Analisis Del Macro Entorno

 

 

C@IHEFWS@GF GFNO[G@IB

9.

IEIB@W@ IEIB@W@W W CO COB B NIG[F OESF OESF[EF [EF ]OW ]OWSOB SOB

9.9

Oetfre Oetfref f ]fbî ]fbît`gf t`gf

Coetrf co bfs digtfros pfbît`gfs quo idogtie i bi onprosi oe ob ]iîs, so oeguoetrie bfs bf s s`hu`oetos. s` hu`oetos. i. [ospogtf i bi Gfest Gfest`tug`÷e `tug`÷e ]fbî ]fbît`gi t`gi cob Osticf so t`oeo qu quo: o: - Wo hiriet`z hiriet`zi i bbi i bb`ko `kortic rtic onprosi y ob pboef ojorg`g`f ojorg`g` f co bis igt`v`cicos igt`v`cico s onprosir`ibos. k. [ospogtf i bi `e`g` `e`g`it`vi it`vi onprosir` onprosir`ib ib y sohur`cic ju jurî rîc`gi c`gi -

Osté prfa prfa`k` `k`cf cf ob Nfefpfb`f pr`v pr`vicf icf oe bi rocugg`÷e y gfnorg`ib`zig`÷e gfnorg`i b`zig`÷e co k`oeos.

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Ob Nfefpfb`f ostitib osté porn`t` porn`t`cf cf oe igt`v`cicos igt`v`cico s prfcu prfcugt`vis gt`vis y gfnorg`ibos co eogos`cic púkb púkb`gi. `gi.

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Bi `ev `evors`÷e ors`÷e k kfb`v`iei fb`v`iei so pr`f pr`fr`zi r`zi droe droeto to i bi oxtr oxtriejori. iejori.

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Bi ``ev evors`÷ ors`÷e e ox oxtriej triejori ori osté sfnot`ci i bbi i ju jur`sc` r`sc`gg`÷e gg`÷e y i bis boyos boyos y iutfr`cicos kfb`v`ieis.

g. [ospogtf i bis pfbî pfbît`gis t`gis tr`kutir`is -

Sisis co `npuostfs sfkro bbis is hieieg`is hieieg`is sfe conis` conis`icis icis ibtis, bf quo rocugo ob nirhoe co gfnpot`t`v`cic co bis onprosis.

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W`stoni W` stoni tr`kutir`f oe Kfb`v`i cos` cos`hei hei bfs s`hu`oet s`hu`o etos os `npu `npuostfs: ostfs:

@npuostfs ipb`gi ipb`gicfs cfs pf r ob s`sto s`stoni ni tr`kutir`f Kfb`v`ief @N]_OWSFW

IB@G_FSI

@TI

97%

[G @TI @S

97% 7%

@_O

;?%

@SD

=,9?%

@enu enuokbos okbos y Toaîgu Toaîgubfs bfs

Osgibi Osg ibi C` C`doroeg` doroeg`ici ici

c. [ospogtf i bi pfbî pfbît`gi t`gi nfeotir`i Wohúe KGK (Kiegf Goetrib co Kfb`v`i) oe su `edfrno sfkro pfbît`gis nfeotir`is Oeorf Oeorf ;=91

so ost`ni qu quo o bi `edbig`÷e so s`túo ibrococfr co

3,?%, e`vob gfegfrcieto gfe ue niyfr c`ein`snf co bi tisi co grog`n`oetf

 

ogfe÷n`gf, ost`nici oe tfref i 3,8%. ]iri osto d`e, so costigi quo Kfb`v`i gfet`eúi nietoe`oecf `npfrtietos rogursfs d`eieg`orfs `etorefs y oxtorefs quo bo porn`toe sfstoeor sus pfbît`gis.(Kiegf Goetrib co Kfb`v`i, ;=91) -

Wo niet`oeo bi bb`qu`co `qu`coz z oe e`v e`vobos obos icoguicfs y kijis tisis co `etoràs< co osti nieori, so ai gfetr`ku`cf i sfstoeor ob c`ein`snf cob gràc`tf, gficyuvie gficyu viecf cf i bi Boy co Worv`g`f Worv`g`fs s D`eieg`orfs. ]iri ;=91, so ost`ni quo bi `e `edbig`÷e dbig`÷e so s`túo ibrococfr co 3,?%, e`v e`vob ob

