December 8, 2016 | Author: FerdiAlva | Category: N/A
Download Amilie Clean Cosmetics GCC Business Plan May 4th...
Business Plan Amilie Clean Cosmetics Rachel Brockhage & Sharon Seiter Grove City Entrepreneurship Business Plan Competition
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NON-DISCLOSURE AGREEMENT This Non-Disclosure Agreement (the “Agreement”) is entered into by and between Amilie Clean Cosmetics (“ACC”) with its principal offices at 332 Rockaway Valley Road, Boonton Twp., NJ 07005 (“Disclosing Party”) and ____________________ , located at _______________________________________________________________ , (“Receiving Party”) for the purpose of preventing the unauthorized disclosure of Confidential Information. The parties agree to enter into a confidential relationship with respect to the disclosure of certain proprietary and confidential information (“Confidential Information”). 1. Definition of Confidential Information. For purposes of this Agreement, “Confidential Information” shall include all information or material that has or could have commercial value or other utility in the business in which Disclosing Party is engaged. If Confidential Information is in written form, the Disclosing Party shall label or stamp the materials with the word “Confidential” or some similar warning. If Confidential Information is transmitted orally, the Disclosing Party shall promptly provide a writing indicating that such oral communication constituted Confidential Information. 2. Exclusions from Confidential Information. Receiving Party‟s obligations under this Agreement do not extend to information that is: (a) publicly known at the time of disclosure or subsequently becomes publicly known through no fault of the Receiving Party; (b) discovered or created by the Receiving Party before disclosure by Disclosing Party; (c) learned by the Receiving Party through legitimate means other than from the Disclosing Party or Disclosing Party‟s representatives; or (d) is disclosed by Receiving Party with Disclosing Party‟s prior written approval. 3. Obligations of Receiving Party. Receiving Party shall hold and maintain the Confidential Information in strictest confidence for the sole and exclusive benefit of the Disclosing Party. Receiving Party shall carefully restrict access to Confidential Information to employees, contractors and third parties as is reasonably required and shall require those persons to sign nondisclosure restrictions at least as protective as those in this Agreement. Receiving Party shall not, without prior written approval of Disclosing Party, use for Receiving Party‟s own benefit, publish, copy, or otherwise disclose to others, or permit the use by others for their benefit or to the detriment of Disclosing Party, any Confidential Information. Receiving Party shall return to Disclosing Party any and all records, notes, and other written, printed, or tangible materials in its possession pertaining to Confidential Information immediately if Disclosing Party requests it in writing. 4. Time Periods. The nondisclosure provisions of this Agreement shall survive the termination of this Agreement and Receiving Party‟s duty to hold Confidential Information in confidence shall remain in effect until the Confidential Information no longer qualifies as a trade secret or until Disclosing Party sends Receiving Party written notice releasing Receiving Party from this Agreement, whichever occurs first. 5. Relationships. Nothing contained in this Agreement shall be deemed to constitute either party a partner, party to a joint venture or employee of the other party for any purpose. 6. Severability. If a court finds any provision of this Agreement invalid or unenforceable, the remainder of this Agreement shall be interpreted so as best to effect the intent of the parties. 7. Integration. This Agreement expresses the complete understanding of the parties with respect to the subject matter and supersedes all prior proposals, agreements, representations and understandings. This Agreement may not be amended except in a writing signed by both parties. 8. Waiver. The failure to exercise any right provided in this Agreement shall not be a waiver of prior or subsequent rights.
This Agreement and each party‟s obligations shall be binding on the representatives, assigns and successors of such party. Each party has signed this Agreement through its authorized representative. ______________________________ ____________ Signature Date
______________________________ ____________ Signature Date
______________________________ Printed Name
______________________________ Printed Name
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The reader acknowledges that the information contained in this business plan is confidential. Therefore, the reader agrees not to disclose it without the express written permission of Sharon Seiter and Rachel Brockhage. Upon request, this document is to be immediately returned to Sharon Seiter or Rachel Brockhage. This is a business plan. It does not imply an offering of securities.
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Table of Contents 1.
Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................ 7
2.
Industry ................................................................................................................................................ 9
3.
4.
5.
6.
2.1
Cosmetics Industry ..................................................................................................................... 9
2.2
Gluten-free Products................................................................................................................... 9
2.3
Gluten-free Cosmetics............................................................................................................... 10
Amilie Clean Cosmetics .................................................................................................................... 14 3.1
Background ............................................................................................................................... 14
3.2
Value Proposition ...................................................................................................................... 15
3.3
Barriers to Entry ....................................................................................................................... 15
3.4
Keys to Success .......................................................................................................................... 15
Market Analysis ................................................................................................................................ 17 4.1
Customers .................................................................................................................................. 17
4.2
Market Research ....................................................................................................................... 18
4.3
Market Size and Trends ........................................................................................................... 19
4.4
Estimated Market Share .......................................................................................................... 19
4.6
Competitors ............................................................................................................................... 20
4.7
Differentiation ........................................................................................................................... 21
Marketing Plan .................................................................................................................................. 22 5.1
Positioning ................................................................................................................................. 22
5.2
Pricing Strategy ......................................................................................................................... 22
5.3
Sales & Distribution .................................................................................................................. 23
5.4
Promotions Mix ......................................................................................................................... 25
Operations.......................................................................................................................................... 26 6.1
Operations Model...................................................................................................................... 26
6.2
Facilities and Equipment .......................................................................................................... 27
6.3
Development Status .................................................................................................................. 28
6.4
Intellectual Property ................................................................................................................. 30
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Amilie Clean Cosmetics Management Team and Company Structure ................................................................................. 31
7.
7.1
Key Management Personnel .................................................................................................... 31
7.2
Management Compensation and Ownership ......................................................................... 31
7.3
Board of Advisers ...................................................................................................................... 32
7.4
Operations Expansion Plan ...................................................................................................... 32
8.
Critical Risks, Problems, and Assumptions .................................................................................... 33
9.
Financial Plan .................................................................................................................................... 34 9.1
Startup Cash .............................................................................................................................. 34
9.2
Source of Funds ......................................................................................................................... 34
9.3
Financial Assumptions Sheet ................................................................................................... 35
9.4
Pro-Forma Income Statement.................................................................................................. 36
9.5
Pro-Forma Balance Sheet ......................................................................................................... 40
9.6
Pro-Forma Cash Flow Statement ............................................................................................ 41
9.7
Breakeven Analysis ................................................................................................................... 42
11.
Appendix ........................................................................................................................................ 43
11.1
Partnership Agreement ............................................................................................................ 43
11.2
Founder Resumes ...................................................................................................................... 45
11.3
March 7th Beta-Test Presentation ............................................................................................ 47
11.4
Five Month Implementation Schedule .................................................................................... 49
11.5
Sample Web Content ................................................................................................................ 50
11.6
Interviews of Gluten-free Individuals ..................................................................................... 51
11.7
Monthly Balance Sheets............................................................................................................ 53
11.8
Monthly Cash Flow Statements ............................................................................................... 56
11.9
Monthly Operating Schedules.................................................................................................. 59
11.10
Monthly Budgets ................................................................................................................... 64
11.11
Seasonality ............................................................................................................................. 69
11.12
Pricing Assumptions ............................................................................................................. 72
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1. Executive Summary Amilie Clean Cosmetics solves the growing need for gluten-free cosmetics by manufacturing and distributing gluten-free, organic makeup and personal care products. Gluten is a protein in wheat, barley, and rye which causes severe health problems for individuals with Celiac Disease. Celiac disease is linked to long term problems such as osteoporosis, infertility and cancer. Individuals who are gluten-intolerant can improve their quality of life by eliminating all traces of gluten from their diet. Today, over 10% of the American population is eating gluten free, and the rate of diagnosis for Celiac Disease is rising rapidly.1 In the past three years, demand for gluten-free food has risen 33%.2 However, gluten is also a hidden threat lurking in the ingredients of name-brand cosmetics products.3 Because the FDA does not mandate disclosure of ingredients on makeup labels, the presence of gluten can slip by undetected, with consequences ranging from breakouts to debilitating digestive flare-ups.4 Amilie products offer peace of mind. We give our customers freedom to enjoy the luxuries of quality makeup worry-free. Unlike competitors, we focus on the gluten-free claim. Our products are certified gluten-free by a third party and backed with scientific consumer education which competitors do not offer. Our primary customers are natural and organic grocery stores and distributors, reached through trade shows and sales programs. Our end users are women ages 16-60 who suffer from food allergies, especially gluten-intolerance. We will reach them through web marketing, consumer events, grocery stores where they shop. Today, our nourishing Lip Balm is fully prototyped, and receiving positive reviews from family and friends. Prototypes of our Mineral Foundation and Eye Shadow will be completed in a matter of weeks. We believe that Amilie Clean Cosmetics will meet the real and growing need for gluten-free makeup and personal care products. We will break even in our first year of operations, and grow in profitability as Amilie becomes a household name in the brand-loyal gluten-free community. Amilie will require $50,000 of startup capital. Thank you for taking the time to read this plan. We welcome as much advice as you can give us. We will launch Amilie after graduation, and want to make it the best it can possibly be. Sincerely, Sharon Seiter, CEO 1
Data taken from a webinar entitled “The Gluten Free Movement Within Specialty Foods”. Full powerpoint available upon request. 2 http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/27/magazine/Should-We-All-Go-Gluten-Free.html?pagewanted=all 3 http://news.consumerreports.org/health/2011/11/gluten-in-cosmetics-may-pose-risk-for-celiac-patients.html 4 http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/10/111031114941.htm
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Rachel Brockhage, COO
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2. Industry Amilie Clean Cosmetics is part of a young niche industry providing cosmetic products to individuals who struggle with gluten intolerance and wheat allergies. This niche is currently underserved and growing, providing serendipitous opportunities for Amilie.
2.1 Cosmetics Industry Amilie Clean Cosmetics participates in the growing gluten-free cosmetics industry.5 The value of cosmetics manufactured in the US annually is over $55 Billion.6 According to Forbes.com, the global cosmetics industry generates over $203 Billion in annual sales.7 The Industry is segmented as follows, with over $19 Billion in “Other Cosmetics and Toilet Preparations”. This segment includes traditional makeup.
Cosmetics Industry Segments 5%
2%
Other cosmetics and toilet preparations
6%
35%
9%
Creams, lotions and oils, excluding shaving, hair, and deodorant Hair preparations (including shampoos) Hair tonics, including hair and scalp conditioners
10%
Perfumes, toilet waters, and colognes 12% 21%
Dentifrices, mouthwashes, gargles, and rinses 8
The cosmetics industry struggled during the recession, but has rebounded, with healthy 5% growth in 2011.9 The industry shows especially strong growth in the high-tech and organic sectors.
2.2 Gluten-free Products While the cosmetics industry is mature and stable, the gluten-free products industry is relatively new and volatile. Since 2009, public awareness of gluten-intolerance has grown significantly. Gluten is a protein found in wheat, barley, and rye which frequently triggers adverse reactions 5
Our NAICS industry code is 325620 - Toilet preparation manufacturing. Our SIC code is 2844 – Toilet preparations. http://www.ibisworld.com/industry/default.aspx?indid=499 7 http://www.forbes.com/2006/02/08/best-selling-cosmetics_cx_me_0209feat_ls.html 8 http://www.census.gov/econ/industry/products/p325620.htm 9 http://www.skininc.com/spabusiness/trends/126516783.html 6
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ranging from headaches and nausea to debilitating fatigue. Gluten exposure in women with Celiac disease has been linked to long term problems like osteoporosis, infertility and cancer. Individuals who are gluten-intolerant can substantially improve their quality of life by eliminating all traces of gluten from their diet.
Today, 10% of the US population eats gluten-free.10 (That’s more than the entire population of Texas) In response to burgeoning consumer demand, the natural and specialty food industry has created an impressive array of gluten-free food products. SPINs, a market research service for the natural food industry, says that gluten-free food is a $6.3 Billion industry, up 33% since 2009.11 The NASFT, a specialty food organization, says the gluten-free industry will grow to $8-10 Billion in 2013.12
2.3 Gluten-free Cosmetics Amid rising demand for gluten-free foods, there is a notable lack of attention to gluten in cosmetics13. Gluten intolerant individuals spend hours of time and thousands of dollars ensuring that their diets are completely gluten-free, yet fail to realize that gluten is hiding in their makeup bags, causing breakouts or even more serious symptoms. A popular gluten-free blog lists over 20 common personal care product ingredients which contain gluten and an additional 10 which may be cross-contaminated.14 One of the most ubiquitous of these ingredients is Vitamin E oil, which may be derived from wheat, soy, or rice. If Vitamin E oil is derived from wheat, gluten contamination is inevitable. Cynthia Kupper of the Gluten Intolerance Group of North America says that gluten-free labeling on body care products has grown 43% over last year.15 Within the profitable gluten-free products industry, cosmetics are largely ignored. Only four companies offering full gluten-free certification of their cosmetics and a handful of others make a gluten-free claim.16 Unlike food and pharmaceuticals, cosmetics do not require pre-approval from the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before going on store shelves. The FDA does not require companies to list ingredients on the product label, and this can cause big problems for consumers with gluten sensitivity.
