Case 1 - financial planing : time value of money

December 3, 2017 | Author: Ahmad Bjoe Hariadi | Category: N/A
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case 1 financial managing...

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CASE 1 1 2 3 4 5

Andriyanto Ruth Rasyed Filco Anggraini

1

Morton notes that the $55,000 invested in the single-premium life insurance policy would grow to $176,392 in 20 years for a return of 6 percents a year. Explain how this return was calculated.

Menurut Morton uang senilai $55,000 untuk asuransi jiwa premium, dapat Studebarker peroleh dari "kelebihan" dana dari reksadanannya sebesar $30,000 dan dana simpanan dari pengajuan hipotek baru sebesar $25,000. Tiap tahunnya, polis asuransi menghasilkan 6% dan menghasilkan akumulasi nilai selama 20 tahun. Ditahun pertama, jumlah nilai yang ditambahkan sebesar $3,300 dari awalnya $55,000, sehingga menjadi $58,300. Dan, nilai tersebut meningkat setiap tahunnya hingga tahun ke 20 sebesar $176,392.

End of Year Annual Return Policy Payment 0

Accumulation Value

Increase in Accumulation Value

(55,000)

1

6%

58,300

3,300

2

6%

61,798

3,498

3

6%

65,506

3,708

4

6%

69,436

3,930

5

6%

73,602

4,166

6

6%

78,019

4,416

7

6%

82,700

4,681

8

6%

87,662

4,962

9

6%

92,921

5,260

10

6%

98,497

5,575

11

6%

104,406

5,910

12

6%

110,671

6,264

13

6%

117,311

6,640

14

6%

124,350

7,039

15

6%

131,811

7,461

16

6%

139,719

7,909

17

6%

148,103

8,383

18

6%

156,989

8,886

19

6%

166,408

9,419

20

6%

176,392

9,984

2

In order to reposition the equity in his home, Studebaker would have to take out a 30-year, $75,000 mortgage at 9 percent. Explain how the yearly mortgage payments on this loan were obtained

Sebelumnya nilai hipotek Studebaker sebesar $45.000 bunga 7% selama 20 tahun, dengan pembayaran per tahun sebesar $4,248. Dengan pengambilan hipotek $75,000 bunga 9% selama 30 tahun dengan pembayaran $7,300 per tahun. Ada biaya tambahan yang harus ditanggung Studebaker tiap tahunnya sekitar $3,052. Selisih biaya ini, menurut ilustrasi Morton's dapat ditutup oleh peningkatan pendapatan tiap tahun dari asuransi jiwa. Dan di tahun ke-20 ketika Studebacker mendapatkan hasil dari asuransi, dia dapat melunasi hutang di tahun 21 sampai 30.

End of Year Annual Return Policy Payment 0

Accumulation Value

Increase in Accumulation Annual Cost Value

(55,000)

1

6%

58,300

3,300

3,052

2

6%

61,798

3,498

3,052

3

6%

65,506

3,708

3,052

4

6%

69,436

3,930

3,052

5

6%

73,602

4,166

3,052

6

6%

78,019

4,416

3,052

7

6%

82,700

4,681

3,052

8

6%

87,662

4,962

3,052

9

6%

92,921

5,260

3,052

10

6%

98,497

5,575

3,052

11

6%

104,406

5,910

3,052

12

6%

110,671

6,264

3,052

13

6%

117,311

6,640

3,052

14

6%

124,350

7,039

3,052

15

6%

131,811

7,461

3,052

16

6%

139,719

7,909

3,052

17

6%

148,103

8,383

3,052

18

6%

156,989

8,886

3,052

19

6%

166,408

9,419

3,052

20

6%

176,392

9,984

3,052

Earn /Year

Value

Annual Loan Term Interest

Mortagage

Payment

30

9%

(75,000)

7,300

7%

(45,000)

4,248

248

55,248

20

446

55,694

Biaya tambahan per tahun

656

56,350

878

57,228

1,114

58,342

1,364

59,707

1,629

61,336

1,910

63,246

2,208

65,453

2,523

67,977

2,858

70,834

3,212

74,047

3,588

77,635

3,987

81,622

4,409

86,031

4,857

90,887

5,331

96,219

5,834

102,053

6,367

108,420

6,932

115,352

3,052

3

For the 9 percent mortgage in Exhibit 4, find the loan balance at the end of years 19 and 20

