Applicability of Lean Startup Methods

May 31, 2016 | Author: Michael Moore-Jones | Category: Types, Research
Share Embed Donate


Short Description

This is an essay that I wrote for my IB Diploma Extended Essay. It posed the question "Under what circumstances are...

Description

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones   000589-­‐008  

Extended  Essay   Business  &  Management     Supervisor:  Vaishally  Gandhi   Scots  College  

   

Under  what  circumstances  are  lean  startup  methods   appropriate  for  use  by  early-­‐stage  Internet   technology  companies?      

  Word  Counts     Abstract:  297   Essay:  3,998        

 

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

 

Abstract  

2  

  Lean  startup  methods  are  processes  that  enable  entrepreneurs  to  discover  and   develop  markets  and  products  while  preserving  resources.  They  are  being   rapidly  adopted  by  new  ventures  in  the  technology  industry  that  are  creating   products  and  services  on  the  Internet.  These  ventures  are  referred  to  as  early-­‐ stage  Internet  technology  companies.     Lean  methods  reduce  the  risk  inherent  in  otherwise  risky  ventures  through  a   cycle  of  validating  hypotheses  to  prove  assumptions  about  the  market.  Because   the  methods  reduce  risk,  it  was  assumed  that  lean  startups  should  see  higher   success  rates  than  traditional  startups,  now  referred  to  as  “fat  startups”.  This   was  not  proven  empirically,  suggesting  that  perhaps  lean  startups  methods  are   not  appropriate  for  use  under  all  circumstances.     This  essay  posed  the  following  question:  Under  what  circumstances  are  lean   startup  methods  appropriate  for  use  by  early-­‐stage  Internet  technology   companies?  It  began  with  the  hypothesis  that  there  are  specific  scenarios  where   lean  methods  will  aid  a  company,  and  specific  scenarios  where  they  could  hinder   a  company.         Research  was  undertaken  by  locating  a  range  of  secondary  sources,  from  obvious   texts  to  more  obscure  academic  journals.  These  sources  provided  the  overview   of  the  topic  required  before  analysis  of  specific  areas.  News  articles  and   interviews  were  in  some  cases  relevant,  providing  primary  information   unavailable  elsewhere.  Through  analysing  empirical  insights  of  existing   companies,  the  applicability  of  the  information  found  was  tested.     Research  allowed  the  creation  of  the  Startup  Strategy  Matrix,  which  gives   companies  a  simple  method  of  determining  the  strategies  that  they  should   pursue.  It  led  to  the  conclusion  that  lean  startup  methods  should  be  used  when  a   company  is  entering  a  new  market  with  a  new  product.  Fat  startup  methods   should  be  used  in  other  circumstances.       Should  companies  heed  the  findings  of  this  essay,  they  can  be  expected  to  have   an  improved  success  rate.      

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

3  

Table  of  Contents   Abstract  

2  

Introduction  

4  

Appropriate  Use  Circumstances   i.  Introduction  to  extreme  uncertainty   ii.  Entering  a  new  or  re-­‐segmented  market  with  a  new  product   iii.  Companies  with  an  in-­‐house  technical  development  team   iv.  Where  virality  is  a  company’s  growth  strategy  

6   6   8   9   11  

Inappropriate  Use  Circumstances   i.  Entering  existing  markets  with  new  products   ii.  Entering  new  markets  with  existing  products   iii.  When  selling  to  quality-­‐conscious  market  segments   iv.  When  following  an  external  growth  strategy  

12   12   13   15   15  

Conclusions  

17  

Bibliography  

19  

   

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

 

4  

Introduction  

  Empirical studies show that over a period of five years, seventy-eight percent of all early-stage Internet technology companies can be expected to fail.1 This is a dire result; interestingly, the vast majority of these companies utilize similar strategies for bringing their product to market.2 In recent years, a subset of early-stage Internet companies (companies whose primary product is a website or Internet application) have been following different principles – lean methods - and have taken a step away from traditional methods for bringing a product to market. These new companies refer to themselves as "Lean Startups" (a term credited to Eric Ries, who has written an influential book by the same name), and label companies using traditional methods as "Fat Startups". They take their name from lean manufacturing, which saw success in Japan with companies like Toyota being revolutionized. Lean manufacturing, and subsequently lean startups, at their core revolve around removing any activities that are wasteful. Lean startup methods are tools and philosophies that allow early-stage companies to bring a successful product to market by focusing on learning through validation of hypotheses. A company will make a guess as to who their users are, and what product they want, and will then test this assumption in real life through a low-cost, basic version of the product. It will then continually adjust the product, or start all over again, based on the evidence shown through its customers’ usage. They do not spend on marketing or sales until they have a validated product, and therefore consume less capital than fat startups. They are capital efficient as they recognize sooner if they are heading towards success or failure. Other advantages and disadvantages of lean methods will be made clear throughout this essay. As a number of companies utilizing lean methods reach success, the methods are increasingly being adopted. The vast majority of new Internet technology companies use lean methods. At the same time, numerous lean companies are failing, or not living up to expectations made of them. It is likely that there are scenarios under which utilizing lean methods will aid a company in bringing a successful product to market, and there are also definable scenarios where the use of lean methods will hinder a company. By defining these scenarios, we could help new companies to make more effective decisions about the methods they use to bring a successful product to market. The aim of this essay, therefore, is to explore and discover the circumstances under which lean startup methods are appropriate                                                                                                                 1  Song,  Michael,  Ksenia  Podoynitsyna,  Hans  Van  Der  Bij,  and  Johannes  Halman.  "Success  Factors  

in  New  Ventures:  A  Meta-­‐Analysis."  The  Journal  of  Product  Innovation  Management  25.1  (2008):   7-­‐8.  Print.  