10
Data taken from a webinar entitled “The Gluten Free Movement Within Specialty Foods”. Full powerpoint available upon request. 11 http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/27/magazine/Should-We-All-Go-Gluten-Free.html?pagewanted=all 12 NASFT webinar. 13 http://news.consumerreports.org/health/2011/11/gluten-in-cosmetics-may-pose-risk-for-celiac-patients.html 14 http://www.naturallydahling.com/ingredients.html 15 http://supermarketnews.com/nonfood/more-nonfoods-labeled-gluten-free 16 According to the makeup list downloaded from the “Gluten Free Makeup Gal” blog http://www.glutenfreemakeupgal.com/
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The gluten-free cosmetics industry is disproportionately small relative to the gluten-free food industry, with potential for rapid growth. 17 Our own estimates lead us to believe that the glutenfree cosmetics industry had approximately $83 Million in sales in 2011.18 Because the market is fragmented and untapped, we project 20% annual growth in the next two years. Gluten is not known to be directly absorbed through the skin. While it is not a major risk in mineral-based makeup, it is a problem for products that may be ingested, such as lipstick, lip gloss and lip balm. The presence of gluten in cosmetics is an issue increasingly covered by the medical community, warning Celiac cosmetic users of the dangers of long term gluten ingestion directly linked to diarrhea, fatigue and weight loss19. During the American College of Gastroenterology's (ACG) 76th Annual Scientific meeting in 2011, Dr. Marie Borum, MD presented a case called "Body Lotion Causing A Celiac Exacerbation and Dermatitis Herpetiformis: Natural is Not Always Healthy." In the case, a 28 year old woman experienced exacerbation of Celiac symptoms and a recurring skin rash after applying a body lotion advertised as “natural.” These symptoms ended after the woman stopped applying the lotion. Dr. Borum presented the case as an illustration of the huge challenge Celiac patients face in trying to determine whether cosmetic ingredients contain gluten. 20 Another study unveiled during the meeting examined the products offered by the top ten cosmetic companies in the United States. The objective was to evaluate the availability of information about cosmetic ingredients and the accessibility of gluten-free products. The study found that products used on the lips and face resulted in unexpected exposure to gluten. Only two of the ten companies in the study offered detailed ingredient information and of the two companies, neither identified gluten sources, indicating a lack of readily available information on the presence of gluten in cosmetics. Topical application of cosmetics that contain wheat ingredients may also trigger an allergic reaction in people with allergies to wheat. The body mistakenly identifies wheat as a harmful agent and mounts an attack against it, causing a medical condition known as contact urticaria. The symptoms of contact urticaria commonly appear as redness, swelling, itching and hives. 17
In 2007, Food Manufacturing was a $590 Billion industry. (http://factfinder2.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?src=bkmk) In comparison, Cosmetics Manufacturing was $43 Billion. Assuming the gluten free cosmetics and food industries follow the proportionality of their mainstream counterparts, the gluten free cosmetics industry should be around $460 Million. However, this young industry is underdeveloped and highly fragmented. We estimate that gluten free cosmetics is at most an $80 Million dollar industry today, with potential for rapid growth in the next 3-5 years. 18 We estimated this number in two ways. First, we estimated that the gluten-free cosmetics industry was 1.4% as large as the gluten-free food industry estimated by SPINs (see above). This was based on the relative popularity of Google keyword searches on “gluten free” (3,350,000), “gluten-free food” (201,000, and “gluten-free makeup” (2,900). Second, we reviewed the list of 16 companies claiming to offer gluten free cosmetics (from Gluten Free Makeup Gal). We estimated that the average revenue for that group of companies is $5 Million x 16 = $80 Million. 19
http://celiacdisease.about.com/od/Coping_with_Celiac_Disease/tp/Make-The-Rest-Of-Your-Home-GlutenFree.htm 20 http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/10/111031114941.htm
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Cosmetics users who are allergic to wheat can best limit the risk of an adverse reaction by insuring their products are free of wheat proteins. The topical application of wheat-containing cosmetics may trigger even more severe reactions like anaphylaxis. Because of these consequences, people with wheat allergy must take extra precaution to ensure that their food and personal care products are free of wheat. Consumers can best avoid the risk of experiencing an allergic reaction by reading the list of ingredients on all their cosmetic products and keeping track of the products that cause a problem. The Mayo Clinic recommends that buyers “keep it simple” when looking for new products. 21 Amilie‟s products are made from simple formulas, allergen-free ingredients and we fully disclose the ingredients on the package. Our Lip Balm contains only three simple ingredients. Our products will not cause an allergic reaction because they are free from trace amounts of wheat and other allergens.
21
http://www.mayoclinic.com/health/wheat-allergy/DS01002/DSECTION=lifestyle-and-home-remedies
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3. Amilie Clean Cosmetics Amilie Clean Cosmetics (ACC) manufactures and distributes organic, gluten-free, top-8 allergen free makeup and personal care products. Our high-quality products are distributed online and through natural and specialty grocery stores carrying gluten-free products. Awareness of the benefits of organic products has grown dramatically in recent years, and is more than just a trend. In addition, many individuals are diagnosed with food allergies each year, and the rate of diagnosis for gluten intolerance is rising. Research in the gluten-free and food-allergy communities reveals that these individuals are confused and dissatisfied with current cosmetic offerings. In addition, our target market is growing. We identify our primary market as females ages 16-60 who suffer from a food allergy, especially gluten-intolerance. These customers have high purchasing power and are accustomed to spending more than average on allergen-free foods. Amilie Clean Cosmetics can create barriers to entry through strong branding, proprietary formulas, and a superior distribution network. We offer consumers full peace of mind through gluten-free and organic certifications.
3.1 Background Amilie Clean Cosmetics is a new startup, which we are serious about launching in June 2012. As the founders of Amilie Clean Cosmetics, we believe that our skills and passions are relevant to Amilie‟s mission. Sharon, the Chief Executive Officer, has nearly two years of experience working for a snack food company with critical knowledge and contacts in the gluten-free, natural products industry. Rachel, the Chief Operations Officer, has extensive experience in biology which will enable her to understand the formulation and scientific basis for our products. Rachel and Sharon are interested in working together to launch Amilie Clean Cosmetics after graduation as a side venture to their work and graduate school pursuits. To date, we have completed this business plan, prototyped products, built a website, and conducted beta testing and interviews with our target market. 22
22
Please reference Appendices 1 and 2 for complete details and a Five-Month Implementation Schedule.
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3.2 Value Proposition Amilie products offer consumers Peace of Mind. Amilie‟s value proposition encompasses the following key elements: 1. Peace of Mind – assuring consumers that Amilie products are safe 2. Quality – creating products that are effective and luxurious 3. Consumer Education – providing materials to inform consumers of the harmful ingredients in mainstream cosmetics 4. Honesty – fully disclosing the ingredients in our products 5. Purity – sourcing high-quality, organic ingredients for a pure end product
3.3 Barriers to Entry The gluten-free cosmetics industry is made up of a fragmented group of small companies. Barriers to entry exist, but can be overcome by smart and determined entrepreneurs. The greatest barrier to entry for Amilie is developing and retaining strong wholesale accounts in natural & specialty grocery. The costs of sourcing raw materials from certified organic and gluten-free suppliers are substantial, relative to generic ingredients. This forms a second barrier to entry in the gluten-free cosmetics market. The costs of equipment and manufacturing space are substantial, but may be lowered by working with a third-party manufacturer. However, such an arrangement risks contamination from gluten-containing ingredients. Consumer brand loyalty is a key barrier to entry. The gluten-free community is highly brandloyal, and many consumers have found makeup products which work well for them. Amilie faces the major challenge of overcoming that loyalty and persuading them to try a new brand. Finally, Amilie‟s extensive certifications from the GFCO, FDA, and others form barriers against competitors. These certifications are costly and require rigorous tests and periodic renewals.
3.4 Keys to Success Based on our extensive reading and networking in the gluten-free industry, we believe successful gluten-free cosmetics companies must:
Educate consumers about the need for glutenfree cosmetics Provide 100% gluten-free products Create high quality, enjoyable products Offer a reasonable price-point Engage consumers through social media and consumer events
Consumer Education
Grocery Distribution
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Gain distribution in gluten-free and natural grocery stores Innovate frequently with new products
While Amilie will work to achieve all seven of these keys to success, we especially emphasize excellence in these three areas:
100% Gluten-Free – Our first focus is on creating a line that is completely free of gluten, to give our consumers full peace of mind. Consumer Education –Amilie will become a thought leader on gluten-free cosmetics. Grocery Distribution – we will pursue distribution in gluten-free and natural grocery stores where consumers shop for gluten-free food products.
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4. Market Analysis 4.1 Customers We identify our primary market as females ages 16-60 who suffer from a food allergy, especially gluten-intolerance. These customers have high purchasing power and are accustomed to spending more than average on allergen-free foods. There are three key influences that drive these women to purchase cosmetics: 1. Women have an intense need to feel beautiful. In our high-pressure culture of supermodels and TV stars, most women struggle with deep-seated feelings of inadequacy. 2. Young women lead busy, active lives and seek out personal care products that will contribute to their long-term health and the good of the planet. They have grown up believing in the benefits of natural products and are attracted to organic foods and goods free of toxins and contamination. 3. Middle-aged women desire to turn back the effects of time and look young again. They spend billions of dollars each year in this pursuit. The demand for anti-aging products will continue to grow as the Baby Boomers age. Like all other women, our customers wear makeup to feel beautiful, young, and healthy. However, they have an additional need for products that will not exacerbate their severe gluten intolerance. Gluten often lurks in unlabeled cosmetics. Amilie offers the peace of mind of certified gluten-free, allergen-free cosmetics. Our target market is segmented into two subgroups: Primary Target Market
Secondary Target Market
Age
16-30
30-60
Gender23
Female
Female
Family
Single
Married with 2-3 children
Living Situation
High School/College/Young Professional
Works part time or stays home
Affluence
Upper-middle class
Upper-middle class
23
Women are diagnosed with Celiac Disease at a much higher rate than men. (http://www.glutenfreepages.com.au/CMS/index.php?page=celiac-age-sex-profile)
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Frequency of Makeup Purchase24
3-6 months
3-6 months
Purchase Behavior
Buy makeup for beauty
Buy makeup for anti-aging
Computer Use
Heavily involved in social media, use internet very frequently. Access through mobile devices.
Use some social media and internet during free time. Access through home computer.
Other Media Use
_
TV and print
Leisure Activities
Social events, health-related pursuits.
Family-oriented, health conscious.
4.2 Market Research On March 7th, we gave a brief presentation on Amilie Clean Cosmetics to a group of faculty and students. We asked participants to describe Amilie. They responded with words like “clean, simple, honest, natural, fresh, and wholesome.” One participant said “„Amilie‟ is a name that immediately captures me.” Design-specific words included “girlie, bright, pink and green.” One evaluator wrote “your website was comfortable and agreeable to me.” Participants also included terms pertaining to Amilie‟s viability such as “start-up, market share, opportunity for sound investment and growth.” The idea of healthy, “clean cosmetics” resonated with many participants, as seen from words like “healthy, pure, no allergens, organic, gluten free, all natural, cosmetics for a health conscious generation.” (See Appendix for more detail regarding the March 7th presentation) To ascertain the appeal of our products to the target market, we interviewed25 three young women with gluten intolerance. Emily Topp is a key contact, a junior at GCC with a severe form 24
Based on my personal buying behavior and internet articles, I estimate that most women purchase makeup every 3-6 months. (http://community.sephora.com/t5/Beauty-Confessions/How-often-do-you-replace-YOURmakeup/td-p/132417) 25
For greater detail, see Appendix.
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of Celiac disease. Emily is forming a new Celiac support group and we plan to attend the meetings. Elisa Angione is a junior with an undiagnosed case of Celiac disease and provided our team with scientific research reports on the genetics of gluten intolerance. Abby Pherson is a junior with Celiac disease and Crohn‟s disease, a condition related to Celiac. These friends were all very curious about and supportive of our idea, and expressed an interest in our products. Our team also attended the Celiac Awareness Tour event in Monroeville on January 28.
4.3 Market Size and Trends The gluten-free industry is growing. Over 18 million Americans have some form of gluten sensitivity and a study by the Mayo Clinic found a dramatic increase in the number of Celiac cases over the last ten years.26 Young people are five times more likely to have Celiac disease than youth in the 1950s.27 With greater awareness of Celiac disease and related gastrointestinal disorders, the demand for gluten-free cosmetics has increased. The natural personal care market accounts for over $6 billion in sales, climbing at an annual rate of 9%.28 Of this market, glutenfree cosmetics form an $83 Million niche. Over 96% of gluten-free customers are brand loyal. 29 Once Amilie wins the support of Celiac cosmetic users, it will enjoy long-lasting support from this core customer base. Consumer awareness of the need for gluten-free cosmetics is rising rapidly and will lead to significant growth in this sector during the next 3-5 years. The gluten-free cosmetics industry is made up of a large number of small companies. Amilie Clean Cosmetics has an opportunity to dominate this fragmented market with superior cosmetics and a focused message.
4.4 Estimated Market Share Amilie Cosmetics will gain share primarily from mainstream products that are crossing over into the gluten free category. Currently, these products are not labeled or easily identified as glutenfree, forcing consumers to contact the company directly and engage in dangerous guesswork. Amilie will also gain market share by utilizing an unusual go-to-market strategy which targets distribution through grocery and drugstore channels, rather than traditional beauty stores. Additionally, many existing gluten-free companies cannot offer the peace of mind of a glutenfree certification. With superior convenience, lower price points, and gluten-free certification, Amilie Clean Cosmetics will successfully gain market share.
Gluten-Free Cosmetics
2012 $83 Million
2013 $99.6 Million
2014 $119.52 Million
26
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2003/12/031231084025.htm http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/27/magazine/Should-We-All-Go-Gluten-Free.html?pagewanted=all 28 http://www.forbes.com/2007/10/31/clorox-burts-bees-markets-equity-cx_af_1031markets15.html 29 http://www.gluten.net/gfrap/list-your-restaurant.aspx 27
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Amilie Market Share
$91,294 0.1%
$191,583 0.2%
$343,500 0.3%
4.5 Competitors There are several small and medium sized players in this market. Of the 16 companies which produce gluten-free cosmetics, only 4 are formally tested and certified gluten-free30. The remainder of the market is commanded by mainstream products which happen to be gluten-free.
