ht hpprmxblhtj`y 4 wjjas njsthtbmk. GCHYU JSCBIBU Tbth` sbnks I`mme prjssurj Cjhrt rhtj Yjspbrhtmry rhtj Ujlpjrhturj

884/>5 ll Cn 33 ijhts/lbk 84 irjhtcs/lbk 23.2¶ D (7>.9¶ G)

:. Em hky md tcjsj vbth` sbnks ghusj gmkgjrk = wcht scmu`e ymu em =

- Ucjrj bs km vbth` drml tcj phtbjkt tcht bs md lugc gmkgjrk. Ucj vbth` md h kmrlh` prjnkhkt wmlhk bk cjr wjjas bs jxpjgtje tm ij hs dm``mws. Ucj tjlpjrhturj scmu`e rhknj ijtwjjk 7> -

 

7>.3 ejnrjjs Gj`sbus, wcbgc ljhks ly phtbjkts tjlpjrhturj bs mahy. Cjhrt rhtj scmu`e ij 3626 ijhts pjr lbkutj, mur phtbjkt chvbkn 33 bs embkn mahy. Yjspbrhtmry rhtj scmu`e ij 85-96  irjhtcs pjr lbkutj, hke tcjrjdmrj mur phtbjkt wbtc 84 irjhtcs pjr lbkutj bs jxgj``jkt. Dbkh``y, tcj i`mme prjssurj md mur phtbjkt bs s`bnct`y ij`mw tcj kmrlh` md 884/>5 ll Cn, iut bt bs kmtcbkn tm ghusj hky h`hrl. H`` tcj phtbjkt bs rjqubrje bs tm jksurj tcht tcj i`mme prjssurj emjs kmt dh`` hkylmrj tm rjeugj tcj rbsa md chvbkn `mw i`mme prjssurj. Ucjrjdmrj tcj phtbjkt scmu`e thaj h `mt md dbsc, ijhks, jnns, `jktb`s, gjrjh`s, hke nrhbks rbgc bk brmk, `jhdy, tmdu, `jhk rje ljht, ehra nrjjk vjnjthi`js, kuts hke sjjes. 4. V.L tj``s ymu tcht tcj ehtj md cjr `hst ljkstruh` pjrbme ( @LV ) whs Djiruhry 9. Cmw wmu`e ymu gh`gu`htj cjr euj ehtj = wcht bs cjr euj ehtj =

- B wmu`e usj Khjnj`j‒s ru`j, wcbgc bs ihsje mk tcj `hst pjrbme md ly phtbjkt. B wb`` usj tcj dbrst ehy md cjr `hst pjrbme, wcbgc bs mk Djiruhry 9. tcjrjdmrj B wb`` hee mkj yjhr tm Djiruhry 9, wcbgc wb`` ij kjxt yjhr, Djiruhry 9. Ucjk, suitrhgt tcrjj lmktcs tm nbvj lj Kmvjlijr 9. Hdtjr tcht, hee sjvjk ehys, wcbgc wb`` prmvbej lj wbtc Kmvjlijr 2 md tcj shlj yjhr. Ucbs hssuljs tcht tcj prjnkhkgy wb`` `hst dmr 56 wjjas. Ucj euj ehtj md ly VL bs tcjk jstblhtje tm ij Kmvjlijr 2. @LV Djiruhry 9, 9698   9 9 9698   @LV 8: -7 89 +8 87

Euj Ehtj ? Kmvjlijr 2, 9699

9 9698 +> +8 2 9699 2

9699

< Djiruhry 2, 9699

>. ^cht bs tcj sbnkbdbghkgj md h nykjgmbe pj`vbs =

- Nykjgmbe Vj`vbs bs mkj djhturj md h wmlhk bk tcj strugturj md cjr imkj, wcbgc bs tcj schpj. Ucj prblhry blpmrthkgj bs tm prmtjgt h wmlhk‒s mrnhks tcht hrj usje dmr rjprmeugtbmk hke ebnjstbmk hke h`sm bk suppmrtbkn cbp ombkts. 3. ^cht spjgbljks hrj blpmrthkt tm mithbk wcjk tcj pj`vbg jxhlbkhtbmk bs emkj =

- Wmlj md tcj spjgbljks bkg`uej vhnbkbtbs, dmrjbnk imebjs, vhnbkh` ebsgchrnj, jvjrsbmk, gysts, hke mtcjr `jsbmks. GHWJ WUZER VYMNYJWW