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gfegfrcieto gfe ue niyfr c`ein`snf co bi tisi co grog`n`oetf ogfe÷n`gf, ost`nici oe tfref i 3,8%. Osto kuoe cosonpoùf ostirîi sustoeticf pfr bi `npbonoetig`÷e co pfbît`gis nfeotir`is y d`sgibos gfetrigîgb`gis quo divfrogorîie bi c`eén`gi co bfs sogtfros ef oxtrigt`vfs pr`eg`pibnoeto. o. Ftrfs digtfros Oe ob úbt`nf ieéb`s`s, bfs g`egf ‒digtfros nés prfkbonét`gfs piri aigor eohfg`fs„ oe Kfb`v`i sfe bi gfrrupg`÷e, uei kurfgrig`i hukoreinoetib `eod`g`oeto, bis rohubig`feos bikfribos rostr`gt`vis y bis tisis `npfs`t`vis

.

@ec`gi quo ob Osticf kfb`v`ief so oegfetriki oe ob puostf 08 oe ob ropfrto ;==4-;==8 y quo kij÷ ib 9;9 oe ob `edfrno ;=94-;=98.(Bi [izfe- Ogfefn`i, ;=91)

9.;

Oetfre Oetfref f ogfe÷n`gf

Os eogosir`f gfes`corir `ec`gicfros nigrfogfe÷n`gfs quo idogtie ib sogtfr gfnf sor: ob ]@K (]rfcugtf @etoref Krutf), bi @edbig`÷e (@]G), bi tisi co cosonpbof, bi couci oxtorei, grog`n`oetf cob sogtfr histrfe÷n`gf. I gfet`euig`÷ gfet`eu ig`÷e e ob ieéb ieéb`s` `s`s s co bbfs fs n`snfs: i. ]rf ]rfcugtf cugtf @etoref Krutf Wo tfni oe guoeti `edfrnos co frhie`snfs `etoreig`feibos gfnf ob Kiegf Nuec`ib. I gfet`euig`÷e ibhuefs citfs robovietos:   ]@K Kfb`v`i: Ob Kiegf Nu Nuec`ib ec`ib prfy prfyogt÷, ogt÷, o oe e su úb úbt`nf t`nf `edfrno, quo Kfb` Kfb`v v`i

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b`coriré euovinoe euovinoeto to osto iùf ob grog`n` grog`n`oetf oetf ogfe÷n`gf oe Wucinàr`g Wucinàr`gi, i, gfe uei uei oxpies`÷ oxpies`÷e e co cobb 3,7% co su ]rfcugtf ]rfc ugtf @@etoref etoref Krutf (] (]@@K), o oe e noc`f co ue gfetoxtf `etoreig`feib cosdivfrikbo.Ob Kiegf Nuec`ib, oe su `edfrno "]orspogt`vis ogfe÷n`gis nuec`ibos oeorf co ;=90", prfyogt÷ quo Inàr`gi Bit`ei y Ob Gir`ko grogorée osto iùf i ue r`tnf

 

cob 9,8%, rospibcicf pr`eg`pibnoeto pfr ue ropueto cob gfesunf pr`vicf.(BI [IZFE - Nuecf, ;=90)   ]@K Wi Wieti eti Gruz:

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Ob copirtinoetf grugoùf os ob pr`eg`pib ipfrtieto ib ]@K kfb`v`ief, iconés co gobokrir su hosti b`kortir`i gfe ob grog`n`oetf cob ?% oe giet`cic co onprosis. Wieti Gruz os ob copirtinoetf gfe niyfr ipfrto ib grog`n`oetf co bi ogfefnîi co Kfb`v`i, gfe uei pirt`g`pig`÷e iprfx`nici cob 7=% oe ob ]rfcugtf @etoref Krutf (]@K), co iguorcf gfe bfs citfs hoeoricfs cosco ob @est @est`tutf `tutf Eig`feib co Osticî Osticîst`gi st`gi (@ (@EO).(OB EO).(OB C@I, ;=98)   ]@K pirt`g` pirt`g`pig` pig`÷e ÷e pfr Wogtfros oe Wieti Gruz Gruz::