Price
Our key competitors are Arbonne, Gabriel Cosmetics Inc., Himalaya Herbal, and Red Apple Lipstick, profiled in the graph below. Each of these companies has their products tested for gluten by a professional lab.
31
Prominence of Gluten-free claim
30
Information from “Gluten Free Makeup Gal” product guide: http://www.glutenfreemakeupgal.com/ https://www.arbonne.com/shop_online/showitem.asp?ProductId=7877&menuId=257&withLinks=1 http://www.himalayausa.com/Botanique/skincare/lip-care.htm http://www.gabrielcosmeticsinc.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=product.display&product_ID=8&ParentCat=8 http://www.redapplelipstick.com/red-lipstick/red-lipstick-by-red-apple.html Amilie will pursue a mid-range price point with extremely strong emphasis on the gluten-free status of all our products. 31
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Arbonne – offers a wide range of products which are gluten free. However, the glutenfree claim is not prominently displayed on their website and packaging. Himalaya Herbal – low-cost products with gluten-free label. However, their selection focuses more on personal hygiene items and lacks quality makeup. Gabriel Cosmetics – offer a limited number of gluten-free products. High prices. Red Apple Lipstick – offer high-quality lipstick with a clear gluten free claim. It does not offer any other items.
Based on this competitive analysis, we believe Amilie Clean Cosmetics can command market share in the gluten free niche by offering high quality makeup products for a medium price point with a clear gluten free label.
4.6 Differentiation Amilie is differentiated from competitors on the basis of: 1. 2. 3. 4.
Gluten-free certification by the GFCO Full disclosure of ingredients Lower prices than many competitors Scientific consumer education
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5. Marketing Plan 5.1 Positioning Amilie sells peace of mind to the consumer through gluten free products. Our cosmetics are positioned based on their high-quality, pure ingredients, and our honesty about what is in them. Our brand personality is simple, friendly, and relaxed. To explore the look and feel characteristics of Amilie, visit our website – www.amiliecosmetics.com
5.2 Pricing Strategy Amilie products will command a mid-to-high price point relative to competitors, as shown here: MSRP $2.99 $29.99 $11.99
Product Lip Balm Foundation Eye Shadow Lip Balm – 0.15 oz.
$0.51
Gross PM
Wholesale Price (case of 36)
$1.65
69%
Retail Price
$2.99
83%
Cost per Unit i
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This price places us between mainstream and high end lip care products, level with well-known natural brands, such as Burt‟s Bees. Mineral Foundation – 0.3 oz. Cost per Unit
$4.48
Gross PM
Wholesale Priceii (case of 6)
$16.55
73%
Retail Price
$29.99
85%
Cost per Unit
$3.98
Gross PM
Wholesale Priceiii (case of 12)
$6.75
40%
Retail Price
$11.99
67%
Eye Shadow – 0.1 oz.
Because prototyping of our Eye Shadow is not yet complete, these numbers are tentative. (See Appendix for the assumptions underlying our pricing structure.) We project the follow unit sales for each product line in Years One through Three. The resulting dollar revenue amounts are calculated on the basis of our wholesale case price. Product Lip Balm
Year One Cases 599 35,580 $
Year Two 1257 $74,666
Year Three 2250 $133,650
Eye Shadow
Units $
230 18,630
483 $39,123
865 $70,065
Foundation
Units $
409 40,613
858 $85,200
1535 $152,425
Online & Direct to consumer sales will make up about 8% of the dollar volume of total sales. These sales will be at the retail price, and command a higher average Net Profit Margin of 80%, compared to our wholesale average Net Profit Margin of 63%.
Composite Net Profit Margin = 64% Composite COGS32 = 36% of Sales 5.3 Sales & Distribution Because Amilie will sell products through two primary distribution channels, we have two different selling cycles, which are outlined here: 32
Industry leaders, such as Revlon have COGS equal to 35% of Sales
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Sales Cycle 1. Prospect for leads 2. Make contact 3. Qualify the lead
Direct to Consumer via www.amiliecosmetics.com Search Engine Optimization to generate leads, promotion of products through giveaways and consumer events. Consumer clicks on website, enters contest, or tries a free sample. Consumer desires gluten-free cosmetic products.
4. Presentation
Materials on website inform consumer about the benefits of Amilie.
5. Meet Objections & Concerns 6. Close the Sale
Customer service will answer emails and phone calls with questions or concerns.
7. Follow Up
Email customers to ascertain the quality of their experience.
Customer purchases a product through the online store.
Stores & Distributors Gather leads through trade shows and industry networks. Make contact through trade shows or introductions Buyer understands the gluten-free market and need for cosmetics. Formal sales presentation with powerpoint, or less formal phone call. Take questions following the presentation/call. Customer agrees to purchase a quantity of product upon negotiated terms. Call back regularly to check on the status of products and any concerns.
We will receive payment for consumer orders via credit card. Wholesale orders may be paid by credit card or check, depending on size and consumer preference. a. Trade Shows In our first year, we will attend the Natural Products Expo East.33 Expo East provides the opportunity to reach to the largest buying audience for natural, organic and healthy products on the East Coast. At the event, we have the potential to reach 25,000 industry members. Because of the high cost of this event and the age of our company, we will not attend other industry trade shows in 2012. b. Distribution We will also call directly on gluten-free independent grocery stores to promote our products. Some consumers will discover our products on the shelves of their local store. After startup, our communication with consumers and customers will remain essentially the same: internet marketing, consumer events, trade shows, and distribution. The primary difference 33
(http://www.expoeast.com/expoeast2012/public/enter.aspx) Booth costs $3,600, plus fees, travel, plus booth design, free products samples. Total cost approximately $7000.
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will be the quantity of these activities. During the first five years of operations, we will steadily increase our marketing budget and will attend more consumer events and trade shows to drive revenue growth.
5.4 Promotions Mix a. Internet Marketing We will pursue an integrated strategy of internet marketing to drive customers to our website. These efforts will be segmented by age group: ●
16-30 Group: These young consumers use social media and search heavily, and are likely to use a smartphone or other mobile device. 34 We will reach the younger portion of our target market through a campaign to create internet buzz. This will include Facebook ads, Google adWords, excellent SEO, and free giveaway contests. 35 ● 30-50 Group: Middle-aged women are the largest group of social media users. This this age group has become remarkably interested in blogging and related outlets, such as Pinterest. Our social media and SEO efforts will effectively reach this group. We will also employ tactics involving reviews and giveaways by influential bloggers.36 b. Consumer Events The Celiac community is robust and growing, with a network of support groups and events. Amilie will reach consumers on the grassroots level by participating in and sampling at consumer events. 37 ● Provide Celiac support groups with free samples and product information. 38 ● Distribute information and samples at consumer events: 39 ● Celiac Awareness Tour 40 ● The Great Gluten-free Expo 41 ● Gluten Free for Life Expo
34
http://pewresearch.org/pubs/1484/social-media-mobile-internet-use-teens-millennials-fewer-blog http://blog.nielsen.com/nielsenwire/online_mobile/for-social-networking-women-use-mobile-more-than-men/ 36 Internet Marketing Costs: Facebook ads $150/month, giveaways $100/month, free samples for bloggers $100/month = $4,200 in the first year. 37 Celiac support groups are present in all areas of the country. This list is outdated, but provides an idea of the prevalence of these communities: (http://www.enabling.org/ia/celiac/groups/groupsus.html) In the first year, we will send $100 worth of product to 12 influential support groups. Our budget for this activity is $1,200 38 The events listed here are a few of many. More complete listing available here: (http://www.celiaccentral.org/community/Upcoming-Events/78/) (http://www.healthandfitnessexpos.com/gluten_free_expos.html) 39 Hosts recurring events in several locations in the northeast. Estimate cost (based on personal experience) $2,000 with samples and travel. (https://www.facebook.com/celiacawarenesstour) 40 (http://www.bhamkidsandfamily.com/home/2011/10/gluten-free-expo/) Approximate cost unavailable. Estimate $2,000. 41 (http://glutenfreeforlifeexpo.blogspot.com/) Approximate cost: $350 for booth, plus travel and samples = $2,000 35
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6. Operations Amilie will manufacture, market, and distribute high-quality, gluten-free cosmetic products. Our operating model and procedures are explained in the following sections.
6.1 Operations Model Below is a diagram highlighting the workflow of tasks at Amilie. The tasks outlined in purple will be the primary responsibilities of Rachel. Sharon will be responsible for tasks outlined in green.
Source Ingredients & Packaging Manufacture Products
Direct Sales
Web Marketing
Fill Wholesale Orders
Ship Web Orders
Follow Up
Follow Up
Consumer Events
Answer customer concerns & complaints
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6.2 Facilities and Equipment Because of the importance of the gluten-free claim to Amilie‟s value proposition, we feel that it is important to keep manufacturing in-house in a dedicated gluten-free facility. This will eliminate the possibility of cross-contamination and enable us to offer our customers greater peace of mind. Our products will be produced and packaged in a dedicated facility by trained part-time employees. Based on a quick survey of available properties in Cincinnati, Ohio the cost of such a space should be $2.50 - $5.00 per square foot. All of Amilie‟s products can be produced manually for test marketing and early sales. Later, quality machinery will be required. Cosmetics machinery can be expensive, but full-scale machinery is not necessary for niche startups. There are two types of machines which apply to the manufacturing of our cosmetics products: 1. Lip Balm Filling Machine –quoted cost with shipping, $30,000 2. Powder Compacting Machine – quoted cost with shipping, $71,500 At startup, Amilie will purchase a Lip Balm Filling Machine. The equipment will be depreciated over four years. The lip balm machine is fairly compact and will not take up much space. Thus, the majority of our facility will be devoted to the storage of ingredients and finished products on large industrial shelves. Based on our budget for Year One, we will carry up to $5,000 of raw materials during the first year. During the first year, our maximum total inventory on hand will be $4,000 during the first year. 15 square feet will be devoted to storing this inventory, based on the following assumptions: Product
Case Size
Lip Balm Eye Shadow Mineral Foundation
4 x 6 x 3” 4 x 6 x 3” 4 x 3 x 3”
Cases in Inventory 83 30 57
$ Value $1344.6 1436.4 1347.48
Shelves Required 1/3 1/3 1/3
We will use industrial shelving42 to store inventory, estimating that each shelving unit will require 15 square feet of space. Our raw materials and packaging inventory will require an additional three industrial shelves, for a total around 50 square feet of storage space. In addition, the facility will contain 30 square feet of flat work-space containing a sink with hot and cold 42
http://www.homedepot.com/h_d1/N-5yc1v/R-100661857/h_d2/ProductDisplay?catalogId=10053&langId=1&keyword=industrial+shelves&storeId=10051
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water. Each of the necessary machines has a footprint of approximately 50 square feet. Thus the total space consumed by shelving, work-surfaces, and machinery is 130 square feet. Based on this, we estimate that space required during the first year of operations will be 500 square feet. For the first three years, we will house manufacturing in extra space in Rachel‟s home in Cincinnati, OH. Space requirements will grow with sales, incurring the following costs: Space Needed Cost ($4 / sq ft)
Year One 500 sq feet $-
Two 500 $-
Three 500 $-
Four 1000 $4000
Five 1000 $4000
6.3 Development Status We have selected products for initial development based on three criteria:
1. High Profit Margins
2. Simple Manufacturing
3. Widespread Use
a. Lip Balm Our Lip Balm is a soft and nourishing compound of organic oils, waxes, and flavors. Lip Balm is spread generously over the lips to alleviate chapping and add attractive shine.
Status: Prototyping & Testing Complete Our Lip Balm is currently formulated in a fresh and pleasant Orange Cream flavor. It is made from a simple formula of beeswax, olive oil and orange extract. The simplicity of its formulation provides a high quality flavor and texture that soothes chapped lips and leaves a long-lasting fresh, fragrant flavor. We will develop two additional fruit-inspired flavors, for a total of three SKUs in our Lip Balm line. Lip balm is packaged in 0.07oz. slim-line lip balm tubes. These tubes are longer and thinner than standard lip balm tubes, creating a uniquely upscale look and feel. Each
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tube is affixed with a colorful label in compliance with FDA cosmetics labeling guidelines.43 Our Lip Balm tubes will be available individually or by the case of 36. (See Section 5.3 – Pricing Strategy for more details) Because our Lip Balm is made from natural ingredients, we recommend that the product is used within 12 months after opening. b. Mineral Foundation Mineral Foundation is a soft, loose powder containing a variety of minerals, natural pigments, and oils. It is available in a variety of skin-tones. The semi-opaque powder is brushed over the facial area to give the skin a smooth, even appearance before the application of additional makeup, much like primer is applied to walls before painting.
Status: Research & Development Our Mineral Foundation will be formulated in six shades to match a variety of skin tones and packaged in 30 gram sifter jars for easy dispensing onto makeup brushes. Foundation jars will be sold individually, or by cases of 6. Our Mineral Foundation has a shelf-life of three years. c. Eye Shadow Eye Shadow is a soft compound of minerals, pigments, and oils which are pressed firmly into a small container or palate. Eye Shadow is available in almost every color imaginable, and is blended on the eyelid with a small brush or sponge to add color and draw attention to the eyes.
Status: Research & Development Our Eye Shadow will be formulated in three popular shades: Soft Pink, Lavender, and Blue. The Shadows will be packaged in 10 gram jars for convenient use with small brushes and sponges. Eye Shadows will be sold individually and by the case of 12. Our Eye Shadow has a shelf-life of three years. d. Product Improvement and New Products Amilie New products will be developed in response to trends and consumer requests and comments received through surveys, emails, and social media. They may include expansion of existing product lines or addition of new cosmetic products.