Year

Payment

Interest

Balance

Principal

0

75,000

1

7,300

6,750

550

74,450

2

7,300

6,700

600

73,850

3

7,300

6,647

654

73,196

4

7,300

6,588

713

72,484

5

7,300

6,524

777

71,707

6

7,300

6,454

847

70,860

7

7,300

6,377

923

69,938

8

7,300

6,294

1,006

68,932

9

7,300

6,204

1,096

67,835

10

7,300

6,105

1,195

66,640

11

7,300

5,998

1,303

65,338

12

7,300

5,880

1,420

63,918

13

7,300

5,753

1,548

62,370

14

7,300

5,613

1,687

60,684

15

7,300

5,462

1,839

58,845

16

7,300

5,296

2,004

56,841

17

7,300

5,116

2,185

54,656

18

7,300

4,919

2,381

52,275

19

7,300

4,705

2,595

49,679

20

7,300

4,471

2,829

46,850

21

7,300

4,217

3,084

43,767

22

7,300

3,939

3,361

40,405

23

7,300

3,636

3,664

36,742

24

7,300

3,307

3,993

32,748

25

7,300

2,947

4,353

28,395

26

7,300

2,556

4,745

23,651

27

7,300

2,129

5,172

18,479

28

7,300

1,663

5,637

12,842

29

7,300

1,156

6,144

6,697

30

7,300

603

6,697

0

219,007

144,007

75,000

4

Exhibit 3 indicates that $176,392 will be accumulated after 20 years in the life insurance policy. Is this really true? ( Hint: If Studebaker were to make this investment, what would his debt position look like in year 20?)

Menurut perhitungan morton menggunakan rumus future value, dari dana yang diinvestasikan sebesar $55,000 selama 20 tahun akan terakumulasi menjadi $176,392 adalah benar. Namun, bila Morton mengatakan kenaikan akumulasi nilai tiap tahunnya dapat menutupi annual cost, maka di tahun ke-20, Studebaker hanya menerima $115,352, dan dia dapat melunasi hutang tahun ke 21-30 sebesar $73,000 dan tetap menghasilkan keuntungan $42,352.

End of Year

Annual Return

0

Policy Payment

Accumulation Value

Increase in Accumulation Value

Annual Cost

Earn /Year

(55,000)