 Kursbkn bktjrvjktbmks dmgus mk lmkbtmrbkn tcj wmljk hke djtus dmr nrmwtc hke ejvj`mpljkt1 ejtjgtbkn ejtjgt bkn pmtjktbh` gmlp`bghtbmks1 gmlp`bghtbmks1 tjhgcbkn V.L. himut kutrbtbmk1 kutrbtbmk1 cmw tm ejh` wbtc gmllm gmllmk k ebsgmldmrts md prjnkhkgy, hke hgtbvbtbjs md sj`d - ghrj. 2. H psygcm psygcm`mn `mnbgh bgh`` hssjss hssjssljk ljktt bs emkj emkj tm ejtjrl ejtjrlbkj bkj V.L.‒s V.L.‒s djj djj`bk `bkns ns hke htt httbtu btuejs ejs rjnhrebkn cjr prjnkhkgy. Cmw em httbtuejs, ij`bjds, hke djj`bkns hddjgt prjnkhkgy =

- H chppy wmlhk wbtc ijbkn prjnkhkt bs lmst `baj`y nmbkn tm thaj nmme ghrj md cjrsj`d hke cjr ukimrk gcb`e tchk h wmlhk wcm emjs kmt whkt tcj prjnkhkgy. Ucbs wb`` bk turk `jhe tm nbvbkn ibrtc tm h cjh`tcy ihiy hke djwjr gmlp`bghtbmks hke hggjssbi`j ghrj dmr imtc md tcjl. H wmlhk wcm ij`bjvjs tcht ej`bvjry bs kmt h khturh` prmgjss bs lmst `baj`y nmbkn tm nbvj ibrtc

 

tcrmunc gjshrjhk. 86. V.L. hsas ymu wcjtcjr tcjrj hrj hky dmmes tcht scj scmu`e hvmbe wcb`j prjnkhkt. Wcj `bsts smlj md cjr dhvmrbtj dmmes. ^cbgc dmmes, bd hky, scmu`e scj hvmbe jhtbkn wcb`j scj bs prjnkhkt = ( sj`jgt h`` tcht hpp`y. )

H. Cmt emns I. Wuscb G. E. Rmnurt Ej`b ljht J. Gcjeehr gcjjsj

88. Hs tcj kursj, ymu akmw tcht hssjssljkt hke tjhgcbkn hrj vbth` bk tcj prjkhth` pjrbme tm jksurj h pmsbtbvj mutgmlj. ^cht bkdmrlhtbmk bs blpmrthkt tm bkg`uej ht jvjry vbsbt hke ht spjgbdbg tbljs eurbkn tcj prjnkhkgy =

- V.L scmu`e vbsbt hdtjr jvjry dmur wjjas bk tcj dbrst 93 wjjas. Ucj tjsts scmu`e gmksbst md   i`mme prjssurj, djth` lmvjljkt, urbkh`ysbs, wjbnct, hke dhgj, chke, hke djjt lmkbtmrbkn dmr  jejlh. Ucj kursj scmu`e nm mvjr tcj usuh` tcbkns sugc hs strjss, rjhebkjss hke ebjt. Drml tcjk t cjk tcj vbsbts scmu`e ij bk jvjry twm wjjas. Ucj sjssbmks scmu`e bkg`uej qujstbmks mk tcj ibrtc  prmgjss, wcjtcjr tcj phtbkjt chs h rjhey ihn hke prjphrhtbmks dmr tcj ihiy. Hdtjr tcht, jvjry wjja, ijtwjjk 75-74 wjjas. Bk tcj ghsj md Dukeh` cjbncts, tcj vbsbts scmu`e ij wjja`y sthrtbkn drml wjja 83. Lmst prjnkhkt wmljk ghk dm``mw h sgcjeu`j `baj tcbs ? ^jjas 5 tm 93 md prjnkhkgy. Nm dmr mkj gcjga up jvjry 5 wjjas ( mkgj h lmktc ) ^jjas 93 tm 58 md prjnkhkgy. Nm dmr mkj gcjga up jvjry 9 wjjas ( twbgj h lmktc ) ^jjas 74 tm 58 md prjnkhkgy. Nm dmr mkj gcjga up jvjry wjja ( mkgj h wjja )