43
http://www.fda.gov/Cosmetics/CosmeticLabelingLabelClaims/default.htm
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Publicly traded industry leaders spend about 2-4% of revenue on Research & Development. Therefore, ACC‟s budgeted R&D costs are as follows: Year One
Year Two
Year Three
Year Four
Year Five
Revenue
$91,294
$191,583
$343,500
$551,622
$775,914
R&D (3%)
$2,738
$5,747
$10,305
$16,548
$23,277
6.4 Intellectual Property Our intellectual property will consist of trade secrets surrounding the formulation of our products and trademarks protecting our brand identity. Trade secrets will be protected through careful employee training and division of labor within the manufacturing process. Our name and logo trademarks will be registered through an attorney at startup.
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7. Management Team and Company Structure 7.1 Key Management Personnel Sharon Seiter and Rachel Brockhage are founding managers at Amilie. Sharon has experience in the gluten-free industry through her work with the Mediterranean Snack Food Company and a broad set of business skills gained through her Entrepreneurship degree.
X
R&D
X
Web Management
X
X
HR
X
Marketing & Sales
X
Customer Service
Accounting
X X
Manufacturing & Shipping
Finance
Rachel Sharon
Executive Leadership
Rachel has research experience in clinical chemistry, nanotechnology and a background in biology. The skill profile of each of the founders is outlined here. See the organizational chart in section 6.1 – Operations Model for a breakdown of primary responsibilities. See the Appendix for detailed resumes of both founders.
X X
7.2 Management Compensation and Ownership Sharon and Rachel are equal joint owners of Amilie Clean Cosmetics (See Appendix for full Partnership Agreement). Their monetary investment in the company is as follows:
Sharon Seiter Rachel Brockhage
Invested $130 $75
Committed $4870 $4925
Total $5,000 $5,000
During Year One and Year Two, founders will each be compensated with 12.5% of total revenue. In Year Three, they will each receive salaries of $40,000, growing to $50,000 and $60,000 in Years Four and Five respectively.
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7.3 Board of Advisers We are currently in the process of selecting a board of knowledgeable individuals to offer advice and guidance to Amilie Clean Cosmetics. Our board will include:
Mike Ellison, Owner of Ellison Group, company dedicated to manufacturing world-class surface technologies Professor George Howley – business planning expert. Mike Ellison – successful entrepreneur and CEO. Mary Kate Breese – accounting student. Emily Topp – student with Celiac disease and numerous food allergies. Steve Myers – VP of Sales at Mediterranean Snacks with over 25 years of sales experience in natural foods.
7.4 Operations Expansion Plan During the first six to twelve months of operations, Sharon and Rachel will operate Amilie as a part-time venture. Once the venture breaks even and begins to grow, they will develop the venture full time. As Amilie grows, certain gaps in the founders‟ experience may be filled by mentoring from the Board of Advisers. They will seek out advisers with skills in sales, R&D and operations, and manufacturing during the early months of launching Amilie. These areas are critical to success, and Amilie will benefit from the expertise of qualified consultants in the cosmetics industry. While we have a strong management team, maximizing growth will require more personnel with a diverse range of skills. After the first year of operations, Amilie will pursue the following team expansions, with an emphasis on acquiring experienced individuals in the natural products industry. The cost of hiring employees to assist in the production, packing, and shipping of products is included in Cost of Goods Sold (See Appendix). As students, we believe in the benefits of internships, and would like summer interns to figure prominently in the startup of Amilie. We will select interns with strong marketing skills to drive consumer interest and sales growth.
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8. Critical Risks, Problems, and Assumptions This business plan contains several key assumptions, which could pose a risk to Amilie if they are not realized. We assume that the gluten-free cosmetics industry will experience rapid and sustained growth, enabling Amilie to grow 110% in Year Two, 80% in Year Three, 60% in Year Four, and 40% in Year Five. (See Appendix for full Financial Assumptions). Based on industry growth projections, we believe these growth figures are attainable. It is assumed that our materials will be available on time and in sufficient quantities. Difficulty sourcing organic materials and packaging could cause production to grind to a halt. Diversified supplier relationships will be critical to mitigating this risk, and we will order each ingredient from a minimum of two different suppliers. Another assumption is that Amilie will be able to reach a sufficient number of consumers and stores to meet sales projection. Without these key distributions channels, sales may be unsustainably low. In light of this risk we have added Steve Myers to our advisory board to mentor us in the natural food sales process. Some legal risk is inherent in the production of consumer products, such as makeup. To protect against legal issues, damage claims, and lawsuits, Amilie will carry general liability insurance. It is assumed that Amilie will be able to meet the standards required for FDA, GFCO, and other certifications. Based on the simplicity of our manufacturing process and careful sourcing of organic ingredients, we will be able to fulfill this assumption. The greatest risk for Amilie is relatively low barriers to entry for competitors. It is possible that major cosmetics companies could re-label their products as gluten-free, however this is unlikely because of the small size of the gluten-free niche relative to the whole market. Small, entrepreneurial competitors may respond with similar products. Amilie‟s barriers against such future competitors will be strong wholesale account relationships, sourcing relationships, the expense of manufacturing equipment, strong brand loyalty within the gluten-free community, and extensive certification processes. The brand loyalty working in Amilie‟s favor could also be a problem during startup. Because the gluten-free community is strongly brand loyal, many consumers are hesitant to try new brands. Overcoming this problem will be possible with strong, intentional marketing efforts, as outlined earlier. Finally, Amilie Clean Cosmetics will face the cash flow problems common to young businesses. There is a risk that the venture will be undercapitalized. Therefore, investments at startup must be sufficient. Startup Capital of $50,000 will help alleviate cash flow difficulties while the company grows to maturity. In addition, Amilie will carry a $10,000 line of credit for cash flow emergencies. 33 of 72
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9. Financial Plan Pro Forma financials for Amilie are displayed below, with additional detailed financials in the Appendix. Startup capital of $50,000 will fuel inventory buildup and cash flow, while sales grow to sustainable levels. For information on the seasonality of the cosmetics industry, please see the Appendices.
9.1 Startup Cash Amilie Clean Cosmetics will begin operations with a cash balance of $16,950, $550 in inventory, and $32,500 in Equipment. Startup capital required is $50,000 and will be used as follows:
Startup Capital Amount
Capital Investments
$2,000
Computer Equipment
$30,000
Manufacturing Equipment
$500
Other Equipment Amount
Operating Expenses Legal Services
$3,000
Licenses and permits
$1650
Prepaid insurance
$500
Starting inventory
$550 $11,700
Cash (working capital)
$100
Line of Credit Annual Renewal Fee Total Startup Cash Needed =
9.2 Source of Funds
$50,000
Sources of Funds
The chart at right illustrates our plan for raising necessary startup cash.
$10,000 Founders
We are currently seeking $28,000 of additional outside funding.
$2,000 $28,000 $10,000
Business Plan Competition Prizes Family and Friends Funds Needed
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9.3 Financial Assumptions Sheet Below is an alphabetized list of the assumptions underlying each item in our financials.
Accounting Costs - Accounting Costs are calculated based on fees of $0.50 per transaction (with an average transaction size of of $72) plus $100 for financials.
Capital Expenditures – We will purchase $32,500 of equipment at startup, to be depreciated over four years. Computers for Rachel and Sharon will cost approximately $5,000 each, as reflected in starting capital expenditures. Cost of Good Sold = 36% of Revenue, based on our Pricing Assumptions (11.3) and the P&L statements of industry leaders, such as Revlon. Credit Sales = 80% of wholesale sales Ending Inventory = 50% of the following month‟s projected COGS. Insurance – we will carry $1,000,000 of general liability insurance. Legal Costs - Legal Costs are based on fees of $200 - $250 per hour. We estimate requiring 20 hours of legal service in the first year.
Legal Services at startup will cost approximately $3,000. This spend is in addition to the ongoing item listed in our budget. Licenses – the state of NJ requires a Wholesale Food/Cosmetics License. For companies with under $100,000 in sales, the fee is $150. For companies with over $500,000 in sales, the fee is $500. We also include annual costs of $1,500 for maintaining our gluten free certification with the GFCO. Line of Credit - According to conversations with our banker, we will be able to secure a $10,000 line of credit with cosigners for an annual fee of $100, and can expect an interest rate of around 6.25% Marketing - Internet Marketing Costs: Facebook ads $150/month, giveaways $100/month, free samples for bloggers $100/month = $4,200 in the first year. Marketing to Consumer events and support groups = $8,000 (see marketing plan).
Online Sales = 7.5% of total sales Purchases – 50% of purchases will be paid in the month of purchase. Research & Development – based on the budgets of Revlon, Estee Lauder, and others, we project R&D as 3% of revenue. Rent – See Section 6.2 Salaries – Rachel and Sharon each receive a salary equal to 25% of sales. Additional salaries are explained in Section 7.4. Sales - Revenue numbers are forecast based on our ability to receive about 20 online orders of $5 each and 18 wholesale orders of about $200 each during the first month and grow sustainably thereafter according to industry trends (see Section 1)
Seasonality –Amilie‟s seasonality will include: slow, gradual sales during the summer, sustained growth starting in September and lasting through early January, steady decline during the spring. (see 11.8) Shipping – The shipping costs listed cover shipping of wholesale orders to customers. (Online orders will have shipping covered as an additional charge) The average order Wholesale order will be $72 with $7 cost of shipping.
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9.4 Pro-Forma Income Statement
Amilie Clean Cosmetics Pro Forma Income Statement
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
$91,294
$191,583
$343,500
$551,622
$775,914
32,866
68,970
123,660
198,584
279,329
58,428
122,613
219,840
353,038
496,585
22,824
47,896
80,000
100,000
120,000
2,739
6,287
10,845
19,189
25,917
600
1,354
2,429
3,900
5,486
8,876
18,626
33,396
53,630
75,436
0
0
4,000
4,000
13,694
28,737
51,525
82,743
116,387
7,992
5,000
7,500
10,000
10,000
1650
2000
2000
2000
2000
100
100
100
100
100
Insurance
2,000
2,000
2,000
2,000
2,000
Research & Development
2,738
5,747
10,305
16,548
23,277
Miscellaneous
1,999
4,196
7,523
12,081
16,993
65,212
121,942
207,623
306,191
401,596
($6,784)
$671
$12,217
$46,847
$94,989
-7%
0%
4%
8%
12%
Revenue Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit
Operating Expenses Salaries Payroll Taxes Office Supplies Shipping Rent Marketing & Promotions Legal & Accounting Services Licenses & Permits Line of Credit
Total Operating Expenses
Net Income:
Net Profit Margin
-
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Amilie Clean Cosmetics Pro Forma Income Statement – Year One
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
$1,007
$4,168
$5,158
$5,764
$6,578
$7,869
$9,133
$10,316
363
1,501
1,857
2,075
2,368
2,833
3,288
$644
$2,667
$3,301
$3,689
$4,210
$5,036
252
1,042
1,290
1,441
1,645
Payroll Taxes
30
125
155
173
Office Supplies
50
50
50
Shipping
98
405
151
Legal & Accounting Services Licenses & Permits
Revenue Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit
March
April
May
$11,164
$10,777
$9,873
$9,486
3,714
4,019
3,880
3,554
3,415
$5,845
$6,602
$7,145
$6,897
$6,319
$6,071
1,967
2,283
2,579
2,791
2,694
2,468
2,372
197
236
274
309
335
323
296
285
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
501
560
640
765
888
1,003
1,085
1,048
960
922
625
774
865
987
1,180
1,370
1,547
1,675
1,617
1,481
1,423
3,416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
1650
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Operating Expenses Salaries
Rent Marketing & Promotions
Line of Credit
100
Insurance
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
Research & Development
228
228
228
228
228
228
228
228
228
228
228
228
Miscellaneous
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
6,307
3,223
3,746
4,065
4,495
5,174
5,841
6,464
6,912
6,708
6,231
6,028
($5,663)
($556)
($445)
($376)
($285)
($138)
$4
$138
$233
$189
$88
$44
Total Operating Expenses
Net Income:
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Amilie Clean Cosmetics Pro Forma Income Statement - Year Two
June
September
October
November
December
January
February
$11,720
$12,228
$14,181
$16,642
$20,041
$21,994
4,219
4,219
4,402
5,105
5,991
7,215
$6,027
$7,501
$7,501
$7,826
$9,076
$10,651
2,355
2,930
2,930
3,057
3,545
Payroll Taxes
463
532
532
367
Office Supplies
113
113
113
Shipping
916
1,139
1,413
Revenue Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit
July
August
March
April
May
$9,418
$11,720
$22,424
$19,025
$17,072
$15,119
3,391
7,918
8,073
6,849
6,146
5,443
$12,826
$14,076
$14,351
$12,176
$10,926
$9,676
4,161
5,010
5,499
5,606
4,756
4,268
3,780
425
499
601
660
673
571
512
454
113
113
113
113
113
113
113
113
113
1,139
1,189
1,379
1,618
1,948
2,138
2,180
1,850
1,660
1,470
1,758
1,758
1,834
2,127
2,496
3,006
3,299
3,364
2,854
2,561
2,268
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
2000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Operating Expenses Salaries
Rent Marketing & Promotions Legal & Accounting Services Licenses & Permits Line of Credit
100
Insurance
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
Research & Development
479
479
479
479
479
479
479
479
479
479
479
479
Miscellaneous
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
349
8,770
7,882
7,882
7,970
8,999
10,297
12,088
13,119
13,346
11,554
10,524
9,495
($2,743)
($381)
($381)
($144)
$77
$355
$738
$958
$1,005
$622
$402
$181
Total Operating Expenses
Net Income:
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Amilie Clean Cosmetics
Amilie Clean Cosmetics Pro Forma Income Statement - Year Three
September
October
November
December
January
February
$21,096
$22,010
$25,526
$29,956
$36,074
$39,589
7,594
7,594
7,924
9,189
10,784
12,986
$9,986
$13,502
$13,502
$14,086
$16,337
$19,172
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
Payroll Taxes
648
813
813
660
Office Supplies
202
202
202
1,517
2,051
2,340 625
Revenue Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit
June
July
August
March
April
May
$15,603
$21,096
$40,363
$34,245
$30,729
$27,213
5,617
14,252
14,531
12,328
11,063
9,797
$23,088
$25,337
$25,832
$21,917
$19,666
$17,416
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
766
899
1,082
1,188
1,211
1,027
922
816
202
202
202
202
202
202
202
202
202
2,051
2,140
2,482
2,912
3,507
3,849
3,924
3,329
2,988
2,646
3,164
3,164
3,301
3,829
4,493
5,411
5,938
6,054
5,137
4,609
4,082
625
625
625
625
625
625
625
625
625
625
625
Operating Expenses Salaries
Shipping Rent Marketing & Promotions Legal & Accounting Services Licenses & Permits
2000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Line of Credit
100
Insurance
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
Research & Development
858
858
858
858
858
858
858
858
858
858
858
858
Miscellaneous
627
627
627
627
627
627
627
627
627
627
627
627
15,749
15,172
15,172
15,245
16,221
17,448
19,144
20,119
20,333
18,637
17,663
16,688
($5,763)
($1,670)
($1,670)
($1,159)
$116
$1,724
$3,944
$5,218
$5,499
$3,280
$2,003
$728
Total Operating Expenses
Net Income:
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Amilie Clean Cosmetics
9.5 Pro-Forma Balance Sheet Amilie Clean Cosmetics Balance Sheet
Starting
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
16,950
12,190
16,851
28,943
73,103
156,152
6,371
10,118
18,213
29,140
40,796
550
2,110
3,797
6,076
8,506
11,908
17,500
20,671
30,766
53,232
110,749
208,856
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
8,125
16,250
24,375
32,500
32,500
32,500
24,375
16,250
8,125
0
0
Total Long-term Investments:
32,500
24,375
16,250
8,125
0
0
Total Assets:
50,000
45,046
47,016
61,357
110,749
208,856
1,830
3,129
5,253
7,797
10,915
0
1830
3129
5253
7797
10915
0
1830
3129
5253
7797
10915
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
-6,784
-6,113
6,104
52,952
147,941
ASSETS Current Assets: Cash & Cash Equivalents Accounts receivable Inventory Total Current Assets Long-term Investments: Property, plant, and equipment Accumulated depreciation Net:
LIABILITIES & EQUITY Current Liabilities: Accounts payable Line of Credit Total Current Liabilities Long-term Liabilities: Long-term debt Total Long-term Liabilities: Total Liabilities: Equity: Paid-in Capital Retained Earnings Total Equity:
50,000
43,216
43,887
56,104
102,952
197,941
Total liabilities & Equity
50,000
45,046
47,016
61,357
110,749
208,856
Monthly balance sheets for the first three years of operations are included in the Appendix.