  2  Blank,  Steven  Gary.  "Winners  and  Losers."  Introduction.  The  Four  Steps  to  the  Epiphany:  

Successful  Strategies  for  Products  That  Win.  S.G.  Blank,  2007.  Viii.  Print.  

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

5  

for use by early-stage Internet technology companies. While lean methods are applicable to companies of all ages and industries, this essay is limited to early-stage Internet technology companies so that its findings can be particularly relevant, and therefore beneficial, to a specific group of companies. Through this essay, circumstances where lean methods should and should not be used will be made clear. As a result, the failure rate of early-stage Internet technology companies could be reduced, as they begin to use methods appropriate to their individual situation. Entrepreneurial ventures, if successful, can create jobs and growth in an economy. This leads to an improved standard of living for many individuals in society, and will lead to wider benefits for multiple reasons, such as the company’s ability to pay additional tax. Therefore, if the failure rate of early-stage Internet technology companies is reduced, many people in society will be better off.

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

 

6  

Appropriate  Use  Circumstances  

i.  Introduction  to  extreme  uncertainty     For  decades,  traditional  early-­‐stage  business  methods  (now  referred  to  as  fat   startup  methods)  have  been  suitable  for  use  by  all  businesses.    The  majority  of   new  companies  simply  bring  an  existing  product  into  a  new  local  context,  or   bring  a  new  product  into  an  existing  market.  In  each  case,  the  conditions  are   predictable,  as  numerous  other  businesses  have  carried  out  the  same  process.   Eric  Ries  notes  that  this  is  why  most  traditional  businesses  can  be  funded  by  a   bank  loan  –  they  are  so  predictable  that  a  loan  officer  can  assess  their  risk  and   give  loans.3     However,  since  the  creation  of  the  Internet,  many  new  ventures  are  bringing  new   products  into  new,  or  re-­‐segmented,  markets.4  In  these  cases,  the  business   knows  nothing  about  its  customers  or  their  desires  –  it  is  operating  under   conditions  of  extreme  uncertainty,  or  ambiguity.5     Fat  startup  methods  involve  traditional,  milestone-­‐based  product  development.   A  concept  is  created  and  then  undergoes  development,  including  the   development  of  marketing  materials  based  upon  market  research.  Next,  it  is   tested,  and  finally  it  launches  to  users.  Under  scenarios  where  the  market  is   known,  these  product  development  methods  work  well  as  the  only  variable  the   company  needs  to  focus  on  is  execution.6  The  traditional  product  development   method  is  illustrated  below.7    

                                                                                                                  3  Ries,  Eric.  "Part  One  -­‐  Vision."  The  Lean  Startup:  How  Today's  Entrepreneurs  Use  Continuous   Innovation  to  Create  Radically  Successful  Businesses.  New  York:  Crown  Business,  2011.  29.  Print.  

 

4  Blank,  Steven  Gary.  "Not  All  Startups  Are  Alike."  The  Four  Steps  to  the  Epiphany:  Successful  

Strategies  for  Products  That  Win.  [California]:  S.G.  Blank,  2007.  12.  Print.     5  Courtney,  Hugh,  Jane  Kirkland,  and  Patrick  Viguerie.  "Strategy  Under  Uncertainty."  McKinsey  &   Co.  Quarterly.  June  2000.  Web.  17  Dec.  2011.   .     6  Ries,  Eric.  "Part  One  -­‐  Vision."  The  Lean  Startup:  How  Today's  Entrepreneurs  Use  Continuous   Innovation  to  Create  Radically  Successful  Businesses.  New  York:  Crown  Business,  2011.  29.  Print.  

 

7  This  diagram  is  a  modified  version  of  one  presented  in  Steven  Gary  Blank’s  The  Four  Steps  to  

the  Epiphany:  Successful  Strategies  for  Products  That  Win.  [California]:  S.G.  Blank,  2007.  Print.    