1

6%

58,300

3,300

3,052

248

2

6%

61,798

3,498

3,052

446

3

6%

65,506

3,708

3,052

656

4

6%

69,436

3,930

3,052

878

5

6%

73,602

4,166

3,052

1,114

6

6%

78,019

4,416

3,052

1,364

7

6%

82,700

4,681

3,052

1,629

8

6%

87,662

4,962

3,052

1,910

9

6%

92,921

5,260

3,052

2,208

10

6%

98,497

5,575

3,052

2,523

11

6%

104,406

5,910

3,052

2,858

12

6%

110,671

6,264

3,052

3,212

13

6%

117,311

6,640

3,052

3,588

14

6%

124,350

7,039

3,052

3,987

15

6%

131,811

7,461

3,052

4,409

16

6%

139,719

7,909

3,052

4,857

17

6%

148,103

8,383

3,052

5,331

18

6%

156,989

8,886

3,052

5,834

19

6%

166,408

9,419

3,052

6,367

20

6%

176,392

9,984

3,052

6,932 Sisa Utang

Value

Year

Payment

Interest

Principal

0

Balance 75,000

55,248

1

7,300

6,750

550

74,450

55,694

2

7,300

6,700

600

73,850

56,350

3

7,300

6,647

654

73,196

57,228

4

7,300

6,588

713

72,484

58,342

5

7,300

6,524

777

71,707

59,707

6

7,300

6,454

847

70,860

61,336

7

7,300

6,377

923

69,938

63,246

8

7,300

6,294

1,006

68,932

65,453

9

7,300

6,204

1,096

67,835

67,977

10

7,300

6,105

1,195

66,640

70,834

11

7,300

5,998

1,303

65,338

74,047

12

7,300

5,880

1,420

63,918

77,635

13

7,300

5,753

1,548

62,370

81,622

14

7,300

5,613

1,687

60,684

86,031

15

7,300

5,462

1,839

58,845

90,887

16

7,300

5,296

2,004

56,841

96,219

17

7,300

5,116

2,185

54,656

102,053

18

7,300

4,919

2,381

52,275

108,420

19

7,300

4,705

2,595

49,679

115,352

20

7,300

4,471

2,829

46,850

73,000

21

7,300

4,217

3,084

43,767

42,352

22

7,300

3,939

3,361

40,405

23

7,300

3,636

3,664

36,742

24

7,300

3,307

3,993

32,748

25

7,300

2,947

4,353

28,395

26

7,300

2,556

4,745

23,651

27

7,300

2,129

5,172

18,479

28

7,300

1,663

5,637

12,842

29

7,300

1,156

6,144

6,697

30

7,300

603

6,697

0

the excess $30,000 were invested in a long-term asset yielding 8 percent a 5.a If year, how much would be accumulated after 20 years?

5.b

Suppose Studebaker place $3,052 a year into a long-term investment paying 8 percent a year. How much would be accumulated after 20 years (amounts invested at the end of each year)?

5.a

Setelah 20 tahun, investasi $30,000 akan terakumulasi menjadi sebesar $139,829

5.b

Dari investasi jangka panjang sebesar $3,052 tiap tahunnya, Studebacker akan menghasilkan sebesar $139,666 di tahun ke 20. Bila digabungkan dengan investasi aset jangka panjang sebesar $30.000, jumlah akumulasi yang akan diterima oleh Studebacker sebesar $279,494

Increase in End of Year Annual Return Policy Payment Accumulation Accumulation Value Value 0

(30,000)

n 0

1

8%

32,400

2,400

1

2

8%

34,992

2,592

2

3

8%

37,791

2,799

3

4

8%

40,815

3,023

4

5

8%

44,080

3,265

5

6

8%

47,606

3,526

6

7

8%

51,415

3,808

7

8

8%

55,528

4,113

8

9

8%

59,970

4,442

9

10

8%

64,768

4,798

10

11

8%

69,949

5,181

11

12

8%

75,545

5,596

12

13

8%

81,589

6,044

13

14

8%

88,116

6,527

14

15

8%

95,165

7,049

15

16

8%

102,778

7,613

16

17

8%

111,001

8,222

17

18

8%

119,881

8,880

18

19

8%

129,471

9,590

19

20

8%

139,829

10,358

20

r

PMT

Fv of annuity

Accumuated

8%

(3,052)

3,296

35,696

8%

(3,052)

6,856

41,848

8%

(3,052)

10,701

48,492

8%

(3,052)

14,853

55,668

8%

(3,052)

19,337

63,417

8%

(3,052)

24,180

71,787

8%

(3,052)

29,411

80,826

8%

(3,052)

35,060

90,588

8%

(3,052)

41,161

101,131

8%

(3,052)

47,750

112,518

8%

(3,052)

54,866

124,815

8%

(3,052)

62,552

138,097

8%

(3,052)

70,852

152,441

8%

(3,052)

79,816

167,932

8%

(3,052)

89,498

184,663

8%

(3,052)

99,954

202,732

8%

(3,052)

111,246

222,247

8%

(3,052)

123,442

243,323

8%

(3,052)

136,614

266,085

8%

(3,052)

139,666

279,494

6

Repeat problem 5 but assume a 7 percent return can be earned

Setelah 20 tahun, investasi $30,000 akan terakumulasi menjadi sebesar $116,091 Dari investasi jangka panjang sebesar $3,052 tiap tahunnya, Studebacker akan menghasilkan sebesar $125,118 di tahun ke 20. Bila digabungkan dengan investasi aset jangka panjang sebesar $30.000, jumlah akumulasi yang akan diterima oleh Studebacker sebesar $241,209

Increase in End of Year Annual Return Policy Payment Accumulation Accumulation Value Value 0

