Analisis I

 

Qbpôahomi Akhoviroigi nb Zbgbzubhi Zbgbzubhi Logostbrok nbh Vknbr Vkpuhir piri hi Bnumimoýg Rgovbrsotiroi Rgovbrsonin Gimokgih Bxpbrolbgtih nb hks Hhigks Mbgtrihbs ‘Qýluhk @ihhb`ks“ Érbi nb Mobgmois Bmkgýlomis y ]kmoihbs Norbmmoýg nb Bstunoks Mklugbs Rgonin Murromuhir4 Ogtrknummoýg i his Mobgmois Bmkgýlomis ]bmmoýg L-9  

Ogtrknummoýg Ogtrk nummoýg i his Mobgmois Bmkgýlomis

Vrkjbskr (i)4

Dksbigy Qknrì`ubz

]ig Duig nb hks Lkrrks, Lirzk nb 1619.

Aimcohhbr4

Abhosirok Jbrgignk, M.O.4 Z-=6.9:6.196

 

VBQ]VBM^OZI NBH B]MBGIQOK BMKGÝLOMK NB ZBGBTRBHI B OGJHRBGMOI NB HI] ZIQOIAHB] I@QB@INI] (NB]BLVHBK, COVBQOGJHIMOÝG, V.O.A., B^M.)  

Bg Zbgbzubhi, ih o`uih qub bg bh rbstk nbh lugnk, bh sbmtkr bmkgýlomk nbpbgnbré nb

hi bvkhumoýg bvkhumoýg nbh Mkvon-9? y nbh immbsk i hi vimugi, mklk tilaoï tilaoïgg nb hi bjbmtovonin bjbmtovonin nb his rbspubstis pkr pirtb nbh @kaobrgk Akhoviroigk y nbh Bstink vbgbzkhigk igtb his sigmokgbs olpubstis  pkr

Bstinks Rgonks nb Ilïromi (R]I), pkr ih`ugis gimokgbs nb hi Rgoýg

Burkpbi, mkgsostbgtbs bg hi mkg`bhimoýg nb jkgnks nbh bstink vbgbzkhigk mkhkminks bg bgtoninbs bgtoni nbs jogigmobri jogigmobriss nb bsks piìsbs, isì mklk his lbnon lbnonis is olpubstis pkr bh Nbpirtilbgtk Nbpirtilbgtk nbh ^bskrk nb hks Bstinks Rgonks piri bvotir kpbrimokgbs qub pkg`ig bg robs`k aobgbs nb hi Qbpôa Qb pôaho homi mi Ak Akho hovi viro roig igii nb Zb Zbgb gbzu zubh bhii rinom rinomink inkss bg bsb piìs piìs lbno lbnoigt igtbb su rbtbg rbtbgmo moýg ýg  prkvosokgih mklk kmurroý mkg hi johoih pbtrkhbri MO^@K, pbrk hi mrosos pkhìtomi pkr hi qub itrivobsi hi bstrumturi nb lignk, nosti lumck nb ihmigzir ugi skhumoýg nb mkgsbgsk i mkrtk, lbnoigkk y hir`k phizk5 rbsiht lbnoig rbsihtignk ignk qub hi bmkgklìi gimokgi gimokgihh ci bstink lirmini lirmini pkr ugi mrosos prbvoi, i hi qub sb ugobrkg his rbstrommokgbs pkr hi pignbloi nb Mkrkgivorus.  

Bg his ôht ôhtoli oliss muitrk muitrk nïminis, nïminis, hi tisi tisi nb mrbm mrbmolo olobgt bgtkk prklbno prklbnokk nb hi bmkgkl bmkgklìi ìi

vbgbzkhigi vbgbzkh igi bs 6,>3% y bg his ôhtolis 1, bs nb -6,:3%, sb`ôg  ]igtks y Airroks  Airroks  (1690).  Vkr  hk qub sb pubnb nbmor, qub bh piìs gk ci tbgonk tbgonk ug prkmbsk nb mrbmolobgtk mrbmolobgtk skstbgonk skstbgonk qub sb trinuzmi bg aobgbstir y lbdkr mihonin nb voni piri hi `bgtb.  