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Amilie Clean Cosmetics
9.6 Pro-Forma Cash Flow Statement Amilie Clean Cosmetics Cash Flow Statement
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Operating Activities Net Income
($6,784)
$671
$12,217
$46,847
$94,989
Accounts Receivable
-6,371
-3,747
-8,095
-10,927
-11,656
Inventory
-1,560
-1,687
-2,279
-2,430
-3,402
1,830
1,299
2,124
2,544
3,118
8,125
8,125
8,125
8,125
0
($4,760)
$4,661
$12,092
$44,159
$83,049
Purchase of Long-term investments
0
0
0
0
0
Cash Generated by Investing
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Add: Decreases in Non-cash Current Assets
Increases in Current Liabilities Accounts Payable Depreciation Cash Generated by Operations: Investing Activities
Financing Activities Line of Credit Cash Generated by Financing
Net Increase in Cash
($4,760)
$4,661
$12,092
$44,159
$83,049
Cash & Cash Equivalents at Beginning of Year
16,950
12,190
16,851
28,943
73,103
Cash & Cash Equivalents at End of Year
$12,190
$16,851
$28,943
$73,103
$156,152
Free Cash Flow
($4,760)
$4,661
$12,092
$44,159
$83,049
Monthly cash flow statements provided in the Appendix.
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Amilie Clean Cosmetics
9.7 Breakeven Analysis Below is a Breakeven Analysis for Amilie Clean Cosmetics based on our monthly pro-forma income statements for the first two years of operations. Breakeven will occur in November 2012. During the seasonal lull of Summer 2013, income will become negative again for a short period of time, before turning strongly positive in Fall 2013.
Amilie Cosmetics - Breakeven Analysis $2,000.00 $1,000.00 $$(1,000.00) $(2,000.00) $(3,000.00) $(4,000.00) $(5,000.00) $(6,000.00)
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Amilie Clean Cosmetics
11.Appendix 11.1 Partnership Agreement PARTNERSHIP AGREEMENT Date: March 17, 2012 Commences March 17, 2012 Location: Grove City, PA
This partnership agreement is made on this seventeenth day of March, 2012, between the individuals listed below: Sharon Seiter Rachel Brockhage
The partners listed above hereby agree that they shall be considered partners in business upon the commencement date of this PARTNERNSHIP AGREEMENT for the following purpose: The terms and conditions of this partnership are as follows: 1) The NAME of the partnership shall be: Amilie Clean Cosmetics The PRINICPAL PLACE OF BUSINESS of the partnership shall be: 7726 Laurel Avenue Madeira, Ohio 45243 2) The CAPITAL CONTRIBUTION of each partner to the partnership shall consist of the following property, services or cash to which each partner agrees to contribute: Name of partner Sharon Seiter Rachel Brockhage
Capital contribution
Agreed-upon cash value
Percent share (%)
50%
$55,000
50
50%
$55,000
50
Furthermore, the PROFITS AND LOSSES of the partnership shall be divided by the partners according to a mutually agreeable schedule and at the end of each calendar year according to the proportions listed above. 3) Each partner shall have equal rights to MANAGE AND CONTROL the partnership and its business. Should there be differences between the partners concerning ordinary business matters, a decision shall be made by unanimous vote. It is understood that the partners may elect one of the partners to conduct day-to-day business of the partnership; however, no partner shall be able to bind the partnership by act or contract to any liability exceeding $1,000 without the prior written consent of each partner. 4) In the event a partner WITHDRAWS from the partnership for any reasons, including death, the remaining partners may contribute to operate the partnership using the same name. The withdrawing partners shall be obliged to sell his or her interest in the partnership. No partner shall TRANSFER interest in the partnership to any another party without the written consent of each partner.
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Amilie Clean Cosmetics 5) Should the partnership be TERMINATED by unanimous vote, the assets and cash of the partnership shall be used to pay all creditors with the remaining amounts to be distributed to the partners according to their proportionate share. 6) Any DISPUTES arising between the partners as a result of this agreement shall be settled by voluntary mediation. Should mediation fail to resolve the dispute, it shall be settled by binding arbitration. In witness thereof, this PARTNERSHIP AGREEMENT has been signed by the partners on the day and year listed above.
Partner___________________________________________________________
Partner___________________________________________________________
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Amilie Clean Cosmetics
11.2
Founder Resumes
Sharon K. Seiter Home: 332 Rockaway Valley Road – Boonton, NJ 07005 College: Box #2720 – 200 Campus Dr. – Grove City, PA 16127 Email:
[email protected] Cell Phone: 973-461-3802 OBJECTIVE Locate a challenging position in an organization seeking an optimistic, tenacious, and innovative individual with strong team-building skills. EDUCATION Grove City College – Grove City, PA BS in Entrepreneurship – May 2012 GPA 3.88/4.00 – Dean‟s List EXPERIENCE Mediterranean Snacks – Intern Marketing Brand Coordinator – Boonton, NJ Summer 2010-Present Supported growth of Facebook fans from 300 to 7,500 in three months. Gained Content Marketing skills by managing the company website and blog. Designed and generated highly detailed sales reports in Excel. Traveled to trade shows to sell products and learn from food industry personnel. Cared for customers, bloggers, and members of the press. Built collaboration skills by working with individuals from many functional areas. Sharie Kaye – Founder & Owner – Boonton, NJ 2009 – Present Designed and sold a line of fitness attire for the unique needs of Irish Step Dancers. Concept was awarded second place in the 2011 Grove City College Business Plan Competition. Andrew Schlafly – Paralegal – Far Hills, NJ 2008 – 2010 Developed professionalism and knowledge of the legal field. Honed excellent writing and proofreading skills. Gained knowledge of the LEXIS research system. ACTIVITIES AND HONORS Recipient of the Joseph C. Cicero, Jr. Entrepreneurship Scholarship Recipient of the Grove City College Presidential Merit Scholarship Entrepreneurship Club – President Business Plan Competition – Second-place winner in For-Profit Category in 2011 Elevator Pitch Competition – Winner in For-Profit Category in 2009 500 Fives – Organized an on-campus fundraiser to benefit gypsies in Chennai, India Law Society – Member
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Rachel M. Brockhage Home: 5207 Minuteman Court –Mason, Ohio 45040 College: Box #2508 – 100 Campus Dr. – Grove City, PA 16127 Email:
[email protected] Cell Phone: 513-204-9082 OBJECTIVE PROVEN ACHIEVER with consistent track record in balancing academics and leadership activities. Independent, self-motivated student with extensive experience in working on a team. Committed to long-term career in scientific inquiry and medical research. EDUCATION Grove City College – Grove City, PA BS in Biology, minor in Communication Studies – May 2012 GPA 3.66/4.00 – Dean’s List EXPERIENCE Cornell Nanoscale Facility – Student Intern– Ithaca, NY Summer 2011 Successfully completed Technology and Characterization at the Nanoscale course offered to users of Cornell Nanoscale Facility Received certification in CNF microscopy methods Maintained database of National Nanotechnology Infrastructure Network users from pharmaceutical companies, hospitals and biotech startups Genomic Research Institute– Research assistant – Cincinnati, Ohio Summer 2010 Investigated size differences in native High Density Lipoprotein Complexes with and without Apolipoprotein A-II Gained experience in FPLC, high density ultracentrifugation and covalent chromatography Improved skills in running gel electrophoresis and Lowry assays Findings published and used for further size heterogeneity studies of ApoA-II and HDL Presented findings at UC’s SURF research symposium and the Sigma Xi Research Showcase International Medical Missions – Student assistant – Guatemala 2010 Partnered with Caring Partners International to serve rural and urban communities in Guatemala Cooperated with patients and certified physicians on the trip in running several full-day clinics Gained experience in taking blood pressure readings, monitoring blood glucose levels and diagnosing rare diseases ACTIVITIES AND HONORS Omicron Delta Kappa national leadership honorary member Beta Beta Beta national biology honorary society member Teaching assistant for Cellular and Molecular Biology (2010) Web Editor for the campus newspaper The Collegian Webmaster for the radio station WSAJ The One and co-host of “Amoebas and Social Loafing” Grove City College Presidential Scholar
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11.3
March 7th Beta-Test Presentation
On March 7th, we gave a brief presentation on Amilie Clean Cosmetics to a group of faculty and students. The beta test was very successful, and gave us much food for thought. Below is our evaluation of the feedback we received. Summary - We asked participants to give us words to describe Amilie. They responded with words like “clean, simple, honest, natural, fresh, and wholesome.” One participant said “„Amilie‟ is a name that immediately captures me.” Design-specific words included “girlie, bright, pink and green.” One evaluator wrote “your website was comfortable and agreeable to me.” Participants also included terms pertaining to Amilie‟s viability such as “start-up, market share, opportunity for sound investment and growth.” The idea of healthy, “clean cosmetics” resonated with many participants, as seen from words like “healthy, pure, no allergens, organic, gluten free, all natural, cosmetics for a health conscious generation.” Positive Feedback Participants liked the “certified gluten free” label, the market label “allergen free,” and “reduced skin irritation for gluten and allergens.” One participant highlighted how the concept is “scientificallyfounded.” Another noted “research shows you know your stuff.” Praise for design elements included Amilie design, the color scheme of the website, website design, with one participant noting “love the packaging, name, etc. All very appealing!” In terms of its viability as a startup, evaluators noted that Amilie is in an emerging market and has great potential. One participant noted “no one is paying attention is an excellent selling point to investors.” Another said “the size and growth of market, the prospect for a small firm to enter the niche natural product market.” Yet another said “I like the fact the market appears to be virtually untapped by an exclusive manufacturer of gluten-free products.” Finally, we received praise for the product itself. One evaluator said “I LOVED the extremely mild citrus fragrance/flavor. I loved the plainness of it. It was very mild on my lips.” Another wrote “I will be investing in your company for its lip balm. I use lip balm 365 days a year!” Areas for Improvement A participants said “I‟m wondering if you should brainstorm the tagline a little more. I‟m not sure „clean‟ really describes the products or the benefit of the end-user.” For marketing, another individual recommended that we “emphasize what the product will do for the consumer, rather than just what the product won‟t do (benefits, not just problems avoided).” Participants recommended that we more critically evaluate barriers to entry for the company. Future extensions, such as investigating lead contamination in cosmetics and the degree to which these are absorbed through the skin were also discussed. In terms of the presentation, evaluators recommended that we consider how to “present complex technical details in a way that connects it to the layperson‟s understanding.” Similarly, one participant said “start with the sizzle, then describe research.” On the product, one person stated “Please list the ingredients,” a suggestion to consider during label reconfiguration. Another said “the top of the stick should be flat, not convex” and recommended “make the formulation SLIGHTLY less waxy, make it a little more melty on the lips. Right now, it‟s kind of hard to get on your lips because of the convex shape and highish melting point. It felt pretty good once it was on, but just a tiny bit too waxy.”