(30,000)

n 0

1

7%

32,100

2,100

1

2

7%

34,347

2,247

2

3

7%

36,751

2,404

3

4

7%

39,324

2,573

4

5

7%

42,077

2,753

5

6

7%

45,022

2,945

6

7

7%

48,173

3,152

7

8

7%

51,546

3,372

8

9

7%

55,154

3,608

9

10

7%

59,015

3,861

10

11

7%

63,146

4,131

11

12

7%

67,566

4,420

12

13

7%

72,295

4,730

13

14

7%

77,356

5,061

14

15

7%

82,771

5,415

15

16

7%

88,565

5,794

16

17

7%

94,764

6,200

17

18

7%

101,398

6,634

18

19

7%

108,496

7,098

19

20

7%

116,091

7,595

20

r

PMT

Fv of annuity

Accumuated

7%

(3,052)

3,266

35,366

7%

(3,052)

6,760

41,107

7%

(3,052)

10,499

47,250

7%

(3,052)

14,499

53,823

7%

(3,052)

18,780

60,856

7%

(3,052)

23,360

68,382

7%

(3,052)

28,261

76,434

7%

(3,052)

33,505

85,050

7%

(3,052)

39,116

94,270

7%

(3,052)

45,120

104,134

7%

(3,052)

51,544

114,689

7%

(3,052)

58,417

125,983

7%

(3,052)

65,772

138,067

7%

(3,052)

73,642

150,998

7%

(3,052)

82,062

164,833

7%

(3,052)

91,072

179,637

7%

(3,052)

100,713

195,478

7%

(3,052)

111,029

212,427

7%

(3,052)

122,066

230,562

7%

(3,052)

125,118

241,209

7

Comer's critisms implied that the single-premium life insurance policy is an unttractive investment for Studebaker. What do your previous answers suggest?

Sebaiknya Studebacker tidak melanjutkan untuk menginvestasikan uangnya di asuransi premium yang diajukan oleh Morton. Karena dilihat dari pendapatan setelah 20 tahun, dikurangi utang yang harus ditanggung, Studebacker hanya menghasilkan $42,352 selama 20 tahun. Berbeda halnya, bila dia menginvestasikan $30,000, tetap menggunakan mortgage $45,000, dan menginvestasikan biaya $3,052/tahun, total hasilnya Studebacker akan mendapatkan keuntungan hampir 5 kali lipat lebih besar dibandingkan penawaran yang diajukan Morton.

End of Year

Increase in Annual Return Policy Payment Accumulation Accumulation Value Value

0

Annual Cost

(55,000)

1

6%

58,300

3,300

3,052

2

6%

61,798

3,498

3,052

3

6%

65,506

3,708

3,052

4

6%

69,436

3,930

3,052

5

6%

73,602

4,166

3,052

6

6%

78,019

4,416

3,052

7

6%

82,700

4,681

3,052

8

6%

87,662

4,962

3,052

9

6%

92,921

5,260

3,052

10

6%

98,497

5,575

3,052

11

6%

104,406

5,910

3,052

12

6%

110,671

6,264

3,052

13

6%

117,311

6,640

3,052

14

6%

124,350

7,039

3,052

15

6%

131,811

7,461

3,052

16

6%

139,719

7,909

3,052

17

6%

148,103

8,383

3,052

18

6%

156,989

8,886

3,052

19

6%

166,408

9,419

3,052

20

6%

176,392

9,984

3,052

Earn /Year

Value

NPV (Earn/year) (27,742)

248

55,248

446

55,694

656

56,350

878

57,228

1,114

58,342

1,364

59,707

1,629

61,336

1,910

63,246

2,208

65,453

2,523

67,977

2,858

70,834

3,212

74,047

3,588

77,635

3,987

81,622

NPV < 0

4,409

86,031

4,857

90,887

5,331

96,219

5,834

102,053

6,367

108,420

6,932

115,352

Suppose Studebaker's goal is to accumulate $400,000 in 20 years. Assume the is invested at 8%. How much will he have to save in equal amounts at 8.a $30,000 the end of each of the next 20 years if he can earn 8 percent per year on any investment?