Bsi `rivb rbihonin bmkgýlomi sb bvonbgmoi bg hk skmoih mkg his mojris qub ipkrtig hi

KG@ , Mkihomoýg nb Kr`igozimokgbs pkr bh nbrbmck nb hi sihun y hi voni (MKNBZONI) , bh Mbgtrk nb Nbrbmcks Culigks nb hi Rgovbrsonin Mitýhomi Ignrïs Abhhk , skarb Mkgnomokgbs nb Zoni nb hks Zbgbzkhigks   (BGMKZO) rbihozini

y hi  Bgmubs  Bgmubsti ti

pkr hi Rgovbrsonin 

Mbgtrih nb Zbgbzubhi (RMZ),   hi Rgovbrsonin ]olýg Akhìvir (R]A)  y

hi Rgovbrsonin 

Mitýhomi Ignrïs Abhhk (RMIA) , bxprbsignk mklk hi pkarbzi `bgbrih ijbmti i lés nbh 30%

nb gubstri gubstri pkahim pkahimoýg oýg y hi pkarb pkarbzi zi bxtrb bxtrbli li i pkmk lés nbh :9,1% :9,1%.. ]b` ]b`ôg ôg bh Jkgnk nb  Gimokgbss Rgonis piri hi Ogjigmoi  Gimokgb Ogjigmoi (RGOMBJ) (RGOMBJ) bg ogjigtoh y gbk-gitih,

rbhimokgbs i hks ìgnombs nb lkrtihonin

Zbgbzubhi ipirbmb bg bh hu`ir G¶ ?6 nbh rigeog` lugnoih y bg bh

 

 pubstk G¶ 92 bg hi rb`oýg, hk muih pkgb ih nbsmuaobrtk hi `rivb sotuimoýg nbh piìs, mkhkmégnkhk bg hks govbhbs nb his gimokgbs lés pkarbs y itrisinis nbh lugnk. Cky bg nìi, hi nbsimbhbrimoýg nbh mrbmolobgtk pkr lih ligbdk limrkbmkgýlomk, jihti jih ti nb rb` rb`uh uhimo imoýg ýg jo jogi gigm gmob obri ri,, og ogmi mipim pimon onin in nb og ogtr trknu knumo morr lbdk lbdkris ris mk mkgt gtog oguis uis bg hi mklpbtotovonin y hi prknumtovonin, aidi mihonin nb hi bnumimoýg y hbgti trigsjbrbgmoi nb mkgkmolobgtks b onbis oggkvinkris, ci cbmck qub hi bmkgklìi bgtrb bg su sbxtk iùk nb miìni, ih pugtk qub Zbgbzubhi tobgb ugi bmkgklìi 06% lés pbqubùi bg mklpirimoýg mkg bh iùk 169>, mkg ugi prknummoýg pbtrkhbri nb skhk 266 LAN, `rig pirtb mklprklbtonk mkg Qusoi y Mcogi, sobgnk hks og`rbsks pkr mkgmbptk nb bxpkrtimokgbs pbtrkhbris ugi jubgtb nb rbmursks nospkgoahbs ogsujomobgtbs piri sitosjimbr his gbmbsoninbs nb jogigmoilobgtk nb hi ogvbrsoýg ninis his lbtis nb mrbmolobgtk prkpubstis piri hi bmkgklìi gimokgih.

I bhhk sb ugb qub gk ciy bxpbmtito bxpbmtitovi vi nb hk`rir piri bh sb`ugnk sblbst sblbstrb rb nb 1619 hi rbmupbrimoýg tktih nb his bxpkrtimokgbs pbtrkhbris, yi qub, cimb pkmk sb mkgkmoý qub VNZ]I pirihozý his kpbrimokgbs bg VB^QKTILKQI bg Tuhoi y nb VB^QKVOIQ bg hi JIDI VB^QKHOJB VB^QKHOJBQI QI NBH KQO KQOGKM GKMK K (J. (J.V.K. V.K.), ), pkr jih jihti ti nb tbmgkh tbmgkhk`ì k`ìii y inoto inotovks vks quìlomks mkg hks qub gk mubgti tknivìi, rbpbrmutobgnk bg his bxpkrtimokgbs, tih mklk sumbnoý sumb noý bstb lbs, his muih muihbs bs cig miì miìnk nk 13%, pkr hk qub sb pubnb pubnb ijorlir ijorlir qub vilks vilks i mkgtoguir mkg hi bmkgklìi nb miabzi, lirmini pkr hi copbrogjhimoýg, pubstk qub yi sb mulphb =6 lbsbs mkgtoguks nb hi losli losli,, hi muih sb ci rbimtovink rbimtovink i prkpýso prkpýsotk tk nb hks akgks ktkr`inks pkr Gomkhés Linurk bg lbnok nb hi pignbloi.  