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

7  

  For  Internet  technology  companies,  the  product  development  method  is  largely   ineffective.  Companies  will  go  through  the  cycle,  consuming  resources  as  they  do,   without  knowing  if  the  product  is  what  the  market  wants.  It  can  lead  to  a  large   waste  of  resources,  as  in  the  classic  example  of  a  failed  fat  startup,  WebVan,  an   online  grocery  retailer  that  consumed  approximately  USD$1.2  billion  in  venture   capital,  and  entered  bankruptcy  shortly  after.8  9  10     Lean  methods,  in  comparison,  are  inherently  useful  to  companies  operating   under  extreme  uncertainty.  They  focus  on  validated  learning  –  “…a  rigorous   method  for  demonstrating  progress  when  one  is  embedded  in  the  soil  of  extreme   uncertainty…”.11  Whereas  the  product  development  method  is  linear,  lean   methods  (which  include  Steve  Blank’s  theories  on  customer  development12)  are   circular  –  a  company  will  repeatedly  carry  out  certain  tasks  in  order  to  find  what   is  successful.    In  extreme  uncertainty,  a  company’s  knowledge  of  its  customers   and  product  is  limited.  Lean  methods  therefore  force  the  company  to  focus  on   learning  before  investing  and  acting.     The  following  part  of  this  essay  explores  the  circumstances  where  it  makes  sense   for  an  early-­‐stage  Internet  technology  company  to  utilize  lean  methods.  It  is   assumed  that  all  of  the  following  scenarios  are  within  the  boundaries  of  extreme   uncertainty.    

                                                                                                                8  Burgess,  Kristy,  Sharon  T.  Hopkins,  and  Kenneth  White.  "WebVan:  A  Cautionary  Tale."  Diss.  

Piedmont  University,  2006.  Sept.  2006.  Web.  18  Dec.  2011.   .  

  9  "Webvan  Finds  That  Shopping  for  Food  Online  Hasn’t  Clicked  with  Consumers."Wharton  

University  Archives.  19  Mar.  2001.  Web.  15  Dec.  2011.   .  

 

10  Here  it  should  be  briefly  noted  that  the  figure  of  USD$1.2  billion  is  questionable  to  a  certain  

extent.  There  are  limited  sources  citing  WebVan’s  financial  data,  and  there  are  different  figures   reported.  Accessing  WebVan’s  old  financial  documents  would  be  ideal  as  a  source,  but  they  are   unavailable  to  the  public.  However,  the  above  figure  was  cited  in  multiple  sources,  and  so  can  at   least  indicate  the  extent  of  the  financial  waste  that  WebVan  caused.     11  Ries,  Eric.  "Learn."  The  Lean  Startup:  How  Today's  Entrepreneurs  Use  Continuous  Innovation  to   Create  Radically  Successful  Businesses.  New  York:  Crown  Business,  2011.  38.  Print.  

 

12  Cooper,  Brant,  and  Patrick  Vlaskovits.  The  Entrepreneur’s  Guide  to  Customer  Development:  A  

"Cheat  Sheet"  to  the  Four  Steps  to  the  Epiphany.  Cooper-­‐Vlaskovits,  2010.  Print.  

 

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

8  

ii.  Entering  a  new  or  re-­‐segmented  market  with  a  new  product     Ansoff’s Growth Matrix13 is a tool that can simplify, and describe, the activities companies should undergo when entering different combinations of new and existing markets with new and existing products. According to Ansoff’s Matrix, companies are diversifying when entering new markets with a new product. However, Ansoff’s Matrix is designed for use by existing companies that are looking to grow – it is not ideal for use by early-stage companies with no existing product and no defined market. For the purposes of early-stage Internet technology companies, I have developed a specifically revised version of Ansoff’s Matrix. Let it be called the Startup Strategy Matrix. It retains the axes and labels of Ansoff’s Matrix, which are still applicable and useful, but makes different recommendations to early-stage companies. It builds on the research of both Steve Blank and Eric Ries in making recommendations to companies on appropriate strategies.14 15

The Startup Strategy Matrix tells us that if we are bringing a new product into a new market, lean startup methods should be pursued, and there should be a                                                                                                                 13  Hoang,  Paul.  "The  Ansoff  Matrix."  Business  &  Management.  [Melton,  Vic.]:  IBID  Press,  2007.   131-­‐33.  Print.  

 

14  Blank,  Steven  Gary.  "Not  All  Startups  Are  Alike."  The  Four  Steps  to  the  Epiphany:  Successful  

Strategies  for  Products  That  Win.  [California]:  S.G.  Blank,  2007.  12.  Print.  

 

15  Ries,  Eric.  "The  Roots  of  the  Lean  Startup".  The  Lean  Startup:  How  Today's  Entrepreneurs  Use  

Continuous  Innovation  to  Create  Radically  Successful  Businesses.  New  York:  Crown  Business,  2011.   18-­‐24.  Print.  

 

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

9  

focus on innovative customer development. This is the corner of the Matrix where there is the most uncertainty – almost nothing is known about the company’s customers or their desires. The company should therefore focus on learning and discovering customers’ desires and preferences before embarking on any other activities. Lean methods will allow the company to do exactly this, while preserving capital.