Repeat part (a) but assume he will not be able to save any money in years 13

8.b to 20. This is, he will save an equal amount at the end of years 1 to 12 and nothing thereafter.

harus menyiapkan dana sebesar $5,685 tiap tahunnya, agar 8.a Studebacker dapat memperoleh uang senilai $400,000 di tahun ke 20

harus menyiapkan dana sebesar $13,709 tiap tahunnya di tahun 8.b Studebacker 1 sampai ke 12, agar dapat memperoleh uang senilai $400,000 di tahun ke 20

Loan Term Annual Interest 20

8%

Mortagage (260,171)

Inv/year 5,685

Increase in End of Year Annual Return Policy Payment Accumulation Accumulation Value Value 0

(30,000)

n 0

1

8%

32,400

2,400

1

2

8%

34,992

2,592

2

3

8%

37,791

2,799

3

4

8%

40,815

3,023

4

5

8%

44,080

3,265

5

6

8%

47,606

3,526

6

7

8%

51,415

3,808

7

8

8%

55,528

4,113

8

9

8%

59,970

4,442

9

10

8%

64,768

4,798

10

11

8%

69,949

5,181

11

12

8%

75,545

5,596

12

13

8%

81,589

6,044

13

14

8%

88,116

6,527

14

15

8%

95,165

7,049

15

16

8%

102,778

7,613

16

17

8%

111,001

8,222

17

18

8%

119,881

8,880

18

19

8%

129,471

9,590

19

20

8%

139,829

10,358

20

Increase in End of Year Annual Return Policy Payment Accumulation Accumulation Value Value

n

Loan Term Annual Interest 12

8%

0

Mortagage (260,171)

Inv/year 13,709.7

(30,000)

0

1

8%

32,400

2,400

1

2

8%

34,992

2,592

2

3

8%

37,791

2,799

3

4

8%

40,815

3,023

4

5

8%

44,080

3,265

5

6

8%

47,606

3,526

6

7

8%

51,415

3,808

7

8

8%

55,528

4,113

8

9

8%

59,970

4,442

9

10

8%

64,768

4,798

10

11

8%

69,949

5,181

11

12

8%

75,545

5,596

12

13

8%

81,589

6,044

14

8%

88,116

6,527

15

8%

95,165

7,049

16

8%

102,778

7,613

17

8%

111,001

8,222

18

8%

119,881

8,880

19

8%

129,471

9,590

20

8%

139,829

10,358

r

PV

Fv of annuity

Accumuated

8%

(5,685)

6,140

38,540

8%

(5,685)

12,771

47,763

8%

(5,685)

19,933

57,725

8%

(5,685)

27,668

68,483

8%

(5,685)

36,022

80,102

8%

(5,685)

45,044

92,650

8%

(5,685)

54,787

106,202

8%

(5,685)

65,310

120,838

8%

(5,685)

76,675

136,645

8%

(5,685)

88,949

153,717

8%

(5,685)

102,206

172,155

8%

(5,685)

116,522

192,067

8%

(5,685)

131,984

213,573

8%

(5,685)

148,683

236,799

8%

(5,685)

166,718

261,883

8%

(5,685)

186,195

288,973

8%

(5,685)

207,231

318,231

8%

(5,685)

229,950

349,830

8%

(5,685)

254,486

383,957

8%

(5,685)

260,171

400,000

r

FV

Fv of annuity

8%

(13,709.7)

14,806

8%

(13,709.7)

30,798

8%

(13,709.7)

48,068

8%

(13,709.7)

66,720

8%

(13,709.7)

86,864

8%

(13,709.7)

108,619

8%

(13,709.7)

132,115

8%

(13,709.7)

157,491

8%

(13,709.7)

184,897

8%

(13,709.7)

214,495

8%

(13,709.7)

246,461

8%

(13,709.7)

260,171

Accumulated

400,000

9

The yearly payment on the new 30-year, $75,000 mortgage is $7,300. This assume one payment is made at the end of each of the next 30 years. Suppose that payments must be made at the end of each month. Would 12 of these monthly payments be equal to one of the yaerly payments? Explain.

Untuk pembayaran yang dilakukan tiap bulan berbeda (tidak sama) dengan pembayaran tiap tahun. Dilihat dari bunga (interest) pembayaran tahunan (tahun ke-1) sebesar $6,750, yang jauh lebih besar dibanding bunga pembayaran bulanan dengan total (akumulasi tahun-1) sebesar $6,729. Dengan pembayaran per bulan, nilai pokok pinjaman tiap bulannya semakin mengecil begitu pula bunganya. Sehingga lebih ringan cicilan dengan metode bulanan dibanding tahunan.

