Assignment 15021
Short Description
Price Calculation of case study...
Description
EXHIBIT 1 : COMPETITORS' PRICING IN THE INDIAN SPORTS NUTRITION MARKET (ALL FIGURES IN Rs.)
OPTION
BRAND
APPROXIMATE RETAIL PRICE (5-POUND TUB)
Performance Whey
Optimum Nutrition
4400.00
Gold Whey
Optimum Nutrition
6200.00
ISO Whey
Ultimate Nutrition
7500.00
Hydro Whey
Optimum Nutrition
7100.00
Premium Whey
Muscle Tech
4100.00
Phase 8
Muscle Tech
5000.00
Whey
Six Pack Nutrition
4800.00
Muscle Infusion
Nutrex
5600.00
Whey Pro
Universal Nutrition
5400.00
Hajmo
Kite Nutrition
4800.00
Note - These prices do not represent the maximum retail price, they represent the selling prices on Amazon, inclusive of discounts,if any. 5 Pounds=2.25 kilograms, 4 Pounds=1.8 kilograms.
RKET
EXHIBIT 2 : PRICING OPTION OF STRENGTH PHARMA'S 5-POUND TUB OF MUSCLE RDX (ALL FIGURES IN Rs.) OPTION 1 Competitor based Pricing
OPTION 2 Target Pricing
OPTION 3 Perceived Value Pricing
Retail Price
4500.00
5400.00
6000.00
Retail Gross Margin
900.00
1080.00
1200.00
Manufacturer Price
3600.00
4320.00
4800.00
Variable Cost
2920.00
2920.00
2920.00
Manufacturer Gross Margin
680.00
1400.00
1880.00
% Gross Margin
18.89
32.41
39.17
EXHIBIT 3 : DISTRIBUTION OF TARGET POPULATION OF RUNNERS (BY CITY)
Tier
Total No. of Event Participants
Avg No. of Participants from Local vicinity No. of Cities (60%)
1
37000
22200
2
14000
3 Total
Total Runners
Prospective Customers
Examples
6
133200
19980
Metros
8400
17
142800
21420
Hyd, Pune
2000
1200
60
72000
10800
Lucknow
53000
31800
83
348000
52200
-
EXHIBIT 4 : DISTRIBUTION OF TARGET POPULATION OF CYCLIST (BY EVENT TYPE) Event Type
Total No. of Events
Avg No. of Participants
Total Athletes
Prospective Customers (15%)
Triathalons/ Duathalons
14
600
8400
1260
Racing
50
200
10000
1500
Radonneur
15
50
750
113
Total
79
850
19150
2873
Sales Forecast Forecast Method 1 Total Runners Total Cyclists Total Athletes 25% Athletes buying Health Supplements 15% who might purchase Muscle RDX for firsttime adding 8% each subsequent year plus 72% first-time users buy a second package plus 55% of first-time users continue to buy packages for a year (i.e. 10 more months) Annual Sales
Year 1
Year 2
348,000 19,150 367,150 91,788
348,000 19,150 367,150 91,788
13,768
21,111
9,913
15,200
75,724
116,111
99,405
152,422
348,000 19,150 367,150
348,000 19,150 367,150
66,087
95,459
47,583
68,730
363,479
525,025
477,149
689,214
276,000 11,490 287,490
276,000 11,490 287,490
71,873
94,872
51,749
68,308
395,302
521,796
518,924
684,976
Forecast Method 2 Total Runners Total Cyclists Total Athletes 18% who might purchase Muscle RDX for firsttime adding 8% each subsequent year plus 72% first-time users buy a second package plus 55% of first-time users continue to buy packages for a year (i.e. 10 more months) Annual Sales Forecast Method 3 Total Runners (Tier 1 & 2 Cities only) 60% of Total Cyclists Total Athletes 25% who might purchase Muscle RDX for firsttime adding 8% each subsequent year plus 72% first-time users buy a second package plus 55% of first-time users continue to buy packages for a year (i.e. 10 more months) Annual Sales
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
348,000 19,150 367,150 91,788
348,000 19,150 367,150 91,788
348,000 19,150 367,150 91,788
28,454
35,797
43,140 unit sales
20,487
25,774
31,061 unit sales
156,497
196,884