It is worth noting that if a company is re-segmenting an existing market as either a low-cost or niche entrant, the company essentially falls into the bottom-right of the Startup Strategy Matrix and should use lean startup methods.16 They have no solid evidence of their customers’ preferences, and are unsure which customers from the whole market will be a part of the resegmented market. Therefore, they should use both lean and customer development methods in order to discover truths about their precise market. There are very few circumstances in which it would make sense for a company with a new product entering a new or re-segmented market to use fat startup methods instead of lean ones. The company would be making too many imprecise inferences about fundamental parts of the business, such as their value proposition and growth strategy. If they do not know their customers yet, it is impossible to have any evidence on whether these assumptions are correct.  

iii.  Companies  with  an  in-­‐house  technical  development  team     An  early-­‐stage  Internet  technology  company  employing  a  number  of  technical   developers  will  be  heavily  advantaged  through  the  use  of  lean  startup  methods.   Here,  business  theory  is  heavily  linked  with  technical  development  processes.                                                                                                                   16  Blank,  Steven  Gary.  "Not  All  Startups  Are  Alike."  The  Four  Steps  to  the  Epiphany:  Successful   Strategies  for  Products  That  Win.  [California]:  S.G.  Blank,  2007.  12.  Print.  

 

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

10  

  Traditional  development  methods  are  referred  to  as  Waterfall,  or  Stage-­‐Gate.17  A   development  team  is  given  a  brief  with  multiple  milestones  for  a  feature.  They   will  complete  multiple  features,  and  then  launch  many  features  in  one  batch.   This  is  a  slow  development  method  that  gives  a  company  little  time  to  learn  from   its  customers  about  how  they  actually  use  the  product  –  this  is  not  in  line  with   the  goals  of  a  company  using  lean  startup  methods.     A  lean  startup,  by  contrast,  will  have  its  technical  development  team  utilizing   “Agile”  development  methods.18  The  creators  of  such  methods  describe  them  as   valuing  “individuals  and  interactions  over  processes  and  tools,  working  software   over  comprehensive  documentation,  customer  collaboration  over  contract   negotiation,  and  responding  to  change  over  following  a  plan”.19  This  description   lies  in  stark  contrast  to  the  workings  of  Waterfall  methods,  which  value  the   opposite  concepts.     With  Waterfall  methods,  if  there  is  an  error  in  a  piece  of  code,  the  company  will   not  discover  this  until  it  pushes  the  code  to  users,  which  will  happen  in  a  large   batch  along  with  many  other  features  once  every  month  or  so.  An  error  could   potentially  cause  the  failure  of  all  of  the  company’s  software,  rendering  its   business  temporarily  unable  to  function.  Because  the  company  has  also  pushed   other  features  and  code  to  users  at  the  same  time,  it  will  be  hard  to  discover  the   error  that  caused  the  problem.20     Agile  development  is  one  of  the  tenets  of  lean  startup  methods.  It  requires  that   the  company  publish  code  to  its  users  the  moment  it  is  written,  and  then  monitor   the  results.  In  terms  of  manufacturing,  it  is  the  equivalent  of  small  batch  sizes,   which  are  proven  to  be  more  efficient.21  If  there  is  a  problem  with  the  code,  it   will  be  discovered  immediately,  and  can  be  fixed  straight  away  because  there   will  only  have  been  one  piece  of  code  that  could  have  caused  the  problem.     If  a  company  employs  an  outside  software  or  web  design  and  development  firm,   it  likely  has  little  control  over  how  its  product  is  developed.  However,  if  the                                                                                                                   17  Wasson,  Charles  S.  "The  Evolutionary  Development  Model."  System  Analysis,  Design,  and  

Development  Concepts,  Principles,  and  Practices.  Hoboken,  NJ:  Wiley-­‐Interscience,  2006.  292-­‐93.   Print.  

  18  Shore,  James,  and  Shane  Warden.  "Why  Agile?"  The  Art  of  Agile  Development.  Beijing:  O'Reilly  

Media,  2008.  3-­‐13.  Print.  

 

19  Multiple.  "The  Agile  Manifesto."  Manifesto  for  Agile  Software  Development.  2001.  Web.  14  Jan.  

2012.  .  

  20  Ries,  Eric.  "Batch."  The  Lean  Startup:  How  Today's  Entrepreneurs  Use  Continuous  Innovation  to  

Create  Radically  Successful  Businesses.  New  York:  Crown  Business,  2011.  184-­‐205.  Print.     21  Bodek,  Norman.  "Taiichi  Ohno."  Kaikaku:  The  Power  and  Magic  of  Lean  :  A  Study  in  Knowledge   Transfer.  Vancouver,  WA:  PCS,  2004.  27-­‐37.  Print.  

 

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

11  

company  employs  an  in-­‐house  development  team,  and  if  one  or  more  co-­‐ founders  of  the  company  is  part  of  the  technical  team,  then  lean  startup  methods   (and  therefore  agile  development  methods)  should  be  used.  Using  agile  methods   will  reduce  the  risk  that  an  error  in  code  could  disrupt  the  company’s   functioning,  and  will  also  allow  the  company  to  test  many  additional  features  on   its  users.    

iv.  Where  virality  is  a  company’s  growth  strategy     The nature of the Internet allows many technology companies to achieve organic viral growth.22 A user of a company’s product, such as a social network, will derive additional benefit from the product if more people are using it. Users therefore have an incentive to share the product quickly and with many people, allowing a company to gain very large numbers of new users, or customers, in a short space of time. Many early-stage Internet technology companies base their entire growth forecasts upon Metcalfe’s Law; namely, that the value of the network of users as a whole is proportional to the square of the number of participants of the network.23 In order for their business model to function, the company is required to achieve viral growth. It should be noted that viral growth is a form of organic growth as it is achieved using the company’s existing resources. Viral growth is a process that is not easily replicated, and many companies try in vain to achieve it. There are few rules for achieving viral growth, and so companies go about achieving it in their own ways. In order to best achieve viral growth, a company should carry out significant amounts of testing. If the company were to use traditional fat startup methods, they might invest heavily in developing a product that turned out not to achieve viral growth. Lean startup methods, by contrast, involve testing different methods for achieving viral growth until one works. We can see that by utilizing lean methods, a company can preserve resources until it has a working model for achieving its growth formula.      