Loan Term

Annual Interest

30 Tahun

9% /tahun

(75,000)

7,300 /tahun

360 Bulan

0.75% /bulan

(75,000)

603 /bulan

Year

Payment

Interest Principal

0

Mortagage

Balance

Payment

Month

75,000

0

$7,242

Payment

1

7,300

6,750

550

74,450

1

603

2

7,300

6,700

600

73,850

2

603

3

7,300

6,647

654

73,196

3

603

4

7,300

6,588

713

72,484

4

603

5

7,300

6,524

777

71,707

5

603

6

7,300

6,454

847

70,860

6

603

7

7,300

6,377

923

69,938

7

603

8

7,300

6,294

1,006

68,932

8

603

9

7,300

6,204

1,096

67,835

9

603

10

7,300

6,105

1,195

66,640

10

603

11

7,300

5,998

1,303

65,338

11

603

12

7,300

5,880

1,420

63,918

13

7,300

5,753

1,548

62,370

14

7,300

5,613

1,687

60,684

15

7,300

5,462

1,839

58,845

16

7,300

5,296

2,004

56,841

17

7,300

5,116

2,185

54,656

18

7,300

4,919

2,381

52,275

19

7,300

4,705

2,595

49,679

20

7,300

4,471

2,829

46,850

21

7,300

4,217

3,084

43,767

22

7,300

3,939

3,361

40,405

23

7,300

3,636

3,664

36,742

24

7,300

3,307

3,993

32,748

25

7,300

2,947

4,353

28,395

26

7,300

2,556

4,745

23,651

27

7,300

2,129

5,172

18,479

28

7,300

1,663

5,637

12,842

29

7,300

1,156

6,144

6,697

30

7,300

603

6,697

0

12

603

Interest 1 tahun pertama

/tahun

Interest

Principal

Balance 75,000

563

41

74,959

562

41

74,918

562

42

74,876

562

42

74,834

561

42

74,792

561

43

74,750

561

43

74,707

560

43

74,664

560

43

74,620

560

44

74,576

559

44

74,532

559

6,729

44

74,488

10

Exhibit 3 suggest that the annual cost of the life insurance policy is $3,052. With the adjustments mentioned in the case, Comer calculated the cost to be $5,152 in year 1 and $18,632 by year 20 assuming a 7 percent annual return. Explain how these were determined.

Comer melihat ada kehilangan pendapatan ketika Studebacker menarik uang $30,000 dari reksadananya. Dengan perhitungan bunga 7%/tahun dari $30,000, corner menyimpulkan Studebacker kehilangan pendapatan $2,100/tahun. Karena itu, bila $30,000 diambil untuk di investasikan ke jalur yang lain, akan ada penambahan annual cost sebesar $2,100 ditambah perkiraan annual cost yang disebutkan oleh Morton sebesar $3,052. Sehingga dana yang harus disediakan Studebacker tiap tahun seharusnya sebesar $5,152 ($3,052 + $2,100)

Bila annual cost ini di asumsikan berbunga 7% tiap tahunnya, maka di tahun ke 20, biaya yang seharusnya disediakan Studebacker bukan lagi $3,052 (menurut Morton) tetapi senilai $18,632

End of Year Annual Return

Annual Cost

Increase in Accumulation Accumulation Cost Value

Year

1

7%

(5,152)

5,152

5,152

2

7%

(5,152)

10,665

5,513

3

7%

(5,152)

16,563

5,899

4

7%

(5,152)

22,875

6,311

5

7%

(5,152)

29,628

6,753

6

7%

(5,152)

36,854

7,226

7

7%

(5,152)

44,586

7,732

8

7%

(5,152)

52,859

8,273

9

7%

(5,152)

61,711

8,852

10

7%

(5,152)

71,182

9,472

11

7%

(5,152)

81,317

10,135

12

7%

(5,152)

92,161

10,844

13

7%

(5,152)

103,765

11,603

20

14

7%

(5,152)

116,180

12,416

15

7%

(5,152)

129,465

13,285

16

7%

(5,152)

143,679

14,215

17

7%

(5,152)

158,889

15,210

18

7%

(5,152)

175,163

16,274

19

7%

(5,152)

192,576

17,413

20

7%

(5,152)

211,209

18,632

Annual Interest

7%

Invest

(30,000)

Earning interest

2,100 /year

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