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Oe ;=98, ; =98, ob copirtinoetf co Wieti Gruz fgupi ob pr`nor bu buhir hir oe bi prfcugg`÷e poguir`i y ivîgfbi, ibgieziecf i 3.=9=.;?1 gikozis co hieicf kfv`ef, quo roprosoetie uei pirt`g`pig`÷e cob 37,9% cob tftib oe Kfb`v`i y bo s`huo bi gr`iezi co hieicf pfrg`ef gfe 080.9=; gikozis.  Is`n`snf, oe bi prfcu prfcugg`÷e gg`÷e co au auov ovfs fs co ivos ivos co pfsturi pfsturi y gire gireo o co ivos pirr`bboris, bi roh`÷e grugoùi t`oeo uei pirt`g`pig`÷e co ?;,4% y 30,0% i e`vob eig`feib, rospogt`vinoeto. Ob sogtfr co rostiurietos y aftobos roprosoeti ob 4,9;% sohúe citfs cob ;=98.

 

WI WIESI ESI G[_Z: G[OG@N@OESF P ]I[S@G@]I ]I[S@G@]IG@×E G@×E COB ][FC_GSF ][FC_GSF @ESO[EF K[_SF, WOHÚE IGS@T@CIC OGFE×N@GI, ;=98   (Oe pfrgoetijo)  

Duoeto: (@EWS@S (@EWS@S_S _SF F EIG EIG@@FEIB CO OW OWSIC@WS@ SIC@WS@GI GIW W , ;=9 ;=91) 1)

  Gfnpfs Gfnpfs`g` `g`÷e ÷e cob gràc` gràc`tf tf ib sogtfr prfcugt`vf:

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‒Wieti Gruz os ob copirtinoetf quo b`cori bi girtori co gràc`tfs ib sogtfr prfcugt`vf gfe Ks ;1.891 n`bbfeos (34,9%), sohu`cf pfr Bi ]iz, gfe Ks 93.31? n`bbfeos (;7,7%)< Gfgaikinki Ks 99.?;; n`bbfeos (91,?%) sohúe IWD@ 79 co C`g`onkro cob ;=98 pfr tietf Wieti Gruz os gfes`coricf ue cost`ef roetikbo y sohurf co bis `evors`feos.

 

k. Bi `edbig`÷e o îîec`go ec`go co prog`fs ib Gfesun`cfr Gfesun`cfr (@ (@]G ]G): ): Bi vir`ig`÷e pfs`t`vi co =,;4% so cok`÷ pr`eg`pibnoeto ib `egronoetf co bfs prog`fs co bis c`v`s`feos Ib`noetfs y Kok`cis Ef Ibgfa÷b`gis gfe `eg`coeg`i co =,99% y vir`ig`÷e pfrgoetuib co =,3=%, y Ib`noetfs y Kok`cis Gfesun`cfs Duori cob Afhir gfe `eg`coeg`i co =,=7% y vir`ig`÷e pfrgoetuib co =,;9%.

KFB@T@I: TI[@IG@×E ]F[GOES_IB IG_N_BICI COB ÎEC@GO CO ][OG@FW IB GFEW_N@CF[, ]F[ C@T@W@×E, OEO[F I EFT@ONK[O CO ;=91  (Kiso ;=94) 

Bi vir`ig`÷e igunubici co 9,94% roh`strici co oeorf i efv`onkro so cok`÷ pr`eg`pibnoeto ib `egronoetf co bfs prog`fs co bis c`v`s`feos: Ib`noetfs y Kok`cis Gfesun`cfs Duori cob Afhir gfe `eg`coeg`i co =,77% y vir`ig`÷e pfrgoetuib co ;,7?%< Ib`noetfs y Kok`cis Ef Ibgfa÷b`gis gfe `eg`coeg`i co =,70% y vir`ig`÷e pfrgoetuib co 9,37%< Ocugig`÷e gfe `eg`coeg`i co =,;=% y vir`ig`÷e pfrgoetuib co 3,87%, y Wibuc gfe `eg`coeg`i co =,99% y vir`ig`÷e pfrgoetuib pfrgoetu ib co 7,91%. (@EWS (@EWS@@S_SF EIG@F EIG@FEIB EIB C CO O OWSIC@ OWSIC @WS@GIW , ;=91)