                                                                                                                22  Lippman,  Andrew,  and  David  Reed.  "Viral  Communications."  Diss.  Massachusetts  Institute  of   Technology,  2003.  19  May  2003.  Web.  22  Jan.  2012.   .  

 

23  Windrum,  Paul,  and  Peter  Swann.  "Networks,  Noise,  and  Web  Navigation:  Sustaining  

Metcalfe's  Law  Through  Technological  Innovation."  Diss.  Manchester  Business  School,  University   of  Maastricht,  1999.  Jan.  1999.  Web.  22  Jan.  2012.  .  

 

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

12  

Inappropriate  Use  Circumstances    

i.  Entering  existing  markets  with  new  products     Referring to the Startup Strategy Matrix (fig. 2), the top-right corner corresponds to a company entering an existing market with a new product. When a company enters a new market with a new product, it must first discover who its customers will be. Lean startup methods allow it to do this by continually testing different hypotheses to discover its market and their preferences. However, if a company is entering an existing market, it is not necessary for it to test hypotheses to discover its customers. Instead, there will be existing knowledge of customers within the market and their likes and dislikes. The company can draw on this knowledge to create their new product, or can carry out market research to find out what their customers will buy before embarking on building the product.

The Startup Strategy Matrix states that innovative product development methods should be used when entering an existing market with a new product. As much is already known about the market, a company must simply carry out market research and then execute its plan correctly in order to succeed. Traditional product development methods (see fig. 1) will allow the company to execute successfully, while innovation will ensure that the company builds a new product with points of difference that the market will respond to favorably. Were lean startup methods to be used in this situation, the company would waste time trying to gain knowledge that it could have discovered much more quickly through other methods. Because of this wasted time, the company

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

13  

could potentially be beaten to market by another company and miss the opportunity. Ben Horowitz, a successful entrepreneur and venture capitalist, says about using lean methods; “you may lose your opportunity to win the market, either because you fail to fund the R&D necessary to find product/market fit or you let a competitor out-execute you in taking the market.”24

ii.  Entering  new  markets  with  existing  products  

  Groupon25  is  an  Internet  technology  company  that  saw  huge  success  in  the   United  States,  quickly  becoming  the  fastest-­‐growing  company  the  world  has  ever   seen.26  Their  business  model  involves  selling  coupons  to  large  number  of   consumers  who  are  incentivized  to  share  the  coupon  with  their  friends.  While   Groupon  quickly  expanded  and  launched  their  service  in  many  cities  within  the   United  States,  other  entrepreneurs  saw  their  success  and  began  replicating  their   business  model  and  product  (in  this  case  their  website)  in  new  markets.  27     Again  drawing  upon  the  Startup  Strategy  Matrix  (fig.  2),  these  Groupon  “clones”,   as  they  are  referred  to,  correspond  to  the  lower-­‐left  corner.  They  are  companies   entering  new  markets  with  existing  products.    

                                                                                                                24  Horowitz,  Ben.  "The  Case  for  the  Fat  Startup."  Web  log  post.  AllThingsDigital.  7  Mar.  2010.   Web.  5  Nov.  2011.  .  

 

25  Groupon  features  a  deal  each  day  on  something  for  people  in  different  cities  to  “eat,  see,  or  do”.  

They  sell  coupons  for  these  activities  that  only  “activate”  when  a  pre-­‐set  minimum  number  of   people  purchase  the  deal.  For  this  reason,  they  achieved  viral  growth  as  people  share  deals  with   their  contacts  in  order  for  the  deal  to  “activate”.       26  Steiner,  Christopher.  "Meet  The  Fastest  Growing  Company  Ever."  Forbes.  8  Dec.  2010.  Web.  26   Jan.  2012.  .  

 

27  Kim,  Tae-­‐Hyung,  Kevin  Lam,  and  Christopher  Tsai.  "The  Groupon  Effect  in  China."The  Wharton  

School  of  the  University  of  Pennsylvania.  3  Jan.  2012.  Web.  26  Jan.  2012.   .  