Zostk nb bsti jkrli, sb bstoli bstoli bstb 1619 ugi gubvi mkgtrim mkgtrimmoýg moýg nbh VOA nb =6%,

 piri ugi mkgtrimmoýg imuluhini nb 36% nbsnb 1169=5 69=5 `bgbrign `bgbrignkk qub his blprbsis mobrrbg bh bdbrmomok josmih mkg pïrnonis y lbrlb hi rbmiunimoýg nb O]HQ b OZI, nignk pisk bg bh  prolbr sblbstrb nbh iùk ih nïjomot josmih, sb`ôg Misoqub uaomink bgtrb 9:%/93%, pubstk qub hi sotuimoýg nb Zbgbzubhi gk sb pubnb mihojomir mklk rbmbsoýg sogk mklk nbprbsoýg. ]iaobgnk qub hi Qbmbsoýg bs muignk bh VOA mib nks trolbstrbs sb`uonks, pbrk Zbgbzubhi

 

hhbvi 1: trolbstrbs nb miìni, sb triti nb ugi nb his miìnis lés so`gojomitovis costýromilbgtb bg tknk bh lugnk.  

Vk Vkrr ktri ktri pi pirt rtb, b, Misoqub  pugtuih pugtuihozi ozi qub lobgt lobgtris ris bh prklbn prklbnok ok nb ogjhim ogjhimoýg oýg nb

Hito Hitogk gkil ilïro ïromi mi sb ua uaom omii bg 9, 9,2% 2% k 1% og ogtb tbrig rigui uih, h, Zbgb Zbgbzu zubh bhii rbpkr rbpkrti ti ug ìg ìgno nomb mb nb copbrogjhimoýg 

ig igui uiho hozi zini ni nb 1. 1.1? 1?:, :,:% :%,, `bgb `bgbri rign gnkk qu qubb bh ak akhì hìvi virr po pobr brni ni vi vihk hkr  r 

mkgstigtblbgtb.  

Lobgt Lobgtris ris bsk kmurrb mkg hi ogjhim ogjhimoýg, oýg, bh topk nb milaok kjomoih supbrý hi airrbri nb

hks 9.366.666,66 As. pkr Nýhir R]I. Bg mkgdugtk, bgtrb copbrogjhimoýg y nbprbmoimoýg nbh topk nb milaok bstilks bg ug prkmbsk qub ijbmti bh pknbr inquosotovk nbh vbgbzkhigk qub ci pbrnonk ?:% nb su pknbr bg tïrlogks nbh nýhir bstinkugonbgsb.  

Iu Iugi gink nk i bbhhhk hk,, no nomc mcii so sotui uimo moýg ýg bm bmkg kgýl ýloomi tilao ilaoïg ïg si sihp hpoomi ih bsmbgirok

blprbsiroih,

nbaonk nbaonk qub hk mkgmbrgo mkgmbrgobgt bgtbb i bstìlu bstìluhks hks jos josmih mihbs bs y mirtbr mirtbrii mrbnot mrbnotomo omoi, i, bs  aistigtb nbsjivkriahb bg vosti qub hks piìsbs nb hi rb`oýg cig iphomink bstìluhks josmihbs mkg bh jog jog nb tr trit itir ir nb rbm rbmup upbri brirr k sk skst stbgb bgbrr su ip ipiri iritk tk prknum prknumto tovk vk igt igtbb hk hkss bj bjbm bmtk tkss bmkgýlomks nb hi pignbloi. ]og blair`k, Zbgbzubhi bs bh ôgomk piìs sog bstoluhimoýg josmih. Misoqub ognomý, qub gk sb iphomig lbnonis mklk pkspkgbr bh pi`k nbh Olpubstk ]karb hi Qbgti, hk qub ci `khpbink bh jhudk nb midi nb his blprbsis. Inblés, tilpkmk ciy mrïnotks i trivïs nbh sostbli jogigmobrk, pkr hk qub hks blprbsiroks tobgbg qub utohozir   pitrolkgok prkpok.  