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Questions raised during the session There were two lines of questions, one around investment and one around marketing. Questions inherent to the product image included “What happens if, to this advantage, I go gluten free?” “What is the advantage to not using preservatives?” “What ingredients in normal makeup contain gluten to persuade gluten free person to not use past makeup and buy your makeup?” “Is there research that suggests this is needed and at what level?” For marketing and presentation of the concept, participants asked “Have you presented to a gluten free audience?” This is important to keep in mind for launching another beta-test in the future. At this stage, it would be good to discuss how we may begin to develop partnerships with gluten free support groups in the region. Participants also suggested that we emphasize the unique benefits of our cross-disciplinary team. Additionally, we need to further clarify how and where the product will be manufactured. During the Question and Answer session, we were asked the size of the cosmetics industry in global sales. We answered $74 billion based on prior reading, to the surprise of our audience. After consulting Forbes.com, we found the correct figure is $230 billion.
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11.4
Five Month Implementation Schedule
March
April
May
June
July
Write Business Plan Prototype Lip Balm Design Website Prototype Foundation & Eye Shadow Raise Startup Capital Lease & Furnish Office Streamline Manufacturing Launch Sell to Initial Customers Marketing Campaign
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11.5
Sample Web Content
This infographic is an example of the high-quality content which will attract users to our website:
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11.6
Interviews of Gluten-free Individuals
Abby Pherson Abby Pherson is a junior biology major who was diagnosed with Celiac disease and Crohn’s disease in January of 2011. Abby is asymptomatic externally. This means that she does not show symptoms, but like all patients with Celiac disease, Abby follows a gluten-free diet to limit the adverse, internal effects of consuming gluten. Abby says “one of the hardest parts of being gluten-free is being diagnosed later on in life, after I was used to breads and pastas. Now, my brain is focused on the cants rather than the possibilities.” Abby believes that greater awareness of Celiac disease among consumers should be a priority. “Many people see gluten-free as a diet, rather than as a have to.” Even still, Abby is encouraged by the growth in the gluten-free industry. “Things are SO much better today, whether it is more recipes or already made products.” Abby follows blogs like Jules Gluten Free and Better Batter, which are a source of articles and recipes for women with gluten intolerance. Abby says that she regularly shares these links with her friends who also have Celiac disease. Abby cites the website Pinterest as a source for information on new gluten free products. “There are lots of opportunities to be connected via the net.” Abby says one of the best parts of being gluten free is the chance to meet new people and to appreciate food more. “I realize that I have to be gluten free, that it is the right thing for my body. It inspires me to think more about taking care of my body for the long term.” Abby and fellow GCC student Emily Topp are launching a gluten free support group on campus. Elisa Angione Elisa is a junior biology major who has never received an official diagnosis of Celiac disease from a medical professional. Even still, she has a family history of gluten intolerance and does not believe a test is worth the cost and thus lives gluten free. “The hardest part of being gluten free is social. Food brings people together, and it is hard not to be able to enjoy what everyone else enjoys, especially coming from an Italian family. Going out to eat becomes more of a burden than a good experience.” Like Abby, Elisa cites positive trends in the gluten free industry. “People are starting to become more aware,” and says her favorite gluten-conscious companies include names like Saladworks and Applebees.
Elisa credits Amilie Clean Cosmetics with raising her awareness of the presence of gluten in personal care products. “Because of Amilie Clean Cosmetics, I am thinking more about gluten in cosmetics. I would like to know what ingredients are in my lipstick.” Elisa says that gluten-free products that the Celiac community would appreciate include lipstick, hand cream, toothpaste and mouthwash.
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Emily Topp Emily is a junior Accounting major who has been diagnosed with Celiac since the beginning of college. Emily says one of the hardest aspects of handling Celiac disease is that ingredients are not often labeled well. “I hate the lack of labeling in drugs,” Emily said. “I have to have my pharmacist check every ingredient.” Emily says the gluten-free diet is what its follower make of it and that nutritional deficiencies can easily be overcome with careful planning. “What is gluten free? For some people, it may be fritos and coco cola. For others, it could be spinach and hummus. It is what you make of it.” Emily is frustrated by the “hype” of the gluten free diet and looks forward to greater awareness of consumers in the future. “People often confuse the gluten free diet with the South Beach diet. I will be glad when the hype dies down. Celebrities promote the gluten-free diet as the next best cure for weight loss or promise of good health, but their facts are not always right. It is easy for people to get confused.” To help address this disparity, Emily has started a Celiac support group at Grove City College with fellow student Abby Pherson. Contamination is a big problem for students with Celiac disease and the group plans to address the problems caused by contamination of cafeteria food. 5
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11.7
Monthly Balance Sheets Amilie Clean Cosmetics - Pro Forma Balance Sheet - Year One Starting
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
s:
sh Equivalents
16,950
9,619
8,879
8,668
8,434
7,870
7,463
7,268
7,324
8,410
10,054
0
2,867
3,703
4,141
4,619
5,575
6,530
7,406
8,282
8,203
7,327
550
901
1,007
1,124
1,356
1,588
1,802
2,015
1,995
1,782
1,763
17,500
13,387
13,589
13,933
14,409
15,033
15,795
16,689
17,601
18,395
19,144
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
0
677
1,354
2,031
2,708
3,385
4,062
4,739
5,416
6,093
6,770
32,500
31,823
31,146
30,469
29,792
29,115
28,438
27,761
27,084
26,407
25,730
32,500
31,823
31,146
30,469
29,792
29,115
28,438
27,761
27,084
26,407
25,730
50,000
45,210
44,735
44,402
44,201
44,148
44,233
44,450
44,685
44,802
44,874
0
873
954
1,065
1,240
1,472
1,695
1,908
2,005
1,889
1,772
0
873
954
1065
1240
1472
1695
1908
2005
1889
1772
m Liabilities:
0
0
0
0
0
s:
0
873
954
1065
1240
1472
1695
1908
2005
1889
1772
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
-5,663
-6,219
-6,663
-7,039
-7,324
-7,462
-7,458
-7,320
-7,087
-6,899
50,000
44,337
43,781
43,337
42,961
42,676
42,538
42,542
42,680
42,913
43,102
50,000
45,210
44,735
44,402
44,201
44,148
44,233
44,450
44,685
44,802
44,874
ceivable
Assets
estments:
ant, and equipment
d depreciation
m Investments:
EQUITY
ties:
ayable
dit
Liabilities
-
bilities:
debt
ital
arnings
s & Equity
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A
Amilie Clean Cosmetics - Pro Forma Balance Sheet - Year Two Jun
Equivalents
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
14,681
14,977
14,922
15,103
15,154
15,834
16,897
19,235
21,269
22,919
24,350
23,872
2,110
2,110
2,285
2,637
3,164
3,692
4,043
3,868
3,340
2,989
2,637
3,129
2,110
2,110
2,461
2,813
3,516
3,868
4,219
3,516
3,164
2,813
2,461
3,797
18,901
19,197
19,668
20,553
21,834
23,394
25,159
26,619
27,773
28,721
29,448
30,798
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
8,801
9,478
10,155
10,832
11,509
12,186
12,863
13,540
14,217
14,894
15,571
16,248
23,699
23,022
22,345
21,668
20,991
20,314
19,637
18,960
18,283
17,606
16,929
16,252
23,699
23,022
22,345
21,668
20,991
20,314
19,637
18,960
18,283
17,606
16,929
16,252
42,600
42,219
42,013
42,221
42,825
43,708
44,796
45,579
46,056
46,327
46,377
47,050
ble
2,110
2,110
2,285
2,637
3,164
3,692
4,043
3,868
3,340
2,989
2,637
3,129
bilities
2110
2110
2285
2637
3164
3692
4043
3868
3340
2989
2637
3129
0
0
0
0
2110
2110
2285
2637
3164
3692
4043
3868
3340
2989
2637
3129
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
-9,510
-9,891
-10,272
-10,416
-10,339
-9,985
-9,247
-8,289
-7,284
-6,663
-6,261
-6,079
40,490
40,109
39,728
39,584
39,661
40,016
40,753
41,711
42,716
43,338
43,740
43,921
42,600
42,219
42,013
42,221
42,825
43,708
44,796
45,579
46,056
46,327
46,377
47,050
vable
sets
ments: and equipment
epreciation
nvestments:
QUITY
s:
ties:
Liabilities:
ngs
Equity
0
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Amilie Clean Cosmetics - Pro Forma Balance Sheet - Year Three Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
ASSETS Current Assets: Cash & Cash Equivalents
6,972
5,979
4,670
1,586
-539
-3,026
-1,006
3,236
14,299
20,858
26,141
29,007
15,611
15,611
15,611
18,213
20,814
26,018
28,620
31,222
26,018
23,416
20,814
18,213
3,797
3,797
4,430
5,063
6,329
6,962
7,594
6,329
5,696
5,063
4,430
6,076
26,380
25,387
24,711
24,862
26,604
29,954
35,208
40,787
46,013
49,337
51,385
53,296
Property, plant, and equipment
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
32,500
Accumulated depreciation
16,925
17,602
18,279
18,956
19,633
20,310
20,987
21,664
22,341
23,018
23,695
24,372
Net:
15,575
14,898
14,221
13,544
12,867
12,190
11,513
10,836
10,159
9,482
8,805
8,128
Total Long-term Investments:
15,575
14,898
14,221
13,544
12,867
12,190
11,513
10,836
10,159
9,482
8,805
8,128
Total Assets:
41,955
40,285
38,932
38,406
39,471
42,144
46,721
51,623
56,172
58,819
60,190
61,424
3,797
3,797
4,114
4,747
5,696
6,645
7,278
6,962
6,012
5,379
4,747
5,253
3797
3797
4114
4747
5696
6645
7278
6962
6012
5379
4747
5253
0
0
0
0
3797
3797
4114
4747
5696
6645
7278
6962
6012
5379
4747
5253
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
50,000
-11,842
-13,512
-15,182
-16,341
-16,225
-14,501
-10,557
-5,339
160
3,440
5,443
6,171
Total Equity:
38,158
36,488
34,818
33,659
33,775
35,499
39,443
44,661
50,160
53,440
55,443
56,171
Total liabilities & Equity
41,955
40,285
38,932
38,406
39,471
42,144
46,721
51,623
56,172
58,819
60,190
61,424
Accounts receivable Inventory Total Current Assets Long-term Investments:
LIABILITIES & EQUITY Current Liabilities: Accounts payable Line of Credit Total Current Liabilities Long-term Liabilities: Long-term debt Total Long-term Liabilities: Total Liabilities:
0
Equity: Paid-in Capital Retained Earnings
55 of 72
11.8
Monthly Cash Flow Statements
Amilie Clean Cosmetics – Pro Forma Cash Flow Statement - Year One Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Operating Activities Net Income
($5,663)
($556)
($445)
($376)
($285)
($138)
$4
$138
$233
$189
$88
$44
-2,867
-836
-438
-478
-956
-955
-876
-876
79
876
80
876
-351
-106
-117
-232
-232
-214
-213
20
213
19
213
-560
873
81
111
175
232
223
213
97
-116
-117
-116
174
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
($7,331)
($740)
($212)
($234)
($564)
($407)
($195)
$56
$1,086
$1,644
$942
$1,211
($7,331)
($740)
($212)
($234)
($564)
($407)
($195)
$56
$1,086
$1,644
$942
$1,211
Cash & Cash Equivalents at Beginning of Month
16,950
9,619
8,879
8,668
8,434
7,870
7,463
7,268
7,324
8,410
10,054
10,995
Cash & Cash Equivalents at End of Month
$9,619
$8,879
$8,668
$8,434
$7,870
$7,463
$7,268
$7,324
$8,410
$10,054
$10,995
$12,206
($7,331)
($740)
($212)
($234)
($564)
($407)
($195)
$56
$1,086
$1,644
$942
$1,211
Add: Decreases in Non-cash Current Assets Accounts Receivable Inventory Increases in Current Liabilities Accounts Payable Depreciation Cash Generated by Operations: Investing Activities Purchase of Long-term investments Cash Generated by Investing Financing Activities Line of Credit Cash Generated by Financing Net Increase in Cash