 

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

14  

    Groupon’s  success  was  not  market-­‐specific.  In  every  state  within  the  United   States  that  Groupon  expanded  into,  the  result  was  similarly  large  growth.  It  was   clear  that  Groupon’s  product  was  one  that  humans  in  many  different  markets   desired.       It  appears  that  having  first-­‐mover  advantage  is  hugely  important  in  launching   companies  based  on  Groupon’s  business  model.  Indeed,  the  first  four  companies   following  this  business  model  to  launch  in  major  cities  in  the  United  States  now   control  an  estimated  89%  of  the  market.28     Lean  startup  methods  can  take  longer  to  execute  than  fat  startup  methods   because  they  require  a  circular  approach.  Multiple  hypotheses  are  tested  until   the  company  has  a  model  that  is  proven  to  be  working  and  has  discovered  its   market.  However,  since  companies  have  seen  Groupon’s  business  model  work  in   multiple  markets,  they  can  be  sure  it  will  work  in  any  new  market  that  they   introduce  it  to.  They  have  no  real  need  to  execute  lean  startup  methods,  as  they   already  know  what  product  should  be  built.  They  are  also  heavily  incentivized  to   be  first  to  market  in  order  to  gain  large  market  share.  Were  lean  startup  methods   to  be  used,  companies  could  miss  out  on  being  first  to  market  by  working  to     prove  hypotheses  that  had  already  been  proven  correct  by  existing  companies  in   other  markets.     It  is  clear  that  in  scenarios  such  as  that  of  a  Groupon  clone  –  when  entering  a   new  market  with  an  existing  product  –  utilizing  lean  startup  methods  will  lead  to   missed  opportunities  for  many  companies.                                                                                                                       28  Duryee,  Tricia.  "Another  Groupon  Clone?  Bloomspot  Says  There's  Room  for  One   More."  AllThingsDigital.  16  May  2011.  Web.  23  Jan.  2012.   .  

 

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

15  

  Utilizing  fat  startup  methods,  in  contrast,  will  lead  to  faster  execution  because   they  take  a  linear  approach,  and  allow  the  company  to  spend  on  marketing  to   take  advantage  of  being  amongst  the  first  to  market,  gaining  market  share.  

iii.  When  selling  to  quality-­‐conscious  market  segments     Certain  market  segments,  such  as  the  super-­‐wealthy,  value  quality  as  one  of  the   most  important  factors  in  making  a  purchasing  decision.29  As  a  result,  the   majority  of  companies,  and  fat  startups,  build  products  according  to  the  theories   of  W.  Edwards  Deming.  Deming  believed  that  the  customer  was  the  most   important  part  of  the  production  process,  and  therefore  high  quality  should  be   focused  on  to  boost  efficiency.  30  In  addition,  companies  will  utilize  Kaizen   theories  of  continuous  improvement,  as  well  as  a  Total  Quality  Culture,  to  ensure   that  quality  is  kept  high.31     Lean  startup  methods  require  that  a  “minimum  viable  product”  (MVP)  is  created   and  launched  to  users  in  order  to  test  assumptions  about  the  market  and   product.  An  MVP  allows  the  company  to  preserve  resources  by  producing  a   product  that  is  missing  many  features  and  is  of  lower  quality,  while  still  testing   assumptions.32     This  essay  argues  that  if  a  company  is  entering  a  market  segment  that  is   conscious  about  the  quality  of  the  product,  lean  startup  methods  should  not  be   used.  The  low-­‐quality  MVP  may  damage  the  company’s  reputation,  and  cause  it   to  lose  many  sales  in  the  future.    

iv.  When  following  an  external  growth  strategy     Some  early-­‐stage  Internet  technology  companies  find  themselves  in  situations   where  an  external  growth  strategy  will  best  allow  them  to  take  advantage  of   opportunities.  For  example,  Twitter33  pursued  external  growth  strategies  by                                                                                                                   29  Villas-­‐Boas,  Miguel.  "Product  Line  Design  for  a  Distribution  Channel."  Marketing  Science:  A  

Journal  of  the  Institute  for  Operations  Research  and  the  Management  Sciences  17.2  (1998):  156-­‐69.   Print.  

 

30  Ries,  Eric.  "Test."  The  Lean  Startup:  How  Today's  Entrepreneurs  Use  Continuous  Innovation  to  

Create  Radically  Successful  Businesses.  New  York:  Crown  Business,  2011.  106-­‐08.  Print.  

  31  Hoang,  Paul.  "Quality  Control  and  Assurance."  Business  &  Management.  [Melton,  Vic.]:  IBID  

Press,  2007.  658-­‐63.  Print.  

  32  Ries,  Eric.  "Test."  The  Lean  Startup:  How  Today's  Entrepreneurs  Use  Continuous  Innovation  to  

Create  Radically  Successful  Businesses.  New  York:  Crown  Business,  2011.  93-­‐94.  Print.  

 

33  Twitter  is  a  platform  that  allows  users  to  broadcast  140-­‐character-­‐or-­‐less  messages  to  a  group  

of  “followers”.  It  was  created  in  2006.    