Nbgtrk nb bstb krnbg, bh nbsiaistbmolobgtk y ihtks mkstks bgtrig bg bh dub`k nbsnb

bh 169=, bxpubstk pkr Liturbg bg ug bstunok, nkgnb bh >=% nb his pbrskgis mkgjbsiaig qub bh prog progmo mopih pih prk prkah ahbl blii qub hb hbss iq iqub ubdi diai ai bs hi mi mirb rbgmo gmoii bg bh lbrm lbrmink ink nb pr prknu knumt mtks ks  pbrtbgbmobgtbs i hi mbsti aésomi5 pkr hk qub piri bh 169: sihb bh prk`rili `uabrgilbgtih MHIV. Bg bh prbsbgtb, hi progmopih prbkmupimoýg piri >0% nb hks bgmubstinks bs bh ihtk mkstk nb hi voni. »Yuï milaoý; Bh prk`rili MHIV ihmigzý i 20% nb his pbrskgis, y hi nosmusoýg nbh tbli sb trishiný nbh sbmtkr pôahomk (nbsiaistbmolobgtk), ih sbmtkr provink (ihtk mkstk). Gk ciy olprkvosimoýg bg bstk pkr pirtb nbh `kaobrgk“, isbvbrý bh bspbmoihosti bg mklpkrtilobgtk nbh mkgsulonkr.

 

 

Kt Ktrk rk pugt pugtkk mh mhiv ivb, b, sb`ô sb`ôgg hi Mk Mklo loso soýg ýg Bmkg Bmkgýl ýlom omi i pi piri ri Il Ilïro ïromi mi Hito Hitogi gi y bh 

Miroab (MBVIH) Miroab  (MBVIH), bs bh govbh nb nbsblphbk bg Ilïromi Hitogi y bh

Miroab, sobgnk liykrbs

i hks qub sb vovobrkg bg hi nbprbsoýg pisini. Hi tisi nb nbsblphbk sb uaomirìi bg tkrgk ih 9=,2%, hk qub olphomi ug iulbgtk nbh 1%, mkg rbspbmtk i hi prbvosoýg piri iaroh nb bstb iùk, bh gôlbrk nb nbsblphbinks hhb`iré i his >>,9 lohhkgbs nb pbrskgis piri jogihbs nbh 1619.  

]b`ôg bh Jkgnk Lkgbtirok Ogtbrgimokgih   (JLO) prbvï qub piri jogihbs nb 1619 hi

tisi nb nbsblphbk bg Zbgbzubhi pknrìi hhb`ir i ug >0,?%, hk qub sb trinumb bg bh mrbmolobgtk nb hi bmkgklìi ogjkrlih y mobrrb nb pbqubùis, lbnoigis y `rignbs blprbsis  pkr hi nbsimbhbrimoýg nb hi bmkgklìi gimokgih.

Bg rbhimoýg ih ]ihirok, hi nostkrsoýg nbh bsqubli nb prbmoks bs hk qub ijbmti i bstb ispbmtk ispb mtk jug jugnil nilbgt bgtih ih nb hi bmkgklì bmkgklìii nbh piìs. Viri   Qknrì`  Qknrì`ubz  ubz , muignk sb tobgb ugi bmkgklìi ihtilbgtb nbpbgnobgtb nb rbmursks bxtbrgks y bsks rbmursks bxtbrgks sb sbmig, yi gk bxostbg sujomobgtbs rbmursks piri pknbr `bgbrir tknks hks aobgbs y sbrvomoks qub nbligni hi bmkgklìi. Hi imtuih nojbrbgmoi bgtrb hks qub tobgbg immbsk i novosis y pubnbg inquoror   aobgbs y sbrvomoks, y hks qub gk, bs ‘hk qub bstilks vobgnk bs ug prkmbsk prkmbs k nb prkjugnozimoýg nb hi nbso`uihnin aobg olpkrtigtb, qub bh @kaobrgk bg bstb lklbgtk gk tobgb jkrli nb mkgtrkhir. mkgtrkh ir. Ilogk Ilogkrir rir hks bjbmtks nb his lbnonis mkbrmoto mkbrmotovis vis y tritir nb mkgtrkhir mkgtrkhir viroiahbs bmkgýlomis i pirtor nb ogstrulbgtks hb`ihbs, yk mrbk qub sb ci nblkstrink qub gk ci tbgonk lumck bjbmtk, pkrqub sb bsté humcignk mkgtri hi hý`omi nb ug sostbli luy mklphbdk y luy rbsohobgtb, qub bs bh sostbli mipotihosti, y soblprb sb vi i idustir, so tu mkgtrkhis ug prbmok bg bstb lklbgtk bs lés jimtoahb qub bh prknumtk nbsipirbzmi i qub sb mulphi bh mkgtrkh“.  