Free Cash Flow
56 of 72
Amilie Clean Cosmetics - Pro Forma Cash Flow Statement - Year Two Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Operating Activities Net Income
($2,743)
($381)
($381)
($144)
$77
$355
$738
$958
$1,005
$622
$402
$181
4,261
0
-175
-352
-527
-528
-351
175
528
351
352
-492
0
0
-351
-352
-703
-352
-351
703
352
351
352
-1,336
280
0
175
352
527
528
351
-175
-528
-351
-352
492
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
$2,476
$296
($55)
$181
$51
$680
$1,064
$2,338
$2,034
$1,650
$1,431
($478)
$2,476
$296
($55)
$181
$51
$680
$1,064
$2,338
$2,034
$1,650
$1,431
($478)
12,206
14,681
14,977
14,922
15,103
15,154
15,834
16,897
19,235
21,269
22,919
24,350
$14,681
$14,977
$14,922
$15,103
$15,154
$15,834
$16,897
$19,235
$21,269
$22,919
$24,350
$23,872
$2,476
$296
($55)
$181
$51
$680
$1,064
$2,338
$2,034
$1,650
$1,431
($478)
Add: Decreases in Non-cash Current Assets Accounts Receivable Inventory Increases in Current Liabilities Accounts Payable Depreciation Cash Generated by Operations: Investing Activities Purchase of Long-term investments Cash Generated by Investing Financing Activities Line of Credit Cash Generated by Financing Net Increase in Cash Cash & Cash Equivalents at Beginning of Month Cash & Cash Equivalents at End of Month Free Cash Flow
57 of 72
Amilie Clean Cosmetics - Pro Forma Cash Flow Statement - Year Three Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Operating Activities Net Income
($5,763)
($1,670)
($1,670)
($1,159)
$116
$1,724
$3,944
$5,218
$5,499
$3,280
$2,003
$728
-12,482
0
0
-2,602
-2,601
-5,204
-2,602
-2,602
5,204
2,602
2,602
2,601
0
0
-633
-633
-1,266
-633
-632
1,265
633
633
633
-1,646
668
0
317
633
949
949
633
-316
-950
-633
-632
506
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
677
($16,900)
($993)
($1,309)
($3,084)
($2,125)
($2,487)
$2,020
$4,242
$11,063
$6,559
$5,283
$2,866
($16,900)
($993)
($1,309)
($3,084)
($2,125)
($2,487)
$2,020
$4,242
$11,063
$6,559
$5,283
$2,866
23,872
6,972
5,979
4,670
1,586
-539
-3,026
-1,006
3,236
14,299
20,858
26,141
$6,972
$5,979
$4,670
$1,586
($539)
($3,026)
($1,006)
$3,236
$14,299
$20,858
$26,141
$29,007
($16,900)
($993)
($1,309)
($3,084)
($2,125)
($2,487)
$2,020
$4,242
$11,063
$6,559
$5,283
$2,866
Add: Decreases in Non-cash Current Assets Accounts Receivable Inventory Increases in Current Liabilities Accounts Payable Depreciation Cash Generated by Operations: Investing Activities Purchase of Long-term investments Cash Generated by Investing Financing Activities Line of Credit Cash Generated by Financing Net Increase in Cash Cash & Cash Equivalents at Beginning of Month Cash & Cash Equivalents at End of Month Free Cash Flow
58 of 72
11.9
Monthly Operating Schedules Year One
Sales Schedule Starting
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
4%
5%
6%
6%
8%
9%
10%
11%
11%
10%
10%
9%
3874
5004
5596
6242
7533
8825
10009
11192
11085
9901
9793
8610
291
375
420
468
565
662
751
839
831
743
735
646
Credit Sales, 80%
2,867
3,703
4,141
4,619
5,575
6,530
7,406
8,282
8,203
7,327
7,247
6,371
Cash Sales 20%
717
926
1,035
1,155
1,394
1,633
1,852
2,071
2,051
1,832
1,812
1,593
Cash sales this period
1,007
1,301
1,455
1,623
1,959
2,294
2,602
2,910
2,882
2,574
2,546
2,238
Last period's credit sales
0
2,867
3,703
4,141
4,619
5,575
6,530
7,406
8,282
8,203
7,327
7,247
-
1,007
4,168
5,158
5,764
6,578
7,869
9,133
10,316
11,164
10,777
9,873
9,486
Starting
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
550
901
1007
1124
1356
1588
1802
2015
1995
1782
1763
1550
2110
1395
1802
2015
2247
2712
3177
3603
4029
3991
3564
3526
3099
Sales Forecast
Online Sales Wholesale
Cash Collections
Total Collections
Purchases Schedule Purchases Ending Inventory Cost of Goods Sold Total Needed
550
2296
2809
3138
3603
4300
4978
5618
6025
5773
5327
5075
5209
Beginning Inventory
0
-550
-901
-1007
-1124
-1356
-1588
-1802
-2015
-1995
-1782
-1763
-1550
Purchases
550
1746
1908
2131
2480
2944
3390
3816
4010
3777
3545
3313
3659
50% of last month's purchases
0
275
873
954
1065
1240
1472
1695
1908
2005
1889
1772
1656
50% of this month's purchases
275
873
954
1065
1240
1472
1695
1908
2005
1889
1772
1656
1830
Disbursements for purchases
275
1148
1827
2019
2305
2712
3167
3603
3913
3894
3661
3429
3486
Purchase Disbursements
59 of 72
Year Two
Sales Schedule Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
6%
6%
6%
7%
8%
10%
11%
12%
10%
9%
8%
7%
11720
11720
11720
13673
15626
19533
21486
23440
19533
17580
15626
13673
879
879
879
1025
1172
1465
1611
1758
1465
1318
1172
1025
Credit Sales, 80%
8,673
8,673
8,673
10,118
11,564
14,454
15,900
17,345
14,454
13,009
11,564
10,118
Cash Sales 20%
2,168
2,168
2,168
2,530
2,891
3,614
3,975
4,336
3,614
3,252
2,891
2,530
Cash sales this period
3,047
3,047
3,047
3,555
4,063
5,079
5,586
6,094
5,079
4,571
4,063
3,555
Last period's credit sales
6,371
8,673
8,673
8,673
10,118
11,564
14,454
15,900
17,345
14,454
13,009
11,564
Total Collections
9,418
11,720
11,720
12,228
14,181
16,642
20,041
21,994
22,424
19,025
17,072
15,119
Ending Inventory
2110
2110
2461
2813
3516
3868
4219
3516
3164
2813
2461
3797
Cost of Goods Sold
4219
4219
4219
4922
5626
7032
7735
8438
7032
6329
5626
4922
Total Needed
6329
6329
6680
7735
9141
10899
11954
11954
10196
9141
8087
8720
Beginning Inventory
-2110
-2110
-2110
-2461
-2813
-3516
-3868
-4219
-3516
-3164
-2813
-2461
Purchases
4219
4219
4571
5274
6329
7383
8087
7735
6680
5977
5274
6258
50% of last month's purchases
1830
2110
2110
2285
2637
3164
3692
4043
3868
3340
2989
2637
50% of this month's purchases
2110
2110
2285
2637
3164
3692
4043
3868
3340
2989
2637
3129
Disbursements for purchases
3939
4219
4395
4922
5801
6856
7735
7911
7208
6329
5626
5766
Sales Forecast
Online Sales Wholesale
Cash Collections
Purchases Schedule Purchases
Purchase Disbursements
60 of 72
Year Three
Sales Schedule Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
6%
6%
6%
7%
8%
10%
11%
12%
10%
9%
8%
7%
21096
21096
21096
24612
28128
35159
38675
42191
35159
31643
28128
24612
1582
1582
1582
1846
2110
2637
2901
3164
2637
2373
2110
1846
Credit Sales, 80%
15,611
15,611
15,611
18,213
20,814
26,018
28,620
31,222
26,018
23,416
20,814
18,213
Cash Sales 20%
3,903
3,903
3,903
4,553
5,204
6,504
7,155
7,805
6,504
5,854
5,204
4,553
Cash sales this period
5,485
5,485
5,485
6,399
7,313
9,141
10,056
10,970
9,141
8,227
7,313
6,399
Last period's credit sales
10,118
15,611
15,611
15,611
18,213
20,814
26,018
28,620
31,222
26,018
23,416
20,814
Total Collections
15,603
21,096
21,096
22,010
25,526
29,956
36,074
39,589
40,363
34,245
30,729
27,213
Ending Inventory
3797
3797
4430
5063
6329
6962
7594
6329
5696
5063
4430
6076
Cost of Goods Sold
7594
7594
7594
8860
10126
12657
13923
15189
12657
11392
10126
8860
Total Needed
11392
11392
12025
13923
16455
19619
21518
21518
18353
16455
14556
14936
Beginning Inventory
-3797
-3797
-3797
-4430
-5063
-6329
-6962
-7594
-6329
-5696
-5063
-4430
Purchases
7594
7594
8227
9493
11392
13290
14556
13923
12025
10759
9493
10506
50% of last month's purchases
3129
3797
3797
4114
4747
5696
6645
7278
6962
6012
5379
4747
50% of this month's purchases
3797
3797
4114
4747
5696
6645
7278
6962
6012
5379
4747
5253
Disbursements for purchases
6926
7594
7911
8860
10442
12341
13923
14240
12974
11392
10126
9999
Sales Forecast
Online Sales Wholesale
Cash Collections
Purchases Schedule Purchases
Purchase Disbursements
61 of 72
Year Four
Sales Schedule Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
6%
6%
6%
7%
8%
10%
11%
12%
10%
9%
8%
7%
33753
33753
33753
39379
45004
56255
61881
67506
56255
50630
45004
39379
2531
2531
2531
2953
3375
4219
4641
5063
4219
3797
3375
2953
Credit Sales, 80%
24,977
24,977
24,977
29,140
33,303
41,629
45,792
49,954
41,629
37,466
33,303
29,140
Cash Sales 20%
6,244
6,244
6,244
7,285
8,326
10,407
11,448
12,489
10,407
9,366
8,326
7,285
Cash sales this period
8,776
8,776
8,776
10,238
11,701
14,626
16,089
17,552
14,626
13,164
11,701
10,238
Last period's credit sales
18,213
24,977
24,977
24,977
29,140
33,303
41,629
45,792
49,954
41,629
37,466
33,303
Total Collections
26,988
33,753
33,753
35,216
40,841
47,929
57,718
63,343
64,581
54,792
49,167
43,541
Ending Inventory
6076
6076
7088
8101
10126
11138
12151
10126
9113
8101
7088
8506
Cost of Good Sold
12151
12151
12151
14176
16201
20252
22277
24302
20252
18227
16201
14176
Total Needed
18227
18227
19239
22277
26327
31390
34428
34428
29365
26327
23290
22682
Beginning Inventory
-6076
-6076
-6076
-7088
-8101
-10126
-11138
-12151
-10126
-9113
-8101
-7088
Purchases
12151
12151
13164
15189
18227
21264
23290
22277
19239
17214
15189
15594
50% of last month's purchases
5253
6076
6076
6582
7594
9113
10632
11645
11138
9620
8607
7594
50% of this month's purchases
6076
6076
6582
7594
9113
10632
11645
11138
9620
8607
7594
7797
Disbursements for purchases
11328
12151
12657
14176
16708
19746
22277
22783
20758
18227
16201
15391
Sales Forecast
Online Sales Wholesale
Cash Collections
Purchases Schedule Purchases
Purchase Disbursements
62 of 72
Year Five
Sales Schedule Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
6%
6%
6%
7%
8%
10%
11%
12%
10%
9%
8%
7%
47254
47254
47254
55130
63006
78757
86633
94508
78757
70881
63006
55130
3544
3544
3544
4135
4725
5907
6497
7088
5907
5316
4725
4135
Credit Sales, 80%
34,968
34,968
34,968
40,796
46,624
58,280
64,108
69,936
58,280
52,452
46,624
40,796
Cash Sales 20%
8,742
8,742
8,742
10,199
11,656
14,570
16,027
17,484
14,570
13,113
11,656
10,199
Cash sales this period
12,286
12,286
12,286
14,334
16,381
20,477
22,525
24,572
20,477
18,429
16,381
14,334
Last period's credit sales
29,140
34,968
34,968
34,968
40,796
46,624
58,280
64,108
69,936
58,280
52,452
46,624
Total Collections
41,426
47,254
47,254
49,302
57,178
67,101
80,805
88,680
90,413
76,709
68,834
60,958
Ending Inventory
8506
8506
9923
11341
14176
15594
17012
14176
12759
11341
9923
11908
Cost of Good Sold
17012
17012
17012
19847
22682
28353
31188
34023
28353
25517
22682
19847
Total Needed
25517
25517
26935
31188
36858
43946
48199
48199
41111
36858
32605
31755
Beginning Inventory
-8506
-8506
-8506
-9923
-11341
-14176
-15594
-17012
-14176
-12759
-11341
-9923
Purchases
17012
17012
18429
21264
25517
29770
32605
31188
26935
24100
21264
21831
50% of last month's purchases
7797
8506
8506
9215
10632
12759
14885
16303
15594
13467
12050
10632
50% of this month's purchases
8506
8506
9215
10632
12759
14885
16303
15594
13467
12050
10632
10916
Disbursements for purchases
16303
17012
17720
19847
23391
27644
31188
31897
29061
25517
22682
21548
Sales Forecast
Online Sales Wholesale
Cash Collections
Purchases Schedule Purchases
Purchase Disbursements
63 of 72
11.10
Monthly Budgets Year One
Projected Budget Beginning Cash Balance
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
16,950
9,906
9,065
8,470
7,857
7,197
6,655
6,236
6,032
6,221
6,472
6,554
1,007
4,168
5,158
5,764
6,578
7,869
9,133
10,316
11,164
10,777
9,873
9,486
17,957
14,074
14,223
14,234
14,435
15,066
15,788
16,552
17,196
16,998
16,345
16,040
1148
1827
2019
2305
2712
3167
3603
3913
3894
3661
3429
3486
252
1042
1290
1441
1645
1967
2283
2579
2791
2694
2468
2372
Payroll Taxes (15%)
30
125
155
173
197
236
274
309
335
323
296
285
Shipping
98
405
501
560
640
765
888
1,003
1,085
1,048
960
922
151
625
774
865
987
1,180
1,370
1,547
1,675
1,617
1,481
1,423
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
Legal & Accounting Services
3,416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
Licenses and Permits
1650
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Insurance
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
Line of Credit
100
Research & Development
228
228
228
228
228
228
228
228
228
228
228
228
Miscellaneous expenses
762
125
155
173
197
236
274
309
335
323
296
285
Total disbursements:
8,051
5,009
5,754
6,377
7,238
8,411
9,552
10,520
10,975
10,526
9,790
9,633
Excess of Total Cash
9,906
9,065
8,470
7,857
7,197
6,655
6,236
6,032
6,221
6,472
6,554
6,408
Cash balance
9,906
9,065
8,470
7,857
7,197
6,655
6,236
6,032
6,221
6,472
6,554
6,408
Cash Receipts: Collections from customers Total cash available before financing Cash Disbursements: Inventory Purchase Salaries