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

16  

acquiring  products  such  as  Tweetie,34    a  mobile-­‐application  version  of  Twitter.   Twitter  had  no  mobile  application  of  its  own,  and  found  that  it  could  best  take   advantage  of  the  opportunity  in  the  mobile  space  through  an  acquisition,  rather   than  building  its  own  product  in-­‐house.     If  a  company  finds  that  it  can  best  respond  to  an  opportunity  through  an   acquisition,  merger,  or  takeover  of  another  company,  then  fat  startup  methods   should  be  pursued.  These  methods  will  enable  the  company  to  raise  sufficient   capital  in  order  to  carry  out  external  growth.       A  company  using  lean  startup  methods,  by  contrast,  would  be  unable  to  carry  out   external  growth  due  to  the  time  it  would  take  to  validate  hypotheses  about  the   opportunity  being  pursued.  For  example,  Twitter  noticed  an  opportunity  in  the   market  for  mobile  applications  and  decided  it  should  enter  this  market   immediately.  If  it  had  used  lean  methods,  it  would  have  had  to  first  validate  its   hypotheses  about  the  market.  The  time  needed  to  do  this  could  have  allowed   another  company  to  take  advantage  of  this  market  opportunity  first.     Two  things  are  worth  noting  here.  Firstly,  a  company  may  at  first  follow  lean   startup  methods  but  then  spot  a  market  opportunity.  If  the  opportunity  is  large,   it  may  be  beneficial  for  the  company  to  change  to  a  fat  startup  strategy  in  order   to  pursue  that  opportunity  quickly  through  external  growth.  Secondly,  it  can  be   said  that  companies  using  fat  startup  methods  therefore  carry  more  risk,  as  they   do  not  take  time  to  validate  assumptions.  They  will  simply  enter  a  market  to   ensure  that  an  opportunity  is  not  missed,  even  if  some  of  their  assumptions  later   turn  out  to  be  incorrect.      

                                                                                                                34  Multiple.  "Tweetie."  Wikipedia,  the  Free  Encyclopedia.  Web.  17  Dec.  2011.   .  

 

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

Conclusions  

17  

  The  benefits  of  lean  startup  methods  are  clear.  They  allow  companies  operating   under  conditions  of  extreme  uncertainty  to  reduce  the  risk  inherent  in  their   venture  through  validating  hypotheses  based  on  experience.  They  enable   companies  to  operate  using  small  batch  sizes,  and  better  manage  in-­‐house   technical  development.       However,  it  is  also  clear  that  lean  startup  methods  are  not  appropriate  for  use  by   early-­‐stage  Internet  technology  companies  in  all  situations.  The  use  of  lean   startup  methods  in  certain  situations  will  damage  a  company’s  ability  to  grasp  an   opportunity,  and  to  react  boldly  enough  with  large  amounts  of  financial  capital.     The  results  of  this  essay  –  based  on  research  by  both  scholars  and  entrepreneurs,   as  well  as  first-­‐hand  observations  of  companies  –  have  led  to  a  set  of  clearly   defined  scenarios  where  lean  startup  methods  should,  and  should  not,  be  used.     In  initially  deciding  on  a  startup  strategy,  companies  must  examine  the  type  of   market  they  are  entering,  and  what  product  they  are  entering  it  with.  The   Startup  Strategy  Matrix  (fig.  2)  was  developed  as  part  of  this  essay.  It  clearly   describes  the  strategies  that  companies  should  use  based  on  their  market  and   product  combinations.  This  should  be  the  main  factor  in  a  company’s  choice  of   startup  strategy.     The  Startup  Strategy  Matrix  allows  us  to  say  that  in  general,  if  a  company  is   entering  a  new  market  with  a  new  product,  it  should  use  lean  startup  methods.   However,  a  company  must  continue  to  examine  whether  lean  startup  methods   remain  relevant  throughout  its  process  of  discovering  its  market  and  product.       This  research  has  also  shown  that  if  a  company  discovers  that  it  is  entering  a   quality-­‐conscious  market  segment,  it  should  change  strategy  to  traditional  fat   startup  methods  in  order  to  take  advantage  of  Deming’s  theories  on  quality.   Additionally,  if  a  company  deems  that  it  needs  an  external  growth  strategy  to   take  advantage  of  a  market  opportunity,  it  should  alter  course  and  utilize  fat   startup  methods.     Many  of  the  insights  in  this  essay  are  non-­‐exclusive.  For  example,  if  a  company   begins  using  lean  startup  methods  because  it  is  entering  a  new  market  with  a   new  product,  but  then  finds  a  lager  opportunity  in  a  different  market  segment,  it   should  change  its  strategy  accordingly.  The  initial  strategy  chosen  should  merely   guide  a  company  to  discovering  new  information,  at  which  point  a  company  may   be  required  to  change  strategy.     It  should  be  noted  that  some  unexplored  areas  could  have  added  to  the   conclusiveness  and  scope  of  this  essay.  First,  the  real-­‐life  applicability  and   usefulness  of  the  Startup  Strategy  Matrix  should  have  been  tested  in  order  to   understand  how  the  Matrix  affects  the  strategies  that  a  real  company  uses.  By   giving  the  Matrix  to  various  companies,  and  monitoring  their  results  in   comparison  to  new  companies  not  using  the  Matrix,  the  effectiveness  of  the  