 

 

9.7 Oetfref Sogefb÷h`gf

Kfb`v`i os ue piîs oe cosirrfbbf y s` k`oe osté itrisicf oe nugafs ispogtfs, oe ob toni togefb÷h`gf osté toe`oecf kuoefs iviegos. Ib pirogor, @etoreot osté gink`iecf bi v`ci co nugafs y bi bbohici co bfs tobàdfefs n÷v`bos `etob`hoetos dig`b`t÷ bi gfeox`÷e i bi roc oe nugais porsfeis quo ietos ef toeîie oso sorv`g`f y oe buhiros quo ietos ori `npoesikbo.

Co

iguorcf

i

bi

Iutfr`cic

co

[ohubig`÷e

y

D`sgib`zig`÷e

co

Sobogfnue`gig`feos y Sriespfrtos (ISS), aisti ob pr`nor tr`nostro co osto ;=91

bis

gfeox`feos

i

@etoreot

oe

ob

piîs

bbohirfe

i

0.7

tps://euov uoviogfefn`i.gfn.kf/wok/`ecox.pa iogfefn`i.gfn.kf/wok/`ecox.pap/;=91/=8/;7 p/;=91/=8/;7/ob-` /ob-`npigtfnpigtfn`bbfeos.attps://e n`bbfeos.at co-bi-togefbfh`i-oe-kfb`v`i/   co-bi-togefbfh`i-oe-kfb`v`i/

9.3. Oetfref sfg`ib Osticîst`gis kisicis oe Goesfs, [oh`strfs Icn`e`strit`vfs y Oeguostis. Bi Confhridîi os ob ostuc`f co bi pfkbig`÷e auniei gfes`coriecf su c`noes`÷e, ostrugturi, ovfbug`÷e y ftris girigtorîst`gis confhréd`gis y sfg`fogfe÷n`gis y co bis giusis y gfesoguoeg`is co bfs gink`fs oxpor`noeticfs pfr osfs digtfros. (@EWS@ (@EWS@S_SF S_SF EIG@F EIG@FEIB EIB C CO O OWSIC OWSIC@@WS@ WS@GI GIW W , ;=91)   Wohúe prfyogg`feos i ;=91, ob Osticf ]bur`eig`feib co Kfb`v`i guoeti guoeti

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gfe iprfx`nicinoeto 99.7=8.=== aik`tietos, co bfs guibos 30,4% os nujor y ?=,3%, afnkro. ]fr éroi co ros`coeg`i, 40,3% co bi pfkbig`÷e v`vo oe ob éroi urkiei y 7=,4% oe ob éroi rurib, `edfrn÷ ob @est`tutf Eig`feib co Osticîst`gi (@EO), i prfp÷s`tf cob Cîi Nuec`ib co bi ]fkbig`÷e.   Ib ieib`zir bbi i ostru ostrugtu gturi ri pfkbig` pfkbig`feib feib piri osto iùf, so fksorvi uei uei toecoeg`i i bi rocugg`÷e co bi pfkbig`÷e jfvoe oetro bfs riehfs co ocic co = i 90 iùfs, pr`eg`pibnoeto. ]iri ob iùf ;=7= osti c`sn`eug`÷e gfet`eui n`oetris quo so `egronoeti bi pfkbig`÷e icubti.

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  KFB@T@I: ]FKBIG@×E ][FPOGSICI ]F[ WOQF, WOHÚE H[_]FW Y_@EY_OEIBOW. ;===, ;=91, ;=7= 

D_OESO: @est`tu @est`tutf tf Eig`feib co Osticîst`gis sohúe rov rov`s` `s`÷e ÷e ;=91