Rent Marketing & Promotions Office Supplies
64 of 72
Year Two Projected Budget
June
Beginning Cash Balance
July
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
6,408
3,183
2,799
2,239
1,557
862
202
167
821
2,367
3,287
4,046
9,418
11,720
11,720
12,228
14,181
16,642
20,041
21,994
22,424
19,025
17,072
15,119
15,826
14,903
14,519
14,467
15,738
17,504
20,243
22,161
23,245
21,392
20,359
19,165
Inventory Purchase
3,939
4,219
4,395
4,922
5,801
6,856
7,735
7,911
7,208
6,329
5,626
5,766
Salaries
2355
2930
2930
3057
3545
4161
5010
5499
5606
4756
4268
3780
Payroll Taxes (15%)
463
532
532
367
425
499
601
660
673
571
512
454
Shipping
916
1,139
1,139
1,189
1,379
1,618
1,948
2,138
2,180
1,850
1,660
1,470
1,413
1,758
1,758
1,834
2,127
2,496
3,006
3,299
3,364
2,854
2,561
2,268
Cash Receipts: Collections from customers Total cash available before financing Cash Disbursements:
Rent Marketing & Promotions Office Supplies
113
113
113
113
113
113
113
113
113
113
113
113
Legal & Accounting Services
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
416
2000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Insurance
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
Line of Credit
100
Research & Development
479
479
479
479
479
479
479
479
479
479
479
479
Miscellaneous expenses
283
352
352
367
425
499
601
660
673
571
512
454
Total disbursements:
12,643
12,104
12,280
12,910
14,876
17,303
20,075
21,341
20,878
18,105
16,313
15,366
Excess of Total Cash
3,183
2,799
2,239
1,557
862
202
167
821
2,367
3,287
4,046
3,799
Cash balance
3,183
2,799
2,239
1,557
862
202
167
821
2,367
3,287
4,046
3,799
Licenses and Permits
65 of 72
Year Three Projected Budget Beginning Cash Balance
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
3,799
-3,114
-4,790
-6,783
-8,911
-10,187
-10,292
-7,740
-3,071
3,401
7,217
9,862
15,603
21,096
21,096
22,010
25,526
29,956
36,074
39,589
40,363
34,245
30,729
27,213
19,402
17,982
16,306
15,227
16,615
19,769
25,782
31,849
37,292
37,646
37,946
37,075
Inventory Purchase
6,926
7,594
7,911
8,860
10,442
12,341
13,923
14,240
12,974
11,392
10,126
9,999
Salaries
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
6,666
648
813
813
660
766
899
1,082
1,188
1,211
1,027
922
816
1,517
2,051
2,051
2,140
2,482
2,912
3,507
3,849
3,924
3,329
2,988
2,646
2,340
3,164
3,164
3,301
3,829
4,493
5,411
5,938
6,054
5,137
4,609
4,082
Office Supplies
202
202
202
202
202
202
202
202
202
202
202
202
Legal & Accounting Services
625
625
625
625
625
625
625
625
625
625
625
625
2000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Insurance
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
Line of Credit
100
Research & Development
858
858
858
858
858
858
858
858
858
858
858
858
Miscellaneous expenses
468
633
633
660
766
899
1,082
1,188
1,211
1,027
922
816
Total disbursements:
22,516
22,772
23,089
24,138
26,802
30,061
33,522
34,920
33,891
30,429
28,084
26,876
Excess of Total Cash
-3,114
-4,790
-6,783
-8,911
-10,187
-10,292
-7,740
-3,071
3,401
7,217
9,862
10,199
Cash balance
-3,114
-4,790
-6,783
-8,911
-10,187
-10,292
-7,740
-3,071
3,401
7,217
9,862
10,199
Cash Receipts: Collections from customers Total cash available before financing Cash Disbursements:
Payroll Taxes (15%) Shipping Rent Marketing & Promotions
Licenses and Permits
66 of 72
Year Four Projected Budget Beginning Cash Balance
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
10,199
3,743
3,251
2,253
931
973
2,887
9,052
18,609
31,048
39,235
45,552
26,988
33,753
33,753
35,216
40,841
47,929
57,718
63,343
64,581
54,792
49,167
43,541
37,187
37,496
37,004
37,469
41,772
48,902
60,605
72,395
83,190
85,840
88,402
89,093
11,328
12,151
12,657
14,176
16,708
19,746
22,277
22,783
20,758
18,227
16,201
15,391
Salaries
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
8,333
Payroll Taxes (15%)
1,165
1,367
1,367
1,231
1,400
1,613
1,906
2,075
2,112
1,819
1,650
1,481
Shipping
2,624
3,282
3,282
3,424
3,971
4,660
5,611
6,158
6,279
5,327
4,780
4,233
333
333
333
333
333
333
333
333
333
333
333
333
4,048
5,063
5,063
5,282
6,126
7,189
8,658
9,501
9,687
8,219
7,375
6,531
Office Supplies
325
325
325
325
325
325
325
325
325
325
325
325
Legal & Accounting Services
833
833
833
833
833
833
833
833
833
833
833
833
2000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Insurance
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
Line of Credit
100
Cash Receipts: Collections from customers Total cash available before financing Cash Disbursements: Inventory Purchase
Rent Marketing & Promotions
Licenses and Permits
Research & Development
1379
1379
1379
1379
1379
1379
1379
1379
1379
1379
1379
1379
Miscellaneous expenses
810
1,013
1,013
1,056
1,225
1,438
1,732
1,900
1,937
1,644
1,475
1,306
Total disbursements:
33,444
34,245
34,751
36,538
40,799
46,015
51,553
53,786
52,142
46,605
42,850
40,311
Excess of Total Cash
3,743
3,251
2,253
931
973
2,887
9,052
18,609
31,048
39,235
45,552
48,782
Cash balance
3,743
3,251
2,253
931
973
2,887
9,052
18,609
31,048
39,235
45,552
48,782
67 of 72
Year Five Projected Budget Beginning Cash Balance
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
January
February
March
April
May
48,782
44,993
46,633
47,565
47,970
50,287
55,225
66,113
81,748
101,420
115,142
126,243
41,426
47,254
47,254
49,302
57,178
67,101
80,805
88,680
90,413
76,709
68,834
60,958
90,208
92,247
93,887
96,867
105,148
117,388
136,030
154,793
172,161
178,129
183,976
187,201
Inventory Purchase
16,303
17,012
17,720
19,847
23,391
27,644
31,188
31,897
29,061
25,517
22,682
15,594
Salaries
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
10,000
Payroll Taxes (15%)
1,598
1,773
1,773
1,654
1,890
2,188
2,599
2,835
2,887
2,476
2,240
2,004
Shipping
4,028
4,594
4,594
4,793
5,559
6,524
7,856
8,622
8,790
7,458
6,692
5,926
333
333
333
333
333
333
333
333
333
333
333
333
6,214
7,088
7,088
7,395
8,577
10,065
12,121
13,302
13,562
11,506
10,325
9,144
Office Supplies
457
457
457
457
457
457
457
457
457
457
457
457
Legal & Accounting Services
833
833
833
833
833
833
833
833
833
833
833
833
2000
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Insurance
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
166
Line of Credit
100
Cash Receipts: Collections from customers Total cash available before financing Cash Disbursements:
Rent Marketing & Promotions
Licenses and Permits
Research & Development
1940
1940
1940
1940
1940
1940
1940
1940
1940
1940
1940
1940
Miscellaneous expenses
1,243
1,418
1,418
1,479
1,715
2,013
2,424
2,660
2,712
2,301
2,065
1,829
Total disbursements:
45,215
45,614
46,322
48,897
54,861
62,163
69,917
73,045
70,741
62,987
57,733
48,226
Excess of Total Cash
44,993
46,633
47,565
47,970
50,287
55,225
66,113
81,748
101,420
115,142
126,243
138,975
Cash balance
44,993
46,633
47,565
47,970
50,287
55,225
66,113
81,748
101,420
115,142
126,243
138,975
68 of 72
11.11
Seasonality
Here is an explanation of our projections of the seasonality of AmilieAmilie. The chart below was downloaded from the Google Insights for Search Tool on March 10, 2012. It reflects normalized search demand data from January 2009 to December 2011 on the search term “makeup”. Seasonal Trends Evident
A quick rise and fall immediately after the New Year. A small, steady rise during the final months of summer. A major spike in October. This could be influenced by demand for Halloween makeup, but is most likely due to the changing season and “back to school” time.
This chart shows the same data for the search term “lip balm”. 69 of 72
Seasonality:
Lip Balm is most popular in the winter months, building up from October to a peak in January and then falling through the spring. Slowest season is the middle of summer.
Finally, here is a chart for the search term eyeshadow. 70 of 72
Seasonality:
Slow season is in the middle of summer. Peak in early January.
Based on this research, we conclude that Amilie Clean Cosmetics will experience:
Slow, gradual sales during the summer launch period. Sustained growth starting in September and lasting through early January. A steady decline in sales during the spring of 2013.
71 of 72
11.12
Pricing Assumptions
Lip Balm
Organic Beeswax = $0.27 / ounce (55 pounds from JEdwards costs $240) Organic Olive Oil = $0.05 / teaspoon (from Essential Wholesale & Labs, one gallon is 768 Teaspoons) Organic Orange Extract = $0.37 / teaspoon (from Flavorganics, one ounce = 6 teaspoons) 10 tubes of lip balm contain 1 ounce wax, 12 tsp. olive oil, and 1.5 tsp. orange extract. This means the ingredient cost per tube is: $0.15 Each tube costs 16 cents - http://www.elementsbathandbody.com/15-oz-Black-Lip-TubeWITH-CAP-pr-714.html Add four cents to cover the label and ten cents to cover labor costs Total cost for one tube of lip balm = $0.45
Mineral Foundation Costs – Although prototyping is incomplete, we will tentatively use the following recipe: Ingredients/materials needed (makes 3 jars) Phase I 8 tsp Micronized Titanium Dioxide 3 tsp Bismuth Oxychloride (may substitute Sericite Mica or Kaolin Clay) 4 tsp Zinc Oxide-Low Micron 1 tsp Magnesium Stearate 1/2 - 1 tsp Yellow Iron Oxide 1/16 tsp Brown Iron Oxide Pinch of Red Iron Oxide Phase II 1/4 tsp Jojoba Oil Phase III 1 tsp. Sericite Mica - Matt Finish Mix the ingredients from Phase I in your mortar and pestle or Magic Bullet, blending well. Slowly add the ingredients from Phase II to the mix. Stir/blend until homogenous. Last, add the Phase III ingredient if you need more or less to adjust the color tone.
Ingredient Costs: Titanium Dioxide = $6.98 / pound (from Costal Scents) Kaolin Clay = $2.99 / pound (from Costal Scents) Zinc Oxide = $5.40 / pound (from Costal Scents) Magnesium Stearate = $9.99 / pound (from Costal Scents) Yellow Iron Oxide = $19.99 / pound (from Costal Scents) Brown Iron Oxide = $11.99 / pound (from Costal Scents) Red Iron Oxide = $11.99 / pound (from Costal Scents) Organic Jojoba Oil = $1.36 / ounce (from Bulk Natural Oils) Sericite Mica = $7.58 / pound (from Costal Scents) 72 of 72
Estimated Cost of One Batch: $1.75 – Titanium Dioxide $0.75 – Kaolin Clay $1.35 – Zinc Oxide $1.00 – Magnesium Stearate $3.00 – Oxides $0.50 – Jojoba Oil $1.00 – Sericite Mica = $9.35 / 3 = $3.12
Jar costs $0.53 (http://www.coastalscents.com/make-your-own-1/packaging/jars/sj-r-20silver.html) Add four cents to cover labeling and 25 cents to cover labor costs Total Cost for one Foundation = $3.94
Eye Shadow Costs – Recipe makes 30 grams Phase I (Base Powders) 3 Tblsps Micronized Titanium Dioxide 1 ½ Tsps Magnesium Stearate Phase II (Oil & Scent) ¼ Tsp Jojoba Oil Phase III (Color & Finish Look) 2+ Tsps of the iron oxide pigment color of your choice (start with small amounts and build to achieve the desired shade) 2 ½ Tsps Sericite Mica (pearl or matt or pearl flake) Mix ingredients from Phase I in a large bowl or mortar. Slowly add the Phase III ingredients and mix (homogenize) with the pestle being sure to blend the color into the white powders. Choose the pearl sericite if you want a shimmer in your shadow, or the matt sericite if you want low luster. A coffee grinder can also be used, but please reserve it just for cosmetics.
Ingredient Costs: Titanium Dioxide = $6.98 / pound (from Costal Scents) Magnesium Stearate = $9.99 / pound (from Costal Scents) Organic Jojoba Oil = $1.36 / ounce (from Bulk Natural Oils) Sericite Mica = $7.58 / pound (from Costal Scents) Iron Oxide Pigments (average) = $13.1 / pound (from Costal Scents) Estimated Cost of One Batch: $1.00 – Titanium Dioxide $1.50 – Magnesium Stearate $1.00 – Jojoba Oil 73 of 72
$2.50 – Sericite Mica $3.00 – Oxides = $9.00 / 3 = $3.00 The ingredients above will form a loose, colored powder. That powder will then be mixed with a compound of jojoba oil and pressed firmly into a small compact case.
The 10 gram containers will cost $0.70 each (http://www.makingcosmetics.com/LipGloss-Eye-Shadow-Ct-Rica-2-p254.html ) Add four cents to cover labeling and 25 cents to cover labor costs Total Cost for one Foundation = $3.99
i
Wholesale pricing modeled off of Burt’s Bees. Wholesale pricing modeled off of Burt’s Bees. iii Wholesale pricing modeled off of Burt’s Bees. ii
74 of 72