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

18  

Matrix  on  company  development  could  be  tested.  While  this  would  have  been   ideal,  it  was  not  within  the  scope  of  this  essay,  as  it  would  have  required  a  large   amount  of  time  to  determine  differences  between  the  companies’  development.     Secondly,  additional  examples  of  companies  using  different  startup  strategies   would  have  helped  to  clarify  the  circumstances  presented  in  this  essay,  such  as  a   real-­‐life  example  of  a  company  trying  to  achieve  viral  growth.  However,  early-­‐ stage  Internet  technology  companies  are  by  nature  protective  of  their  internal   company  information,  to  ensure  that  competitors  cannot  prepare  a  similar   product  before  the  company  launches  its  product.  This  made  the  finding  of  real-­‐ life  examples  difficult  and  outside  the  scope  of  this  essay.     The  findings  of  this  essay  offer  clear  scenarios  relevant  to  all  early-­‐stage  Internet   technology  companies.  It  is  hoped  that  the  conclusions  will  help  companies  to   find  the  most  relevant  strategy,  and  to  adjust  it  in  the  light  of  new  information.   Companies  following  startup  strategies  relevant  to  the  circumstances  presented   in  this  essay  should  increase  their  chances  of  success.        

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

19  

Bibliography    

Bekman, Jen. "Why Do Startups Fail?" Quora. 7 June 2010. Web. 22 Jan. 2012. .

Blank, Steven Gary. The Four Steps to the Epiphany: Successful Strategies for Products That Win. [California]: S.G. Blank, 2007. Print.

Bodek, Norman. "Taiichi Ohno." Kaikaku: The Power and Magic of Lean : A Study in Knowledge Transfer. Vancouver, WA: PCS, 2004. 27-37. Print.

Burgess, Kristy, Sharon T. Hopkins, and Kenneth White. "WebVan: A Cautionary Tale." Diss. Piedmont University, 2006. Sept. 2006. Web. 18 Dec. 2011. .

Cooper, Brant, and Patrick Vlaskovits. The Entrepreneur’s Guide to Customer Development: A "Cheat Sheet" to the Four Steps to the Epiphany. Cooper-Vlaskovits, 2010. Print.

Courtney, Hugh, Jane Kirkland, and Patrick Viguerie. "Strategy Under Uncertainty." McKinsey & Co. Quarterly. June 2000. Web. 17 Dec. 2011. .

Duryee, Tricia. "Another Groupon Clone? Bloomspot Says There's Room for One More." AllThingsDigital. 16 May 2011. Web. 23 Jan. 2012. .

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

20  

Feld, Brad. "How Do VCs Mitigate Risk In Their Investment Portfolios?" Ask The VC. 2 Oct. 2011. Web. 22 Jan. 2012. .

Hoang, Paul. Business & Management. [Melton, Vic.]: IBIDPress, 2007. Print.

Horowitz, Ben. "The Case for the Fat Startup." Web log post. AllThingsDigital. 7 Mar. 2010. Web. 5 Nov. 2011. .

Kim, Tae-Hyung, Kevin Lam, and Christopher Tsai. "The Groupon Effect in China." The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. 3 Jan. 2012. Web. 26 Jan. 2012. .

Lippman, Andrew, and David Reed. "Viral Communications." Diss. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2003. 19 May 2003. Web. 22 Jan. 2012. .

Multiple. "The Agile Manifesto." Manifesto for Agile Software Development. 2001. Web. 14 Jan. 2012. .

Multiple. "Tweetie." Wikipedia, the Free Encyclopedia. Web. 17 Dec. 2011. .

Ries, Eric. The Lean Startup: How Today's Entrepreneurs Use Continuous Innovation to Create Radically Successful Businesses. New York: Crown Business, 2011. Print.

Shore, James, and Shane Warden. "Why Agile?" The Art of Agile Development. Beijing: O'Reilly Media, 2008. 3-13. Print.

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

21  

Song, Michael, Ksenia Podoynitsyna, Hans Van Der Bij, and Johannes Halman. "Success Factors in New Ventures: A Meta-Analysis." The Journal of Product Innovation Management 25.1 (2008): 7-8. Print.

Steiner, Christopher. "Meet The Fastest Growing Company Ever." Forbes. 8 Dec. 2010. Web. 26 Jan. 2012. .

Villas-Boas, Miguel. "Product Line Design for a Distribution Channel." Marketing Science: A Journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences 17.2 (1998): 156-69. Print.

Wasson, Charles S. "The Evolutionary Development Model." System Analysis, Design, and Development Concepts, Principles, and Practices. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley-Interscience, 2006. 292-93. Print.

"Webvan Finds That Shopping for Food Online Hasn’t Clicked with Consumers." Wharton University Archives. 19 Mar. 2001. Web. 15 Dec. 2011. .

Wilson, Fred. "The Lean vs. Fat Startup Debate." Interview by Eric Schonfeld. TechCrunch Disrupt Conference, 24 May 2010. Web. 15 Dec. 2011. .

Windrum, Paul, and Peter Swann. "Networks, Noise, and Web Navigation: Sustaining Metcalfe's Law Through Technological Innovation." Diss. Manchester Business

Michael  Moore-­‐Jones          000589-­‐008  

School, University of Maastricht, 1999. Jan. 1999. Web. 22 Jan. 2012. .  

22  

View more...

Comments

Copyright ©2017 KUPDF Inc.
SUPPORT KUPDF