237,270 unit sales
205,438
258,455
311,471 unit sales
348,000 19,150 367,150
348,000 19,150 367,150
348,000 19,150 367,150
124,831
154,203
183,575 unit sales
89,878
111,026
132,174 unit sales
686,571
848,117
1,009,663 unit sales
901,280
1,113,346
1,325,412 unit sales
276,000 11,490 287,490
276,000 11,490 287,490
276,000 11,490 287,490
117,871
140,870
163,869 unit sales
84,867
101,426
117,986 unit sales
648,291
774,785
901,280 unit sales
851,029
1,017,081
1,183,135 unit sales
3750
6750
2250
4050
450
810
6450
11610
Gross Margin Forecast Manufacturer gross margin per unit * forecasted annual unit sales Pricing Option 1 Using Forecast Method 1 Using Forecast Method 2 Using Forecast Method 3
Year 1 67,595,400.00 324,461,320.00 352,868,320.00
Year 2 103,646,960.00 468,665,520.00 465,783,680.00
Pricing Option 2 Using Forecast Method 1 Using Forecast Method 2 Using Forecast Method 3
Year 1 139,167,000.00 668,008,600.00 726,493,600.00
Year 2 213,390,800.00 964,899,600.00 958,966,400.00
Pricing Option 3 Using Forecast Method 1 Using Forecast Method 2 Using Forecast Method 3
Year 1 186,881,400.00 897,040,120.00 975,577,120.00
Year 2 286,553,360.00 1,295,722,320.00 1,287,754,880.00
Margin Forecast Year 3 139,697,840.00 612,870,400.00 578,699,720.00
Year 4 175,749,400.00 757,075,280.00 691,615,080.00
Year 5 Cumulative 211,800,280.00 698,489,880.00 901,280,160.00 3,064,352,680.00 804,531,800.00 2,893,498,600.00
Year 3 287,613,200.00 1,261,792,000.00 1,191,440,600.00
Year 4 361,837,000.00 1,558,684,400.00 1,423,913,400.00
Year 5 Cumulative 436,059,400.00 1,438,067,400.00 1,855,576,800.00 6,308,961,400.00 1,656,389,000.00 5,957,203,000.00
Year 3 386,223,440.00 1,694,406,400.00 1,599,934,520.00
Year 4 485,895,400.00 2,093,090,480.00 1,912,112,280.00
Year 5 Cumulative 585,565,480.00 1,931,119,080.00 2,491,774,560.00 8,472,033,880.00 2,224,293,800.00 7,999,672,600.00
600,000,000.00 1,200,000,000.00 1,200,000,000.00 3,000,000,000.00
EXPENSES
Total Advertising Cost
100,000,000.00
Total Manufacturing Cost
120,000,000.00
Total Budget (Yearly)
220,000,000.00
R&D Cost (Sunk Cost)
1,200,000,000.00
Assumptions: Ongoing as % Ongoing of Year 1 50,000,000.00 50%
Total Advertising
Year 1 100,000,000.00
Fixed Manufacturing Costs
120,000,000.00
120,000,000.00
Total Budget
220,000,000.00
170,000,000.00
100%
Total Fixed Costs Sunk Costs Advertising Manufacturing/OH R&D Total
1,200,000,000 1,200,000,000
Year 1 100,000,000 120,000,000
Year 2 50,000,000 120,000,000 -
220,000,000
170,000,000
tal Fixed Costs Year 3 50,000,000 120,000,000 -
Year 4 50,000,000 120,000,000 -
170,000,000
Year 5 50,000,000 120,000,000
Cumulative 300,000,000 600,000,000
170,000,000
1,200,000,000 2,100,000,000
170,000,000
ROI
(5yr cumulative gross margin - 5yr cumulative fixed costs)/ 5yr cumulative fixed costs 4,500 Pricing Option 1 Using Forecast Method 1 Using Forecast Method 2 Using Forecast Method 3
-0.67 0.46 0.38
5,400 Pricing Option 2 Using Forecast Method 1 Using Forecast Method 2 Using Forecast Method 3
Best Forecast 2 and 3 give an ROI -0.32 Pricing greater than the target of 100% in 2 Option 5 Years. 1.84
6,000 Pricing Option 3 Using Forecast Method 1 Using Forecast Method 2 Using Forecast Method 3
-0.08 3.03 2.81
Forecast 2 and 3 give an ROI greater than the target of 100% in 5 Years.
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