]b`ôg mojris nb  V@I @rkup, bg hi imtuihonin bh pi`k bg luhto-lkgbni bs rbmoaonk

 pkr 966% nb his norbmtovis nb his blprbsis5 hks `brbgtbs hk rbmoabg bg ?2% nb hks misks5 lobgtris qub bh 36% nb hks blphbinks prkjbsokgihbs tobgb nomck abgbjomok.

 

 

Vkr su pirtb,  Ligubh ]utcbrhign  ligojbstý   ligojbstý qub his sigmokgbs gk skg his muhpiahbs

nb hi miìni nbh sihirok bg Zbgbzubhi, cky bg nìi ugk nb hks sihiroks lés aidks nbh lugnk. Bgtrb 169=/1616 bh sihirok lìgolk ci miìnk mbrmi nbh ?2%. I nojbrbgmoi nb Muai, ]oroi, Qusoi, Mcogi, Orég, nkgnb bh sihirok gk ci miìnk go bg ug nýhir, bgtkgmbs gk sb dustojomi hi miìni nbh sihirok i bstks govbhbs.  

Vkr hk tig tigtk, tk, bs olp olpbri britov tovkk ug iulbgt iulbgtkk rbih nbh sihiro sihirok, k, pbrk imhiri imhiri qub bst bstbb gk

 pubnb suaor mkg nbmrbtks prbsonbgmoihbs sogk mkg hi bdbmumoýg nb ug `rig phig nb bstiao bst iaoho hozi zimo moýg ýg li limr mrkbm kbmkg kgýlo ýlomi, mi, qub pb pbrl rlot otii lé léss og ogvb vbrso rsoýg ýg,, lés lés prknu prknumm mmoý oýg, g, lés lés  prknumtovonin, lés bjomobgmoi, nogilozir pkr mklphbtk hi bmkgklìi bhologignk airrbris, triais, jrbgks qub tobgb piri hi imuluhimoýg nbh mipotih y nkgnb hi mhisb karbri pubni lbdkrir nréstomilbgtb su og`rbsk prknumobgnk lumck lés y lbdkr.

 ]utcbrhign  gn  tilaoïg bs luy olpkrtigtb hi bstiaohonin lìgoli, tobgb qub ciabr    Viri ]utcbrhi ugi lkgbni qub gk pobrni bh 16% k bh =6% nb su vihkr ih lbs, tilaoïg ipugti qub bh

`kaobrgk nbab iulbgtir bh mkstk nb hks sbrvomoks, qub his blprbsis sbig iutksustbgtiahbs y gk blotor nogbrk jigtisli piri muaror bh nïjomot qub tobgbg bsis blprbsis.  

Vi Viri ri mmkg kgmh mhuo uor, r, rrbs bsuh uhti ti mhi mhirk rk qqub ub Z Zbg bgbz bzub ubhi hi nba nbabb tkl tklir bh bh mil milog ogkk nb hi

novbrsojomimoýg prknumtovi qub irrkpb i tknis his viroiahbs, hk muih tbgnré jkrlis nostogtis bg hi lbnoni qub sb prknuzmig milaoks bg bh govbh nb og`rbsk, qub, i su vbz, rbnumoré hi nbpbgnbgmoi nbh rbblakhsk pbtrkhbrk.