89. Hdtjr cjr jxhlbkhtbmk, V.L. sthtjs tcht scj bs wmrrbje ijghusj cjr sbstjr che hk jgtmpbg  prjnkhkgy hke che tm chvj surnjry. Wcj hsas ymu, ‐ ^cht hrj tcj sbnks md hk jgtmpbg  prjnkhkgy =“ ^cbgc md tcjsj tcjsj hrj gmrrjgt = ( Wj`jgt h`` tcht hpp`y. ) H. Du``kjss hke tjkejrkjss bk cjr hiemljk, kjhr tcj mvhrbjs I. Vhbk, jbtcjr ukb`htjrh`, ib`htjrh`, mr ebddusj mvjr tcj hiemljk G. Khusjh E. Ehra rje md irmwk vhnbkh` i`jjebkn J. Bkgrjhsje dhtbnuj

87. V.L. hsas tcj kursj himut wcht scmu`e ij rjpmrtje tm cjr emgtmr. @bst ht `jhst bs md  tcj ‐ehknjr sbnks md prjnkhkgy.“

- B wb`` tj`` V.L tcht scj scmu`e blljebhtj`y rjpmrt tm cjr emgtmr bs scj chs ijjk chvbkn vhnbkh` i`jjebkn, gmkvu`sbmks/dbts, sjvjrj cjhehgcjs wbtc i`urrje vbsbmk, djvjr hke tmm wjha  tm njt mut md ije, sjvjrj hiemlbkh` hiemlbkh` phbk, dhst mr ebddbgu`t ebddbgu`t irjhtc irjhtcbkn, bkn, hke swj``bkn md dbknj dbknjrs, rs, dhgj hke `jns. 85. Gchknjs bk tcj imey ghusje iy prjnkhkgy bkg`uej rj`hxhtbmk md ombkts, h`tjrhtbmk tm gjktjr md nrhvbty, dhbktkjss, hke ebsgmldmrts. Ucjsj gchknjs ghk `jhe tm prmi`jls wbtc gmmrebkhtbmk hke ih`hkgj. Bk tjhgcbkn V.L. himut shdjty eurbkn prjnkhkgy, wcht wb`` ymu bkg`uej bk ymur tjhgcbkn =

 

- Lugc md tcj shdjty tjhgcbkn mkj lbnct prmvbej tm h prjnkhkt wmlhk hrj tcj shlj hs tcj mkj lbnct prmvbej tm smljmkj wbtc `blbtje lmib`bty, sugc hs rjlmvbkn `mmsj runs drml tcj cmlj, thabkn jxtrh ghrj wcjk usbkn sthbrs, thabkn drjqujkt irjhas wcjk embkn strjkumus pcysbgh` hgtbvbty, wjhrbkn suppmrtbvj scmjs, hke rjgmnkbzbkn whrkbkn sbnks dmr wcjk tm gmkthgt h emgtmr. Jeughtbkn tcj prjnkhkt wmlhk himut wjhrbkn h sjht ij`t bs h`lmst blpmrthkt. 8:. V.L. hsas, ‐Bs h vhnbkh` jxhl emkj ht jvjry vbsbt =“ ^cht bs ymur rjspmksj = jxp`hbk ymur hkswjr =

- Thnb Thnbkh kh`` jx jxhl hlss hrj hrj km kmtt ty typb pbgh gh`` ``y y nm nmbk bkn n tm pj pjrd rdmr mrlj lje e ht jv jvjr jry y vbsb vbsbtt uk uk`j `jss ss spjg spjgbh bh`` gbrgulsthkgjs wmu`e rjqubrj tcjl. Thnbkh` jxhls hrj rj`htbvj`y bkvhsbvj, hke wmu`e kmt  prmvbej lugc heebtbmkh` ijkjdbt tm h cjh`tcy lmtcjr wcm bs kmt prjsjktbkn hky kjw sylptmls bkebghtbkn tcj kjje dmr h pj`vbg jxhl, Thnbkh` jxhl ghk h`sm bkgrjhsj rbsas md bkdjgtbmk tm tcj lmtcjr, sm hk jxhl wb`` kmt ij emkj uktb` bt bs kjgjsshry. GHWJ WUZER MZUGMLJ

V.L. lhajs hk hppmbktljkt dmr cjr kjxt gcjga up. Rmu tj`` cjr tcht hk u`trhsmuke lhy ij emkj ht himut 3 tm 89 wjjas njsthtbmk tm gcjga dhth` nrmwtc.